• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario-based

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MODELING OF HUMAN INDUCED CO2 EMISSION BY ASSIMILATING GIS AND SOC10-ECONIMICAL DATA TO SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR OECD AND NON-OECD COUNTRIES

  • Goto, Shintaro
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 1998
  • Using GIS and socio-economical data the relationship between human activities and global environmental change Is Analysed from the view point of food productivity and CO2 emission. Under the assumption that the population problem, the food problem and global warming due to energy consumption can be stabilized through managing land use, impacts of human activities such as consumption of food, energy and timber on global environment changes, and global population capacity are Analysed using developed system dynamics model in the research. In the model the world is divided into two groups: OECD countries and the others. Used global land use data set Is land cover map derived from satellite data, and potential distribution of arable land is estimated by the method of Clamor and Solomon which takes into consideration spatial distribution of climate data such as precipitation and evapotranspiration. In addition, impacts of CO2 emission from human activities on food production through global warming are included in the model as a feedback. The results of the analysis for BaU scenario and Toronto Conference scenario are similar to the results of existing models. From the result of this study, the human habitability in 2020 is 8 billion people, and CO2 emission in 2020 based on BaU Scenario and on Toronto Scenario is 1.7 and 1.2 times more than the 1986's respectively. Improving spatial resolution of the model by using global data to distribute the environmental variables and sauce-economical indices is left for further studies.

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Forecasting the Environmental Change of Technological Innovation System in South Korea in the COVID-19 Era

  • Kim, Youbean;Park, Soyeon;Kwon, Ki-Seok
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2020
  • Korean economy has experienced a very rapid growth largely due to the change of the innovation system since the last half century. The recent outbreak of COVID-19 impacts the global economy as well as Korea's innovation system. In order to understand the influence of the shock to the Korean technological system, we have forecast the future of the system combining qualitative and quantitative techniques such as expert panel, cross impact analysis, and scenario planning. According to the results, we have identified 39 driving forces influencing the change of Korea's technological innovation system. Four scenarios have been suggested based on the predetermined factors and core uncertainties. In other words, uncertainties of emergence of the regions and global value chains generate four scenarios: regional growth, unstable hope, returning to the past, and regional conflicts. The 'regional growth' scenario is regarded as the most preferable, whereas the 'regional conflicts' scenario is unavoidable. In conclusion, we put forward some policy implications to boost the regional innovation system by exploiting the weakened global value chains in order to move on to the most preferable scenario away from the return to the past regime.

A MMORPG Game Scenario Development with Script DB (스크립트 DB를 이용한 MMORPG의 게임 시나리오 개발)

  • Song, Hyun-Joo;Rhee, Dae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2006
  • The game has both directionalities that users are to choose and act accordingly. In this regard, the game scenario goes beyond just conveying the story, and trains users and guide them in playing the Same. However, this Same scenario is huge in size and every event is linked with each other so that it was rather difficult to have it made in practice. A study proposes that a script, the minimum unit, is built into a database, and based on which, quests are made, then the resulting quests are built back into a database. Scripts are classified into text, graphic and sound type and these are positioned in accordance with the quest structure. With this method, one can re-use the existing scenarios and can overcome the negatives of irregular qualities of scenarios.

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A Study on Development of High Risk Test Scenario and Evaluation from Field Driving Conditions for Autonomous Vehicle (실도로 주행 조건 기반의 자율주행자동차 고위험도 평가 시나리오 개발 및 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Seunghwan;Ryu, Je Myoung;Chung, Nakseung;Yu, Minsang;Pyun, Moo Song;Kim, Jae Bu
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2018
  • Currently, a lot of researches about high risk test scenarios for autonomous vehicle and advanced driver assistance systems have been carried out to evaluate driving safety. This study proposes new type of test scenario that evaluate the driving safety for autonomous vehicle by reconstructing accident database of national automotive sampling system crashworthiness data system (NASS-CDS). NASS-CDS has a lot of detailed accident data in real fields, but there is no data of accurate velocity in accident moments. So in order to propose scenario generation method from accident database, we try to reconstruct accident moment from accident sketch diagram. At the same step, we propose an accident of occurrence frequency which is based on accident codes and road shapes. The reconstruction paths from accident database are integrated into evaluation of simulation environment. Our proposed methods and processor are applied to MILS (Model In the Loop Simulation) and VILS (Vehicle In the Loop Simulation) test environments. In this paper, a reasonable method of accident reconstruction typology for autonomous vehicle evaluation of feasibility is proposed.

Modelsfor Disaster Prevention Education and Training and Scenario for Training on Volcanic Ash Fall (재난재해 교육, 대응훈련 모델과 화산재 대비 훈련 시나리오)

  • Chang, Eunmi;Park, Yongjae;Park, Kyeong
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.97-113
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    • 2018
  • Low-frequency geological natural disaster events such as Pohang earthquake have been occurred. As a results, there's a growing recognition on the importance of education and training for low frequency geological disasters in Korea. In spite of many years of scientific researches on volcanic disaster prevention and preparedness on Baekdusan volcano, the results do not provide the proper scenario for the training for volcanic ash event. Fall 3D volcanic ash diffusion model was run based on wind field data for the last five year, assuming Aso Mountain's explosion with volcanic explosion index 5 for seventy two hours. The management criteria values for proper actions in the previous studies were applied to make a scenario for thirteen groups of the disaster response teams such as train transportation, water supply, electrical facilities and human health. The models on the relationship between education and training for disaster prevention and response were suggested to fulfill the scientific and practical training at local level.

