• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.243-252
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• 2001

The points of failure of a decomposition process are defined to be the union of the points of failure from two component point processes for software reliability systems. Because sampling from the likelihood function of the decomposition model is difficulty, Gibbs Sampler can be applied in a straightforward manner. A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with data augmentation is developed to compute the features of the posterior distribution. For model determination, we explored the prequential conditional predictive ordinate criterion that selects the best model with the largest posterior likelihood among models using all possible subsets of the component intensity functions. A numerical example with a simulated data set is given.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.141-150
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 매우 민감한 조사에서 모집단이 양적속성을 갖는 여러 개의 집락으로 구성되어 있을 때, 집락을 추출단위로 하는 단순집락추출법에 양적속성의 무관질문모형을 적용하였다. 그리고, 일정한 비용하에서 분산을 최소로 하는 집락의 크기와 표본집락의 수의 최적값을 구하여 최소분산의 형태를 도출하였다. 또한, 제안한 단순집략추출법에 의한 무관질문모형과 단순임의 추출법에 의한 무관질문모형과의 효율성을 비교해 보았다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.177-198
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• 2002

The estimation of variance components or variance ratios in linear model is an important issue in plant or animal breeding fields, and various estimation methods have been devised to estimate variance components or variance ratios. However, many traits of economic importance in those fields are observed as dichotomous or polychotomous outcomes. The usual estimation methods might not be appropriate for these cases. Recently threshold linear model is considered as an important tool to analyze discrete traits specially in animal breeding field. In this note, we consider a hierarchical Bayesian method for the threshold animal model. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about random effects as well as fixed effects is described to analyze jointly discrete traits and continuous traits. Numerical example of the model with two discrete ordered categorical traits, calving ease of calves from born by heifer and calving ease of calf from born by cow, and one normally distributed trait, birth weight, is provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.119-133
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• 1999

마코브체인 몬테칼로 방법을 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 이용하였다. 베이지안 추론에서 조건부 분포를 가지고 사후분포를 결정하는데 있어서의 계산 문제를 고찰하였다. 특히 레코드값을 통계량을 갖고서 혼합과정과 중첩과정에 대하여 깁스샘플링 알고리즘과 메트로폴리스 알고리즘을 활용하여 베이지안 계산과 모형 선택을 제시하고 모의실험자료를 이용하여 수치적 인 계산을 시행하고 그 결과를 비교하였다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1544-1550
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• 2014

In this paper, an adaptive optimization strategy utilizing Kriging model and genetic algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of electromagnetic devices. The ordinary Kriging assisted by the spherical covariance model is used to construct surrogate models. In order to improve the computational efficiency, the adaptive uniform sampling strategy is applied to generate sampling points in design space. Through several iterations and gradual refinement process, the global optimal point can be found by genetic algorithm. The proposed algorithm is validated by application to the optimal design of a switched reluctance motor, where the stator pole face and shape of pole shoe attached to the lateral face of the rotor pole are optimized to reduce the torque ripple.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제10D권5호
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• pp.805-812
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 비동질 포아송 과정(NHPP)에 기초한 소프트웨어 에러 현상에 대한 신뢰도 모형을 고려하고 사전정보(Prior information)를 이용한 베이지안 추론을 시행하였다. 고장 패턴은 NHPP에 대한 강도함수와 평균값 함수로서 나타낼 수 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 대수형 포아송 실행시간 모형(Logarithmic Poisson model), Crow 모형 그리고 Rayleigh 모형에 대하여 베이지안 모수 추정방법을 적용하였다. 효율적 모형을 위하여 이들 모형에 관한 모형선택을 편차자승합(SSE)의 합을 이용하여 시행하였고 모수의 추정을 위해서 마코브체인 몬테카를로(MCMC) 기법중에 하나인 깁스샘플링(Gibbs sampling)과 메트로폴리스 알고리즘을 이용한 근사추정 기법이 사용되었다. 수치적인 예에서는 Musa의 T1 자료를 이용하여 모수 및 신뢰도를 추정한 수치 결과론 나열하였다.

