• Title/Summary/Keyword: significance probability

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A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Willingness to Pay Amount in Constructed Oceans and Fisheries Resources Market by Contingent Valuation Method (해양수산자원 가상시장의 지불의사금액 추정방법 비교)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2018
  • This study is to compare and evaluate the estimating method of WTP(willingness to pay) for the valuation of oceans and fisheries resources with non-market goods characteristics using contingent valuation method. In general, when estimating parameters of the WTP function, we should take into account the assumption of probability distribution, inclusion of covariates, method of inducement of payment, and the treatment of 0 payment intention and resistance responses. This study utilizes survey data that was used to estimate the value of fisheries resource protection zones, with a total of 1,200 samples. The main results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the final willness to pay amount is estimated at a statistical significance of less than 1 percent, and the distribution of the final willness to pay amount is from \6,926 of the double bounded dichotomous model to \10,721 of the spike model. Second, the willness to pay amount based on assumptions about the normal and logistic probability distributions are estimated to be \9,429 and \9,370 respectively, so there was no significant difference. Third, the willness to pay amount of the single bounded dichotomous model and the double bounded dichotomous model are estimated to be \8,951 and \6,926 respectively, making a relatively large difference. Fourth, the willness to pay amount of the model without covariates and the model with covariates are estimated to be \9,429 and \8,951, respectively, so the willness to pay amount is underestimated when the covariates are included. Fifth, the Spike model that considers zero payment intention and resistance response estimates \10,405 as the highest payment in this study. Finally, the CVM analysis guidelines proposed by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) are estimated to be \9,749 and \10,405 respectively, depending on including no covariates and with covariates. Compared to other models, the final willness to pay amount is not estimated underestimated. Therefore this study suggests the use of KDI's guidance under government public policy projects. In view of these results, the estimating model for willness to pay amount model will be selected by considering the sample size, the suitability of the model, the sign of the estimated coefficient, the statistical significance, the ratio of the zero payment intention and the payment rejection. And, for CVMs on government public policy projects, it is desirable to estimate by the method proposed by the KDI.

Examples of NCS-based Learning Assessment: For the College of Radiotechnology (NCS 기반 학습평가 사례: 전문대학 방사선과 학생들을 대상으로)

  • Park, Jeongkyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.407-414
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    • 2019
  • Recently, after the reorganization as the basis of NCS education, various learning methods are being sought for improving the basic occupational ability and job ability required by NCS, and the evaluation method accordingly is urgently needed. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the applicability of meta-cognitive learning and Havruta learning as evaluation cases in order to improve the job skills and basic skills required in the NCS curriculum. As a result, the meta-cognitive learning response sample statistic showed an average of 2.6883 when the pre-meta-cognitive learning questionnaire was a 5-point scale, and an average of 4.2468 after the meta-cognitive learning questionnaire. The correlation coefficient was 0.782 and the significance probability was 0.045. In the case of the Havruta learning correspondence sample statistic, the average of 3.1515 when the preliminary Havruta learning questionnaire was a 5 point scale and the average of the post-Havruta learning questionnaire was 4.3853, which was improved by 1.23 points. The correlation coefficient was 0.631 and the significance probability was 0.049. Meta-cognitive learning and Havruta learning were found to be correlated. The mean of meta cognition was 3.4675 and the mean of Havruta was 3.7684. Metacognitive learning and Havruta learning were -0.042 And there was no statistically significant difference. Therefore, the learning method to improve the job ability should be applied considering the characteristics of the subject.

Skin Barrier Strengthening and Moisturizing Effect of Essence Containing Coptis Japonica Extract (황련 추출물을 함유한 에센스의 피부장벽강화 및 보습 효과)

  • Kyung Nam Min
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.936-944
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to verify the effect of essence containing Coptis Japonica extract on skin barrier strengthening and moisturizing. The essence containing the Coptis Japonica extract was used by 22 subjects for four weeks, and the amount of percutaneous water loss (g/m2h) and water (A.U.) in the designated upper limit were measured. As a result of measuring percutaneous water loss using a vapometer, it was found to be 11.08±2.55 after 4 weeks of use from 14.82±4.01 before use, and the significance probability decreased significantly by 25.27% to p<0.001. The amount of skin moisture measured by the Corneometer was found to be 46.73±7.45 after use from 31.73±8.09 before use, and the significance probability increased by 47.26% to p<0.001, and the subject's subjective efficacy evaluation through a questionnaire showed that all subjects were 100% satisfied without skin adverse reactions. As a result of this, it has been confirmed that Coptis Japonica essence is effective in strengthening skin barriers and moisturizing, which is expected to be a cornerstone for the development of cosmetics using various activities of Coptis Japonica extract in the future.

