• Title/Summary/Keyword: serviceability prediction

Search Result 60, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

The Risk Assessment and Prediction for the Mixed Deterioration in Cable Bridges Using a Stochastic Bayesian Modeling (확률론적 베이지언 모델링에 의한 케이블 교량의 복합열화 리스크 평가 및 예측시스템)

  • Cho, Tae Jun;Lee, Jeong Bae;Kim, Seong Soo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.16 no.5
    • /
    • pp.29-39
    • /
    • 2012
  • The main objective is to predict the future degradation and maintenance budget for a suspension bridge system. Bayesian inference is applied to find the posterior probability density function of the source parameters (damage indices and serviceability), given ten years of maintenance data. The posterior distribution of the parameters is sampled using a Markov chain Monte Carlo method. The simulated risk prediction for decreased serviceability conditions are posterior distributions based on prior distribution and likelihood of data updated from annual maintenance tasks. Compared with conventional linear prediction model, the proposed quadratic model provides highly improved convergence and closeness to measured data in terms of serviceability, risky factors, and maintenance budget for bridge components, which allows forecasting a future performance and financial management of complex infrastructures based on the proposed quadratic stochastic regression model.

Burst strength behaviour of an aging subsea gas pipeline elbow in different external and internal corrosion-damaged positions

  • Lee, Geon Ho;Pouraria, Hassan;Seo, Jung Kwan;Paik, Jeom Kee
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.435-451
    • /
    • 2015
  • Evaluation of the performance of aging structures is essential in the oil and gas industry, where the inaccurate prediction of structural performance can have significantly hazardous consequences. The effects of structure failure due to the significant reduction in wall thickness, which determines the burst strength, make it very complicated for pipeline operators to maintain pipeline serviceability. In other words, the serviceability of gas pipelines and elbows needs to be predicted and assessed to ensure that the burst or collapse strength capacities of the structures remain less than the maximum allowable operation pressure. In this study, several positions of the corrosion in a subsea elbow made of API X42 steel were evaluated using both design formulas and numerical analysis. The most hazardous corrosion position of the aging elbow was then determined to assess its serviceability. The results of this study are applicable to the operational and elbow serviceability needs of subsea pipelines and can help predict more accurate replacement or repair times.

Crack Width Prediction in Concrete Bridges Considering Bond Resistances affected by Corrosion (부식에 의한 부착저항감소를 고려한 콘크리트 교량의 균열폭 예측)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Cho, Hyo-Nam;Park, Mi-Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
    • /
    • v.18 no.4 s.94
    • /
    • pp.543-552
    • /
    • 2006
  • The current design for crack width control in concrete bridges is incomplete in analytical models. As one of the important serviceability limit states, the crack width be considered with the quantitative prediction of the initiation and propagation of corrosion and corrosion-induced cracking. A serviceability limit state of cracking can be affected by the combined effects of bond, slip, cracking, and corrosion of the reinforcing elements. Considering life span of concrete bridges, an improved prediction of crack width affected by time-dependent general corrosion has been proposed for the crack control design. The developed corrosion models and crack width prediction equation can be used for the design and the maintenance of prestressed and non-prestressed reinforcements by varying time, w/c, cover depth, and geometries of the sections. It can also be used as the rational criteria for the maintenance of existing concrete bridges and the prediction of remaining life of concrete structures.

Compressive Basic Creep Prediction in Early-Age Concrete (초기재령 콘크리트의 압축 기본크리프 예측)

  • 김성훈;송하원;변근수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
    • /
    • 1999.10a
    • /
    • pp.285-288
    • /
    • 1999
  • Creep is a major parameter to represent long-term behavior of concrete structures concerning serviceability and durability. The effect of creep is recently taking account into crack resistance analysis of early-age concrete concerning durability evaluation. Since existing creep prediction models were proposed to predict creep for hardened concrete, most of them cannot consider effectively the information on microstructure formation and hydration developed in the early-age concrete. In this study, creep tests for early-age concrete made of the type I cement and the type V cement are carried out respectively and creep prediction models are evaluated for the prediction of creep behavior in early-age concrete. A creep prediction model is modified for the prediction of creep in early-age concrete and also verified by comparing prediction results with results of creep tests on early-age concrete.

  • PDF

Prediction behavior of the concentric post-tensioned anchorage zones

  • Shangda Chen;Linyun Zhou
    • Advances in concrete construction
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.217-230
    • /
    • 2023
  • Methods for designing the post-tensioned anchorage zones at ultimate limit state has been specified in current design codes based on strut-and-tie models (STM). However, it is still not clear how to estimate the serviceability behavior of the anchorage zones. The serviceability is just indirectly taken into account by means of the reasonable reinforcement detailing. To address this issue, this paper is devoted to developing a modified strut-and-tie model (MSTM) to predict the behavior of concentric anchorage zones throughout the loading process. The principle of stationary complementary energy is introduced into STM at each load step to satisfy the compatibility condition and generate the unique MSTM. The structural behavior of anchorage zones can be achieved based on MSTM from loading to failure. Simplified formulas have been proposed to estimate the first cracking load, bearing capacity and maximum crack width with the consideration of the details of reinforcement bursting bars. The proposed model provides a definite method to control the bursting crack width in concentric anchorage zones. Four specimens with different bearing plate ratios have been designed and tested to validate the proposed method.

