• 제목/요약/키워드: standard of estimate

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전력계통 모의를 통한 에너지세제 개편의 전력가격 및 조세수입에 대한 영향 연구 (Impacts of Energy Tax Reform on Electricity Prices and Tax Revenues by Power System Simulation)

  • 김윤경;박광수;조성진
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.573-605
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문은 2014년 7월과 2015년 7월부터 시행된 발전용 유연탄 과세와 LNG 세율 변경을 중심으로 세제 개편의 시나리오들을 설정하여 2029년까지의 SMP, 정산단가, 조세수입에 대한 영향을 추정하고, 시나리오 1(기준시나리오)의 값들과 비교하였다. 추정에서는 우리나라의 전력계통과 전력시장 운용방식에 특화한 모형과 전력수급기본계획 등의 정부 계획자료를 이용하여 전력계통 모의 실험을 실시하였다. 발전용 유연탄에 과세하고 조세중립성을 확보하기 위해 LNG에 대해서도 과세하는 경우에 단기에 SMP는 시나리오 1의 경우에 비해서 낮아진다. 원자력발전의 경우는 과세를 하여도 발전비용이 다른 발전원의 발전비용보다 작고, 원자력발전이 SMP를 결정하는 시간대가 거의 없기 때문에 과세가 SMP에 미치는 영향은 거의 없다. 따라서 SMP와 정산단가의 동조화관계가 성립한다면, 단기에 발전용 유연탄에 대한 과세로 에너지소비의 전력화현상을 둔화시키기는 어렵다. 그러나 중 장기에는 석탄발전설비가 충분히 확보되면 발전용 유연탄에 대한 과세는 SMP를 상승시키므로 세제 개편의 형태가 단기에 발전용 유연탄에만 과세하고 신규 유연탄 발전설비가 충분히 도입된 이후에 LNG에 대한 세율을 조정하면 에너지세제 개편으로 전기요금을 인상시켜서 전력수요를 감소시키려는 목적은 달성할 수 있을 것이다. 중 장기에는 발전설비의 확충으로 LNG복합발전기의 이용률이 낮아지므로 LNG에 대한 세율이 정산단가에 영향을 미치지 못한다. 원자력발전에 대한 과세는 SMP에 대한 영향과는 달리 정산조정계수의 영향으로 정산단가를 상승시켰다. 중 장기에 에너지세제가 갖는 순효과는 전력공급력의 확대에 따른 정산단가 하락이 에너지세제 부과에 따른 정산단가 상승을 상쇄시키는 정도에 따라서 달라질 것이다. 과세대상 중에서 원자력발전의 경우에 과세하는 경우에 추가적으로 발생하는 조세수입이 가장 컸다. 에너지세제의 형태와 조세수입의 관계를 보면 발전용 유연탄에 대한 세율이 높을수록, 그리고 원자력발전에 신규로 조세를 부과할수록 조세수입은 커진다.

한의사인력(韓醫師人力) 공급(供給)의 적정화방안(適定化方案) 연구(硏究) (The Rearch Of Method in the Appropriate number of Demand and Supply of OMD)

  • 이종수
    • 대한한의학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.299-326
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    • 1998
  • 1. Comparison of demand and supply A. Assumption of estimation of demand and supply we will briefly assumptions used for presumption once more before comparing the result of estimation of demand and supply examined previously 1) supply - The average applying rate for state. examination of graduate: ${\alpha}$=1.03109 - The ratio of successful applicants of state examinations: ${\beta}$=0.97091 - Mortality classified by age : presumed data of the Bureau of statistics - Emigrating rate: 0 % - Time of retire: unconsidered - An army doctor number: unconsidered and regard number of employed oriental medicine doctor. - Standard of 1995 : The number of survival oriental medicine doctor is 8195. the number of employed oriental medicine doctor is 7419. 2) demand - derivated demand method Daily the average amount of medical treatment: according to medical insurance federation data. there is 16 or 6 non allowance patient, we consider amount of medical treatment as 22 persons in practical because 21.94 persons (founded practical examination) are converted to allowance in comming demand. Daily the proper amount of medical treatment: 7 hours form -35 persons 5 hours 30 minutes form -28 persons. Yearly medical treatment days: 229 days. 255 days. 269 days . Increasing rate of visiting hospital days: -1996 year. 1997 year. 1998 year- . Rate of applying insurance: yearly average 71.51% (among the investigated patient) B. Comparison of total sum result 1) supply (provision) Table Ⅳ-1 below shows the estimation of the oriental medicine doctor in the future.

