• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario-based

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Reusing XML Objects in Context-Aware Workflow Model for Improving the Development of Service Scenario (서비스 시나리오 개발 프로세스를 개선시키기 위한 상황인지 워크플로우 모델에서 XML 객체의 재사용)

  • Yoo, Yeon Seung;Mun, Jong Hyeok;Kim, Do Hyung;Choi, Jong Sun;Choi, Jae Young
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2020
  • In order to provide customized services according to a specific user or environment, various service scenarios should be developed based on context-aware workflow model. As the context-aware workflow model is constructed using limited context information and service information in the service domain, overlapping elements can occur in many service scenarios. The repetitive work process that results from these overlapping elements delays the development process of the service scenario. Therefore, the elements of the context-aware workflow model must be reused to solve the unnecessary work processes of service scenario development. In this paper, we propose a reuse method XML Object in context-aware workflow model to improve the process of service scenario development. The proposed method documents and manages the independent XML Object of the context-aware workflow model and reuses it by invoking the unit document in the service scenario development process. It can also be applied to new service scenarios by changing the attribute values of reusable elements. Experiments show example that the development process of the service scenario is simplified by reusing the elements of the context-aware workflow model.

An Economic Evaluation on the Direct Payment System for Environment-friendly Agriculture in Korea Using AGE Model (AGE모형을 이용한 친환경농업직불제의 경제적 성과계측)

  • Kim, Myung-Su;Lee, Young-Ho;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2016
  • This study analyses the macroeconomic effects of the direct payment system (DPS) for environment-friendly agriculture in Korea. We utilized the applied general equilibrium model (AGE model) for the general agricultural sector as well as the environmentally-friendly agricultural sector. We considered several scenarios based on various direct payment amounts to measure and analyze economic impacts. Scenario 1 considers the current direct payment system. Scenario 2 examines an additional 5% increase from the direct payment amount in scenario 1. Scenario 3 reviews an increase of 10% in direct payment amount while Scenario 4 considers an additional increase of 15% compared with Scenario 1. Lastly, scenario 5 examines a 20% increase in direct payment amounts compared with scenario 1. In addition, the baseline considers conditions prior to the introduction of the direct payment system. The simulation analysis results show that capital formation, production volume, and labor productivity increased in the environment-friendly agricultural sector. In contrast, employment in the environment-friendly agricultural sector decreased. The price of environment-friendly agricultural products following the introduction of the DPS remain consistent with the price of environment-friendly agricultural product before introducing the DPS. This results from price elasticity of supply and demand are inelastic, and there is no change in the income of consumers during the analysis period. However, additional research is necessary for improvement of the model using complementary statistical data for the environmental-friendly agriculture sector.

A Study of Future Residential Land Use Change considering Climate Change using Land Use Equilibrium Model in Jeju (토지이용균형 모델을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 주거용 토지이용변화 - 제주 지역을 대상으로 -)

  • Yoo, Somin;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Yamagata, Yoshiki;Kim, Jiyoung;Kim, Moon-Il;Lim, Chul-Hee
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2015
  • Climate change lead to environmental pollution caused by the radical economic growth and development of industry. The amount of damage from abnormal climate is increasing rapidly for this reason in Korea. In particular, the cities is a lot of carbon emission quantity from the radical growth. Thus the government present "low carbon green growth" for eco-friendly city planning. As one of the important factors effecting climate change, active researches on land use change is performed. In this study, we knew land use change of each scenarios using land use equilibrium model which is kind of predictive model of land use in Japan. First, we selected study area to Jeju lsland. For this study, indicators for input data were selected and spatial data for input data were established using GIS program. Second, we established future scenarios based in 2040s. There are 2 future scenarios: dispersion scenario, compact scenario. Third, we compared with residential area of current and residential area for future scenarios. Results showed that residential area of the difference between current and dispersion scenario were 1,230 ha and residential area of the difference between current and compact scenario were 1,515 ha. Finally, for comparing carbon dioxide absorption volume between dispersion scenarios and compact scenarios, we calculated carbon dioxide absorption volume according to residential area decreased of each future scenarios. Results showed that carbon dioxide absorption volume in dispersion scenario was 477,878 ton and carbon dioxide absorption volume in compact scenario was 588,606 ton. Therefore, the study showed that land use equilibrium model is expected to put to use for future enhancement in creating data for climate change stabilization. And it is also expected to be utilized for city planning research in Korea.

