• 제목/요약/키워드: severity of accident

검색결과 317건 처리시간 0.03초

구조방정식모형을 활용한 단속류 시설의 교통사고 유형별 유발요인 분석 (Factor Analysis of Accident Types on Urban Street using Structural Equation Modeling(SEM))

  • 김상록;배윤경;정진혁;김형진
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2011
  • 우리나라의 교통사고 발생현황은 2008년 기준 215,822건으로 예년에 비하여 소폭 감소하는 추세이나 주요 선진국에 비해서는 여전히 높은 수준이다. 그 중 단속류 시설에서 발생하는 사고는 보행자들이 직접적으로 차량에 노출되어 차대사람 사고의 비율이 높아 심각한 결과를 유발하기 때문에 이를 방지하기 위한 추가적인 고려가 필요하다. 이에 교통사고의 유형별로 영향을 미치는 인자를 분석하였다. 단속류 시설에서 교통사고는 크게 차대차 사고와 차대 사람 사고로 그 성격과 특성이 구분될 수 있다. 따라서 교통사고 유형을 크게 두가지로 구분하고, 2005년부터 2007년까지 서대문구에서 발생한 교통사고 자료 분석을 통해 교통사고의 심각도와 외생적 변수들간의 관계를 추정하였다. 본 연구에서는 단속류 시설에서 교통사고 유형별 요인을 구조방정식모형(SEM : Structural Equation Modeling)을 이용하여 도출해내고, 모형을 구축하여 유형별로 사고의 주요인들을 파악하여 비교하였다. 최종 모형에서 도출된 결론은 차대차 사고에서는 도로 요인이, 차대사람 사고에서는 환경 요인이 크게 영향을 미치고 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

중앙분리대의 사고감소효과 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Analysis on the Accident Reduction Effect of the Median)

  • 김경석;강승림
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 2003
  • 중앙선 침범 관련 사고는 다른 사고에 비해 사고빈도는 낮지만 치명적인 사고로 이어질 가능성이 높기 때문에 이에 대한 적절한 사고감소대책이 필요하다. 중앙선 침범을 방지하는 대표적인 도로안전시설물이라 할 수 있는 중앙분리대는 도로의 안전 확보에 중요한 역할을 하며, 실제 그 효과에 대한 구체적인 분석을 통하여 향후 중앙분리대의 적극적인 활용을 도모하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 중앙분리대의 형식, 성능 등에 대한 검토에 앞서 기본적으로 중앙분리대의 설치와 교통사고와의 관계를 분석해 보았다. 즉, 중앙분리대의 사고감소효과를 파악하기 위해 우리나라 4차로 이상의 일반국도를 대상으로 중앙분리대 설치 여부에 따른 사고자료를 비교하였다. 보다 체계적이고 효과적인 분석을 위해 총 사고뿐만 아니라 유형별·사고강도별·시간대별 사고를 비교하였으며, 다양한 효과척도(사고율. 사고점유율. EPDO)를 이용하여 사고빈도뿐만 아니라 사고강도까지 비교하였다. 지점별·구간별 사고분석 및 중앙분리대 신설지점에 대한 효과분석 결과 중앙분리대의 설치는 사고빈도와 함께 사고강도를 낮춤으로써 확실한 사고감소효과를 가져왔으며, 특히 정면충돌사고, 사망사고, 야간사고에 대한 사고감소효과가 크게 나타났다. 따라서 정면충돌사고. 사망사고, 야간사고가 빈번히 발생하는 도로구간(특히 단일로나 접속로의 경우)에 대한 중앙분리대의 설치는 교통사고 감소를 위한 중요한 대책이 될 수 있다. 이러한 연구를 통해 중앙분리대 설치에 따른 사고감소효과를 명확히 밝힘으로써 중앙분리대 설치의 당위성을 제공할 수 있을 뿐 만 아니라 향후 보다 효과적이고 합리적인 중앙분리대 설치구간 선정에 도움을 줄 것으로 사료된다.

블랙박스 영상 기반 고속도로 사고유형 분류 및 사고 심각도 예측 평가 (Classification and Prediction of Highway Accident Characteristics Using Vehicle Black Box Data )

