• Title/Summary/Keyword: space-use prediction

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Real Protein Prediction in an Off-Lattice BLN Model via Annealing Contour Monte Carlo

  • Cheon, Soo-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.627-634
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the general contour Monte Carlo has been proposed by Liang (2004) as a space annealing version(ACMC) for optimization problems. The algorithm can be applied successfully to determine the ground configurations for the prediction of protein folding. In this approach, we use the distances between the consecutive $C_{\alpha}$ atoms along the peptide chain and the mapping sequences between the 20-letter amino acids and a coarse-grained three-letter code. The algorithm was tested on the real proteins. The comparison showed that the algorithm made a significant improvement over the simulated annealing(SA) and the Metropolis Monte Carlo method in determining the ground configurations.

Prediction of free magnetic energy stored in a solar active region via a power-law relation between free magnetic energy and emerged magnetic flux

  • Magara, Tetsuya
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.69.2-69.2
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    • 2014
  • To estimate free magnetic energy stored in an active region is a key to the quantitative prediction of activity observed on the Sun. This energy is defined as an excess over the potential energy that is the lowest energy taken by a magnetic structure formed in the solar atmosphere including the solar corona. It is, however still difficult to derive the configuration of a coronal magnetic field only by observations, so we have to use some observable quantity to estimate free magnetic energy. Recently, by performing a coordinated series of three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic simulations of an emerging flux tube that transfers intense magnetic flux to the solar atmosphere we have found an universal power-law relation between free magnetic energy and emerged magnetic flux, the latter of which is a possibly observed quantity. We further investigate what causes this relation through a comparison with a model of linear force-free field.

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A Study on Development and Verification of Prediction Formula for Realization of Standard Process for Hull Block Coating Method (선체 블록 도장방법 표준프로세스 구현을 위한 예측식 개발 및 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyun;Lee, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Ho-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.637-645
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    • 2008
  • It is very hard to control the quality of coating work in shipbuilding process, because it is highly affected by several parameters such as space between object and nozzle tip, spray velocity, pressure, tip size, etc.. Even so a coating work in shipbuilding is done by workers' experience and skill as yet. It causes not only an excessive use of paints but also a decrease of productivity. In order to solve this problem, we developed a formula that predicts the film thickness and determined the proper coating pattern. Also we had done a series of experiments to verify the results of this study.

Mutual Verification of an Analytic Model of a Complex System and Space Syntax Using Network Analyses (네트워크 분석방식 선택에 따른 복잡계 모형과 공간구문론의 상호검증)

  • Kim, Suk-Tae;Yoon, So-hee
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2017
  • A social phenomenon that occurs in a physical space is said to be a complex system. However, space syntax, which is commonly employed by researchers to identify such social phenomena, has various limitations in interpreting their complexity. On the other hand, agent-based modeling considers a variety of factors including the personality of the agent, objective-oriented work flows, estimation according to time flows and better prediction of space use through diverse parameters depending the situation, as well as the characteristics of the space. The agent-based method thus has the potentials to be developed as an alternative to space syntax techniques. In particular, discrete event driven simulation(DEVS), which is part of the agent-based modeling method, embraces the concept of networks just like space syntax, which allows a possible theoretical linkage in the future. This study suggests a procedural model of agent-based DEVS reflecting two different connection methods, i.e. connections between adjacent areas and those of the entire space, and attempts to identify the relationship between the local and regional indices of space syntax. A number of spaces were selected as examples-one for a preliminary experiment and eight modified for the main experiment-and space syntax and DEVS were applied to each of them. The comparative analysis of the results led to the conclusions as follows: 1) Adjacent connections were closely related to local indices, while the whole-space approach to regional indices. Local integration shows both characteristics. 2) Observation of the time flow model indicated a faster convergence with the range of 1 to 3-fold of the total time of one lap, with the error of less than 10%. 3) The heat map analysis showed more obvious characteristics of using the space for the entire space rather than adjacent connections. 4) Space syntax shows higher eligibility than ABM.

A Study on the Rainfall-Runoff Analysis of Using Satellite Image (위성영상정보를 이용한 강우유출 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Young-Kee;Lee, Jeung-Seok;Park, Jeong-Gyu
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2010
  • Urban watershed can be found in the visible changes in technology, the most realistic satellite images is to use the data. Satellite image data on the indicators for progress on the nature of the change of land use is consistent and repetitive information, regular observation makes possible the detailed analysis of space-time. These remote sensing techniques and the type of course and, by using the time series history, the past, the dynamic model and the randomized prediction methodology for the conversion process if the city and river basin cooperation of the space changes effectively will be able to extrapolate. For each of the main changes in river flow, depending on the area of urbanization as determined according to reproduce the duration of the relationship between the urbanization of the area and runoff can be represented as a linear polynomial expression was, if a linear expression in the two fast slew rate of 0.858 to 0.861 showed up, and fast slew rate of 0.934 to 0.974 for the polynomial are reported. Change of land use changes in the watershed of the flow is one of the most affecting elements. Therefore, changes in land use of the correct classification of rivers is a more accurate calculation of the amount of the floodgate. In particular, using the Landsat images through the image of the land use category, land use past data and calculated using the Markov Chain model and predict the future land use plan in the water control project will be used for large likely.