A Study on Selection of Optimal Shelters according to Dam Break Scenario Based on Continuous Rainfall Event (연속호우사상기반의 댐 붕괴 시나리오에 따른 최적대피소 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyunghun;Lim, Jonghun;Kim, Hung Soo;Shin, Soeng Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.433-447
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    • 2023
  • There is a growing demand for the stability of existing dams due to abnormal climate and the aging of dams. Emergency Action Plans (EAPs) for reservoir or dam failure only consider a single rainfall event. Therefore, this study simulates dam failure caused by continuous rainfall events, and proposes the establishment of EAP by selecting the optimal shelters. We define a mega rainfall event scenario caused by continuous rainfall events with 500-year frequency in the Chungju Dam watershed and estimate the mega flood. The mega flood event scenario is divided into two cases: scenario A represents the flooding case caused by discharge release from a dam, while scenario B is the case of a dam break. As a result of flood inundation analysis, the flooded damage area by the scenario A is 50.06 km2 and the area by the scenario B is 6.1 times of scenario A (307.45 km2). We select optimal shelters for each administrative region in the city of Chungju, which has the highest inundation rate in the urban area. Seven shelter evaluation indicators from domestic and foreign shelter selection criteria are chosen, and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is used to evaluate the alternatives. As a result of the optimal shelter selection, the six shelters are selected and five are schools. This study considers continuous rainfall events for inundation analysis and selection of optimal shelters. Also, the results of this study could be used as a reference for establishment of the EAP.

Development of Scenario-based Robot Design Process (시나리오기반 로봇디자인 프로세스의 개발)

  • Kim, Ji-Hoon;Oh, Kwang-Myung;Kim, Myung-Seok
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.02a
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    • pp.1354-1360
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    • 2006
  • 최근 놀라운 성장을 거듭하고 있는 지능형 로봇(Intelligent Robot) 기술은 기존의 주요 활용 분야였던 산업현장이나 연구실과 같은 전문가적 영역을 넘어서 지능형 엔터테인먼트(Entertainment)로봇이나 청소기 로봇의 예에서 볼 수 있듯이 인간의 주요 일상 생활 공간인 가정이나 공공기관의 서비스 분야로 점차 그 활용 영역을 넓혀가고 있다. 학습 보조 교사 도우미 로봇의 개발은 초등학교 교육 현장이 당면하고있는 각종 현안들을 로봇의 활용을 통해서 해결하고자하는 실용적인 목적에서 출발 했다. 이러한 관점에서 볼때 로봇 디자이너의 역할은 전체 개발 프로세스의 말단부에서 로봇 시스템의 외장(Appearance)을 마무리하는 역할을 넘어서 구체적 로봇시스템의 개발에 선행하여 학습보조 교사 도우미 로봇의 잠재적 활용 주체인 학생, 교사, 학부모의 입장에서 각 주체들의 내재적, 외재적 욕구를 효과적으로 만족 시킬 수있는 활용 시나리오(Application Scenario)를 도출, 개발 프로세스 전반에 걸쳐 각 개발 주체들에게 일관된 비젼(vision)과 이미지(image)를 제시하는것이라고 생각되었다. 본연구에서는 학습보조 교사 도우미 로봇 디자인 과제에 있어서 사용자 관찰(User Observation), 유저 다이어리(User Diary), 포커스그룹 인터뷰(F.G.I)등을 바탕으로 로봇의 역할 모델중심, 서비스 영역 중심, 초등학교 교육이념 구현 중심 등 3가지의 서로 다른 컨셉의 로봇 활용 시나리오(Application Scenario)를 제안하였다. 본 연구 결과는 현재 초기 단계에 있는 로봇 디자인 분야의 현실을 감안할때 전체 로봇 개발 프로세스내에서의 향후 산업 디자인이 수행해야 할 역할을 명확하게 보여준다는 점에서 그 의의가 있으며 관련 분야의 연구 활성화에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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A Study on the Indoor Evacuation Using Matsim (활동기반 교통모형 MATSim을 이용한 실내 피난 분석)

  • Kim, Joo young;Lee, Seung jae;Ahn, Chi won
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 2018
  • It is important to conduct various analyzes to evacuate occupants in advance, because the disaster can cause serious injury. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze all the predictable scenarios that may occur. In this study, we propose a method to analyze the evacuation of indoor disaster using activity - based transport model MATSim. We have developed the university building as target area and simulated about 5,000 occupants. The analysis scenarios are set as basic evacuation conditions, exit closures and emergency stair closures. As a result of analysis of each scenario, the evacuation time was analyzed to be about 5:40(340s) in the base scenario, increased by 15% in the scenario 2 and increased by 23% in scenario 3. As a result of this study, we suggest that it is important to manage illegal obstacles of emergency stairs for rapid evacuation. Therefore, this study can contribute to the effective disaster prevention strategy of the building.

UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF TMI-2 ACCIDENT SCENARIO USING SIMULATION BASED TECHNIQUES

  • Rao, R. Srinivasa;Kumar, Abhay;Gupta, S.K.;Lele, H.G.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.7
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    • pp.807-816
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    • 2012
  • The Three Mile Island Unit 2 (TMI-2) accident has been studied extensively, as part of both post-accident technical assessment and follow-up computer code calculations. The models used in computer codes for severe accidents have improved significantly over the years due to better understanding. It was decided to reanalyze the severe accident scenario using current state of the art codes and methodologies. This reanalysis was adopted as a part of the joint standard problem exercise for the Atomic Energy Regulatory Board (AERB) - United States Regulatory Commission (USNRC) bilateral safety meet. The accident scenario was divided into four phases for analysis viz., Phase 1 covers from the accident initiation to the shutdown of the last Reactor Coolant Pumps (RCPs) (0 to 100 min), Phase 2 covers initial fuel heat up and core degradation (100 to 174 min), Phase 3 is the period of recovery of the core water level by operating the reactor coolant pump, and the core reheat that followed (174 to 200 min) and Phase 4 covers refilling of the core by high pressure injection (200 to 300 min). The base case analysis was carried out for all four phases. The majority of the predicted parameters are in good agreement with the observed data. However, some parameters have significant deviations compared to the observed data. These discrepancies have arisen from uncertainties in boundary conditions, such as makeup flow, flow during the RCP 2B transient (Phase 3), models used in the code, the adopted nodalisation schemes, etc. In view of this, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses are carried out using simulation based techniques. The paper deals with uncertainty and sensitivity analyses carried out for the first three phases of the accident scenario.

Foresight study on the Overseas Export of Nuclear Power Plants (시나리오 기반 미래원전산업의 환경변화 전망 및 수출전략 도출)

  • Hwang, Byung Yong;Choi, Han Lim;Lee, Yong Suk
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2012
  • This study conducted a qualitative analysis on the Korea's nuclear energy sector in 2030 through scenario-based strategic foresight method. Specifically, the relationships between environmental influencing factors of the future nuclear energy sector was examined from a multi-dimensional perspective on the basis of STEEP analysis and network analysis. In addition, scenario planning method was used with key uncertainty factors (KUF) to create three predictable strategic scenarios including optimistic, business as usual, and pessimistic. Common strategies that need to be urgently pursued as well as the maximum risk avoidance strategies for each scenario were also presented. This study further identified energy pricing, global economic trend, competitiveness in nuclear technology, and marketing capability as key uncertainty factors in the future nuclear energy industry sector. In order to furnish effective export strategy in the future nuclear energy sector, it was also suggested that government policy should adopt following measures as top priorities: securing nuclear safety technology, educating nuclear engineers, securing nuclear resources such as uranium, increasing nuclear capability and so on. The implications and limitations of this study were then discussed based on research findings.

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The Growth of Mobile Advertising and the Future of the Advertising Industry (모바일광고의 성장과 광고산업의 미래)

  • Lee, Chi-Hyung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2016
  • The advertising media is undergoing a dramatic change mainly due to the increased use of smartphone. This study predicts the future of the advertising industry driven by the mobile advertising using scenario planning. Targeting technologies, restriction on the use of personal information, and overcoming ad avoidance were selected as key uncertain variables expected to impact on the growth of the mobile advertising 5 years later. With the support by expert interviews, the $2{\times}2$ matric combines two cases to generate four scenarios; the one whether mobile ads surpass PC-based online ads, the other whether the combined force of mobile and PC-based ads surpass the traditional media in advertising spendings. Each scenario is articulated according to the future of key variables. The most likely scenario is that mobile will dominate the advertising media market. However, it is important not to ignore different scenarios because key variables evolves in unexpected manner and then they can become reality. The future research will combine its key variables with social and economic ones and segment technical variables in more details.

A Study on Future System Construction Using WSCR Strengthness Index based on Python (Python 기반 WSCR 강건 지수를 이용한 미래계통 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Seong-Jun;Hur, Jin;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Cho, Yoon-Sung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.8
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    • pp.994-1001
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, to studied about future power system construction using PSS / E-Python API. Python-based future system automatical construction methods and modeling of renewable sources. it confirmed the stability of the powert system for each renewable area by calculating the weighted short circuit ratio (WSCR) index. it calculated the short circuit ratio (SCR) and selected the transmission line linkage scenario to improve the stability of vulnerable areas. it confirmed the WSCR index improvement through the selected transmission line linkage of scenario, and analyzed the stability of the renewable power system applying the scenario. It describes Facts and Shunt devices adjustment for the load flow convergence. It describes the stable methed of the bus voltage through the transformer Ratio Tap adjustment. By performing PSS/E ASCC using the Python it was performed three-phase short circuit fault capacity analysis, it is confirmed whether excess of the fault current circuit breaker capacity. In order to contingency accident analysis, it have described the generation of one or two line list of each areas using the Python. The list is used to contingency analysis and describe the soluted of the transmission line overload through comparison before and after adding the scenario line.