An Watermarking Algorithm for Multimodal Biometric Systems (다중 생체인식 시스템에 적합한 워터마킹 알고리즘)

  • Moon, Dae-Sung;Jung, Seung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Hae;Chung, Yong-Wha;Moon, Ki-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we describe biometric watermarking techniques for secure user verification on the remote, multimodal biometric system employing both fingerprint and face information, and compare their effects on verification accuracy quantitatively. To hide biometric data with watermarking techniques, we first consider possible two scenarios. In the scenario 1, we use a fingerprint image as a cover work and hide facial features into it. On the contrary, we hide fingerprint features into a facial image in the Scenario 2. Based on the experimental results, we confirm that the Scenario 2 is superior to the Scenario 1 in terms of the verification accuracy of the watermarking image.

A Study on the Development of Cabin Safety Learning Contents Using Virtual Reality Technology (VR) (가상현실 기술을 활용한 객실안전 학습 콘텐츠 개발 연구)

  • Ha-Young Kim;Jung-Hwa You
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to develop and technically implement the design and scenario of cabin safety contents for virtual reality (VR)-based cabin safety learning for aviation service majors. The process for developing VR cabin safety learning contents consisted of a total of four stages: learning stage, research stage, verification stage, and application stage. The cabin safety scenario items for the production of VR learning contents reflected the occurrence of an emergency, the procedure for survival from impact, and the evacuation procedure from the aircraft as the core. For the technical implementation of learning contents, modeling work is conducted by checking scenario reviews, types and numbers of objects related to equipment and facilities, and items of interaction. In addition, the connection work with the actual metaverse platform is carried out to enable the utilization of the manufactured facilities and equipment objects. Finally, application tests were carried out to reconfirm supplementary items.

A Preliminary Study of the Global Application of HAZUS and ShakeMap for Loss Estimation from a Scenario Earthquake in the Korean Peninsular (지진재해예측을 위한 HAZUS와 ShakeMap의 한반도에서의 적용가능성 연구)

  • Kang, Su-Young;Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kim, Dong-Choon;Yoo, Hai-Soo;Min, Dong-Joo;Suk, Bong-Chool
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.152-155
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    • 2007
  • Efficiency and limitations of HAZUS-MH, a GIS based systematic and informative system developed by FEMA and NIBS for natural hazard loss estimations, are discussed by means of a pilot study in the Korean Peninsular. Gyeongsang-do has been selected for the test after careful reviews of previous studies including historical and modern seismicity in the peninsular. A ShakeMap for the selected scenario earthquake with magnitude 6.7 in Gyeongju area is prepared. Then, any losses due to the scenario event have been estimated using HAZUS. Results of the pilot test show that the study area may experience significant physical, economic and social damages. Detailed study in the future will provide efficient and crucial information to the decision makers and emergency agents to mitigate any disaster posed by natural hazards.

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Scenario Framework for ERP Testing and Training;SF-ETT

  • Park, Gwang-Ho;Kim, Ho-Taek;An, Yun-Ji
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.316-321
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    • 2007
  • Effective Training has been recognized as one of the most important success factors for enterprise resource planning (ERP) system operations. However, both ERP system vendors and user companies have failed to provide an effective training method for users because practical business process cases cannot be formalized. Also, incomplete testing by ERP system vendors results in insufficient and ineffective user training. This paper suggests a scenario framework for ERP testing and training (SF-ETT). SF-ETT is constructed by expanding the practice-based ERP testing scenario construction framework designed for uniERPII. SF-ETT contains concrete business process entities that users understand actually and provides practice definition, notation, and architecture.

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JavaBeans-based Simulation Environment for System Architecture (아키텍쳐 유효성 검토를 위한 자바빈즈 컴포넌트 기반의 시뮬레이션 도구)

  • 황영석;정재호;이강선
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문에서는 UML의 배치 다이어그램이 가지는 런타임 아키텍쳐 정보를 통해 시뮬레이션 모델을 구성하고, 이 모델을 실제 시뮬레이션하여 구현 단계 이전에 시스템 아키텍쳐의 유효성과 성능 정보를 검토하는 CoSim(Hardware Software Co-Simulator System)을 제시한다. CoSim은 자바빈즈 컴포넌트 기반으로, 크게 Modeler, Translator, Scenario로 구성된다. 시스템 개발자는 Modeler를 이용하여 시뮬레이션 모델을 작성하며, Translator는 모델에 대한 시뮬레이션 자바 코드를 생성하고, 그 결과물을 바탕으로 Scenario는 비주얼한 정보를 제공한다. 따라서 모델이 실제 플랫폼 상에서 작동되기 이전에 아키텍쳐 성능에 관련된 유용한 정보를 제공하여 개발 위험도를 감소시키고 비용의 절감을 가져 올 수 있다. CoSim은 Modeler, Translator, Scenario 별로 자바빈즈 컴포넌트 라이브러리를 제공함으로써 모델링의 재사용성과 확장성 및 생산성을 높여 줄 수 있다.

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