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The Development of Econometric Model for Air Transportation Demand Based on Stationarity in Time-series (시계열 자료의 안정성을 고려한 항공수요 계량경제모형 개발)

  • PARK, Jeasung;KIM, Byung Jong;KIM, Wonkyu;JANG, Eunhyuk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2016
  • Air transportation demand is consistently increasing in Korea due to economic growth and low cost carriers. For this reason, airport expansion plans are being discussed in Korea. Therefore, it is essential to forecast reliable air transportation demand with adequate methods. However, most of the air transportation demand models in Korea has been developed by simple regression analysis with several dummy variables. Simple regression analysis without considering stationarity of time-series data can bring spurious outputs when a direct causal relationship between explanatory variables and dependent variable does not exist. In this paper, econometric model were developed for air transportation demand based on stationarity in time-series data. Unit root test and co-integration test are used for testing hypothesis of stationarity.

Association of Bone Lead with Neurobehavioral Test Scores in Lead Workers (연작업자들에서 골중 연량이 신경행동학적 검사성적에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sung-Soo;Kim, Nam-Soo;Kim, Hwa-Sung;Ahn, Kyu-Dong;Lee, Byung-Kook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2005
  • To evaluate the effect of lead biomarkers including bone lead on neurobehavioral test in lead workers, 652 lead workers without any occupational exposure to organic solvent, mercury and arsenic were agreed to participate this study. For the control subjects 102 non-occupationally lead exposed blue collar workers in general manufacturing industries were also joined this study. All study subjects joined this study with written informed consent. The study variables of lead exposure were blood and patella lead. For the general characteristics of study subjects, standardized questionnaire regarding age, sex, past disease history, job duration, body mass index (BMI), drinking and smoking habit were provided. For the past history of neurotoxicity related diseases, all study subjects were interviewed by qualified occupational health physician. The results obtained were as follows: 1. Compared with controls without occupational lead exposure, lead exposed subjects had worse performance on all tests(p<0.05). 2. After adjustment for covariates (age, sex, job duration, education level, BMI, smoking and drinking status), the signs of the regression coefficients for blood lead were negative for 13 of the 14 tests. Blood lead was a significant predictor of poorer scores on 8 tests (simple reaction time(ms & root MSD), Trail-Making Test B, Digit Symbol Substitution, Purdue Pegboard assembly, Digit Span Test, Benton Visual Retention, and Purdue pegboard both hand). 3. After adjustment for covariates (age, sex, job duration, education level, BMI, smoking and drinking status), the signs of the regression coefficients for patella lead were negative for 12 of the 14 tests. Patella lead was a significant predictor of poorer scores on 8 tests (simple reaction time(ms). Purdue Pegboard assembly, Digit Span Test, Benton Visual Retention. Pursuit Aiming rest (no. of correct & no. of incorrect), Purdue pegboard non-dominant hand and both hand). With above results, blood lead and patella lead were associated with poorer performance of neurobehavioral tests. In addition, patella lead was confirmed to be better predictor of manual dexterity test in neurobehavioral test battery in lead workers

Buffer Sizing Method of CCPM Technique Using Statistical Analysis (통계분석을 이용한 CCPM 기법에서의 버퍼 산정방법)

  • Liu, Jing-Chao;WhangBo, Taeg-Keun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2012
  • In CCPM Technique, as the buffer size calculation method, the Cut and Paste(C&P) method and the Root Square Error (RSE) method for all tasks carried out the same treatment, without considering the actual situation and characteristics of the task, the lack of reasonable judgment, is too simple and hasty. In this paper, taking into account the limitations of existing methods, a new method of buffer sizing method based on statistical analysis was introduced. It makes statistical analysis for the relationship between each worker and a variety of tasks, and use the information to predict the next task time. In order to verify the effectiveness of the new method, according to different task difficulty and the number of tasks set up the project. Use C&P, RSE method and new methods to predict the time of the project. Through Monte Carlo Simulation to simulate the project time, a comparison of three methods of performance. The results show that the new method can achieve the managers expect the probability of completion, and for those tasks can be completed ahead of schedule, the new method can save project time.

Control Performance Improvement Using Overshoot Detecting Logic and Feedforward Disturbance Observer (오버슈트 탐지 로직 및 피드포워드 외란관측기를 활용한 제어 성능 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Hanbit;Lim, Seunghan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.431-441
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we propose a new method using a feedforward disturbance observer that guarantees stability and robustness about the effects of external disturbance and model uncertainty. The method is consist of a disturbance observer, a feedforward controller, and an overshoot detecting logic. It has an advantage of reducing the excessive overshoot by external disturbance and model uncertainty. Also, it is easy to adjust the control gain due to a simple structure. In order to verify the effectiveness of a new method, simulation results are given for longitudinal model of F-16 aircraft. By reflecting a various of model uncertainties, the stability and the robustness are guaranteed. Finally, the stability and the robustness of the proposed method are verified using root locus plot and bode plot.

