• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.198-205
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• 2015

기후변화에 의한 수생태계의 영향은 수생생물의 생리작용의 변화에서부터 종분포에 이르기까지 광범위할 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 금강유역의 어류 종분포를 예측하기 위하여 비출현 정보를 요구하지 않고도 좋은 예측력을 가지고 있는 MaxEnt 모형을 활용하였다. 금강유역 134개 지점의 2007년부터 2009년까지 어류 출현 자료 (고유종 17종 포함 총 47종)와 9개의 환경인자 (월별 최저기온, 최고기온, 평균기온, 강수량, 최저수온, 최고수온, 평균수온, 고도, 경사)를 사용하여, RCP 8.5 기후변화 시나리오에 따라 2050년과 2100년의 어류 종분포를 예측하였다. MaxEnt 모형은 평균 0.798의 적절한 모형적합도를 보여 주었으며, 종분포 예측에 기여도가 높은 환경인자는 고도, 강수량, 최저수온 순이었다. 기후변화가 진행됨에 따라 얼룩동사리와 줄납자루와 같은 고유종의 출현확률은 감소한 반면, 배스와 블루길과 같은 외래종의 출현확률은 증가하였다. 특히 2100년에는 5종 (줄몰개, 미꾸라지, 강준치, 줄납자루, 칼납자루)의 어류가 금강유역에서 더 이상 서식하지 못하는 것으로 예측되었다. 그리고 기후변화에 따라 종풍부도가 높은 지역이 금강유역 내에서 북상하는 것으로 예측되었다. 이러한 결과는 기후변화로 인한 수온 상승이 금강유역 수생태계의 교란을 심화시킬 수 있다는 것을 의미한다.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.174-183
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• 2022

The study aims to examine population indices of mature trees in Jebel Elgarrie forest, Blue Nile State, Sudan. We used remote sensing techniques to stratify the forest into vegetation classes depending on tree density. We distributed 97 circular sample plots (0.1 ha) proportionally to the area of the vegetation classes. In each sample plot we identified, counted and recorded all mature trees (DBH ≥10 cm). We calculated frequency, density, abundance, richness, evenness and diversity for each species and we drew abundance rank curve of mature trees. We used One-Way ANOVA to test for differences (α=0.05) in mean density (No./ha) of mature trees between vegetation classes. Results revealed that the forest was conveniently sub-divided into high density (C1), medium density (C2), low density (C3) and bare farm land (C4) classes. We identified fifteen tree species that belong to 10 families and 14 genera. Combretaceae and Fabaceae were the common families while Anogeissus leiocarpa was the most frequently occurring species. While species diversity varied between vegetation classes, diversity of the forest as a whole is low. While mean density of mature trees in C1, C2, C3 and C4 it was 100, 74, 10, and 0, respectively, it was 54 for the whole forest indicating low stocking, Following One-Way ANOVA, multiple comparisons revealed significant differences in mean density of mature trees between C1 & C3 and C2 & C3. The study provided empirical results on population indices of mature tree species, which would be of importance for successful management and conservation of the forest.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.23-29
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• 2019

While research findings suggest that the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is the leading cause of economic loss in Korean poultry industry with an estimated cumulative impact of $909 million since 2003, identifying the environmental and anthropogenic risk factors involved remains a challenge. The objective of this study was to identify areas at high risk for potential HPAI outbreaks according to the likelihood of HPAI virus detection in wild birds. This study integrates spatial information regarding HPAI surveillance with relevant demographic and environmental factors collected between 2003 and 2018. The Maximum Entropy (Maxent) species distribution modeling with presence-only data was used to model the spatial risk of HPAI virus. We used historical data on HPAI occurrence in wild birds during the period 2003-2018, collected by the National Quarantine Inspection Agency of Korea. The database contains a total of 1,065 HPAI cases (farms) tied to 168 unique locations for wild birds. Among the environmental variables, the most effective predictors of the potential distribution of HPAI in wild birds were (in order of importance) altitude, number of HPAI outbreaks at farm-level, daily amount of manure processed and number of wild birds migrated into Korea. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the 10 Maxent replicate runs of the model with twelve variables was 0.855 with a standard deviation of 0.012 which indicates that the model performance was excellent. Results revealed that geographic area at risk of HPAI is heterogeneously distributed throughout the country with higher likelihood in the west and coastal areas. The results may help biosecurity authority to design risk-based surveillance and implementation of control interventions optimized for the areas at highest risk of HPAI outbreak potentials.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.152-162
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• 2024