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  • Methodologies for the Determination of Endogenous Phosphorus Losses in Growing Pigs

    • Alves, Debora Aline;da Rocha, Leonardo Tombesi;dos Santos Camargo, Claudiele Aparecida;Figueiredo, Andriele Medianeira;Ceron, Marcos Speroni;Lucca, Walter;Zanella, Irineo;de Oliveira, Vladimir
      • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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      • 제29권11호
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      • pp.1632-1638
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      • 2016
    • A study was conducted to compare the endogenous basal losses of phosphorus (EBLP) in pigs fed diets containing gelatin (GEL) or spray-dried porcine plasma (SDPP) as protein sources and to determine the standardized total tract digestibility (STTD) of phosphorus (P) in SDPP. The trial was carried out at the Federal University of Santa Maria, Brazil. Twelve castrated pigs with an initial body weight of 55 kg were individually allotted in metabolic crates during two 12-day periods, each with 7 days of adaptation and 5 days of total fecal collection. The beginning and the end of the collecting periods were determined according to the marker-to-marker approach, using ferric oxide as an indigestible marker. Pigs were submitted to four semi-purified diets, one being a P-free diet with 30% of GEL as the protein source and three were diets with 10%, 20%, and 30% inclusion of SDPP respectively. Data were subjected to analysis of variance and the model included the effects of period, animal and treatments; the results of the three diets with increased levels of SDPP were subjected to linear regression analysis. The intercept of the relation of between ingested P and absorbed P represented the EBLP, while the slope indicated the STTD of P in SDPP. The EBLP means obtained by P-free diet and regression method were compared with the Student t test. The EBLP were 128.95 mg/kg dry matter intake (DMI) and 153.63 mg/kg DMI (standard error = 77.0; p<0.06) using the P-free diet with GEL as the protein source and the regression method, obtained with diets containing increased levels of SDPP, respectively. The apparent digestibility of P was 87.9%, 94.2%, and 92.9% for the treatments containing 10%, 20%, and 30% inclusion of SDPP, respectively. The estimated STTD of P obtained with the linear regression was 97.4%. When the EBLP estimated by the P-free diet was used to corrected the apparent digestibility of P in diets containing SDPP, the STTD of P in SDPP was 96.9%, 98.8%, and 95.9% for 10%, 20%, and 30% SDPP, respectively. Therefore, it can be concluded that SDPP can replace GEL to estimate the endogenous losses of P. In addition, the STTD of P in SDPP estimated with the P-free diet was 97.2% and it was 97.4% by the regression method, utilizing SDPP.

    Feasibility of the Threshold-Based Quantification of Myocardial Fibrosis on Cardiac CT as a Prognostic Marker in Nonischemic Dilated Cardiomyopathy

