• 제목/요약/키워드: risk scoring

검색결과 162건 처리시간 0.025초

공개 취약점 정보를 활용한 소프트웨어 취약점 위험도 스코어링 시스템 (Risk Scoring System for Software Vulnerability Using Public Vulnerability Information)

  • 김민철;오세준;강현재;김진수;김휘강
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1449-1461
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    • 2018
  • 소프트웨어 취약점의 수가 해마다 증가함에 따라 소프트웨어에 대한 공격 역시 많이 발생하고 있다. 이에 따라 보안 관리자는 소프트웨어에 대한 취약점을 파악하고 패치 해야 한다. 그러나 모든 취약점에 대한 패치는 현실적으로 어렵기 때문에 패치의 우선순위를 정하는 것이 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 NIST(National Institute of Standards and Technology)에서 제공하는 취약점 자체 정보와 더불어, 공격 패턴이나 취약점을 유발하는 약점에 대한 영향을 추가적으로 고려하여 취약점의 위험도 평가 척도를 확장한 스코어링 시스템을 제안하였다. 제안하는 스코어링 시스템은 CWSS의 평가 척도를 기반으로 확장했으며, 어느 기업에서나 용이하게 사용할 수 있도록 공개된 취약점 정보만을 활용하였다. 이 논문에서 실험을 통해 제안한 자동화된 시스템을 소프트웨어 취약점에 적용함으로써, 공격 패턴과 약점에 의한 영향을 고려한 확장 평가 척도가 유의미한 값을 보이는 것을 확인하였다.

Scoring Model Based on Nodal Metastasis Prediction Suggesting an Alternative Treatment to Total Gastrectomy in Proximal Early Gastric Cancer

  • So, Seol;Noh, Jin Hee;Ahn, Ji Yong;Lee, In-Seob;Lee, Jung Bok;Jung, Hwoon-Yong;Yook, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Total gastrectomy (TG) with lymph node (LN) dissection is recommended for early gastric cancer (EGC) but is not indicated for endoscopic resection (ER). We aimed to identify patients who could avoid TG by establishing a scoring system for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in proximal EGCs. Materials and Methods: Between January 2003 and December 2017, a total of 1,025 proximal EGC patients who underwent TG with LN dissection were enrolled. Patients who met the absolute ER criteria based on pathological examination were excluded. The pathological risk factors for LNM were determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. A scoring system for predicting LNM was developed and applied to the validation group. Results: Of the 1,025 cases, 100 (9.8%) showed positive LNM. Multivariate analysis confirmed the following independent risk factors for LNM: tumor size >2 cm, submucosal invasion, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and perineural invasion (PNI). A scoring system was created using the four aforementioned variables, and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves in both the training (0.85) and validation (0.84) groups indicated excellent discrimination. The probability of LNM in mucosal cancers without LVI or PNI, regardless of size, was <2.9%. Conclusions: Our scoring system involving four variables can predict the probability of LNM in proximal EGC and might be helpful in determining additional treatment plans after ER, functioning as a good indicator of the adequacy of treatments other than TG in high surgical risk patients.

보안취약점 중요도 정량 평가 체계 연구 (Quantitative Scoring System on the Importance of Software Vulnerabilities)

  • 안준선;창병모;이은영
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.921-932
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 소프트웨어 보안취약점의 중요도를 정량적으로 산출할 수 있는 중요도 정량 평가 체계를 제안한다. 제안된 평가 체계는 국내 소프트웨어 이용 환경을 고려한 보안취약점의 파급도, 위험도, 소프트웨어 점유율, 시스템에서의 사용 정도 등을 복합적으로 반영하여 보안취약점에 대한 심각성을 적절히 평가할 수 있는 평가 척도와 이를 기반으로 한 중요도 계산식으로 구성된다. 논문에서는 제안된 소프트웨어 보안취약점 평가 체계를 국내의 보안취약점에 시범적으로 적용하고 그 효용성을 CVSS 및 CWSS 등과 비교, 분석하였으며, 제안된 평가 체계의 활용 방안을 제시하였다.

스플라인을 이용한 신용 평점화 (Credit Scoring Using Splines)

  • 구자용;최대우;최민성
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.543-553
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    • 2005
  • 선형 로지스틱 모형은 신용위험 관리를 위한 신용평점 모형 구축에 있어서 널리 쓰이고 있는 방법론이다. 본 논문에서는 신용평점화를 위하여 로지스틱 회귀 방법에 기초한 스플라인 방법론을 다루고자 한다. 선형 스플라인과 자동적인 변수선택 방법을 채택하였다. 모의 실험을 통하여 스플라인 방법의 성능을 규명하였다.