  • 조준한;이성준;박성민;박준영
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.132-145
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 고속도로에서 발생한 교통사고 블랙박스 영상을 기반으로 군집분석과 예측모형 비교를 수행하였다. 분석자료로 사고 직전의 도로 및 교통 상황을 파악할 수 있는 차량 주행행태, 노면 상태 등 사고 영상에서 추출이 가능한 항목을 설명변수로 활용하였다. 여러 요소에 의해 영향을 받는 교통사고 데이터의 특징을 고려하여 데이터의 이질성을 반영하는 군집분석을 활용하였다. 군집분석으로 분류된 각 군집을 사고 심각도 수준의 비율을 기준으로 나누고, 종속변수인 인명피해 수준을 반영하여 사고 예측 평가를 수행하였다. 사고 예측모형은 로짓 모형(Logit model)을 적용한 결과, 전체 데이터를 분석한 경우보다 군집분석에 의해 두 개의 사고 심각도 그룹을 분류하여 예측했을 때 우수한 예측 능력을 보여주었다. 이는 군집분석을 통한 그룹별 사고 특성과 사고 심각도를 반영하여 사고위험을 예측하는 것이 더 효과적인 것으로 판단된다. 또한 2차 사고와 같은 정차 중 추돌사고, 차로변경 중 측면 추돌사고 등이 중요한 주행행태변수로 작용하는 것으로 나타났다.

Investigating the Impact of Establishing Integrated Management Systems on Accidents and Safety Performance Indices: A Case Study

  • Laal, Fereydoon;Pouyakian, Mostafa;Madvari, Rohollah F.;Khoshakhlagh, Amir H.;Halvani, Gholam H.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2019
  • Background: Increasing the establishment of integrated management systems (IMSs) is done with the purpose of leaving traditional management methods and replacing them with modern management methods. Thus, the present study sought to analyze the events and investigate the impact of IMS on health and safety performance indices in an Iranian combined cycle power plants. Methods: This case study was conducted in 2012 in all units of the Yazd Combined Cycle Power Plant on accident victims before and after the implementation of IMS. For data analysis and prediction of indices after the implementation of IMS, descriptive statistics and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Chi-square, linear regression, and Cubic tests were conducted using SPSS software. Results: The number of people employed in the power plant in an 8-year period (2004-2011) was 1,189, and 287 cases of work-related accidents were recorded. The highest accident frequency rate and accident severity rate were in 2004 (32.65) and 2008 (209), respectively. Safe T-score reached to below -3 during 2010-2011. In addition, given the regression results, the relation between all predictor variables with outcomes was significant (p < 0.05), except for the variable $X^1$ belonging to the accident severity rate index. Conclusion: The implementation of safety programs especially that of IMS and its annual audits has had a significant impact on reducing accident indices and improving safety within the study period. Accordingly, health and safety management systems are appropriate tools for reducing accident rate, and the use of regression models and accident indices is also a suitable way for monitoring safety performance.

산업재해통계기반 Risk 산정에 관한 연구 (A Case Study on the Estimation of the Risk based on Statistics)

  • 우종권;이미정;설문수;백종배
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 2021
  • Risk assessment techniques are processes used to evaluate hazardous risk factors in construction sites, facilities, raw materials, machinery, and equipment, and to estimate the size of risk that could lead to injury or disease, and establish countermeasures. The most important thing in assessing risk is calculating the size of the risk. If the size of the risk cannot be calculated objectively and quantitatively, all members who participated in the evaluation would passively engage in establishing and implementing appropriate measures. Therefore, this study focused on predicting accidents that are expected to occur in the future based on past occupational accident statistics, and quantifying the size of the risk in an overview. The technique employed in this study differs from other risk assessment techniques in that the subjective elements of evaluators were excluded as much as possible by utilizing past occupational accident statistics. This study aims to calculate the size of the risk, regardless of evaluators, such as a manager, supervisor, safety manager, or employee. The size of the risk is the combination of the likelihood and severity of an accident. In this study, the likelihood of an accident was evaluated using the theory of Bud Accident Chainability, and the severity of an accident was calculated using the occupational accident statistics over the past five years according to the accident classification by the International Labor Organization.

전문 건설업종별 위험도 산정 방법에 관한 연구 (Formulation for Producing Risk Level of Each Construction Work)

  • 손기상;갈원모;송인용;최재남
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2010
  • Risk level for each construction work can be very important factors to establish advanced prevention measures. But it is important how to produce it. There are three different methods to set it up for construction situation. They are as follows; 1) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly accident workers 2) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly workers 3) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / the total workers All these three concepts(=averaged concept)are analyzed. Additionally frequency based on discrete curve, and severity based on continuous curve are also combined for producing risk level with more scientific approach. This risk level can be very useful to make prevention plan or take measures at construction sites. This is study result can change existing risk level concept to new concept of it, namely rail way work and in-water work showed be high risk level and RC work be low risk level, different from the situation which we have thought commonly, so far.

전문 건설업 재해분석과 위험도 산정방안 (Formulation for Producing Risk Level of Each Construction Work)

  • 손기상;갈원모;최재남
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2010
  • Risk level for each construction work can be very important factors to establish advanced preventionmeasures. But it is important how to produce it. There are three different methods to set it up for consturuction situation. They are as follows; 1) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly accident workers 2) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly workers 3) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / the total workers All these three concepts(=averaged concept)are analyzed. Additionally frequency based on discrete curve, and severity based on continuous curve are also combined for producing risk level with more scientific approach. This risk level can be very useful to make prevention plan or take measures at construction sites. This is study result can change existing risk level concept to new concept of it, namely rail way work and in-water work showed be high risk level and RC work be low risk level, different from the situation which we have thought commonly, so far.

