• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk-reduction

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EFMDR-Fast: An Application of Empirical Fuzzy Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction for Fast Execution

  • Leem, Sangseob;Park, Taesung
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.37.1-37.3
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    • 2018
  • Gene-gene interaction is a key factor for explaining missing heritability. Many methods have been proposed to identify gene-gene interactions. Multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR) is a well-known method for the detection of gene-gene interactions by reduction from genotypes of single-nucleotide polymorphism combinations to a binary variable with a value of high risk or low risk. This method has been widely expanded to own a specific objective. Among those expansions, fuzzy-MDR uses the fuzzy set theory for the membership of high risk or low risk and increases the detection rates of gene-gene interactions. Fuzzy-MDR is expanded by a maximum likelihood estimator as a new membership function in empirical fuzzy MDR (EFMDR). However, EFMDR is relatively slow, because it is implemented by R script language. Therefore, in this study, we implemented EFMDR using RCPP ($c^{{+}{+}}$ package) for faster executions. Our implementation for faster EFMDR, called EMMDR-Fast, is about 800 times faster than EFMDR written by R script only.

Implementation System and Strategic Implications for Disaster Risk Reduction by the United Nations (유엔의 재난위험 감소 추진체계 및 전략의 시사점)

  • Kim, MyungHee
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.211-219
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    • 2020
  • This paper examines in depth the UN's disaster risk reduction system and framework that affect a country's disaster safety strategy and focuse on identifying the global trends in disaster risk reduction that have emerged in the Hyogo and the Sendai Framework, a disaster risk reduction strategy proposed by the UN since 2000. For this aim it attempts a theoretical review based on collecting a variety of domestic and international literatures, draws meaningful implications and suggests alternatives to a national disaster risk reduction policy. According to the analysis, the UN disaster risk reduction mechanism is UNISDR, the Secretariat is UNDRR, and the SRSG represents it, and the Sendai Framework, developed from the Hyogo Code of Conduct, a global strategy which has been for disaster safety for the past decade, will lead global disaster safety for the next decade. The policy implications drawn from the analysis of both strategies are the emphasis on consistent international coordination, strengthening resilience and an integrated and comprehensive approach. In conclusion, this paper proposes the need for a disaster risk reduction strategy to establish a resilience reinforcement system to proactively identify and cope with risk factors and to minimize impacts, to promote the coordination of international coordination and cooperation at the government level.

Risk of Carbon Leakage and Border Carbon Adjustments under the Korean Emissions Trading Scheme

  • Oh, Kyungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.45-64
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper examines South Korea's potential status as a carbon leakage country, and the level of risk posed by the Korean emissions trading scheme (ETS) for Korean industries. The economic effects of border carbon adjustments (BCAs) to protect energy-intensive Korean industries in the process of achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030 through the Korean ETS are also analyzed. Design/methodology - First, using the Korean Input-Output (IO) table, this paper calculates the balance of emissions embodied in trade (BEET) and the pollution terms of trade (PTT) to determine Korean industries' carbon leakage status. Analyses of the risk level posed by carbon reduction policy implementation in international trade are conducted for some sectors by applying the EU criteria. Second, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, three BCA scenarios, exemption regulations (EXE), reimbursement (REB), and tariff reduction (TAR) to protect the energy-intensive industries under the Korean ETS are addressed. Compared to the baseline scenario of achieving carbon reduction targets by 2030, the effects of BCAs on welfare, carbon leakage, outputs, and trading are analyzed. Findings - As Korea's industrial structure has been transitioning from a carbon importing to a carbon leaking country. The results indicate that some industrial sectors could face the risk of losing international competitiveness due to the Korean ETS. South Korea's industries are basically exposed to risk of carbon leakage because most industries have a trade intensity higher than 30%. This could be interpreted as disproving vulnerability to carbon leakage. Although the petroleum and coal sector is not in carbon leakage, according to BEET and PTT, the Korean ETS exposes this sector to a high risk of carbon leakage. Non-metallic minerals and iron and steel sectors are also exposed to a high risk of carbon leakage due to the increased burden of carbon reduction costs embodied in the Korean ETS, despite relatively low levels of trade intensity. BCAs are demonstrated to have an influential role in protecting energy-intensive industries while achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030. The EXE scenario has the greatest impact on mitigation of welfare losses and carbon leakage, and the TAF scenario causes a disturbance in the international trade market because of the pricing adjustment system. In reality, the EXE scenario, which implies completely exempting energy-intensive industries, could be difficult to implement due to various practical constraints, such as equity and reduction targets and other industries; therefore, the REB scenario presents the most realistic approach and appears to have an effect that could compensate for the burden of economic activities and emissions regulations in these industries. Originality/value - This paper confirms the vulnerability of the Korean industrial the risk of carbon leakage, demonstrating that some industrial sectors could be exposed to losing international competitiveness by implementing carbon reduction policies such as the Korean ETS. The contribution of this paper is the identification of proposed approaches to protect Korean industries in the process of achieving the 2030 reduction target by analyzing the effects of BCA scenarios using a CGE model.

Analysis of Effect of Risk Factors on the Success of Risk Management (리스크요소가 리스크관리 성공에 미치는 영향 분석 연구)

  • Chung, Yeon-Kyo;Chung, Byeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.443-449
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    • 2014
  • Although risk reduction of construction projects have been continued, the risk of fatal accident has been increased. The purpose of this paper is to reduce the cause of the essential risk factors. Questionnaire survey of construction companies in domestic was conducted and the Multiple Regression Analysis of statistics program was used to grasp effective factors among the risk factors of construction companies in domestic. Development of the essential risk factors and its application to projects could lead to improvements such as compression of network, reduction of cost, improvement of quality and reduction of safety accident.

