• 제목/요약/키워드: risk-rating

검색결과 291건 처리시간 0.027초

도로절개면 투자우선순위 결정기법 개발 (Development of Rock Slope Risk Rating System for the Determination of the Priority of Investment)

  • 구호본;박혁진;민기복;정의진;김춘식;박성욱
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2000년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.411-418
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    • 2000
  • With the limited amount of budget and time, it is required to determine the priority of investment when there are a large number of hazardous slopes. In this paper, the Rock Slope Risk Rating System is developed based on the combination of the hazard of failure and the damage potential. By applying the proposed rating system to 253 rock slopes in Korean National Highway, it was possible to determine the priority of investment on road cut slopes.

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Development of Risk Rating and Index for Coastal Activity Locations

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Jung, Cho-Young;Gu, Ja-Yeong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2020
  • This paper develops a risk index based on an indicator of risk assessment in terms of coastal activity location and accident type. The risk index is derived from a formula which adds the consequence of failure to a vulnerability value, then subtracts the mitigation value. Specifically, the consequence of failure is the number of casualties in coastal activity locations. An indicator of vulnerability refers to coastal environment elements and social elements. A pointer of mitigation includes managerial and organizational elements that indicate the capabilities of coastal activities. A risk rating of coastal activity location is found from a risk matrix consisting of the accident location and type. The purpose of this study is to prevent accidents at coastal activity locations by allowing the Coastal police guard to monitor effectively and inform visitors of potential risks.

Analysis on Ampacity of Overhead Transmission Lines Being Operated

  • Yan, Zhijie;Wang, Yanling;Liang, Likai
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.1358-1371
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    • 2017
  • Dynamic thermal rating (DTR) system is an effective method to improve the capacity of existing overhead line. According to the methodology based on CIGRE (International Council on Large Electric systems) standard, ampacity values under steady-state heating balance can be calculated from ambient environmental conditions. In this study, simulation analysis of relations between parameters and ampacity is described as functional dependence, which can provide an effective basis for the design and research of overhead transmission lines. The simulation of ampacity variation in different rating scales is described in this paper, which are determined from real-time meteorological data and conductor state parameters. To test the performance of DTR in different rating scales, capacity improvement and risk level are presented. And the experimental results show that the capacity of transmission line by using DTR has significant improvement, with low probability of risk. The information of this study has an important reference value to the operation management of power grid.

Support Vector Machine을 이용한 지능형 신용평가시스템 개발 (Development of Intelligent Credit Rating System using Support Vector Machines)

  • 김경재
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제9권7호
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    • pp.1569-1574
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, I propose an intelligent credit rating system using a bankruptcy prediction model based on support vector machines (SVMs). SVMs are promising methods because they use a risk function consisting of the empirical error and a regularized term which is derived from the structural risk minimization principle. This study examines the feasibility of applying SVM in Predicting corporate bankruptcies by comparing it with other data mining techniques. In addition. this study presents architecture and prototype of intelligeht credit rating systems based on SVM models.

Chung's Equation-XII에 의한 목재 4종의 화재위험성 및 화재위험성 등급 평가 적용 (Application of Fire Risk and Fire Risk Rating Assessment for Four Species of Wood According to Chung's Equation-XII)

  • 정영진;진의
    • 공업화학
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2024
  • Chung's equation-XII에 의하여 4종의 목재에 대한 화재위험성 및 화재안전성을 종합적으로 평가하였다. 시험편은 미국물푸레나무, 버드나무, 들메나무, 산벚나무를 선정하였다. 시험편의 연소특성 시험은 콘칼로리미터(ISO 5660-1)를 사용하였으며, 최종적으로 화재위험성지수-XII (FRI-XII)를 이용하여 화재위험성등급(FRR)을 예측하였다. 예측된 화재성능지수-X (FPI-X)과 화재성장지수-X (FGI-X)은 각각 469.03~1109.73 s2/kW와 0.0009~0.0280 kW/s2로 나타났다. 또한 화재성능지수-XI (FPI-XI)과 화재성장지수-XI (FGI-XI)은 각각 0.41~0.97와 1.11~3.11이었다. 화재위험성 등급인 화재위험성지수-XII (FRI-XII)는 들메나무가 7.60 (화재위험성 등급: D)으로서 가장 높은 화재위험성을 나타내었다. 그리고 Chung's equation-IX인 화재위험성지수-IX (FRI-IX)와 비교하였다. FRI-IX과 FRI-XII에 의한 화재위험성 등급은 버드나무와 들메나무가 공통적으로 높았다. 또한 FRI-XII와 FRI-IX에 의한 결과는 유사한 관계가 이루어졌으며, 각각의 화재안성등급의 크기는 서로 간 근접하게 일치하였다.

가공송전선로의 AAR 적용 시 Risk Tolerance 분석을 이용한 계절별 최대 허용전류 산정 및 적용에 관한 연구 (Study on the Estimation of Seasonal Ambient Current for the Application of Ambient Adjusted Line Rating(AAR) in Overhead Transmission Lines Using Risk Tolerance(RT) Method)

  • 이재걸;배영재;송지영;신정훈;김용학;김태균;윤용범
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2017
  • Ambient Adjusted line Rating(AAR) method for overhead transmission lines considering Risk Tolerance(RT) was proposed in this paper. AAR is suitable for system operators to plan their operation strategy and maintenance schedule because this can be designed as a seasonal line rating. Several candidate transmission lines are chosen to apply the proposed method in the paper. As a result, it is shown that system reliability was significantly enhanced through maximizing transfer capability, solving the system constraints.

