• Title/Summary/Keyword: ship collision risk

Search Result 143, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Risk Analysis of Container Ship Accidents and Risk Mitigation Measures

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Kwak, Su-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.259-267
    • /
    • 2016
  • The study performs a risk analysis on container ship accidents using accident data collected over the six years from 2006 to 2011, presents the resulting risk level, and suggests three risk mitigation measures to reduce the overall risk, for the safer operation of container ships. More specifically, starting from the initial accident of collision, we developed 13 different accident scenarios using event tree analysis based on which the overall risk level was obtained and presented as a FN curve. Since diverse human factors are the main cause of most of the ship accidents, our study focuses on the effect of reducing human causes on the resulting risk level. For the research we considered the injuries for the calculation of fatality with the help of MAIS. The results show that collision was the main type of accident, accounting for 62 % of all accidents, and the measures employed were proven to be effective in the sense that the risk level was much lowered and the average number of fatalities was also reduced. With more data accumulated, more precise risk level will be calculated with which the practical risk mitigating measures will be also developed. For future study, economic loss and environmental damage as consequences need to be considered.

Bayesian Collision Risk Estimation Algorithm for Efficient Collision Avoidance against Multiple Traffic Vessels (다중 선박에서 효율적인 충돌 회피를 위한 베이지안 충돌 위험도 추정 알고리즘)

  • Song, Byoung-Ho;Lee, Keong-Hyo;Jeong, Min-A;Lee, Sung-Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.36 no.3B
    • /
    • pp.248-253
    • /
    • 2011
  • Collision avoidance algorithm of vessels have been studied to avoid collision and grounding of a vessel due to human error. In this paper, We propose a collision avoidance algorithm using bayesian estimation theory for safety sailing and reduced risk of collision accident. We calculate collision risk for efficient collision avoidance using bayesian algorithm and determined the safest and most effective collision risk is predicted by using re-planned with re-evaluated collision risk in the future(t=t'). Others ship position is assumed to be informed from AIS. Experimental results show that we estimate the safest and most effective collision risk.

Ship Collision Risk of Suspension Bridge and Design Vessel Load (현수교의 선박충돌 위험 및 설계박하중)

  • Lee, Seong Lo;Bae, Yong Gwi
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.1A
    • /
    • pp.11-19
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this study ship collision risk analysis is performed to determine the design vessel for collision impact analysis of suspension bridge. Method II in AASHTO LRFD bridge design specifications which is a more complicated probability based analysis procedure is used to select the design vessel for collision impact. From the assessment of ship collision risk for each bridge pier exposed to ship collision, the design impact lateral strength of bridge pier is determined. The analysis procedure is an iterative process in which a trial impact resistance is selected for a bridge component and a computed annual frequency of collapse(AF) is compared to the acceptance criterion, and revisions to the analysis variables are made as necessary to achieve compliance. The acceptance criterion is allocated to each pier using allocation weights based on the previous predictions. This AF allocation method is compared to the pylon concentration allocation method to obtain safety and economy in results. This method seems to be more reasonable than the pylon concentration allocation method because AF allocation by weights takes the design parameter characteristics quantitatively into consideration although the pylon concentration allocation method brings more economical results when the overestimated design collision strength of piers compared to the strength of pylon is moderately modified. The design vessel for each pier corresponding with the design impact lateral strength obtained from the ship collision risk assessment is then selected. The design impact lateral strength can vary greatly among the components of the same bridge, depending upon the waterway geometry, available water depth, bridge geometry, and vessel traffic characteristics. Therefore more researches on the allocation model of AF and the selection of design vessel are required.

A Study on the Automatic Control for Collision Avoidance of the Ships (선박의 충돌회피를 위한 자동제어에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Keon;Kwon, Bae-Jun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.8-14
    • /
    • 2002
  • The collisions of vessel at sea show high among the whole marine accidents. Especially, the accidents of fishing vessels take the largest portion of the collisions. Therefore, a technique to reduce these accidents should be developed. The automatic control for avoiding collision suggested in this study consists of two steps. The first is recognizing collision risk with fuzzy Theory and the other is maneuvering the model ship on the basis of collision risk calculated from the first step. The information form the position and estimated time of collision point(DCPA and TCPA) is used to assess the collision risk. To verify this system, a fishing vessel was simulated according to MMG mathematical model. The simulations result shows quite good application in avoiding the collision of ship.

Collision Risk Decistion System for Collision Avoidance (충돌회피를 위한 충돌위험도 결정 시스템)

  • 김은경;강일권;김용기
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.11 no.6
    • /
    • pp.524-527
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper we propose a collision risk decision system for collision avoidance system A collision avoidance system carries out collision avoidance based on collision risk of unknown obstacle. In the traditional researches, using DCPA and TCPA for calculating the collision risk has problem that they produce a same collision risk for ship which located in the given distance. The solves the problem we use DCPA, TCPA, and VCD for calculating collision risk. A proposed system has two advantages that is produce more detailed collision risk and reflects the international Regulations for Preventing Collision at Sea.

