• 제목/요약/키워드: sensitivity index

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확률기반 해상위기평가에서 실시간 민감도를 이용한 위기수준의 단계 구분 수 결정에 관한 연구 (Determining the Number of Risk Level Using Real-time Sensitivities in the Probabilistic Maritime Risk Evaluation)

  • 강상근
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.685-691
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    • 2014
  • 해상에서 발생하는 위기의 확률적인 평가결과는 확률(P=0.0~1.0)로 나타난다. 이러한 확률적인 위기평가결과는 위험한 정도를 쉽게 알기 위하여 일반적으로 평가의 기준이 되는 위기허용수준(Risk Acceptance Criteria, RAC)을 이용하여 지수(index)로 나타낸다. 현재 RAC은 3단계, 5단계, 7단계 등으로 구분하는데, 구분한 단계 수가 위기평가에 적합한지를 평가할 필요가 있음에도 불구하고 관련 연구가 전무한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 RAC의 단계 구분 수에 따른 민감도(Sensitivity)와 민감도의 분포특성을 이용하여 최적의 RAC 구분 단계 수를 정할 수 있는 평가기법을 제안하였다. 사전 연구결과로부터 획득한 확률적인 위기평가 데이터에 대해서 제안한 기법을 적용한 결과, 민감도가 10배 이내로 형성되는 최적의 RAC 구분 단계 수를 결정할 수 있었고, 이를 통해서 제안한 방법의 유효성을 확인하였다.

손실감도지표의 전력계통 적용 (Applications of System Loss Sensitivity Index to Power Systems)

  • 이상중
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2000
  • In the paper, the system loss sensitivity index that implies the incremental system loss with respect to the change of bus power is derived using optimization technique. The index λ reaches $\infty$ at critical loading point and can be applied to actual power systems for following purposes. 1) Evaluation of system voltage stability 2)Optimal investment of reactive power focused on minimizing system loss and maximizing system voltage stability 3)Optimal re-location of reactive power focused on minimizing system loss and maximizing system voltage stability 4)Optimal load shedding in case of severe system contingency focused on minimizing system loss and maximizing system voltage stability. Case studies for each application have proved their effectiveness.

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Moderate diet-induced weight loss is associated with improved insulin sensitivity in middle-aged healthy obese Korean women

  • Lee, Hye-Ok;Yim, Jung-Eun;Kim, Young-Seol;Choue, Ryowon
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.469-475
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    • 2014
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: The goal of the present study was to investigate the effects of moderate caloric restriction on ${\beta}$-cell function and insulin sensitivity in middle-aged obese Korean women. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Fifty-seven obese pre-menopausal Korean women participated in a 12-week calorie restriction program. Data on total cholesterol (TC), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), triglycerides (TG), and fasting serum levels of glucose, insulin, C-peptide, blood pressure, leptin and anthropometrics were collected. A dietary intake assessment was based on three days of food recording. Additionally, ${\beta}$-cell function [homeostasis model assessment of ${\beta}$-cell (HOMA-${\beta}$), insulinogenic index (ISI), C-peptide:glucose ratio, and area under curve insulin/glucose ($AUC_{ins/glu}$)] and insulin sensitivity [homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), Quantitative insulin-sensitivity check index (QUICKI) and Matsuda index (MI)] were recorded. RESULTS: When calories were reduced by an average of 422 kcal/day for 12 weeks, BMI (-2.7%), body fat mass (-10.2%), and waist circumference (-5%) all decreased significantly (P < 0.05). After calorie restriction, weight, body fat percentage, hip circumference, BP, TC, HDL-C, LDL-C, plasma glucose at fasting, insulin at fasting and 120 min, $AUC_{glu}$ and the insulin area under the curve all decreased significantly (all P < 0.05), while insulin sensitivity (HOMA-IR, QUICKI and Matsuda index) measured by OGTT improved significantly (P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Moderate weight loss due to caloric restriction with reduction in insulin resistance improves glucose tolerance and insulin sensitivity in middle-aged obese women and thereby may help prevent the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus.