Determination of the Optimal Contract Amount of the Hydropower Energy Considering the Reliabilities of Reservoir Inflows (저수지(貯水池) 유입량(流入量)의 신뢰도(信賴度)를 고려한 최적(最適) 계약전력량(契約電力量)의 결정(決定))

  • Kwon, Oh Hun;Yoo, Ju Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 1993
  • Production of hydro-energy is random in its output amount due to the characteristics of the reservoir inflows. Therefore, it is necessary to provide the rationality in determining the amount of energy for a supply contract. This study presents a methodology for determining reasonably reliable amount of the energy supply considering the energy sale-incomes associated with the penalties which are subject to inflow-reliabilities. The objective function consists of the returns of energy sales and the risk-loss function to reflect statistically relevant risks. A range of the coefficient of the risk-loss function was figured out by its sensitivity analysis. The risk-loss herein means the penalty which should be paid by the energy supplier in case that the level of the energy supply is behind the contracted amount. And the reliability of reservoir inflow is defined by the exceedance probability of the inflow. The log-normal distribution was accepted as the probability density function of monthly inflows on the level of significance at 5%. Golden-ratio searching was applied to identify the optimal reliability and Incremental Dynamic Programming was used to maximize generation of the hydro-power energy in reservoir operation. The algorithm was the applied to the Daechung multi-purpose reservoir and hydro-power plant system in order to verify its usefulness.

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Efficiency calculation of the nMCP with 10B doping based on mathematical models

  • Yang, Jianqing;Zhou, Jianrong;Zhang, Lianjun;Tan, Jinhao;Jiang, Xingfen;Zhou, Jianjin;Zhou, Xiaojuan;Hou, Linjun;Song, Yushou;Sun, XinLi;Zhang, Quanhu;Sun, Zhijia;Chen, Yuanbo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.2364-2370
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    • 2021
  • The nMCP (Neutron sensitive microchannel plate) combined with advanced readout electronics is widely used in energy selective neutron imaging because of its good spatial and timing resolution. Neutron detection efficiency is a crucial parameter for the nMCP. In this paper, a mathematical model based on the oblique cylindrical channel and elliptical pore was established to calculate the neutron absorption probability, the escape probability of charged particles and overall detection efficiency of nMCP and analyze the effects of neutron incident position, pore diameter, wall thickness and bias angle. It was shown that when the doping concentration of the nMCP was 10 mol%, the thickness of nMCP was 0.6 mm, the detection efficiency could reach maximum value, about 24% for thermal neutrons if the pore diameter was 6 ㎛, the wall thickness was 2 ㎛ and the bias angle was 3 or 6°. The calculated results are of great significance for evaluating the detection efficiency of the nMCP. In a subsequent companion paper, the mathematical model would be extended to the case of the spatial resolution and detection efficiency optimization of the coating nMCP.

Genetic alterations in Wnt family of genes and their putative association with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

  • Aditya, Jain;Smiline Girija, A.S.;Paramasivam, A.;Priyadharsini, J. Vijayashree
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.5.1-5.11
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    • 2021
  • Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is the most frequent type of head and neck cancer that usually arises from the mucosal surfaces of several organs including nasal cavity, paranasal sinuses, oral cavity, tongue, pharynx, and larynx. The Wnt signaling pathway is a crucial mechanism for cellular maintenance and development. It regulates cell cycle progression, apoptosis, proliferation, migration, and differentiation. Dysregulation of this pathway correlates with oncogenesis in various tissues including breast, colon, pancreatic as well as head and neck cancers. The present study aims to assess the gene alterations in the Wnt family of genes so as to derive an association with HNSCC. Computational approaches have been utilized for the identification of gene alterations in the Wnt family of genes. Several databases such as cBioportal, STRING, and UALCAN were used for the purpose. The frequency of alteration was high in case of Wnt family member 11 (5%). Gene amplification, deep deletions, missense and truncating mutations were observed in HNSCC patients. There was a marked difference in the gene expression profile of WNT11 between grades as well as normal samples. The survival probability measured using the Kaplan-Meier curve also presented with a significant difference among male and female subjects experiencing a low/medium level expression. The female patients showed less survival probability when compared to the male subjects. This provides the prognostic significance of the WNT11 gene in HNSCC. Taken together, the present study provides clues on the possible association of WNT11 gene alterations with HNSCC, which has to be further validated using experimental approaches.

A Novel Grasshopper Optimization-based Particle Swarm Algorithm for Effective Spectrum Sensing in Cognitive Radio Networks

  • Ashok, J;Sowmia, KR;Jayashree, K;Priya, Vijay
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.520-541
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    • 2023
  • In CRNs, SS is of utmost significance. Every CR user generates a sensing report during the training phase beneath various circumstances, and depending on a collective process, either communicates or remains silent. In the training stage, the fusion centre combines the local judgments made by CR users by a majority vote, and then returns a final conclusion to every CR user. Enough data regarding the environment, including the activity of PU and every CR's response to that activity, is acquired and sensing classes are created during the training stage. Every CR user compares their most recent sensing report to the previous sensing classes during the classification stage, and distance vectors are generated. The posterior probability of every sensing class is derived on the basis of quantitative data, and the sensing report is then classified as either signifying the presence or absence of PU. The ISVM technique is utilized to compute the quantitative variables necessary to compute the posterior probability. Here, the iterations of SVM are tuned by novel GO-PSA by combining GOA and PSO. Novel GO-PSA is developed since it overcomes the problem of computational complexity, returns minimum error, and also saves time when compared with various state-of-the-art algorithms. The dependability of every CR user is taken into consideration as these local choices are then integrated at the fusion centre utilizing an innovative decision combination technique. Depending on the collective choice, the CR users will then communicate or remain silent.