한국형 PDRI(Project Definition Rating Index)기법 개발 방향 (A Study on the Direction for Developing the Korean PDRI(Project Definition Rating Index))

  • 홍심희;유정호
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2016년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.168-169
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    • 2016
  • Risk management at an early stage of projects is known as an effective method expected various benefits. The PDRI(Project Definition Rating Index) by the CII(Construction Industry Institute) is defined project scope for reducing risks. In addition, the PDRI is one of the verified methods for achieving benefits by a risk management. The literature review in Korea about risk management is all about focusing on construction works and the construction phase. Thus, we need to extend the perspective of a project management such as the PDRI. To develop the Korean PDRI, However, we have to consider Korean situations. Therefore, in this study, we analyze some previous studies of PDRI' indexes and its using methods, and suggest the new direction for using PDRI in Korea. This method will enable to improve the scoring method of a project management with PDRI in Korea.

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상부위장관 출혈 환자에서 위험의 계층화와 이에 따른 치료 전략 (Risk Stratification for Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding)

  • 이봉은
    • 대한상부위장관⦁헬리코박터학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2018
  • Upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding (UGIB) is the most common GI emergency, and it is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Early identification of low-risk patients suitable for outpatient management has the potential to reduce unnecessary costs, and prompt triage of high-risk patients could allow appropriate intervention and minimize morbidity and mortality. Several risk-scoring systems have been developed to predict the outcomes of UGIB. As each scoring system measures different primary outcome variables, appropriate risk scores must be implemented in clinical practice. The Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) should be used to predict the need for interventions such as blood transfusion or endoscopic or surgical treatment. Patients with GBS ${\leq}1$ have a low likelihood of adverse outcomes and can be considered for early discharge. The Rockall score was externally validated and is widely used for prediction of mortality. The recently developed AIMS65 score is easy to calculate and was proposed to predict in-hospital mortality. The Forrest classification is based on endoscopic findings and can be used to stratify patients into high- and low-risk categories in terms of rebleeding and thus is useful in predicting the need for endoscopic hemostasis. Early risk stratification is critical in the management of UGIB and may improve patient outcome and reduce unnecessary health care costs through standardization of care.

화학물질 우선순위 선정기법(CRS)을 활용한 허가대상 후보물질 선정 연구 (A Study on the Selection of Candidates for Substances Subject to Permission Using Chemicals Ranking and Scoring (CRS))

  • 김효동;박교식
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.253-267
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study was performed to check whether the CRS (Chemical Ranking and Scoring) system is appropriate as a method to determine substances as candidates for substances subject to permission and to apply this system to the selection of candidates for substances subject to permission. Methods: A risk score was obtained by multiplying the hazard score and the exposure score and then ranking them. The hazard sub-indicators are carcinogenicity, germ cell mutagenicity, reproductive toxicity, specific target organ toxicity-repeated exposure, respiratory sensitization and endocrine disrupting chemicals. Exposure sub-indicators are persistence, bioaccumulation and emission volume. Sensitivity analysis was performed for missing values. Correlation analysis and multivariable linear regression analysis were performed among hazard, exposure and risk in order to confirm that CRS was an appropriate method. Results: As a result of the sensitivity analysis on missing values, it was confirmed that the effect on the risk ranking was not sensitive. Correlation and regression analysis confirmed that exposure had a greater effect on risk than hazard. Conclusions: The CRS system, which derives a risk score using a hazard and exposure score, is judged to be appropriate as a method for the selection of preliminary of candidates for substances subject to permission. Benzene, cadmium, nickel, and cobalt were selected as priority candidates for substances subject to permission.

Risk-Scoring System for Prediction of Non-Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection Requiring Additional Gastrectomy in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer

  • Kim, Tae-Se;Min, Byung-Hoon;Kim, Kyoung-Mee;Yoo, Heejin;Kim, Kyunga;Min, Yang Won;Lee, Hyuk;Rhee, Poong-Lyul;Kim, Jae J.;Lee, Jun Haeng
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.368-378
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: When patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) undergo non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection requiring gastrectomy (NC-ESD-RG), additional medical resources and expenses are required for surgery. To reduce this burden, predictive model for NC-ESD-RG is required. Materials and Methods: Data from 2,997 patients undergoing ESD for 3,127 forceps biopsy-proven differentiated-type EGCs (2,345 and 782 in training and validation sets, respectively) were reviewed. Using the training set, the logistic stepwise regression analysis determined the independent predictors of NC-ESD-RG (NC-ESD other than cases with lateral resection margin involvement or piecemeal resection as the only non-curative factor). Using these predictors, a risk-scoring system for predicting NC-ESD-RG was developed. Performance of the predictive model was examined internally with the validation set. Results: Rate of NC-ESD-RG was 17.3%. Independent pre-ESD predictors for NC-ESD-RG included moderately differentiated or papillary EGC, large tumor size, proximal tumor location, lesion at greater curvature, elevated or depressed morphology, and presence of ulcers. A risk-score was assigned to each predictor of NC-ESD-RG. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting NC-ESD-RG was 0.672 in both training and validation sets. A risk-score of 5 points was the optimal cut-off value for predicting NC-ESD-RG, and the overall accuracy was 72.7%. As the total risk score increased, the predicted risk for NC-ESD-RG increased from 3.8% to 72.6%. Conclusions: We developed and validated a risk-scoring system for predicting NC-ESD-RG based on pre-ESD variables. Our risk-scoring system can facilitate informed consent and decision-making for preoperative treatment selection between ESD and surgery in patients with EGC.