전역 민감도 분석을 이용한 건물 에너지 성능평가의 합리적 개선 (Rational Building Energy Assessment using Global Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 유영서;이동혁;김선숙;박철수
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2020
  • The building energy performance indicator, called Energy Performance Index (EPI), has been used for the past decades in South Korea. It has a list of design variables assigned with weighting factors (a, b). Unfortunately, the current EPI method is not performance-based but very close to a prescriptive rating. With this in mind, this study aims to propose a new performance-based EPI method. For this purpose, a global sensitivity analysis method, Sobol, is employed. The Sobol method is suitable for complex nonlinear models and can decompose all the output variance due to every input. The Sobol sensitivity index of each variable is defined as 0 to 1 (0 to 100%), and the sum of all sensitivity indices is equal to 1 (100%). In this study, an office building was modeled using EnergyPlus and then the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) was conducted to generate a surrogate model to EnergyPlus. The sensitivity index was suggested to replace weight (a) in the existing EPI. In addition, the discrete weight (b) in the existing EPI was replaced by a set of continuous regression functions. Due to the introduction of the sensitivity index and the continuous regression functions, the new proposed approach can provide far more accurate outcome than the existing EPI (R2: 0.83 vs. R2: 0.01 for cooling, R2: 0.66 vs. R2: 0.01 for total energy). The new proposed approach proves to be more rational, objective and performance-based than the existing EPI method.

Sensitivity Analysis Related to Redundancy of Regular and Irregular Framed Structures after Member Disappearance

  • Ito, Takumi;Takemura, Toshinobu
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2014
  • Recently, there have been some reported examples of structural collapse due to gravity, subsequent to damage from accident or an excitation that was not prepared for in the design process. A close view of new concepts, such as a redundancy and key elements, has been taken with the aim of ensuring the robustness of a structure, even in the event of an unexpected disturbance. The author previously proposed a sensitivity index of the vertical load carrying capacity to member disappearance for framed structures. The index is defined as the ratio of the load carrying capacity after a member or a set of an adjacent member disappears, to the original load carrying capacity. The member with the highest index may be regarded as a key element. The concept of bio-mimicry is being applied to various fields of engineering, and tree-shaped structures are sometimes used for the design of building structures. In this study a sensitivity analysis is applied to the irregular-framed structures such as tree-shaped structures.

부산지역 미세먼지에 대한 건강 취약성 평가 (Health Vulnerability Assessment for PM10 in Busan)

  • 이원정;황미경;김유근
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study seeks to evaluate the vulnerability assessment of the human health sector for $PM_{10}$, which is reflected in the regional characteristics and related disease mortality rates for $PM_{10}$ in Busan over the period of 2006-2010. Methods: According to the vulnerability concept suggested by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), vulnerability to $PM_{10}$ is comprised of the categories of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. The indexes of the exposure and sensitivity categories indicate positive effects, while the adaptive capacity index indicates a negative effect on vulnerability to $PM_{10}$. Variables of each category were standardized by the rescaling method, and each regional relative vulnerability was computed through the vulnerability index calculation formula. Results: The regions with a high exposure index are Jung-Gu (transportation region) and Saha-Gu (industrial region). Major factors determining the exposure index are the $PM_{10}$ concentration, days of $PM_{10}{\geq}50$, ${\mu}g/m^3$, and $PM_{10}$ emissions. The regions that show a high sensitivity index are urban and rural regions; these commonly have a high mortality rate for related disease and vulnerable populations. The regions that have a high adaptive capacity index are Jung-Gu, Gangseo-Gu, and Busanjin-Gu, all of which have a high level of economic/welfare/health care factors. The high-vulnerability synthesis of the exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indexes show that Dong-Gu and Seo-Gu have a risk for $PM_{10}$ potential effects and a low adaptive capacity. Conclusions: This study presents the vulnerability index to $PM_{10}$ through a relative comparison using quantitative evaluation to draw regional priorities. Therefore, it provides basic data to reflect environmental health influences in favor of an adaptive policy limiting damage to human health caused by vulnerability to $PM_{10}$.