Screening Procedure of Tobacco Cultivars for Resistant to Bacterial Wilt Caused by Ralstonia solanacearum (담배세균성마름병[립고병(立枯病)]에 대한 담배품종의 저항성 검정법)

  • Jeon, Yong-Ho;Kang, Yue-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2008
  • Bacterial wilt caused by Ralstonia solanacearum has become a severe problem on tobacco in Korea. No effective single control measure is available at present time. One of the most potential way for controlling the bacterial wilt on tobacco is growing tobacco cultivars resistant to the bacterial wilt. In this study, optimal conditions for screening tobacco cultivars resistant to the bacterial wilt were examined to provide reproducible and efficient methods in growth chamber testing and field experiments for evaluating plant disease resistance. For this, already-known inoculation methods, inoculum densities, and incubation temperature, and plant growth stages at the time of inoculation were compared using tobacco cultivars resistant (Nicotiana tabacum cv, NC95), moderately resistant (N. tabacum cv. SPG70), and susceptible (N. tabacum BY4) to the bacterial disease. It was determined that root-dipping of tobacco seedlings at six true leaf stage into the bacterial suspension with inoculum level of $10^8$ colony-forming units (CFU)/ml for 20 min before transplanting was simple and most efficient in testing for resistance to the bacterial wilt of tobacco caused by R. solanacearum, for which disease incidences and severities were examined at 2 weeks of plant growth after inoculation at $20{\sim}25^{\circ}C$ in a growth chamber. These experimental conditions could discriminate one tobacco cultivar from the others by disease severity better than any other experimental conditions. In field testing, the optimum time for examining the disease occurrence was late June through early July. These results can be applied to establishing a technical manual for the screening of resistant tobacco cultivars against the bacterial wilt caused by R. solanacearum.

Histologic Study on the Effect of Two Types of Bovine Bone Powder in Extraction Socket of Beagle Dogs (성견 발치와에 매식한 2종의 Bovine Bone Powder가 치유에 미치는 영향에 관한 조직학적 연구)

  • Park, Tae-Seong;Lim, Sung-Bin;Chung, Chin-Hyung;Kim, Jong-Yeo
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.527-538
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    • 2000
  • Several extraction cases with advanced bone loss as a result of periodontal disease, root or labial bone fracture, extensive caries, and periapical lesions occur esthetic, functional problems and severe bone loss. Therefore, to treat these cases used several surgical methods and socket preservation among this therapies have been evaluated simple, effective and good prognosis in the implant placement. Socket preservation therapy have been used with barrier membranes or/and graft materials. Deproteinized bovine bone mineral have been evaluated ideal grafting materials. Recently, calcium-phosphate thin film coated bovine bone powders were developed in our country, but the study for these material wasn't reported. When two types of xenograft materials were implanted in extraction sockets of Beagle dogs, the effects of these were analyzed after 4 weeks and 8 weeks histological views. The results of this study were as follows. 1. In control groups, 4 weeks after implantation, the extraction sockets were filled with connective tissue which has dilated vessels and epithelial growth. And after 8 weeks, irregular connective bundles were observed. But new bone formation was not seen. 2. In Bio-Oss groups, epithelial growth was not seen and bone powder was covered with connective tissue fiber. New bone formation was found around the interproximal bone. There was no special change seen after 8 weeks, connective tissue fibers became more regular, and bone growth near bone powder was not made well. 3. In Ca-P BBP groups, epithelial cells didn't grow in the extraction sockets, there was a lot of new bone made around the bone powder after 8 weeks, new bone around bone powder was replaced with mature bone. It is thought that bone powder grafting into the extraction sockets is very useful for conservation of ridge, and Ca-P BBP is more effective in bone formation than Bio-Oss.

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Identification of Tricholoma matsutake in a Pine Root by ITS Region Amplification and RAPD Analysis with Different Mycorrhiza (ITS 영역 증폭에 의한 소나무 송이균 뿌리 감염 확인 및 RAPD에 의한 타 균근과의 비교)

  • Kim, Myungkil;Ryu, Sun-Hwa;Bak, Wonchull;Park, Hyun;Ka, Kang-Hyeon;Sohn, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.96-103
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    • 2006
  • A simple method for identifying of ectomycorrhizal fungi was presented, using the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) to amplify the ITS (Internal transcribed spacer) regions of the nuclear ribosormal repeat. The sequences analyzed 6 species, Pisolithus tinctorius, Chroogomphus rutilus, Leucogyrophana pinastri, Suillus granulatus, Lactarius laeticolorus, and Suillus bovinus at hongreung forest, and analysed 10 species, Craterellus lutescens, Thelephoroid mycorrhizal, Lactarius quieticolor, Tricholoma matsutake, Lactarius chrysorrheus, Sarcodon aspratus, Russula versicolor, Suillus luteus, Tricholoma terreum, and Amanita vaginata at hongcheon forest. Finally, the amplification by PCR with ITS1-ITS4 primers offers good results over classical identification for ectomycorrhizal fungi species.