단순화된 산전위험득점체계를 이용한 고위험 임부의 확인 (The Identification of the High-Risk Pregnacy, Usign a Simplified Antepartum Risk-Scoring System)

  • 조정호
    • 대한간호
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.49-65
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    • 1991
  • This study was carried out to assess the problems with the pregnant women, and check out the risk-factors in the high-risk pregnancies, using a simplified antepartum risk-scoring system, which was revised from Edwards' scoring system to be suitable for Korean situaition. This instrument was included 4 categories, demographic, obstetric, medical and miscellaneous factors. This survey was based on the 1300 pregnant women who were admitted, $x^2$-test, F-test, Pearsons correation, using statistical package SAS in NAS computer system, KIST. The results of the study were as follows; 1. 1313 infants were deliveried of these 560 infants(42.7%) were born to mothers with risk-scores > 7, and 753 infants(57.3%) were born to mothers risk-scores <7. 2. Maternal age" parity, education level, of the demographic factors were significant relation statistically to identify the high risk pregnancies($X^2$=20.88, 42.87, 15.60 P < 0.01). 3. C-section, post term, incompetent cervix, uterine anomaly, polyhydramnios, congenital anomaly, sensitized RH negative, abortion, preeclampsia, excessive size infant, premature, low birth weight infanl, abnormal presentation, perinatal loss, multiple pregnancy, of the obstetric factors were significant relation statistically to identify the high risk-pregnancies. ($X^2$ = 175.96, 87.5, 16.28, 21.78, 9.46, 8. 10, 6.75, 22.9, 64.84, 6.93, 361.43, 185.55, 78.65, 45.52, P < 0.01). 4. Abnormal nutrition, anemia, UTI, other medicalcondition(pulmonary disease, severe influenza), heart disease, V.D., of the miscellaneous and medical factors, were significant relation statistically to identify the high risk-pregnancies. 5. Premature, low birth weight infant, contracted pelvis, abnormal presentation, of the risk factors were significantly related with Apgar score at 1 '||'&'||' 5 minute after birth and neonatal body weight. 6. Apgar score at 1 '||'&'||' 5 minute after, birth and neonatal body weight were significantly negative correlated with risk-score. 7. There were statistically significant difference between risk-score and Apgar score at 1 '||'&'||' 5 minute after birth, 3 group(0-3, 4-6, above 7), and neonatal body weight, 2 group(below 2.5kg, the other group) (F=104.65, 96.61, 284.92, P<0.01). 8. Apgar score at 1 '||'&'||' 5 minute after birth(below 7), and neonatal body weight(below 2.5kg), were significant relation statistically with risk score.($x^2$=65.99, 60.88, 177.07, P<0.01) were 60.8 %, 60% . 9. Correct classifications of morbid infants(l '||'&'||' 5 minute Apgar score < 7) were 77.8%, 83.8% and that of nonmorbid infants(l '||'&'||' 5 minute Apgar score > 7) were 60.8%, 60%. 10. There were statistically significant difference between dislribution of maternal risk-score among the morbid infants(l '||'&'||' 5 minute Apgar score < 7) and non morbid infants(l '||'&'||' 5 minute Apgar score> 7) ($x^2$=64.8, 58.8, P < 0.001). 11. There were statistically significant difference between distribution of morbid infants(l '||'&'||' 5 minute Apgar score < 7) and fetal death. 12. The predictivity for classifying high.risk cases was 12 % and for classifying low-risk cases was 98.3 % in 5 minute Apgar score. Suggestions for further studies are as follows; 1. Contineous prospective studies, using this newly revised scoring system are strongly recommended in the stetric service. 2. Besides risk facto~s used in this study, assessmenl of risks by factors in another scoring system and paralled studies related to perinatal outcome are strongly recommended.

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Coronary Artery Calcium Data and Reporting System (CAC-DRS): A Primer

  • Parveen Kumar;Mona Bhatia
    • Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2023
  • The Coronary Artery Calcium Data and Reporting System (CAC-DRS) is a standardized reporting method for calcium scoring on computed tomography. CAC-DRS is applied on a per-patient basis and represents the total calcium score with the number of vessels involved. There are 4 risk categories ranging from CAC-DRS 0 to CAC-DRS 3. CAC-DRS also provides risk prediction and treatment recommendations for each category. The main strengths of CAC-DRS include a detailed and meaningful representation of CAC, improved communication between physicians, risk stratification, appropriate treatment recommendations, and uniform data collection, which provides a framework for education and research. The major limitations of CAC-DRS include a few missing components, an overly simple visual approach without any standard reference, and treatment recommendations lacking a basis in clinical trials. This consistent yet straightforward method has the potential to systemize CAC scoring in both gated and non-gated scans.