• Title/Summary/Keyword: scale models

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Development and Evaluation of Electronic Health Record Data-Driven Predictive Models for Pressure Ulcers (전자건강기록 데이터 기반 욕창 발생 예측모델의 개발 및 평가)

  • Park, Seul Ki;Park, Hyeoun-Ae;Hwang, Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.575-585
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence using electronic health record (EHR) data and to compare their predictive validity performance indicators with that of the Braden Scale used in the study hospital. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital in Korea. Data of 202 pressure ulcer patients and 14,705 non-pressure ulcer patients admitted between January 2015 and May 2016 were extracted from the EHRs. Three predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence were developed using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree modeling. The predictive validity performance indicators of the three models were compared with those of the Braden Scale. Results: The logistic regression model was most efficient with a high area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) estimate of 0.97, followed by the decision tree model (AUC 0.95), Cox proportional hazards regression model (AUC 0.95), and the Braden Scale (AUC 0.82). Decreased mobility was the most significant factor in the logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, and the endotracheal tube was the most important factor in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Predictive validity performance indicators of the Braden Scale were lower than those of the logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree models. The models developed in this study can be used to develop a clinical decision support system that automatically assesses risk for pressure ulcers to aid nurses.

Lattice-spring-based synthetic rock mass model calibration using response surface methodology

  • Mariam, Al-E'Bayat;Taghi, Sherizadeh;Dogukan, Guner;Mostafa, Asadizadeh
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.529-543
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    • 2022
  • The lattice-spring-based synthetic rock mass model (LS-SRM) technique has been extensively employed in large open-pit mining and underground projects in the last decade. Since the LS-SRM requires a complex and time-consuming calibration process, a robust approach was developed using the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) to optimize the calibration procedure. For this purpose, numerical models were designed using the Box-Behnken Design technique, and numerical simulations were performed under uniaxial and triaxial stress states. The model input parameters represented the models' micro-mechanical (lattice) properties and the macro-scale properties, including uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), elastic modulus, cohesion, and friction angle constitute the output parameters of the model. The results from RSM models indicate that the lattice UCS and lattice friction angle are the most influential parameters on the macro-scale UCS of the specimen. Moreover, lattice UCS and elastic modulus mainly control macro-scale cohesion. Lattice friction angle (flat joint fiction angle) and lattice elastic modulus affect the macro-scale friction angle. Model validation was performed using physical laboratory experiment results, ranging from weak to hard rock. The results indicated that the RSM model could be employed to calibrate LS-SRM numerical models without a trial-and-error process.

Stochastic simulation based on copula model for intermittent monthly streamflows in arid regions

  • Lee, Taesam;Jeong, Changsam;Park, Taewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.488-488
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    • 2015
  • Intermittent streamflow is common phenomenon in arid and semi-arid regions. To manage water resources of intermittent streamflows, stochactic simulation data is essential; however the seasonally stochastic modeling for intermittent streamflow is a difficult task. In this study, using the periodic Markov chain model, we simulate intermittent monthly streamflow for occurrence and the periodic gamma autoregressive and copula models for amount. The copula models were tested in a previous study for the simulation of yearly streamflow, resulting in successful replication of the key and operational statistics of historical data; however, the copula models have never been tested on a monthly time scale. The intermittent models were applied to the Colorado River system in the present study. A few drawbacks of the PGAR model were identified, such as significant underestimation of minimum values on an aggregated yearly time scale and restrictions of the parameter boundaries. Conversely, the copula models do not present such drawbacks but show feasible reproduction of key and operational statistics. We concluded that the periodic Markov chain based the copula models is a practicable method to simulate intermittent monthly streamflow time series.

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MULTI-SCALE THERMAL-HYDRAULIC ANALYSIS OF PWRS USING THE CUPID CODE

  • Yoon, Han Young;Cho, Hyoung Kyu;Lee, Jae Ryong;Park, Ik Kyu;Jeong, Jae Jun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.831-846
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    • 2012
  • KAERI has developed a two-phase CFD code, CUPID, for a refined calculation of transient two-phase flows related to nuclear reactor thermal hydraulics, and its numerical models have been verified in previous studies. In this paper, the CUPID code is validated against experiments on the downcomer boiling and moderator flow in a Calandria vessel. Physical models relevant to the validation are discussed. Thereafter, multi-scale thermal hydraulic analyses using the CUPID code are introduced. At first, a component-scale calculation for the passive condensate cooling tank (PCCT) of the PASCAL experiment is linked to the CFD-scale calculation for local boiling heat transfer outside the heat exchanger tube. Next, the Rossendorf coolant mixing (ROCOM) test is analyzed by using the CUPID code, which is implicitly coupled with a system-scale code, MARS.

The development of Governor models for implementation into EMTDC and the verification of Governor models using GSTEP (EMTDC용 조속기 모델 개발 및 GSTEP을 이용한 검증)

  • Hur, J.;Kim, D.J.;Yoon, J.Y.;Moon, Y.H.;Lee, J.;Yoon, Y.B.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.07a
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    • pp.71-74
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    • 2001
  • In general, the PSS/E program based on RMS mathematical models is used for analyzing the steady state and transient stability phenomena of full-scale large power system. Whereas, the EMTDC program unlike PSS/E, studies the specific reduced small-scale power systems as a basis of instantaneous value mathematical models and used to analyze the Electro-Magnetic transient characteristics. The PSS/E provides various control models such as exciter, governor and PSS models, But there are few control models in EMTDC. In this paper, we developed EMTDC models for governor which have been applied in KEPCO system. The EMTDC models are developed by examining PSS/E control block and using User Define Model in addition to default.lib provided by EMTDC. we verify the correctness of developed governor models with PSS/E and EMTDC simulation results using Governor Step(GSTEP) method.