Reliability assessment of EPB tunnel-related settlement

  • Goh, Anthony T.C.;Hefney, A.M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.2 no.1
    • /
    • pp.57-69
    • /
    • 2010
  • A major consideration in the design of tunnels in urban areas is the prediction of the ground movements and surface settlements associated with the tunneling operations. Excessive ground movements can damage adjacent building and utilities. In this paper, a neural network model is used to predict the maximum surface settlement, based on instrumented results from three separate EPB tunneling projects in Singapore. This paper demonstrates that by coupling the trained neural network model to a spreadsheet optimization technique, the reliability assessment of the settlement serviceability limit state can be carried out using the first-order reliability method. With this method, it is possible to carry out sensitivity studies to examine the effect of the level of uncertainty of each parameter uncertainty on the probability that the serviceability limit state has been exceeded.

Theoretical and experimental serviceability performance of SCCs connections

  • Maghsoudi, Ali Akbar
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.241-266
    • /
    • 2011
  • The Self Compacting Concrete, SCC is the new generation type of concrete which is not needed to be compacted by vibrator and it will be compacted by its own weight. Since SCC is a new innovation and also the high strength self compacting concrete, HSSCC behavior is like a brittle material, therefore, understanding the strength effect on the serviceability performance of reinforced self compacting concretes is critical. For this aim, first the normal and high strength self compacting concrete, NSSCC and HSSCC was designed. Then, the serviceability performance of reinforced connections consisting of NSSCC and HSSCC were investigated. Twelve reinforced concrete connections (L = 3 m, b = 0.15 m, h = 0.3 m) were simulated, by this concretes, the maximum and minimum reinforcement ratios ${\rho}$ and ${\rho}^{\prime}$ (percentage of tensile and compressive steel reinforcement) are in accordance with the provision of the ACI-05 for conventional RC structures. This study was limited to the case of bending without axial load, utilizing simple connections loaded at mid span through a stub (b = 0.15 m, h = 0.3 m, L = 0.3 m) to simulate a beam-column connection. During the test, concrete and steel strains, deflections and crack widths were measured at different locations along each member. Based on the experimental readings and observations, the cracked moment of inertia ($I_{cr}$) of members was determined and the results were compared with some selective theoretical methods. Also, the flexural crack widths of the members were measured and the applicability for conventional vibrated concrete, as for ACI, BS and CSA code, was verified for SCCs members tested. A comparison between two Codes (ACI and CSA) for the theoretical values cracking moment is indicate that, irrespective of the concrete strength, for the specimens reported, the prediction values of two codes are almost equale. The experimental cracked moment of inertia $(I_{cr})_{\exp}$ is lower than its theoretical $(I_{cr})_{th}$ values, and therefore theoretically it is overestimated. Also, a general conclusion is that, by increasing the percentage of ${\rho}$, the value of $I_{cr}$ is increased.

Maximum Crack Width Control in Concrete Bridges Affected By Corrosion (부식을 고려한 콘크리트 교량의 최대 균열폭 제어)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.21 no.3 s.75
    • /
    • pp.114-121
    • /
    • 2006
  • As one of the serviceability limit states, the prediction and control of crack width in reinforced concrete bridges or PSC bridges are very important for the design of durable structures. However, the current bridge design specifications do not provide quantitative information for the prediction and control of crack width affected by the initiation and propagation of corrosion. Considering life span of concrete bridges, an improved control equation about the crack width affected by time-dependent general corrosion is proposed. The developed corrosion and crack width control models can be used for the design and the maintenance of prestressed and non-prestressed reinforcements by varying time, w/c, cover depth, and geometries of the sections. It can also help the rational criteria for the quantitative management and the prediction of remaining life of concrete structures.

Prediction of Cover Concrete Cracking due to Chloride Induced Corrosion in Concrete Structures (콘크리트 구조물의 염해부식에 따른 덮개콘크리트의 균열예측)

  • Lim, Dong-Woo;Lee, Chang-Hong;Song, Ha-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.291-292
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this study, an analysis of cover concrete cracking exposed to the chloride attack was performed based on newly defined durability limit states. Using the methodology in this paper, the prediction of cover concrete cracking and subsequent spalling can be used for the prediction of corrosion induced serviceability degradation of concrete structures subjected chloride attack.

  • PDF

Creep behaviour of normal- and high-strength self-compacting concrete

  • Aslani, Farhad
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.53 no.5
    • /
    • pp.921-938
    • /
    • 2015
  • Realistic prediction of concrete creep is of crucial importance for durability and long-term serviceability of concrete structures. To date, research about the behaviour of self-compacting concrete (SCC) members, especially concerning the long-term performance, is rather limited. SCC is quite different from conventional concrete (CC) in mixture proportions and applied materials, particularly in the presence of aggregate which is limited. Hence, the realistic prediction of creep strains in SCC is an important requirement for the design process of this type of concrete structures. This study reviews the accuracy of the conventional concrete (CC) creep prediction models proposed by the international codes of practice, including: CEB-FIP (1990), ACI 209R (1997), Eurocode 2 (2001), JSCE (2002), AASHTO (2004), AASHTO (2007), AS 3600 (2009). Also, SCC creep prediction models proposed by Poppe and De Schutter (2005), Larson (2007) and Cordoba (2007) are reviewed. Further, new creep prediction model based on the comprehensive analysis on both of the available models i.e. the CC and the SCC is proposed. The predicted creep strains are compared with the actual measured creep strains in 55 mixtures of SCC and 16 mixtures of CC.