Background: Plant species of the alpine treeline ecotone are highly sensitive to climate change and may adjust their population dynamics, and functional traits in response to changing climate. This study examined regeneration patterns and leaf traits variations in an important treeline ecotone element Rhododendron campanulatum along the elevation gradient in western Nepal to assess its potential adaptive responses to climate change. The distribution range of R. campanulatum (3,400-3,800 m above sea level [a.s.l.]) was divided into five horizontal bands, each with a 100 m elevational range. Eight plots (10 m × 10 m) were sampled in each band, resulting into a total of 40 plots. In each plot, all R. campanulatum individuals and co-occurring tree species were counted. From each elevation, R. campanulatum leaf samples were collected to determine leaf dimensions, leaf density, specific leaf area (SLA), and stomatal density (SD). Results: The density-diameter curve indicated that R. campanulatum was regenerating well, with enhanced regeneration at higher elevation (3,800 m a.s.l.) than at lower. Tree canopy cover appeared to be the major determinant of R. campanulatum regeneration, as indicated by a higher number of seedlings in treeless stands. With increasing elevation, the leaf length, width, SLA, and stomata length decreased but leaf thickness and SD increased. Conclusions: Overall, a higher regeneration and lower SLA with the high SD in the leaves at the upper limit of the species distribution suggested that R. campanulatum is well adapted at its upper distribution range with the possibility of upslope range shift as temperature increases.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.223-236
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• 2021

본 연구는 온대 낙엽활엽수림의 하층식생 변화를 구명하여 산림생태계의 체계적 보전과 효율적 관리를 위한 기초자료를 제공하기 위하여 수행하였다. 2003년 경기도 포천 광릉 숲에 1ha 크기의 영구조사구를 설치하였으며, 영구조사구는 10×10m 크기의 부조사구 100개로 구성되었다. 영구조사구의 임분동태 및 하층식생은 2003년부터 2018년까지 5년 간격으로 조사되었다. 조사구에 출현하는 관속식물은 56과 128속 176종 18변종 4품종 1아종으로 총 199분류군 이었다. 관목층과 초본층의 종수는 시간이 경과함에 따라 모두 감소하는 경향을 보였다. MRPP-test 분석 결과 관목층의 종조성은 2008년-2013년을 제외한 모든 연도에서 유의한 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 초본층의 경우 모든 연도에서 유의한 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 평균 중요치에서 관목층은 참회나무(18.23%), 당단풍나무(16.48%), 작살나무(13.85%)가 우점하는 것으로 분석되었으며, 초본층에서는 단풍취(23.41%), 애기나리(9.45%), 주름조개풀(5.62%)이 우점하는 것으로 나타났다. 관목층은 상층 임분의 흉고단면적과 임분밀도가 높을수록 청미래덩굴, 청괴불나무, 고광나무의 풍부도가 높았으며, 흉고단면적과 임분밀도가 낮을수록 당단풍나무, 물참대, 산뽕나무, 산딸나무의 풍부도가 높았다. 시간이 경과할수록 흉고단면적과 임분밀도는 초본층에 미치는 영향이 적은 반면, 관목층의 참회나무와 당단풍나무의 피도는 초본층종 구성에 미치는 영향이 큰 것으로 분석되었다. 결론적으로 광릉 장기생태조사지의 하층은 종수가 지속적으로 감소하고 있으며, 이 과정은 상층 임분의 종다양성과 흉고단면적, 임분밀도가 하층식생 종조성에 영향을 주는 것으로 판단되었다.