    • Na Young Kim;Dong Jin Im;Yoo Jin Hong;Byoung Wook Choi;Seok-Min Kang;Jong-Chan Youn;Hye-Jeong Lee
      • Korean Journal of Radiology
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      • 제25권6호
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      • pp.540-549
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      • 2024
    • Objective: This study investigated the feasibility and prognostic relevance of threshold-based quantification of myocardial delayed enhancement (MDE) on CT in patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDCM). Materials and Methods: Forty-three patients with NIDCM (59.3 ± 17.1 years; 21 male) were included in the study and underwent cardiac CT and MRI. MDE was quantified manually and with a threshold-based quantification method using cutoffs of 2, 3, and 4 standard deviations (SDs) on three sets of CT images (100 kVp, 120 kVp, and 70 keV). Interobserver agreement in MDE quantification was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Agreement between CT and MRI was evaluated using the Bland-Altman method and the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC). Patients were followed up for the subsequent occurrence of the primary composite outcome, including cardiac death, heart transplantation, heart failure hospitalization, or appropriate use of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate event-free survival according to MDE levels. Results: Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was observed in 29 patients (67%, 29/43), and the mean LGE found with the 5-SD threshold was 4.1% ± 3.6%. The 4-SD threshold on 70-keV CT showed excellent interobserver agreement (ICC = 0.810) and the highest concordance with MRI (CCC = 0.803). This method also yielded the smallest bias with the narrowest range of 95% limits of agreement compared to MRI (bias, -0.119%; 95% limits of agreement, -4.216% to 3.978%). During a median follow-up of 1625 days (interquartile range, 712-1430 days), 10 patients (23%, 10/43) experienced the primary composite outcome. Event-free survival significantly differed between risk subgroups divided by the optimal MDE cutoff of 4.3% (log-rank P = 0.005). Conclusion: The 4-SD threshold on 70-keV monochromatic CT yielded results comparable to those of MRI for quantifying MDE as a marker of myocardial fibrosis, which showed prognostic value in patients with NIDCM.

    구조화된 재활교육이 뇌졸중환자 가족의 스트레스에 미치는 영향 (A Study of the Effect of Structured Rehabilitation Education on the Stress of the Family with Stroke Patients)

    • 김병은;이정민;이향련
      • 동서간호학연구지
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      • 제1권1호
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      • pp.22-39
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      • 1997
    • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of rehabilitation education on the reduction of the stress of family members who have patients suffering from stroke and to find a new way to nurse the patients and their family. Subjects & Methods: The subjects were sixty-one family members with the patients who had been hospotalized in K hospital of oriental medicine from september the 9th, 1996 to september the fourteen, 1996. This study was performed by simulated control group pretest-posttest design; pretest was done on the control group through a questionnaire, counselling and observation while posttest was done on the experimental group 1-2 days after systemic rehabilitation education. To teach the patients and their family, the amended version of a book written by Lee Hae-jin was used as a tool for systemic rehabilitation education. As a method to estimate ADL score, modified Kang's method was applied and ADL score was measured by well-trained technician. As for the tool to estimate the degree of family stress, Choi's method adjusted to this study was applied. In the analysis of the data, social property of the patient and the characteristic of the disease were surveyed in $X^2$ examination to confirm the consistency between the experimental group and the control group. The diffrence in the degree of the stress, which is a dependent factor, was examined by t-test. The difference in ADL score between the experimental group and the control group was examined by t-test. The difference in the degree of the stress according to the general feature of the family with stroke patient, social property of the patients and the characteristic of the disease were surveyed by F examination. The difference in family stress according to the degree of ADL was surveyed by F examination. RESULTS: 1. After hypothetically-examined systemic rehabilitation education, the total of the score of family stress surveyed in 34 items of three domains was compared between the experimental group and the control group. There was no statistically significant difference between two groups; mean score of experimental group=2.28, that of control group=2.93(t=.17, df=59, p=. 66). 2. In the survey on family stress in 34 items, the items over mean score 3.0 were firstly the anxiety of possible disability and relapse of the disease and secondly to watch the patient's suffering without doing anything in the domain of the change of the disease and the difficulty in caring. And the items of the lowest stress with less than mean 2.0 score were little chance to meet the relative and friends, inconsistent treatment and attitude of the medical workers and the change of the attitude of the relative due to the patient orderly in the domain of social and personal relation and the responsibility as the family. The items which showed the difference between two groups were aggravation of neighboring patient(t=3.36, df= 59, p=.001) and the possibility of patient's death(t=2.19, df=58.38, p=.033) in the domain of the change of the disease and the difficulty in caring. 3. In the study on the stress difference according to general features of the family with the stroke patient, the score of family stress with the occupation was higher with mean 2.49 than that of the family stress without occupation with mean 2.16, but there was no significant difference. (F=5.21, df=1/59, p=.026). 4. In the study on the stress difference according to social property of the patient and the characteristic of the disease, there was significant difference in the age of the patients (F=2.98, df=3/57, p=.039). These results show that even if there is no statistically significant difference between two groups, sixteen of the experimental group are less than 3.0 in ADL score(standard 6 score)while eight of the control group are less than 3.0 and that ten of the experimental group are in the year range of 39-49 while four of the control group are in the year range of 39-49 which showed significant difference in family stress. These imply that there is a possibility that the experimental group have serious and fundamental stress resulting in high pretest stress compared with the control group. It might be due to the characteristic of simulated control group pretest-posttest design that the psychologic-supportive effect by the education was not observed. On the basis of these results, the followings are suggested. 1) A study on the nursing-mediated method to reduce the stress in the items which are not resolved by rehabilitation education, a study on nursing according to the patient's age and a study on the supportive nursing toward the family with occupation are required. 2) More than two times consecutive nursing-mediated rehabilitation education to measure the family stress is required. 3) Comprehensive and multilateral systemic education program including the instruction on western-eastern medicine, physical therapy, exercise and diet through collaboration of the experts in each field is required. 4) Family stress at home as well as in the hospital needs to be estimated and home rehabilitation and home-nursing needs to be continued.