선로유효전력 Tracing과 민감도를 활용한 선로 과부하 해소 스위칭 및 모선분리 알고리즘에 관한 연구 (A Study on an Algorithm of Line Switching and Bus Separation for Alleviating Overloads by the Use of Line Power Tracing and Sensitivity)

  • 이병하;황승호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권11호
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    • pp.2007-2016
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, a new algorithm for alleviating overloads in power networks by the use of line power tracing and sensitivity is proposed to perform line switching and bus separation effectively. Also, a new bus separation index based on line power tracing is presented to find the bus to be separated for relieving overloads effectively. By applying the sensitivity of the line flow with respect to the change of the line impedance, both switching-on and switching-off of the lines for alleviating overloads in power networks are performed systematically at once. The number of the considered cases for line switching and bus separation can be greatly reduced and the best combination of line switching and bus separation can be acquired efficiently by the use of the sensitivity and the bus separation index. In order to show the effects of this algorithm, it is applied to a small scale power system of IEEE 39-bus system and practical power systems of KEPCO.

신뢰성 지수의 민감도 해석을 이용한 신뢰성에 기초한 최적설계 (Reliability-Based Optimization using Sensitivity Analysis of Reliability Index)

  • 조효남;민대홍;권우성
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2000년도 가을 학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2000
  • An optimum design algorithm using efficient reanalysis is proposed for reliability-based optimization problems formulated as the minimization of initial cost and expected failure cost with reliability constraints. The reliability-based optimization is high cost to evaluate objective function and constraints needed reliability analysis. Therefore the sensitivity analysis of reliability index for approximated reanalysis is necessary. In this paper, three solution approaches are suggested and tested. The approaches include : (1) sensitivity analysis using finite difference; (2) sensitivity analysis using automatic differentiation (AD); and (3) sensitivity analysis with respect to intermediate variables using AD. Numerical example is optimized to show the reliability and effectiveness of the new algorithm.

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아스팔트포장 평가지수의 개발 (Development of Pavement Condition Index for Asphalt Pavement)

  • 진명섭;송영우
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2004
  • 효율적인 포장의 관리를 위해서 포장상태를 객관적으로 평가하는 포장평가지수의 사용은 필수적이다. 현재 사용되고 있는 PSI, MCI, UPCI는 사용자나 관리자의 입장만을 각각 고려하여 종합적인 포장평가지수의 역할을 못하고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존 평가지수들의 문제점을 파악하고 이를 개선한 새로운 포장평가지수를 개발하였다. 또한 개발된 평가지수로 실제 포장자료를 이용하여 포장재료의 성질에 따른 지수의 민감도 분석을 실시하였다. 표층두께, 아스팔트점도, 아스팔트함량의 순서로 포장평가지수에 영향을 주었다.

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동맥혈화지표 (Arterialization Index)를 이용한 간경화증의 혈류측정 (Dynamic Hepatic Blood Flow Scan of Liver Cirrhosis by Arterialization Index)

  • 김일영;유형식;이종태;박창윤
    • 대한핵의학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 1983
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a method by which the sensitivity of radionuclide liver imaging for detection of liver cirrhosis could be enhanced. Dynamic blood flow scan were performed 21 cases of liver cirrhosis patients by using computerized gamma camera named arterialization index. The results were as follows: 1) Arterialization index were higher in liver cirrhosis comparing to normal value 0.33 and its mean is 2. 02. 2) Comparing to static liver scan, higher sensitivity in dynamic hepatic blood flow scan for detection of liver cirrhosis. Sensitivity for detection of liver cirrhosis is over 90%. 3) There are no correlation between arterialization index and serum albumin level. The use of hepatic dynamic blood flow scan proved effective in detection of liver cirrhosis. However, the test may be used as an aid in distinguishing between normal and pathologic livers.

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