Risk Assessments for Ports and Waterways

  • Jeong, Duke H.;Harrald, John R.
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this research is to ensure that the ports and waterways management system can establish and maintain a reasonable level of safety level during high density passenger operations. The research model was developed included computer based model that could be used that can be used to measure and monitor risk and evolved overtime. The research methodology provides model for assessing relative risk and evaluating risk reduction measures. The risk analysis based on expert judgement was refined overtime. They provide a basis for risk reduction and risk management policies and strategies. The evaluation and validation of risk model and development of data, methods, tools required to measure, monitor and evaluate ports and waterway risk was implemented.

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Analysis of Domestic Policy Trend and Role of Science and Technology After Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (센다이프레임워크 전환에 따른 재해위험경감 관련 국내 정책동향변화 및 과학기술의 역할)

  • Choi, Yoonjo;Hong, Seunghwan;Lee, Su Jin;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.765-773
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    • 2017
  • With the end of the HFA (Hyogo Framework Action) in 2015, SFDRR (Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction) was adopted as a new agenda for disaster risk reduction at the 3th WCDRR (World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction), held in March 2015. Continued understanding of the international agenda for reducing disaster risk is critical to disaster risk reduction at the national level as well as international level. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed major changes in the international agenda for disaster risk reduction as the transition from HFA to SFDRR, and analyzed South Korea's major achievements in the HFA and the implementation status of SFDRR in South Korea. In addition, SFDRR emphasizes the role of science and technology in policy making, and examined research trends in science and technology. 49.9% of the efforts were made to prevent the disasters during the disaster management stage, and plans related to priority 1 (40.4%) and 4 (35.8%) were mainly promoted. Science and technology research and development for disaster management were analyzed as active, but 79.7% of the tasks were related to priority 4, and it is necessary to develop all four priorities. Recently, disaster management using next-generation disaster prevention technologies such as satellite technology and big data is required, and it is expected that it will contribute effectively to mitigate disaster risk through establishment of education and policy to support it.

Plan for Risk Reduction of Smart Factory Process through Accident Analysis and Status Survey (재해분석과 실태조사를 통한 스마트 팩토리 공정의 위험성 감소 방안)

  • Byeon, Junghwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 2022
  • The domestic smart factory is being built and spread rapidly, mainly by mid-sized companies and large enterprises according to the government's active introduction and support policy. But these factories only promote production system and efficiency, so harmfulness and risk factors are not considered. Therefore, to derive harmful risk factors in terms of industrial safety for 12,983 government-supported smart factory workplaces from 2014 to 2019, industrial accident status analysis compared workplaces with automation facilities and government-supported workplaces with automation facilities. Also, to reduce risks associated with domestic smart factory processes, twenty government-supported workplaces with automation facilities underwent analysis, evaluating risks through a status survey using the process evaluation table. In addition, the status survey considered region, size, industry, construction level, and accident rate; the difference in risk according to the structure of the process was confirmed. Based on the smart factory process evaluation results, statistical analysis confirmed that serial, parallel, and hybrid structures pose different risk levels and that the risks of mixed structures are greater. Finally, safety control system application was presented for risk assessment and reduction in the smart factory process, reflecting the results of disaster analysis and actual condition investigation.

Estimation of Willingness to Pay for Reduction of Environmental Mortality Risk (환경오염으로 인한 위해도 감소에 대한 지불의사금액 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 김예신;이용진;박화성;남정모;김진흠;신동천
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2003
  • To estimate the annual WTP for risk reduction of environmental problems such as outdoor and indoor air pollution, and drinking water contamination, a questionnaire survey was conducted by dichotomous contingent valuation method in Seoul. Several covariate models based on Turnbull, Weibull and Spike models were developed and applied to WTP estimation with uncertainty analysis. WTP estimates for risk reduction of air pollution were 13,000 won, 12,000 won, and 10,000 won per month in low-bounded Turnbull, Weibull and Spike models, respectively. The estimates for indoor air pollution were 17,000 won,20,000 won and 21,000 won and these for drinking water contamination were 10,000 won, 13,000 won and 14,000 won in each model, respectively. Goodness of fit for Weibull model was better than those for other models. WTP estimates for indoor air pollution were higher than those for other pollution problems.

A study on interaction effect among risk factors of delirium using multifactor dimensionality reduction method

  • Lee, Jong-Hyeong;Lee, Yong-Won;Lee, Yoon-Seok;Lee, Jea-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1257-1264
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    • 2011
  • Delirium is a neuropsychiatric disorder accompanying symptoms of hallucination, drowsiness, and tremors. It has high occurrence rates among elders, heart disease patients, and burn patients. It is a medical emergency associated with increased morbidity and mortality rates. That s why early detection and prevention of delirium ar significantly important. And This mental illness like delirium occurred by complex interaction between risk factors. In this paper, we identify risk factors and interactions between these factors for delirium using multi-factor dimensionality reduction (MDR) method.

A Study on the Risk Reduction Method for Liquid Rocket Test Facility (액체로켓 시험설비에서의 위험감소 방법)

  • Lee Jung-Ho;Kim Yong-Wook;Bershadskiy V. A.;Kang Sun-Il;Cho Sang-Yeon;Oh Seung-Hyub
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2005
  • The method of decreasing the ecological risk for the LRE(Liquid Rocket Engine) test is developed, working on the cryogenic oxidizer and the high-boiling fuel(Kerosene). This Method is based on the study that contains a technical solution method and an accident occurrence range for decreasing of accident probability and damage. This paper contains schematic on the all risk circumstance bring to accident, block-diagram for an accident growth process in case of the propellant leakage, technical solution method and risk reduction evaluation method. It will be used to alternative method for the risk reduction of complex technical systems.