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    농촌 생활용수에 관한 조사 연구 (A Study on the Water Systems in the Rural Districts of Korea)

    • 박승우;정하우
      • 한국농공학회지
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      • 제16권2호
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      • pp.3420-3429
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      • 1974
    • This study was performed to estimate the daily water consumption for watering livestock and home use, and to organize the water systems in the rural districts of Korea. For these purposes, 560 farms and other 40 urban families were randomly chosen and investigated about their water systems and daily water consumption seasonally from July 20 to August 31, 1973, and other 82 livestock raisers' useful data for watering livestock helped the study to assess the consumption of livestock water and compare it to that of general farms which bred some domestic animals as their sidelines. The results of data showed that the daily consumption of water was varied with the difference of districts and seasons in which the investigations were conducted. The results were summarized as follows. 1. The mean consumption of water for home use was varied with the range of 30.2-48.7 lit./day in summer and 22.4-45.2 lit./day per a person, respectively, in the rural districts, which showed that the water consumption in summer was more than in autumn. 2. The mean consumption of livestock water in the general farms approached to about 15.8-37.1 lit./day per cattle, 3.87-16.45 lit./day per a pig, and 0.19-1.03 lit./day per chicken, but it was slightly reduced in autumn; 10.89-37.09 lit./day per cattle, 3.87-12.63 lit./day per a pig, and 0.06-0.94 lit./day per chicken. The ratio of livestock water consumption to home use amounted to the range of 10-25%. 3. The mean consumption of livestock water used at the livestock raisers amounted to 134 lit./day per dairy cow, 67.4 lit./day per cattle, 43.29 lit./day per a horse, 13.24 lit./day per a pig, 0.438 lit./day per a layer, and 0.177 lit./day per a broiler, which showed that the daily water consumption for larger livestock was about two times as much as the farms, but it was approximately of the same for small ones. 4. The factors affecting the amount of water consumption for home use were statistically analyzed to find the kind of water sources and the class of water systems by the factorial arrangement method to the fundamental experimental unit, Suwon area of 100 of families, in which the former was very significant while the latter was significant. However, the standard of living and their interactions were not significant. 5. Almost 83.24% of the sampled farms used some kinds of wells as their water sources, of which 32.06% was of hard water, and of which 11.l% or 2.6% contained much of iron or organice materials, respectively, examining them by a simple technique of sensibility, 6. The resulting chart of the farm water systems was summarized as Fig. IV-6. Observating the safe distance from contamination sources, the ratio of 42.4% of sampled farms whose water sources were wells, confronted highly to the danger of contamination to their water sources. And other dangerous sources of contamination such as toilets, stalls, and compost heaps were situated nearly to the water sources, and most of them were able to make their spoiled water infiltrated into the ground. Thereafter, it was recommended to develop some protecting methods and to install some suitable faculties to clean water.