  • PDF

Automatic Control for Ship Collision Avoidance Support-III (선박충돌회피지원을 위한 자동제어-III)

  • Im, Nam-Kyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.475-480
    • /
    • 2004
  • Author presented some study with regard to “automatic control for ship collision avoidance system” before. Those papers are to deal with unsolved problem,; in the previous study. In this paper, two issues relating to ship collision avoidance were investigated. One is to suggest a new algorithm of avoidance of a group ship. This algorithm is useful when a ship takes avoiding action for a group fish boats and a group of merchant vessels. In the stage of taking avoidance action, newly-developed algorithm was used. the other is to develop a unified model of collision risk. Generally collision risk changes according to various type of encounters. The new model is to take into account of these situations. The above-mentioned algorithm and model were verified through simulation under various encounters between ships.

Development of Collision Risk Evaluation Model Between Passing Vessel and Mokpo Harbour Bridge (통항 선박과 목포 대교의 충돌 위기 평가 모델 개발)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.405-415
    • /
    • 2010
  • To assess the possible collision risk between Mokpo Harbour Bridge, which is under construction, and passing vessels, we proposed Real-Time Bridge-Vessel Collision Model (RT-BVCM) in this paper. The mathematical model of RT-BVCM consists of the causation probability by the vessel aberrancy due to navigation environments, the geometric probability by the structural feature of a bridge relative to a ship size and, the failure probability by the ship collision track and the stopping distance which is not to come to a stop before hitting the obstacles. Then, the probabilistic mathematical model represented as risk index with the risk level from 1 to 5. The merit of the proposed model to the collision model proposed by AASHTO (American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials) is that it can provide enough time to take adequate collision avoiding action. Through the simulation tests to the two kinds of test ships, 3,000 GT and 10,000 GT, it is cleary found that the proposed model can be used as a collision evaluation model to the passing vessel and Mokpo Harbour Bridge.

Ground Improvement under Ship Collision Protection of Myodo-Gangyang Suspension Bridge Concerning of Sedimental Condition in Gyangyang Bay (광양만 퇴적이력을 고려한 묘도-광양간 현수교 충돌방지공 하부 지반보강)

  • Chang, Yong-Chai;Yoon, Tae-Seob;Kim, Kyung-Taek
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2008.10a
    • /
    • pp.660-671
    • /
    • 2008
  • The suspension bridge between Myodo and Gwangyang is located in the main navigation channel to Gwangyang Harbor. So, there is need for the collision protection against large vessels. As ship collision protection, artificial island with concrete block quay wall is planned. The risk analysis and non-linear numerical analysis are introduced to consider the ship collision effects. In the Gwangyang bay area, there are some different sedimental conditions in clayey stratums. For a desirable design, we classify into four zones and 2 layers in each zone, and then determine suitable soil properties considering these zones. As a ground improvement under artificial island, DCM and SCP methods are Planned.

  • PDF

A Basic Study on the Collision Risk Inference Reflecting Maneuverability of a Ship(I) (선박의 조종성능을 반영한 충돌위험도 추론에 관한 기초연구(I))

  • Ahn, Jin-Hyeong;Rhee, Key-Pyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.77-83
    • /
    • 2005
  • In collision avoidance problem of a ship, collision risk model is usually set up using the interview results fron experts who sit on a simulator by varying parameters, in which DCPA and TCPA are commonly used. This method, however, has the weakness in that not only it is expensive but also it shows different results depending on the inerviewees and other navigational parameters. In this study, a fuzzy inference system is designed based on own ship's maneuverability verified fron simulation instead of interviewing navigators. The time and distance corresponding to the collision risk value on which avoidance maneuver should be started are set to the minimum marginal time at which own ship starts maneuvering and the minimum marginal distance suggested by marine traffic rules respectively. This system can be recorfigured as a nonlinearity-strengthened one by increasing the number of fuzzy membership functions.

  • PDF

A Study on Intention Exchange-based Ship Collision Avoidance by Changing the Safety Domain

  • Kim, Donggyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.259-268
    • /
    • 2019
  • Even if only two ships are encountered, a collision may occur due to the mistaken judgment of the positional relationship. In other words, if an officer does not know a target ship's intention, there is always a risk of collision. In this paper, the experiments are conducted to investigate how the intention affects the action of collision avoidance in cooperative and non-cooperative situations. In non-cooperative situation, each ship chooses a course that minimizes costs based on the current situation. That is, it always performs a selfish selection. In a cooperative situation, the information is exchanged with a target ship and a course is selected based on this information. Each ship uses the Distributed Stochastic Search Algorithm so that a next-intended course can be selected by a certain probability and determines the course. In the experimental method, four virtual ships are set up to analyze the action of collision avoidance. Then, using the actual AIS data of eight ships in the strait of Dover, I compared and analyzed the action of collision avoidance in cooperative and non-cooperative situations. As a result of the experiment, the ships showed smooth trajectories in the cooperative situation, but the ship in the non-cooperative situation made frequent big changes to avoid a collision. In the case of the experiment using four ships, there was no collision in the cooperative situation regardless of the size of the safety domain, but a collision occurred between the ships when the size of the safety domain increased in cases of non-cooperation. In the case of experiments using eight ships, it was found that there are optimal parameters for collision avoidance. Also, it was possible to grasp the variation of the sailing distance and the costs according to the combination of the parameters, and it was confirmed that the setting of the parameters can have a great influence on collision avoidance among ships.