EPET-WL: Enhanced Prediction and Elapsed Time-based Wear Leveling Technique for NAND Flash Memory in Portable Devices

  • Kim, Sung Ho;Kwak, Jong Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2016
  • Magnetic disks have been used for decades in auxiliary storage devices of computer systems. In recent years, the use of NAND flash memory, which is called SSD, is increased as auxiliary storage devices. However, NAND flash memory, unlike traditional magnetic disks, necessarily performs the erase operation before the write operation in order to overwrite data and this leads to degrade the system lifetime and performance of overall NAND flash memory system. Moreover, NAND flash memory has the lower endurance, compared to traditional magnetic disks. To overcome this problem, this paper proposes EPET (Enhanced Prediction and Elapsed Time) wear leveling technique, which is especially efficient to portable devices. EPET wear leveling uses the advantage of PET (Prediction of Elapsed Time) wear leveling and solves long-term system failure time problem. Moreover, EPET wear leveling further improves space efficiency. In our experiments, EPET wear leveling prolonged the first bad time up to 328.9% and prolonged the system lifetime up to 305.9%, compared to other techniques.

A Study on Occupancy Estimation Method of a Private Room Using IoT Sensor Data Based Decision Tree Algorithm (IoT 센서 데이터를 이용한 단위실의 재실추정을 위한 Decision Tree 알고리즘 성능분석)

  • Kim, Seok-Ho;Seo, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2017
  • Accurate prediction of stochastic behavior of occupants is a well known problem for improving prediction performance of building energy use. Many researchers have been tried various sensors that have information on the status of occupant such as $CO_2$ sensor, infrared motion detector, RFID etc. to predict occupants, while others have been developed some algorithm to find occupancy probability with those sensors or some indirect monitoring data such as energy consumption in spaces. In this research, various sensor data and energy consumption data are utilized for decision tree algorithms (C4.5 & CART) for estimation of sub-hourly occupancy status. Although the experiment is limited by space (private room) and period (cooling season), the prediction result shows good agreement of above 95% accuracy when energy consumption data are used instead of measured $CO_2$ value. This result indicates potential of IoT data for awareness of indoor environmental status.

Design of Multiple Model Fuzzy Predictors using Data Preprocessing and its Application (데이터 전처리를 이용한 다중 모델 퍼지 예측기의 설계 및 응용)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2009
  • It is difficult to predict non-stationary or chaotic time series which includes the drift and/or the non-linearity as well as uncertainty. To solve it, we propose an effective prediction method which adopts data preprocessing and multiple model TS fuzzy predictors combined with model selection mechanism. In data preprocessing procedure, the candidates of the optimal difference interval are determined based on the correlation analysis, and corresponding difference data sets are generated in order to use them as predictor input instead of the original ones because the difference data can stabilize the statistical characteristics of those time series and better reveals their implicit properties. Then, TS fuzzy predictors are constructed for multiple model bank, where k-means clustering algorithm is used for fuzzy partition of input space, and the least squares method is applied to parameter identification of fuzzy rules. Among the predictors in the model bank, the one which best minimizes the performance index is selected, and it is used for prediction thereafter. Finally, the error compensation procedure based on correlation analysis is added to improve the prediction accuracy. Some computer simulations are performed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

THE PREDICTION OF SOLAR ACTIVITY FOR SOLAR MAXIMUM (태양활동극대기를 대비한 태양활동예보)

  • LEE JINNY;JANG SE JIN;KIM YEON HAN;KIM KAP-SUNG
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 1999
  • We have investigated the solar activity variation with period shorter than 1000 days, through Fourier transformation of solar cycle 21 and 22 data. And real time predictions of the flare maximum intensity have been made by multilinear regression method to allow the use of multivariate vectors of sunspot groups or active region characteristics. In addition, we have examined the evolution of magnetic field and current density in active regions at times before and after flare occurrence, to check short term variability of solar activity. According to our results of calculation, solar activity changes with periods of 27.1, 28.0, 52.1, 156.3, 333.3 days for solar cycle 21 and of 26.5, 27.1, 28.9, 54.1, 154, 176.7, 384.6 days for solar cycle 22. Periodic components of about 27, 28, 53, 155 days are found simultaneously at all of two solar cycles. Finally, from our intensive analysis of solar activity data for three different terms of $1977\~1982,\; 1975\~1998,\;and\;1978\~1982$, we find out that our predictions coincide with observations at hit rate of $76\%,\;63\%$, 59 respectively.

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A Study of Traffic Accident Analysis Model on Highway in Accordance with the Accident Rate of Trucks (화물차사고 비율에 따른 고속도로 교통사고 분석모형에 대한 연구)

  • Yang, Sung-Ryong;Yoon, Byoung-jo;Ko, Eun-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.570-576
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    • 2017
  • Trucks take up more portions than cars on highways. Due to this, road use relatively diminish and it serves locally as a threatening factor to nearby drivers. Baggage car accident has distinct characteristics so that it needs the application of different analysis opposed to ordinary accidents. Accident prediction model, one of accident analyses, is used to predict the numbers of accident in certain parts, establish traffic plans as well as accident prevention methods, and diagnose the danger of roads. Thus, this study aims to apply the accident rate of baggage car on highways and calculate the correction factor to be put in the accident prediction models. Accident data based on highway was collected and traffic amounts and accident documents between 2014 and 2016 were utilized. The author developed an accident prediction model based on numbers of annual accidents and set mean annual and daily traffic amounts. This study intends to identify the practical accident prediction model on highway and present an appropriate solution by comparing the prediction model in accords with the accident rate between baggage cars.