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    돈사 내부 열환경 분포의 공기연령 이론법 적용을 통한 전산유체역학 환기 예측 모델 개발 (Development of CFD model for Predicting Ventilation Rate based on Age of Air Theory using Thermal Distribution Data in Pig House)

    • 김락우;이인복;하태환;여욱현;이상연;이민형;박관용;김준규
      • 한국농공학회논문집
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      • 제59권6호
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      • pp.61-71
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      • 2017
    • The tracer gas method has an advantage that can estimate total and local ventilation rate by tracing air flow. However, the field measurement using tracer gas has disadvantages such as danger, inefficiency, and high cost. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate ventilation rate in pig house by using the thermal distribution data rather than tracer gas. Especially, LMA (Local Mean Age), which is an index based on the age of air theory, was used to evaluate the ventilation rate in pig house. Firstly, the field experiment was conducted to measure micro-climate inside pig house, such as the air temperature, $CO_2$ concentration and wind velocity. And then, LMA was calculated based on the decay of $CO_2$ concentration and air temperature, respectively. This study compared between LMA determined by $CO_2$ concentration and air temperature; the average error and root mean square error were 3.76 s and 5.34 s. From these results, it was determined that thermal distribution data could be used for estimation of LMA. Finally, CFD (Computational fluid dynamic) model was validated using LMA and wind velocity. The mesh size was designed to be 0.1 m based on the grid independence test, and the Standard $k-{\omega}$ model was eventually chosen as the proper turbulence model. The developed CFD model was highly appropriate for evaluating the ventilation rate in pig house.

    현행 환경영향평가 제도의 문제점과 개선방안 - 실무자적 관점에서 검토 - (A Study on the Issues and Improvement of the Existing Environmental Impact Assessment System - Evaluation in an operator Viewpoint -)

    • 이승원;김정권;서정국
      • 한국환경과학회지
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      • 제27권5호
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      • pp.281-289
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      • 2018
    • The Korean environmental impact assessment(EIA) system, and explored ways to improve it as a more efficient and viable institution relevant to the demand of our time and conditions in study. The first problem this study identified is found in the fact that the party to write up the assessment report is itself the business operator or the one who is planning to work out the business plan. This structure translates into placing an order with an agent for EIA report. The reporting job may br subcontracted to the agent at a cost far below the rate specified in the 'Standard for Estimate of Agency Fee for Environmental Impact Assessment.' This practice also causes the vicious circle of producing a report that is written to justify the project or business in question or it leads to rough-and ready and poor documentation to minimize the time required. Second, in order to achieve the goal of the plan or business, which is the target of EIA, the local residents tend to ve regarded as an obstacle. This means elimination of the local people from participating in the EIA or their opinion being frequently ignored. This is the seed of distrust and hostility that sometimes provoke disagreements or fierce conflicts. The first proposal to improve these problem is to improve the factors that cause poor documentation of the assessment report as well as improve the understanding of the EIA system. This study proposes the following measures for improvement. The agency cost for EIA should be paid by the business operator or a third party that can ensure faithful implementation of the payment. A system should be established to verify transparent estimation of the agency cost. In order to enhance the professional quality of EIA agents, there should be implementation of qualification test for industrial engineer of related engineers in addition to the current EIA Qualification Test. The second proposal for improvement is to improve the citizen participation process by instituting a legal framework to make clear the purpose of the briefing session for local residents, which is held as a procedure of EIA, and to ensure more positive publicity during the stage of listening to the opinion of the local community. For a smooth and rational communication process, a moderator and a communicator of opinion, as is the case in a public hearing, could be instituted to clearly get the purpose of the briefing session across to the residents and to help to carry out the explanation and Q & A sessions according to the categories of the opinion of the residents. At present, the notification of the public inspection of the draft of the assessment report and briefing session for the residents is made on the newspaper and internet network. But some people have difficulty with access to this method of announcement. A higher participation rate could be secured if a legal provision is added to specify putting up placards in specific places such as the entrance to the place for the briefing session for residents or the building of administrative agencies of the area concerned.

