• Title/Summary/Keyword: runoff modeling

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Application Analysis of HSPF Model Considering Watershed Scale in Hwang River Basin (황강유역에서의 유역규모를 고려한 HSPF 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Choi, Hyun Gu;Han, Kun Yeun;Hwangbo, Hyun;Cho, Wan Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.509-521
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate overall reliability and applicability of the watershed modeling for systematic management of point and non-point sources via water quality analysis and prediction of runoff discharge within watershed. Recently, runoff characteristics and pollutant characteristics have been changing in watershed by anomaly climate and urbanization. In this study, the effects of watershed scale were analyzed in runoff and water quality modeling using HSPF. In case of correlation coefficient, its range was from 0.936 to 0.984 in case A(divided - 2 small watersheds). On the other hand, its range was form 0.840 to 0.899 in case B(united - 1 watershed). In case of Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient, its range was from 0.718 to 0.966 in case A. On the other hand, its range was from 0.441 to 0.683 in case B. As a result, it was judged that case A was more accurate than case B. Therefore, runoff and water quality modeling in minimum watershed scale that was provided data for calibration and verification was judged to be favorable in accuracy. If optimal watershed dividing and parameter optimization using PEST in HSPF with more reliable measured data are carried out, more accurate runoff and water quality modeling will be performed.

A Study on GIS Data Development and Distributed Modeling for Hydrological Simulation of Urban Flood (도시홍수 수문모의를 위한 GIS 자료구축 및 분포형 모델링 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Park, Geun-Ae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1D
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2006
  • This study is to develop a distributed urban flood runoff model that simulates the road runoff and to test the applicability of the model by applying to Pyeongtaek city of $12.2km^2$. To generate the runoff along the runoff, agree burned DEM (Digital Elevation Model) with road networks was suggested and the proper spatial resolution of DEM was identified finer than 15 m. To test the model applicability, 32 points on the road networks were selected and the hydrographs of each point were generated. The test showed reasonable results that increase the road runoff from the high elevation roads to the low elevation roads and the road runoff considering rainwater drainage from the road also showed reasonable results.

The Application of Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for Modeling the Hourly Runoff in the Gapcheon Watershed (적응형 네트워크 기반 퍼지추론 시스템을 적용한 갑천유역의 홍수유출 모델링)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Chung, Gunhui;Lee, Do-Hun;Lee, Eun Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2011
  • The adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) which had a success for time series prediction and system control was applied for modeling the hourly runoff in the Gapcheon watershed. The ANFIS used the antecedent rainfall and runoff as the input. The ANFIS was trained by varying the various simulation factors such as mean areal rainfall estimation, the number of input variables, the type of membership function and the number of membership function. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean peak runoff error (PE), and mean peak time error (TE) were used for validating the ANFIS simulation. The ANFIS predicted runoff was in good agreement with the measured runoff and the applicability of ANFIS for modelling the hourly runoff appeared to be good. The forecasting ability of ANFIS up to the maximum 8 lead hour was investigated by applying the different input structure to ANFIS model. The accuracy of ANFIS for predicting the hourly runoff was reduced as the forecasting lead hours increased. The long-term predictability of ANFIS for forecasting the hourly runoff at longer lead hours appeared to be limited. The ANFIS might be useful for modeling the hourly runoff and has an advantage over the physically based models because the model construction of ANFIS based on only input and output data is relatively simple.

A Study on the Calculation of Runoff Discharge in the Ohown river Basin Using the GIS Data and Hydrology Model (수문모형(HMS)과 GIS자료를 이용한 오원천 유역의 유출량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • 김운중;정남선;김경수
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2000
  • The main objective of this study is to simulate the rainfall-runoff relationship of the Ohwon rivet basin. For the this study, we used GIS technique and HMS(Hydrological Modeling System). In this study, watershed itself and geometric factors of watershed are extracted from DEM by using a GIS technique. The scanned data of topographical map with scale of 1:50,000 in the Ohwon river basin is used to this study and it is converted to DEM data. The parameters of Hydrological Modeling System as watershed area(A), river length, SCS Curve Number(CN) etc. are extracted by using the GIS technique in the Ohwon Basin. Extracted parameters are applied to the Hydrological Model System, then the paramenters optimized by the observed data and rainfall data. Then, the optimized parameters and Hydrological Modeling System are applied to the study area for the simulation of rainfall-runoff relationship. With the resultn of this study, GIS technique is useful to the extraction of watershed characteristics factors and Hydrological Modeling System is successful to the simulation of rainfall-runoff relationship.

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Runoff estimation using modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system

  • Nath, Amitabha;Mthethwa, Fisokuhle;Saha, Goutam
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.545-553
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    • 2020
  • Rainfall-Runoff modeling plays a crucial role in various aspects of water resource management. It helps significantly in resolving the issues related to flood control, protection of agricultural lands, etc. Various Machine learning and statistical-based algorithms have been used for this purpose. These techniques resulted in outcomes with an acceptable rate of success. One of the pertinent machine learning algorithms namely Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) has been reported to be a very effective tool for the purpose. However, the computational complexity of ANFIS is a major hindrance in its application. In this paper, we resolved this problem of ANFIS by incorporating one of the evolutionary algorithms known as Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) which was used in estimating the parameters pertaining to ANFIS. The results of the modified ANFIS were found to be satisfactory. The performance of this modified ANFIS is then compared with conventional ANFIS and another popular statistical modeling technique namely ARIMA model with respect to the forecasting of runoff. In the present investigation, it was found that proposed PSO-ANFIS performed better than ARIMA and conventional ANFIS with respect to the prediction accuracy of runoff.