A comparison of tests for homoscedasticity using simulation and empirical data

  • Anastasios Katsileros;Nikolaos Antonetsis;Paschalis Mouzaidis;Eleni Tani;Penelope J. Bebeli;Alex Karagrigoriou
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-35
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    • 2024
  • The assumption of homoscedasticity is one of the most crucial assumptions for many parametric tests used in the biological sciences. The aim of this paper is to compare the empirical probability of type I error and the power of ten parametric and two non-parametric tests for homoscedasticity with simulations under different types of distributions, number of groups, number of samples per group, variance ratio and significance levels, as well as through empirical data from an agricultural experiment. According to the findings of the simulation study, when there is no violation of the assumption of normality and the groups have equal variances and equal number of samples, the Bhandary-Dai, Cochran's C, Hartley's Fmax, Levene (trimmed mean) and Bartlett tests are considered robust. The Levene (absolute and square deviations) tests show a high probability of type I error in a small number of samples, which increases as the number of groups rises. When data groups display a nonnormal distribution, researchers should utilize the Levene (trimmed mean), O'Brien and Brown-Forsythe tests. On the other hand, if the assumption of normality is not violated but diagnostic plots indicate unequal variances between groups, researchers are advised to use the Bartlett, Z-variance, Bhandary-Dai and Levene (trimmed mean) tests. Assessing the tests being considered, the test that stands out as the most well-rounded choice is the Levene's test (trimmed mean), which provides satisfactory type I error control and relatively high power. According to the findings of the study and for the scenarios considered, the two non-parametric tests are not recommended. In conclusion, it is suggested to initially check for normality and consider the number of samples per group before choosing the most appropriate test for homoscedasticity.

A Study on Newborn Infection during Hospitalization (일 종합병원 신생아실 감염증에 관한 소고)

  • Lee Jung Hee;Jung Moon-Hee;Kim Sung Rae
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 1991
  • This study was conducted to evaluate the difference of staphylococcal colonization between lactating mothers and nursery stares. Samples were obtained from the hands and noses of the newborn(admitted to S Univ. hospital's nursery from 1991. 5. 23 to 6. 8), their mothers and nursery staffs. They were cultured, and then the presence/absence of pathogenic staphylococci in them were analyzed by Fisher exact probability test which led to these conclusion of significance as follows: 1. No differences were detected in pathogenic rate of nasal swab culture between breast~fed newborns and formula-fed ones. 2. Delivery type and hospitalization the ones from the brest-fed newborns show high rate of Sta. aureus coa(+). In case of either C-sec delivery or long (more than 4 days) hospitalization, formula-fed ones in case of NSVD or short (less than 3 days) hospitalization. 3. The ones from breast feeding mothers show higher sta. aureus coa(+) than those from nursery staffs, which was of no significance statistically. Considering nursery staffs only, however, the comparison of those with the data in April indicates that the pathogen rate is higher for hand than nose, and Sta aureus coa(+) for hand is far lower in June than in April, which was statistically significant. These results lead us to infer that newborn infection in hospitalization could be largely reduced by maintaining the ordinary hygienes. Such as the handwashing of mothers as well as nursery staffs (directly involved in newborn care) Thus the pre-enterance hand washing of a mother who visits the nursery only for breast feeding (without any other medical responsibility) should be done, like other medical agents, with $0.05\%$ chlorhexidine antiseptics rather than simple soap cleansing; the one 'that is worth emphasizing thoroughly.

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A Study on Consumer Preference for Plastic Toilet Seats with Selective Automatic Supply of Recycled Water (재활용수의 선택적 자동공급이 가능한 플라스틱류 양변기 소비자 선호도에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Tae-Wol;Baeg, Jong-Ho;Bae, Sang-Mok
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2020
  • This study is about consumer preference of plastic toilets that can provide automatic supply of recycled water. First, the preference for plastic toilet seat design by gender and age group was preferred for gender type C and G for the sex. As the result of the chi-square test, the significance probability is .044 and the significance is P <.0 5. I could confirm that. Age, teens, 40 s, and 50 s or older prefer type C, 20 s and 30 s, but B type is not statistically significant. Second, the differences among the groups of preference for appearance design criteria according to general characteristics were all stable (stable appearance) in gender, age, region, education, and salary, but the chi-square test showed that they were not statistically significant. There was no difference between them. This study has implications for improving competitiveness and productivity by reducing the main production cost by commercializing toilets made of plastic materials.