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Numerical Simulation of Mechanical Behavior of Composite Structures by Supercomputing Technology

  • Kim, Seung-Jo;Ji, Kuk-Hyun;Paik, Seung-Hoon
    • Advanced Composite Materials
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.373-407
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    • 2008
  • This paper will examine the possibilities of the virtual tests of composite structures by simulating mechanical behaviors by using supercomputing technologies, which have now become easily available and powerful but relatively inexpensive. We will describe mainly the applications of large-scale finite element analysis using the direct numerical simulation (DNS), which describes composite material properties considering individual constituent properties. DNS approach is based on the full microscopic concepts, which can provide detailed information about the local interaction between the constituents and micro-failure mechanisms by separate modeling of each constituent. Various composite materials such as metal matrix composites (MMCs), active fiber composites (AFCs), boron/epoxy cross-ply laminates and 3-D orthogonal woven composites are selected as verification examples of DNS. The effective elastic moduli and impact structural characteristics of the composites are determined using the DNS models. These DNS models can also give the global and local information about deformations and influences of high local in-plane and interlaminar stresses induced by transverse impact loading at a microscopic level inside the materials. Furthermore, the multi-scale models based on DNS concepts considering microscopic and macroscopic structures simultaneously are also developed and a numerical low-velocity impact simulation is performed using these multi-scale DNS models. Through these various applications of DNS models, it can be shown that the DNS approach can provide insights of various structural behaviors of composite structures.

Mechanical Properties of Hydrated Cement Paste: Development of Structure-property Relationships

  • Ghebrab, Tewodros T.;Soroushian, Parviz
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2010
  • Theoretical models based on modern interpretations of the morphology and interactions of cement hydration products are developed for prediction of the mechanical properties of hydrated cement paste (hcp). The models are based on the emerging nanostructural vision of calcium silicate hydrate (C-S-H) morphology, and account for the intermolecular interactions between nano-scale calcium C-S-H particles. The models also incorporate the effects of capillary porosity and microcracking within hydrated cement paste. The intrinsic modulus of elasticity and tensile strength of hydrated cement paste are determined based on intermolecular interactions between C-S-H nano-particles. Modeling of fracture toughness indicates that frictional pull-out of the micro-scale calcium hydroxide (CH) platelets makes major contributions to the fracture energy of hcp. A tensile strength model was developed for hcp based on the linear elastic fracture mechanics theories. The predicted theoretical models are in reasonable agreements with empirical models developed based on the experimental performance of hcp.

An Empirical Study on Faults Prediction for Large Scale Telecommunication Software (대규모 통신 소프트웨어의 결함 수 예측에 관한 사례 연구)

  • Park, Young-Sik;Yoon, Byeong-Nam;Lim, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we consider the change request data collected from the system test of a large-scale telecommunication software and analyze the types and causes of failures. And we develop statistical models that incorporate a functional relation between the faults and some software metrics. To this end, we consider three possible regression models including a stepwise regression model and two nonlinear models. Three developed models are evaluated with respect to the predictive quality. We also discuss the advantage of proposed models and the application of our model to a new project.

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An Experimental Study on the Furniture Choice and Arrangement Using Scale Down Models according to the Size of Space (축소모형을 이용한 평형별 가구선택과 배치에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • 임소연;안옥희
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 1995
  • The Plan for effective usage of living room must be suggested because families primarily use living room for public space. And from the viewpoint of function and decoration. the kind of furniture. furniture occupancy quantity. and the arrangement of furniture have much affect on using a dwelling space. So this study will suggest basic data for a good furniture usage through experiment using scale down models. To analyze the data. frequency and percentage were used by running SPSS $PC^+$ program. The major results are as follows. In an experiment using living room and furniture models(Scale 1/20). according to the size of space. TV sizes and furniture occupancy quantity were in proportion to size and space of the living room. Also they chose various types of tea-table and side-tables. In small spaces. subjects chose simple arrangement types (no sofa or I type sofa and cabinet). but in large spaces. they chose \ulcorner type or \ulcorner type sofa and cabinet.

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Comparison of several computational turbulence models with full-scale measurements of flow around a building

  • Wright, N.G.;Easom, G.J.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.305-323
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    • 1999
  • Accurate turbulence modeling is an essential prerequisite for the use of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) in Wind Engineering. At present the most popular turbulence model for general engineering flow problems is the ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}$ model. Models such as this are based on the isotropic eddy viscosity concept and have well documented shortcomings (Murakami et al. 1993) for flows encountered in Wind Engineering. This paper presents an objective assessment of several available alternative models. The CFD results for the flow around a full-scale (6 m) three-dimensional surface mounted cube in an atmospheric boundary layer are compared with recently obtained data. Cube orientations normal and skewed at $45^{\circ}$ to the incident wind have been analysed at Reynolds at Reynolds number of greater than $10^6$. In addition to turbulence modeling other aspects of the CFD procedure are analysed and their effects are discussed.