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XGBoost를 활용한 이륜자동차 교통사고 심각도 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of Traffic Accident Severity of Two-Wheeled Vehicles Using XGBoost)

  • 권철우;장현호
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2021
  • 최근 코로나 19의 영향으로 이륜자동차 교통사고의 발생은 이전보다 급격히 증가하게 되었고 이륜자동차 사고방지를 위한 다각적인 노력이 필요한 시점이다. 본 연구에서는 XGBoost를 활용하여 최근 10년간 발생한 이륜자동차 교통사고 자료로 사고 심각도에 영향인자를 도출하여 각 영향인자가 주는 영향력을 분석하였다. 전체 변수 중 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 주는 변수는 신호 위반을 하였을 경우가 압도적으로 높았으며, 운전자 연령대가 60대 이상일 경우, 이륜자동차 단독사고일 경우, 중앙선 침범 사고일 경우 순으로 높은 것으로 나타났다. 연구 결과를 바탕으로 이륜자동차의 심각한 교통사고의 방지와 안전관리를 강화하기 위한 합리적인 제도 개편방안을 제시하였다.

자전거손상 환자의 역학적 특성 (Epidemiological Characteristics of Bicycle-Injured Patients)

  • 남영희;이명선
    • 한국학교ㆍ지역보건교육학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2013
  • Backgrounds: According to a high interest in health these days, a bicycle is being highlighted as a means of leisure activity and auxiliary transportation means. Along with an increase in this interest, there is tendency that even the width of bicycle utilization gets diverse and that bicycle accident is also rapidly growing. Purpose: The purpose of this study was to suggest a prevention measure available for reducing occurrence of bicycle accidents by analyzing the Epidemiological characteristics according to age and injury severity in bicycle-injured patients. Methods: This study analyzed 115 materials suitable for this study by examining a medical record of patients, who received the hospitalized treatment owing to bicycle accident from January 1, 2011 to December 31 at one general hospital in S city. Results: The male-and-female ratio of bicycle-injured patients stood at about 7:3. The average age was 38.14(${\pm}21.59$) years old. The largest injury happened in 40-59 years old(31.3%). The averagely hospitalized period was 17.33(${\pm}18.12$) days. Injury severity was the ratio of 2:8 in a mild case versus a serious case. As for drinking and smoking characteristics according to age, the injury occurred the most in between 40 and 59 years old for people with drinking and smoking and in under 19 years for people without drinking and smoking. According to injury severity, the ratio of serious case got higher in the higher age. This was indicated(${\chi}^2$=15.675, p=0.001) to be statistically significant. Conclusion: In this study, a bicycle accident was indicated to have high injury risk in young children, adolescents, and old-age group. Prevention measure and publicity are demanded for reducing injury occurrence such as the prevention education for bicycle accident and wearing protective gear focusing on the ages of corresponding to groups with risk of injury occurrence. In addition, the security of safe movement route is necessarily demanded in order to increase application level as an auxiliary transportation means.

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우리나라 다랑어선망어선의 어선원 안전 위험요소 분석 (Analysis of safety risk factors of fishermen on the Korean tuna purse seiner)

  • 김오태;조현수;장호영;이유원
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제58권3호
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 2022
  • Tuna purse seine fishery (TPF) constitute more than 60% of distant water fishery production in Korea based on a statistic of 2018, and 28 ships from four different companies were under operation at the western and central Pacific Ocean. On this research, common risk factors during TPF were investigated via enumeration of five years Korean fisherman's insurance payment statement, followed by some counterplans to diminish the accident rate. The accident rate of TPF on the Pacific Ocean peaked by 43.0% in 2014 and constantly decreased to 23.0% until 2018, presenting an average of 33.6%. Meanwhile, the accident rate on the Indian Ocean reached the highest point 55.1% in 2014 and declined to 11.6% in 2016, having an average of 24.7%. The average accident rate of the Indian Ocean scored 8.9% lower than the rate of the Pacific Ocean, but no statistic significance was observed. Depending on the process of operation, 'casting or hauling of net' was the most frequent part that people received an injury (40.4%). When the accidents were classified by their types, 'falling down' was the most recurrent cause of the injuries (28.5%). At the point of severity, the worst injuries were induced by crush hazard. Considering aforementioned accident frequency and severity, all the factors on the accident type list were divided into three different groups including high risk, moderate risk, and common risk. This study is expected to contribute to the reduction of occupational accidents during the work of fishermen and establishment of a safety management system for distance water fishing vessels.