• 오토저널
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.72-84
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• 1988

Engine performance is one of the main objectives specified at the beginning of a new engine design project. The cycle simulation for SI engine is based on the zero-dimensional gas exchange model and a heat release expression by Viebe. This program also requires minimum input data and takes only a short time to run. Heat transfer from cylinder transfer formula. The flow coefficient (effective area) is calculated from valve lift using the standard flow coefficient curve and engine friction is calculated from the Millington and Hartles' engine friction formula. The chemical species considered in burned gas are 6 species CO, CO, H$_{2}$, H$_{2}$O, $O_{2}$, N$_{2}$ and the cylinder pressure, homogeneous cylinder temperature, gas composition and burned fraction are calculated at each crank angle through the cycle. To check the validity and accuracy, experimental study was done with 3 engines for measuring cylinder pressure, indicated mean effective pressure, brake mean effective pressure and air flow rate, etc. Despite its simple assumptions, cycle simulation showes excellent breathing and performance correlation when compared with data of tested engines, and have been proved useful in engine design.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.243-248
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• 2018

본 연구는 경주 단석산 상부 남사면의 상수리나무 우점 식분의 군집구조 변화를 파악하기 위하여 고정 방형구 20개를 설치하고 1999년부터 2018년까지 5회의 매목조사를 실시하였다. 밀도는 1999년에 0.33에서 2012년에 0.20으로 감소하였으나 2018년에는 0.24로 다소 증가하였다. 전체 수목의 흉고직경계분포를 보면, 1999년에는 역J자 유사한 모양의 분포를 나타내었으나 그 후 분포가 변화되어 2018년에는 어린 개체들에서는 역J자 모양이, 성숙한 개체들에서는 종 모양이 나타나 전체적으로는 두 곡선이 연결된 형태의 분포를 나타내었다. 흉고직경 13cm이하에서는 수목들의 경쟁이 심하였으나 그 이상에서는 완화되는 것으로 나타났다. 최우점종인 상수리나무의 흉고직경계 분포는 종 모양의 분포를 보였고, 시간이 지남에 따라 흉고직경이 큰 쪽으로 분포가 이동하지만 개체수는 줄어들었고, 신갈나무는 낮은 종 모양의 분포가 점점 높아지는 변화를 보였다. 흉고직경계분포의 변화로 볼 때, 단석산의 상수리나무 식분은 이차천이의 초기 단계에서 중간 단계로 삼림천이가 진행 중인 것으로 판단이 되며, 현재 본 식분의 최우점종은 상수리나무이고 준우점종은 신갈나무이지만, 향후 신갈나무가 최우점종인 식분으로의 천이가 진행될 것으로 예상된다.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제36권5호
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• pp.64-72
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• 2008

본 연구는 환경부 보호종으로 지정된 삵을 대상으로 다양한 단위면적의 격자 및 유역을 평가단위로 설정하여 충청도 지역의 서식지 적합성 평가를 실시하기 위해 수행되었다. 이미 선진국에서는 GAP(Gap Analysis Program), 서식지 평가절차 및 서식지 적합성지수의 활용 등을 통해 종의 보전을 위한 서식지 평가 및 관리정책을 수립하고 있는 상황이며, 국내에서도 서식지 보전을 위한 다양한 평가방법들이 제안되고 있다. 그러나 국내 연구들은 아직 평가단위에 대한 고찰이 부족하고 분석 결과를 광범위하게 적용하는데도 문제가 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 표고, 경사, 산림, 토지피복, 도로, 하천 등의 환경변수를 로지스틱 회귀모형을 활용하여 유역단위와 격자단위별로 서식지 적합성 평가를 실시하였다. 또한, 이 결과를 비교하여 광역적인 지역단위에 적합한 서식지 적합성 평가단위를 확인하였다. 평가 결과, 종의 발견지점 자체에 대한 환경인자 평가보다 주변의 일정 면적을 함께 고려하여 서식지를 평가하는 것이 적합하며, 그 단위면적은 격자단위 평가의 경우 반경 100m 유역단위의 경우 $1km^2$가 삵의 서식지 적합성을 평가하는데 가장 효과적임을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 기존의 서식지 보전을 위한 다양한 보전지역 선정 방법을 보완할 수 있는 방법론을 제안하고 있으며, 이 결과는 전국적으로 보전가치가 높은 종의 보전을 위한 관리정책에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.196-206
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• 2020