Large Scale Rainfall-runoff Analysis Using SWAT Model: Case Study: Mekong River Basin (SWAT 모형을 이용한 대유역 강우-유출해석: 메콩강 유역을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Yu, Wan Sik;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2018
  • This study implemented the rainfall-runoff analysis of the Mekong River basin using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). The runoff analysis was simulated for 2000~2007, and 11 parameters were calibrated using the SUFI-2 (Sequential Uncertainty Fitting-version 2) algorithm of SWAT-CUP (Calibration and Uncertainty Program). As a result of analyzing optimal parameters and sensitivity analysis for 6 cases, the parameter ALPHA_BF was found to be the most sensitive. The reproducibility of the rainfall-runoff results decreased with increasing number of stations used for parameter calibration. The rainfall-runoff simulation results of Case 6 showed that the RMSE of Nong Khai and Kratie stations were 0.97 and 0.9, respectively, and the runoff patterns were relatively accurately simulated. The runoff patterns of Mukdahan and Khong Chaim stations were underestimated during the flood season from 2004 to 2005 but it was acceptable in terms of the overall runoff pattern. These results suggest that the combination of SWAT and SWAT-CUP models is applicable to very large watersheds such as the Mekong for rainfall-runoff simulation, but further studies are needed to reduce the range of modeling uncertainty.

Rainfall-Runoff Analysis of River Basin Using Spatial Data (지형공간 특성자료를 이용한 하천유역의 강우-유출해석)

  • 안승섭;이증석;도준현
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.949-955
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    • 2003
  • The subject basin of the research was the basin of Yeongcheon Dam located in the upper reaches of the Kumho River. The parameters of the model were derived from the results of abstracting topological properties out of rainfall-runoff observation data about heavy rains and Digital Elevation Modeling(DEM) materials. This research aimed at suggesting the applicability of the CELLMOD Model, a distribution-type model, in interpreting runoff based on the topological properties of a river basin, by carrying out runoff interpretation far heavy rains using the model. To examine the applicability of the model, the calculated peaking characteristics in the hydrograph was analyzed in comparison with observed values and interpretation results by the Clark Model. According to the result of analysis using the CELLMOD Model proposed in the present research for interpreting the rainfall-runoff process, the model reduced the physical uncertainty in the rainfall-runoff process, and consequently, generated improved results in forecasting river runoff. Therefore it was concluded that the algorithm is appropriate for interpreting rainfall-runoff in river basins. However, to enhance accuracy in interpreting rainfall-runoff it is necessary to supplement heavy rain patterns in subject basins and to subdivide a basin into minor basins for analysis. In addition, it is necessary to apply the model to basins that have sufficient observation data, and to identify the correlation between model parameters and the basin characteristics(channel characteristics).

Restoration of the Stream Runoff by the Physical Deterministic Modeling and Formulation of Water Balance for the Catchment of Byungchun River in Chungcheong Province in Korea (물리 결정 모델링에 의한 충청도 병천천 유역의 하천 유출량 복원과 물 수지 수립)

  • KIM, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2008
  • This study has developed a water balance model for the catchment of Byungchun river using a BROOK90 4.4e physical deterministic water balance model with the long-term meterological data and stream run off data obtained from the basin of Byungchun river in Korea. It is intended that the validation model with calibrated model fitting parameter can build a long-term water balance plan for a period when meterological data are available but stream runoff data are not. Results of this study have satisfied the first expectation as an experiment for water balance modeling since measured stream runoff data have turned out to be very similar to simulated stream runoff data. Through the confirmation of model fitting parameters and validated simulation, water balance for the period of 1998 to 2006 has been restored. Unless the conditions of geomophology, vegetation, soil and land use change, meterological data alone can produce various hydrometeorological data related to stream runoff amount, soil water amount, and evapotranspiration. This study opens up a new horizon in restoring water balance in the past as well planning water balance in the present. The obtained results from this study are expected to be used in predicting future water balance in the wake of the changes in climate and vegetation in Korea.

Evaluation of the Applicability of a Distributed Model at the Downstream of Dam (댐 하류 지점에 대한 분포형 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Choi, Yun-Seok;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.9
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    • pp.703-713
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    • 2009
  • Dam has very important roles in both water use and flood control. Dam release and runoff from rainfall affect directly to the flood control at the downstream of dam during heavy storm especially. This study evaluates the applicability of a distributed model by applying the GRM (Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model) based on HyGIS (Hydro Geographic Information System) environment to runoff modeling at the downstream of dam where the discharge from dam and rainfall affect simultaneously. In order to do this, Yeoju watershed in Han River basin is selected. Rainfall data and discharge from Chungju regulation dam and Hoengseong dam are applied to runoff simulation. The modeling results are verified with Yeoju water level station, and they show good agreement with observed hydrographs. And this study shows that GRM is able to simulate appropriately the effect of dam discharge and rainfall on watershed runoff.

Modeling of sediment and nutrients loadings from the Soyang Dam upstream watershed with SWAT (SWAT 모형을 이용한 소양강댐 유역의 비점오염 모델링)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.288-293
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    • 2005
  • In this study, SWAT model was applied to the Soyang Dam upstream watershed in order to evaluate the model applicability for estimating runoff, sediment, and nutrients loadings from the watershed. By trial and error method, the model parameters related with runoff, sediment, nitrogen and phosphorus were calibrated step by step. Then the simulated runoff, sediment, and nutrients loadings by the model were compared with the observed data measured at the Soyang Dam, the outlet of the watershed. And several statistical criteria were calculated to evaluate the model performance. From the comparison and statistical criteria, good agreement between simulated and observed stream flows was found. For sediment and nutrients, it was not reliable to quantitatively model the observed values, but the model could simulate the trend with reasonable accuracy. Hence, it was concluded that the model can be applied for the long-term non-point modeling in a large watershed.

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