• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제50권8호
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• pp.1372-1386
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• 2018

Despite recent advances in multi-hazard analysis, the complexity and inherent nature of such problems make quantification of the landslide effect in a probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of NPPs challenging. Therefore, in this paper, a practical approach was presented for performing an earthquake-induced landslide PSA for NPPs subject to seismic hazard. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, it was applied to Korean typical NPP in Korea as a numerical example. The assessment result revealed the quantitative probabilistic effects of peripheral slope failure and subsequent run-out effect on the risk of core damage frequency (CDF) of a NPP during the earthquake event. Parametric studies were conducted to demonstrate how parameters for slope, and physical relation between the slope and NPP, changed the CDF risk of the NPP. Finally, based on these results, the effective strategies were suggested to mitigate the CDF risk to the NPP resulting from the vulnerabilities inherent in adjacent slopes. The proposed approach can be expected to provide an effective framework for performing the earthquake-induced landslide PSA and decision support to increase NPP safety.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.725-745
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• 2009

In this paper, probabilistic seismic performance assessment of a typical non-seismic RC frame building representative of a large inventory of existing buildings in developing countries is conducted. Nonlinear time-history analyses of the sample building are performed with 20 large-magnitude medium distance ground motions scaled to different levels of intensity represented by peak ground acceleration and 5% damped elastic spectral acceleration at the first mode period of the building. The hysteretic model used in the analyses accommodates stiffness degradation, ductility-based strength decay, hysteretic energy-based strength decay and pinching due to gap opening and closing. The maximum inter story drift ratios obtained from the time-history analyses are plotted against the ground motion intensities. A method is defined for obtaining the yielding and collapse capacity of the analyzed structure using these curves. The fragility curves for yielding and collapse damage levels are developed by statistically interpreting the results of the time-history analyses. Hazard-survival curves are generated by changing the horizontal axis of the fragility curves from ground motion intensities to their annual probability of exceedance using the log-log linear ground motion hazard model. The results express at a glance the probabilities of yielding and collapse against various levels of ground motion intensities.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제46권5호
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• pp.699-706
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• 2014

The probabilistic seismic performance of a standard Korean nuclear power plant (NPP) with an idealized isolation is investigated in the present work. A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) of the Wolsong site on the Korean peninsula is performed by considering peak ground acceleration (PGA) as an earthquake intensity measure. A procedure is reported on the categorization and selection of two sets of ground motions of the Tohoku earthquake, i.e. long-period and common as Set A and Set B respectively, for the nonlinear time history response analysis of the base-isolated NPP. Limit state values as multiples of the displacement responses of the NPP base isolation are considered for the fragility estimation. The seismic risk of the NPP is further assessed by incorporation of the rate of frequency exceedance and conditional failure probability curves. Furthermore, this framework attempts to show the unacceptable performance of the isolated NPP in terms of the probabilistic distribution and annual probability of limit states. The comparative results for long and common ground motions are discussed to contribute to the future safety of nuclear facilities against drastic events like Tohoku.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.83-100
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• 2005

This paper presents results from a study to extend a performance-based shearwall selection procedure to take into account the contributions of nonstructural finish materials (such as stucco and gypsum wallboard), construction quality issues, and their effects on the displacement performance of engineered wood shearwalls subject to seismic loading. Shearwall performance is evaluated in terms of peak displacements under seismic loading (characterized by a suite of ordinary ground motion records) considering different combinations of performance levels (drift limits) and seismic hazard. Shearwalls are analyzed using nonlinear dynamic time-history analysis with global assembly hysteretic parameters determined by fitting to actual shearwall test data. Peak displacement distributions, determined from sets of analyses using each of the ground motion records taken to characterize the seismic hazard, are postprocessed into performance curves, design charts, and fragility curves which can be used for risk-based design and assessment applications.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.25-35
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 GIS 및 지진취약도 분석기법이 결합된 방법에 의한 교통망 시스템의 방재 시스템 구축방안의 국내 적용성을 검토하였다. 연구대상으로는 경상남도 창원시의 교통망을 선택하였고, 지진취약도 분석을 위해 먼저 창원시에 위치한 교량 8개를 선택하고 기본 외관 조사를 수행하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 교량의 FE 모델을 만들었고, 국내 표준 설계 시방서에 의한 응답스펙트럼에 기준하여 인공지진을 생성하고 비선형 해석을 수행하였다. 또한, 각 결과를 500년, 1000년 및 2400년 재현주기를 가지는 지진위험도 곡선 (Seismic Hazard Curve)과 중첩하여 각 교량의 확률적 위험도 및 교통망의 확률적 위험도를 분석하였다. 본 논문에서는 지진 취약도 분석 기법을 활용하여 교량 구조물의 지진 안전도를 분석하였고 그 결과와 GIS를 이용한 네트워크의 지진에 의한 피해를 예측하였다.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.517-524
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• 2014