시계열 기상모델을 이용한 열적 위험확률 기반 동적 송전용량의 예측 (Prediction of Dynamic Line Rating Based on Thermal Risk Probability by Time Series Weather Models)

  • 김동민;배인수;조종만;장경;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제55권7호
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    • pp.273-280
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    • 2006
  • This paper suggests the method that forecasts Dynamic Line Rating (DLR). Thermal Overload Risk Probability (TORP) of the next time is forecasted based on the present weather conditions and DLR value by Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). To model weather elements of transmission line for MCS process, this paper will propose the use of statistical weather models that time series is applied. Also, through the case study, it is confirmed that the forecasted TORP can be utilized as a criterion that decides DLR of next time. In short, proposed method may be used usefully to keep security and reliability of transmission line by forecasting transmission capacity of the next time.

화재 발생 시 목재 수종의 화재위험성 등급 평가 (Assessment of Fire Risk Rating for Wood Species in Fire Event)

  • 진의;정영진
    • 공업화학
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.423-430
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 건자재용 목재의 화재위험성 및 화재위험성 등급을 평가하기 위하여 Chung's equations-III, -IV에 의한 화재성능지수-III (FPI-III), 화재성장지수-III (FGI-III), 화재위험성지수-IV (FRI-IV)를 중심으로 조사하였다. 시험편은 적삼목, 전나무, 물푸레나무, 단풍나무를 사용하였다. 화재 특성은 시험편에 대하여 콘칼로리미터(ISO 5660-1) 장비를 이용하여 조사하였다. 연소반응 후 측정된 FPI-III는 polymethylmetacrylate (PMMA) 기준으로 0.86~12.77로 나타났다. FGI-III는 PMMA를 기준으로 0.63~5.26으로 나타났다. 화재위험성 등급 지수인 FRI-IV에 의한 화재 등급은 0.05~6.12였으며 적삼목이 단풍나무와 비교하여 122.4배 높았다. FRI-IV에 의한 화재위험성 등급은 단풍나무, 물푸레나무, 전나무, PMMA, 적삼목 순서로 증가하였다. 모든 시편의 CO 피크농도는 103~162 ppm으로 측정되었으며 미국직업안전위생관리국(occupational safety and health administration)의 허용기준(permissible exposure limits)인 50 ppm보다 2.1~3.2배 높게 나타났다. 적삼목과 같이 체적밀도가 작고 휘발성 유기물질을 다량 함유한 소재는 FPI-III가 낮고 FGI-III가 높으므로 화재위험성 등급이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

새로운 Chung's equation-IX에 의한 연소성 물질의 화재 위험성 등급 평가 (Rating of Fire Risk of Combustible Materials by the New Chung's Equation-IX)

  • 정영진;진의
    • 공업화학
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2023
  • 연소성 물질의 화재위험성 평가를 하기 위해 Chung's equations-VII, Chung's equations-VIII, 그리고 Chung's equation-IX 을 새로 정립하였다. 화재위험성지수-IX (fire risk index-IX, FRI-IX)와 화재위험성등급(fire risk rating, FRR)을 산정하였다. 시험편은 은행나무, 메타세콰이어, 참죽나무, 피나무, 호두나무를 선택하였다. 콘칼로리미터(ISO 5660-1)를 사용하여 시험편에 대한 연소 특성을 시험하였다. 연소 종료 후 Chung's equations에 의해 산정된 화재성능지수-VII (fire performance index-VII, FPI-VII)는 15.15~182.53 s2/kW로 나타났고, 화재성장지수-VII (fire growth index-VII, FGI-VII)는 0.0023~0.0165 kW/s2로 나타났다. Polymethylmethacrylate (PMMA)를 기준으로 한 화재성능지수-VIII (FPI-VIII)는 0.29~3.45로 나타났고, 화재성장지수-VIII (FGI-VIII)는 2.88~20.63로 나타났다. 화재위험성 등급인 화재위험성지수-IX(FRI-IX)는 메타세콰이어가 71.14 (화재위험성등급: G)로 화재위험성이 매우 높은 목재로 나타났다. 그러므로 휘발성 유기 화합물을 다량 함유하고, 체적밀도가 낮은 목재는 FPI-VII와 FPI-VIII가 낮아지고, FGI-VII와 FGI-VIII가 높아짐에 의하여 FRI-IX가 높은 값을 나타내었다.

정량적 리스크 평가를 기초로 한 경영관리 (Management Approach Based on Quantitative Risk Assessment)

  • 정원
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.167-179
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    • 2008
  • System risk is the totality of all safety risks to customers, employees, suppliers, and other third parties that arise due to system operations. To assess the risk of major hazards with the potential to cause fatality to the customers and other members of the public, quantitative risk assessment methodologies are used. This paper presents the general principles of risk based management approach to improve the safety of high risk systems such as aviation, railway, and nuclear power plants. For the suitable risk control arrangement, case studies of acceptable risk level, risk rating matrix, and safety management philosophy are presented.

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