• 한국산업보건학회지
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.208-218
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• 2014

Objectives: The major objective of this study was to develop and validate a tier 1 exposure model utilizing worker exposure monitoring data and characteristics of worker activities routinely performed at construction sites, in order to estimate worker exposures without sampling. Methods: The Registration, Evaluation, Authorization and Restriction of Chemicals(REACH) system of the European Union(EU) allows the usage of exposure models for anticipating chemical exposure of manufacturing workers and consumers. Several exposure models have been developed such as Advanced REACH Tools(ART). The ART model is based on structured subjective assessment model. Using the same framework, a tier 1 exposure model has been developed. Worker activities at construction sites have been analyzed and modifying factors have been assigned for each activity. Korean Occupational Safety and Health Agency(KOSHA) accrued work exposure monitoring data for the last 10 years, which were retrieved and converted into exposure scores. A separate set of sampling data were collected to validate the developed exposure model. These algorithm have been realized on Excel spreadsheet for convenience and easy access. Results: The correlation coefficient of the developed model between exposure scores and monitoring data was 0.36, which is smaller than those of EU models(0.6~0.7). One of the main reasons explaining the discrepancy is poor description on worker activities in KOSHA database. Conclusions: The developed tier 1 exposure model can help industrial hygienists judge whether or not air sampling is required or not.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제10권5호
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• pp.117-124
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• 2011

Tire's performance plays important roles in improving vehicle's performances. Tire makers carry out a lot of research to improve tire's performance. They are making effort to meet multi purposes using various optimization methods. Recently, the tire makers perform the shape optimization using approximation models, which are surrogate models obtained by statistical method. Generally, the reason why we increase sampling points during optimization process, is to get more reliable approximation models, but the more we adopt sampling points, the more we need time to test. So it is important to select approximation model and proper number of sampling points to balance between reliability and time consuming. In this research, we studied to compare two kind cases for a approximation construction. First, we compare RSM and Kriging which are Curve Fitting Method and Interpolation Method, respectively. Second, we construct approximation models using three different number of sampling points. And then, we recommend proper approximation model and orthogonal array adopt tire's design optimization.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제20권12호
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• pp.89-98
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• 2022

Purpose: Due to the rapid growth of e-commerce in Thailand, the operational excellence of distribution service providers has been elevated. Thus, this research investigated the key drivers of operational performance of e-commerce distributors in Thailand. The research contains key variables: the analytics capabilities of an organization, supply chain disruption orientation, innovation capability, and operational performance. Research design, data, and methodology: An online survey is administered to top managers and key personnel (N=425) employed for at least one year in Thailand's top five e-commerce distributors. The sampling methods were conducted using purposive sampling, quota sampling, and convenience sampling. Confirmatory Factor Analysis and Structural Equation Model were applied to analyze and confirm the model's goodness-of-fit and hypothesis testing. Results: The findings reveal that an organization's analytics capabilities significantly affect supply chain disruption orientation and supply chain resilience. Furthermore, operational performance is affected by supply chain disruption, supplier quality management, and innovation capability. Nevertheless, supply chain resilience and digital supply chain have no significant effect on operational performance. Conclusions: The results imply that supply chain digitalization could drive higher operational performance. Distribution businesses are encountering transformation and disruption, which should address the high level of a digital supply chain, innovation, and quality management to maximize their profit margin and delivery service quality.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.21-34
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• 2018

Discontinuities considerably affect the mechanical and hydraulic properties of rock mass. These properties of the rock mass are influenced by the geometry of the discontinuities to a great extent. This paper aims to render an account of the geometrical parameters of several discontinuity sets related to the surrounding rock mass of Rudbar Lorestan Pumped Storage Power Plant powerhouse cavern making use of the linear and areal (circular and rectangular) sampling methods. Taking into consideration quite a large quantity of scanline and the window samplings used in this research, it was realized that the areal sampling methods are more time consuming and cost-effective than the linear methods. Having corrected the biases of the geometrical properties of the discontinuities, density (areal and volumetric) as well as the linear, areal and volumetric intensity accompanied by the other properties related to four sets of discontinuities were computed. There is an acceptable difference among the mean trace lengths measured using two linear and areal methods for the two joint sets. A 3D discrete fracture network generation code (3DFAM) has been developed to model the fracture network based on the mapped data. The code has been validated on the basis of numerous geometrical characteristics computed by use of the linear, areal sampling methods and volumetric method. Results of the linear sampling method have significant variations. So, the areal and volumetric methods are more efficient than the linear method and they are more appropriate for validation of 3D DFN (Discrete Fracture Network) codes.