    비금속광물 제품제조업에서 발생하는 분진 농도와 분진 노출기준 적용에 따른 문제점 고찰 (The concentrations of airborne dust in non-metallic products factories and problems associated with the application of the occupational exposure limits)

    • 김현욱;피영규;원정일;고원경;노영만;신창섭
      • 한국산업보건학회지
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      • 제10권1호
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      • pp.104-114
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      • 2000
    • This study was carried out to estimate current status of dust concentrations in the factories producing non-metallic products in Korea. Data were gathered from the environmental monitoring reports by 40 workplace environmental monitoring institutes and the questionnaire designed for the study by the authors. A total of 1838 dust samples from 368 plants were obtained from the reports and were analyzed with no data modifications. But data on asbestos, rock wool, and welding fumes were excluded in this evaluation. The factories were classified into eight groups according to the standard industrial classification scheme in Korea. The results of this study were as follows; 1. The factories included were glass, non-refractory ceramic, refractory ceramic ware, structural non-refractory clay and ceramic, cement and lime, articles of concretes, and stone. Mean(geometric mean) concentrations of total dust samples ranged from $1.75(0.84)mg/m^3$ to $5.87(2.84)mg/m^3$. Statistically significantly higher dust concentrations were found in the cement and lime industries compared with other industries. 2. The non-compliance rates were 15.2% in glass and 20.6% in other non-metallic mineral products industries. Although all institutions surveyed utilized the identical sampling and classification scheme for dusts as specified in the current occupational exposure limits, wide discrepancies were found in collecting samples and classifying dusts. Further problems were discovered in classifying dusts. A dust sample collected could be classified into any of the three groups regardless of silica content. The results of this study showed that dust concentrations in the non-metallic products industries varied widely. Also discovered was classification errors of dust types among workplace monitoring institutes. These errors could adversely affect the results of exposure assessments and the true nature of dust hazards. Further, no institutions performed respirable dust sampling and analysis of crystalline silica. In order to correct these malpractices, current standards of occupational exposure limits should be revised and tight supervision by the Ministry of Labour be suggested.

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    기능적 뇌척주요법을 병행한 한방치료가 턱관절 장애가 있는 교통사고 환자에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Korean Medical Treatments with Functional Cerebrospinal Therapy on Patients from Traffic Accidents with Temporomandibular Joint Disorder)

    • 서연주;서종철;김신영;윤현민;장선희;송춘호;이영준;조성우;강석환;김철홍
      • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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      • 제33권4호
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      • pp.149-163
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      • 2016
    • Objectives : The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of Functional Cerebrospinal Therapy(FCST) on patients from traffic accidents with Temporomandibular Joint Disorder. Methods : We reviewed the medical records of 33 patients who were treated for injuries stemming from traffic accidents at the Dong-Eui University Korean Medicine Hospital from December 29th, 2015 to August 29th, 2016. The patients were divided into 2 groups: Group A(n = 15) and Group B(n = 18). In Group A, patients received Korean medical treatments with FCST using an Accurate Balancing Appliance(ABA) - a standard intra-oral appliance. In Group B, patients received Korean medical treatments without FCST. To estimate the efficacy of the treatments in decreasing pain, we analyzed the Visual Analogue Scale(VAS), Neck Disability Index(NDI) and Oswestry Disability Index(ODI). Results : In Group A, VAS of headache(VAS H), VAS of neck & nuchal pain(VAS N), VAS of shoulder pain(VAS S), and VAS of low back pain(VAS L) were significantly improved during each period. In Group B, VAS H was significantly improved during each period, except the period from the first visit to two weeks later. VAS N, S, L were significantly improved during each period, except the period from the first visit to one week later. The total VAS improvement during each period in Group A was significantly higher than Group B. In both groups, NDI and ODI were improved significantly during each period. The improvement of NDI and ODI during each period in Group A was significantly higher than Group B. Conclusion : According to the results, FCST using ABA may be an effective treatment for patients from traffic accidents.