Background: The Himalayan forests are of great importance to sustain the nature and community resource demands. These forests are facing pressures both from anthropogenic activities and ongoing global climatic changes. Poor natural regeneration has been considered a major problem in mountainous forests. To understand the population structure and regeneration status of Larix (Larix griffithiana and Larix himalaica), we conducted systematic vegetation surveys in three high-altitude valleys namely Ghunsa (Kanchenjunga Conservation Area, KCA), Langtang (Langtang National Park, LNP), and Tsum (Manaslu Conservation Area, MCA) in Nepal Himalaya. The average values of diameter at breast height (DBH), height, and sapling height were compared for three sites and two species using Kruskal-Wallis test. Population structure was assessed in terms of proportion of seedlings, saplings, and trees. Regeneration was analyzed using graphical representation of frequencies of seedlings, saplings, and trees in histograms. Results: The results showed that the population structure of Larix in terms of the proportion of seedling, sapling, and tree varied greatly in the three study areas. KCA had the highest record of seedling, sapling, and tree compared to other two sites. Seedlings were the least among three forms and many plots were without seedlings. We found no seedling in MCA study plots. The plot level average DBH variation among sites was significant (Kruskal-Wallis χ² = 7.813, df = 2, p = 0.02) as was between species (Kruskal-Wallis χ² = 5.9829, df = 1, p = 0.014). Similarly, the variation in average tree height was significant (Kruskal-Wallis χ² = 134.23, df = 2, p < 0.001) among sites as well as between species (Kruskal-Wallis χ² = 128.01, df = 1, p < 0.001). All the sites showed reverse J-shaped curve but more pronounced for KCA and MCA. In comparing the two species, Larix griffithiana has clear reverse J-shaped diameter distribution but not Larix himalaica. Conclusion: The varied responses of Larix manifested through regeneration status from spatially distinct areas show that regeneration limitations might be more pronounced in the future. In all the three studied valleys, regeneration of Larix is found to be problematic and specifically for Larix griffithiana in MCA and Larix himalaica in LNP. To address the issues of disturbances, especially serious in LNP, management interventions are recommended to sustain the unique Himalayan endemic conifer.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.325-334
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• 2016

We projected the distribution of Hedera rhombea, an evergreen broad-leaved climbing plant, under current climate conditions and predicted its future distributions under global warming. Inaddition, weexplained model uncertainty by employing 9 single Species Distribution model (SDM)s to model the distribution of Hedera rhombea. 9 single SDMs were constructed with 736 presence/absence data and 3 temperature and 3 precipitation data. Uncertainty of each SDM was assessed with TSS (Ture Skill Statistics) and AUC (the Area under the curve) value of ROC (receiver operating characteristic) analyses. To reduce model uncertainty, we combined 9 single SDMs weighted by TSS and resulted in an ensemble forecast, a TSS weighted ensemble. We predicted future distributions of Hedera rhombea under future climate conditions for the period of 2050 (2040~2060), which were estimated with HadGEM2-AO. RF (Random Forest), GBM (Generalized Boosted Model) and TSS weighted ensemble model showed higher prediction accuracies (AUC > 0.95, TSS > 0.80) than other SDMs. Based on the projections of TSS weighted ensemble, potential habitats under current climate conditions showed a discrepancy with actual habitats, especially in the northern distribution limit. The observed northern boundary of Hedera rhombea is Ulsan in the eastern Korean Peninsula, but the projected limit was eastern coast of Gangwon province. Geomorphological conditions and the dispersal limitations mediated by birds, the lack of bird habitats at eastern coast of Gangwon Province, account for such discrepancy. In general, potential habitats of Hedera rhombea expanded under future climate conditions, but the extent of expansions depend on RCP scenarios. Potential Habitat of Hedera rhombea expanded into Jeolla-inland area under RCP 4.5, and into Chungnam and Wonsan under RCP 8.5. Our results would be fundamental information for understanding the potential effects of climate change on the distribution of Hedera rhombea.