Comparison of Estimation Methods for the Missing Rainfall data in a Urban Sub-drainage Area (도시하천 소배수구역의 결측 강우량 산정 방법 비교)

  • Kim, Chung-Soo;Kim, Hyoung-Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.701-705
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    • 2006
  • 강우자료는 수문 모델링 작업에서 가장 기초적인 수문학적 입력자료로 시간과 공간에 따른 변동성이 크므로 규명하기 복잡한 수문현상 중의 하나이다. 산악지역이 많은 우리나라의 지형학적 특성과 태풍, 장마 및 특히, 최근의 게릴라성 집중호우 등으로 인하여 이러한 변동성이 더욱 커지고 있는 실정이다. 장기간 실측된 수문기상 기초 자료가 부족한 우리나라의 실정상 홍수예보 및 수공구조물 설계를 위해 정확한 강우량 자료의 취득이 선행돼야 한다. 따라서 적절한 장소에 수문관측소 설치 및 관리를 통해 양호한 강우량 자료를 획득해야 하지만, 현장 여건상 등의 이유로 미계측 및 결측, 이상자료가 발생하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 미계측 혹은 결측지점의 우량을 추정할 수 있는 방법을 비교, 분석하여 적절한 보정과정을 수행할 필요가 있다. 그간의 연구에서는 미계측 지점 혹은 산악지역에서의 점 강우량 보정방법에 대한 연구가 진행되었지만, 본 연구에서는 '도시홍수재해관리기술연구사업단'에서 운영 중인 도시하천 유역 특히 소배수구역에서의 결측 자료에 대해 여러 추정 방법을 비교, 분석하여 적절한 방안을 찾고자 한다. 이를 위하여 중랑천 유역의 3개 소배수 구역(월계1 배수구역, 군자 배수구역, 어린이대공원 배수구역)에 설치된 3개 우량관측소와 건설교통부 관할 우량관측소 2개소의 우량자료를 사용하였다. 본 연구에서는 결측치 보간을 위하여 널리 이용되고 있는 산술평균법(Arithmetic Average method), 역거리법(Reciprocal Distance Squared method), 거리고도비율법(Ratio of Distance and Elevation method), 인근관측소와의 관계식 이용, 크리깅방법(Simple Kriging method)을 비교, 검토 적용하였다. 중랑천 유역의 소배수구역을 대상으로 연중 발생하는 큰 호우사상에 대해 임의의 강우관측소를 결측지점으로 가정하고 주변의 강우관측소로부터 각각의 방법을 이용해 가중치들을 산정하여 결측지점의 강우량 값을 보정하고자 하였다. 또한 각각의 방법을 이용하여 얻어진 결과에 대해 실측값과 보정값의 오차정도를 평균절대오차법(Mean Absolute Error)과 제곱평균제곱근오차법(Root Mean Squared Error)에 의해 산정하여 보정 방법간의 효율성을 검토하고자 하였다.

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Development of Artificial-Intelligent Power Quality Diagnosis Algorithm using DSP (DSP를 이용한 인공지능형 전력품질 진단기법 연구)

  • Chung, Gyo-Gbum;Kwack, Sun-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.116-124
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new Artificial-Intelligent(AI) Power Quality(PQ) diagnosis algorithm using Discrete Wavelet Transform(DWT), Fast Fourier Transform(FFT), Root-Mean-Square(RMS) value. The developed algorithm is able to detect and classify the PQ problems such as the transient, the voltage sag, the voltage swell, the voltage interruption and the total harmonics distortion. The 15.36[kHz] sampling frequency is used to measure the voltages in a power system. The measured signals are used for DWT, FFT, RMS calculation. For AI diagnosis of the PQ problems, a simple multi-layered Artificial Neural Network(ANN) with the back-propagation algorithm is adopted, programmed in C++ and tested in PSIM simulation studies. Finally, the algorithm, which is installed in MP PQ+256 with TI DSP320C6713, is proved to diagnose the PQ problems efficiently.

Development of an Efficient Mechanical Inoculation Technique to Screen Barley Genotypes for Resistance to Barley mild mosaic virus Disease and its Comparison to Natural Infection

  • Jonson, Gilda;Park, Jong-Chul;Noh, Tae-Hwan;Kim, Mi-Jung;Hyun, Jong-Nae;Kim, Jong-Gon
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.348-352
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    • 2006
  • Barley mild mosaic virus(BaMMV) is a soilborne Bymovirus vectored by root-infecting fungus, Polymyxa graminis. Mechanism of cultivar's resistance to BaMMV in field tests are difficult to assess since resistance could be either due to the virus or to P. graminis, or both. Whereas, available mechanical inoculation methods for BaMMV and other related viruses are labor intensive, give inconsistent results and generally result in low infection rates. Inoculation method using stick with gauze(SWG) was developed for BaMMV. The improved method proved to be simple, efficient, and reliable. The infected leaf tissues were preserved by drying in a frozen state under high vaccum(freeze dried barley infected leaves) to circumvent reduction of virus infectivity during storage. Five Korean barley cultivars were mechanically inoculated with BaMMV-infected sap by the improved method. Infection rates obtained were compared with natural infection. Cultivar Naehanssalbori showed resistance to BaMMV in the field trials but was found highly susceptible in the greenhouse tests by mechanical inoculation, indicating that the field resistance may be possibly due to resistance to P. graminis.