구조물의 내용연수 동안 예상되는 지진에 대한 피해와 손실을 최소화하는 것이 내진설계의 최종적인 목표로 볼 수 있다. 이러한 목표를 만족시키기 위한 개념으로 지진하중에 대한 구조물의 손상확률을 나타내는 지진취약도를 작성하여 지진에 대한 구조물의 확률론적 성능평가를 수행한 후, 해당 지역에서 발생 가능한 지진에 대한 연간 초과확률로 표현되는 지진위험도를 활용하여 연간 손실 발생확률을 산정하는 절차를 제시한다. 본 연구는 미국 강진지역의 지진하중을 고려하여 설계된 철골모멘트골조에 대해 취약도를 정량적으로 평가하고 연간 손실 발생확률을 예측하다. 또한 HAZUS의 철골모멘트골조 대표건축물에 대한 손실 평가결과를 비교하였으며, 그 결과 HAZUS에 의한 연간손실이 보수적으로 산정됨을 알 수 있었다. 제시된 방법으로부터 해당 구조물의 내진성능 및 연간 손실 평가를 할 수 있으며, 향후 관련 연구에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.565-576
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• 2024

In this study, the earthquake risk assessment of single-story RC precast buildings in Turkey was carried out using loss curves. In this regard, Kocaeli, a seismically active city in the Marmara region, and this building class, which is preferred intensively, were considered. Quality and period parameters were defined based on structural and geometric properties. Depending on these parameters, nine main sub-classes were defined to represent the building stock in the region. First, considering the mean fragility curves and four different central damage ratio models, vulnerability curves for each sub-class were computed as a function of spectral acceleration. Then, probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed for stiff and soft soil conditions for different earthquake probabilities of exceedance in 50 years. In the last step, 90 loss curves were derived based on vulnerability and hazard results. Within the scope of the study, the comparative parametric evaluations for three different earthquake intensity levels showed that the structural damage ratio values for nine sub-classes changed significantly. In addition, the quality parameter was found to be more effective on a structure's damage state than the period parameter. It is evident that since loss curves allow direct loss ratio calculation for any hazard level without needing seismic hazard and damage analysis, they are considered essential tools in rapid earthquake risk estimation and mitigation initiatives.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.35-42
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• 2010

한반도의 Gutenberg-Richter b값에 관한 기존 국내 연구결과로부터 최적값을 전문가 패널을 통해 도출하였다. 전문가 패널에 의한 평가 결과, Gutenberg-Richter b값은 지진원 구역에 상관없이 한반도 전체에 걸쳐 비교적 일정하며 그의 평균값은 0.96으로 추천되었다. 지진지체구조는 4가지로 의견이 수렴되었다. 패널평가 결과를 신울진 1.2호기 원전부지에 적용하여 지진재해도에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 연구대상 부지의 평균재해도 수준은 전문가 패널평가결과 적용 이전에 비해 0.2g에서 최소 약 70-80% (0.6-0.7 order) 감소하였고, 지진재해도의 불확실성 폭은 0.2g (15%-85% 신뢰구간)에서 현저하게 감소하였다. 향후, 지진재해도분석 시 b값을 지진원 전체에 균일하게 보수적으로 0.95를 적용할 것을 제안하였다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제51권2호
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• pp.607-617
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• 2019

Global warming and climate change are increasing the intensity of typhoons and hurricanes and thus increasing the risk effects of typhoon and hurricane hazards on nuclear power plants (NPPs). To reflect these changes, a new NPP should be designed to endure design-basis hurricane wind speeds corresponding to an exceedance frequency of $10^{-7}/yr$. However, the short typhoon and hurricane observation records and uncertainties included in the inputs for an estimation cause significant uncertainty in the estimated wind speeds for return periods of longer than 100,000 years. A logic-tree framework is introduced to handle the epistemic uncertainty when estimating wind speeds. Three key parameters of a typhoon wind field model, i.e., the central pressure difference, pressure profile parameter, and radius to maximum wind, are used for constructing logic tree branches. The wind speeds of the simulated typhoons and the probable maximum wind speeds are estimated using Monte Carlo simulations, and wind hazard curves are derived as a function of the annual exceedance probability or return period. A logic tree decreases the epistemic uncertainty included in the wind intensity models and provides reasonably acceptable wind speeds.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
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• pp.97-104
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• 2000

Evaluating a Review-Level Ground Motion is a key to efficiently perform Seismic Margin Assessment of nuclear power plants whose purpose is to determine a ground motion level for which a plant has high-confidence-of-a-low-probability of seismic-induced core damage and to identify any weaker-link components. In this study a method to obtain RLGMs is reviewed which is recommended by Electric Power Research Institute and implemented to be applied to Limerick site in eastern and central U. S as a case study. This method provides reasonable and site-specific RLGMs as minimum required plant HCLPF for SMA that meet a target mean seismic core-damage frequency based on seismic hazard results and generic values of uncertainty and randomness parameters of the core-damage fragility curves. In addition high-frequency RLGM is justifiably modified to reflect the increased seismic capacity of high-frequency components and spatial variation and incoherence of input ground motion on a basemat of large structures by establishing a method to obtain high0-frequency reduction factors according to EPRI guidelines.