• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk response

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Exposure Assessment in Risk Assessment

  • Herrick Robert F.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02a
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    • pp.426-430
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    • 1994
  • The assessment of exposure is an important component of the risk assessment process. Exposure information is used in risk assessment in at least two ways: 1) in the identification of hazards and the epidemiologic research investigating exposure-response relationships and 2) in the development of population exposure estimates. In both of these cases, the value of a chemical risk assessment is enhanced by improvements in the quality of exposure assessments. The optimum exposure assessment is the direct measurement of population exposure; however, such measurements are rarely available. Recent developments in methods for exposure assessment allow estimates to be made that are valid representations of actual exposure. The use of these exposure estimates to classify exposures correctly enhances the likelihood that causal associations between exposure and response will be correctly identified and that population risks will be accurately assessed.

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Risk Assessment of a High-Speed Railway Bridge System Based on an Improved Response Surface Method

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Moon, Jae-Woo;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.114-119
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    • 2008
  • A refined three-dimensional finite element interaction model between the high-speed train and railway bride deck has been developed in the present study. Analytical predictions of vertical deflections for a railway bridge are compared with in-situ test results and a good agreement is achieved. Then, input variables employed in the analytical comparisons are selected as random variables for the limit state functions. followed by risk assessment. For this purpose, a linear adaptive weighted response surface method has been developed and applied. A typical railway bridge has been selected and the limit state functions are employed from UIC and Korean specifications in the comparative studies. The results reveal that Korean specifications give significantly risky reliability indices in comparison with UIC specifications. It is thus encouraged from the above that the present linear adaptive weighted response surface method can be an alternative for the fast estimation of nonlinear structural systems.

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Risk Assessment for the Failure of an Arch Bridge System Based upon Response Surface Method(I): Component Reliability (응답면 기법에 의한 아치교량 시스템의 붕괴 위험성평가(I): 요소신뢰성)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Bang, Myung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.6 s.78
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 2006
  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment considering statistically random variables is performed for the preliminary design of a Arch Bridge. Component reliabilities of girders have been evaluated using the response surfaces of the design variables at the selected critical sections based on the maximum shear and negative moment locations. Response Surface Method(RSM) is successfully applied for reliability analyses for this relatively small probability of failure of the complex structure, which is hard to be obtained by Monte-Carlo Simulations or by First Order Second Moment Method that can not easily calculate the derivative terms of implicit limit state functions. For the analysis of system reliability, parallel resistance system composed of girders is changed into parallel series connection system. The upper and lower probabilities of failure for the structural system have been evaluated and compared with the suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes. The suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes reveals the unexpected combinations of element failures in significantly reduced time and efforts compared with the previous permutation method or system reliability analysis method.

Risk Assessment for a Bridge System Based upon Response Surface Method Compared with System Reliability (체계신뢰성 평가와 비교한 응답면기법에 의한 교량시스템의 위험성평가)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Moon, Jae-Woo;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2007
  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment considering statistically random variables is performed for the preliminary design of a Arch Bridge. Component reliabilities of girders have been evaluated using the response surfaces of the design variables at the selected critical sections based on the maximum shear and negative moment locations. Response Surface Method (RSM) is successfully applied for reliability analyses for this relatively small probability of failure of the complex structure, which is hard to be obtained by Monte-Carlo Simulations or by First Order Second Moment Method that can not easily calculate the derivative terms of implicit limit state functions. For the analysis of system reliability, parallel resistance system composed of girders is changed into parallel series connection system. The upper and lower probabilities of failure for the structural system have been evaluated and compared with the suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes. The suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes reveals the unexpected combinations of element failures in significant]y reduced time and efforts compared with the previous permutation method or system reliability analysis method.

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Evaluation for conjunctive operation of multi-regional water supply system through risk analysis (위기대응 취약성 분석을 통한 광역상수도 연계운영 평가)

  • Hwang, Jinsoo;Choi, Taeho;Hong, Gonghyun;Lee, Doojin;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.269-279
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    • 2019
  • This study would present a risk analysis method to evaluate stable tap water supply in a multi-regional water supply system and propose a measure for the evaluation of the effect of the conjunctive operation of the multi-regional water supply system using this. Judging from the vulnerability for the crisis response of the entire N. multi-regional water supply system, as compared to the result of Scenario 1 in which no conjunctive pipes were operated, it was found that in Scenario 2, in which conjunctive pipes were partially operated, the vulnerability of crisis response decreased by about 30.6%, and as compared to Scenario 3, the vulnerability of crisis response decreased by 86.2%. In setting a plan for stable tap water supply in N multi-regional water supply system, using the estimated value and the method for the evaluation of the vulnerability of crisis response by pipe, by interval and by line, it is judged that this can be utilized as a basis for the judgment of the evaluation of the operation or the additional installation of conjunctive pipes.

Nonlinear semi-active/passive retrofit design evaluation using incremental dynamic analysis

  • Rodgers, Geoffrey W.;Chase, J. Geoffrey;Roland, Thomas;Macrae, Gregory A.;Zhou, Cong
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2022
  • Older or damaged structures can require significant retrofit to ensure they perform well in subsequent earthquakes. Supplemental damping devices are used to achieve this goal, but increase base shear forces, foundation demand, and cost. Displacement reduction without increasing base shear is possible using novel semi-active and recently-created passive devices, which offer energy dissipation in selected quadrants of the force-displacement response. Combining these devices with large, strictly passive energy dissipation devices can offer greater, yet customized response reductions. Supplemental damping to reduce response without increasing base shear enables a net-zero base shear approach. This study evaluates this concept using two incremental dynamic analyses (IDAs) to show displacement reductions up to 40% without increasing base shear, more than would be achieved for either device alone, significantly reducing the risk of response exceeding the unaltered structural case. IDA results lead to direct calculation of reductions in risk and annualized economic cost for adding these devices using this net-zero concept, thus quantifying the trade-off. The overall device assessment and risk analysis method presented provides a generalizable proof-of-concept approach, and provides a framework for assessing the impact and economic cost-benefit of using modern supplemental energy dissipation devices.

Development of Ground Motion Response Spectrum for Seismic Risk Assessment of Low and Intermediate Level Radioactive Waste Repositories (중·저준위 방사성 폐기물 처분장의 지진위험도 평가를 위한 지반운동스펙트럼 산정)

  • Kim, Min-Kyu;Rhee, Hyun-Me;Lee, Kyoung-Mi
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a ground motion response spectrum for the seismic risk assessment of low and intermediate level radioactive waste repositories was developed. For the development of the ground motion response spectrum, a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) was performed. Through the performance of a PSHA, a seismic hazard curve which was based on a seismic bed rock was developed. A uniform hazard spectrum was determined by using a developed seismic hazard curve. Artificial seismic motions were developed based on the uniform hazard spectrum. A seismic response analysis was performed on the developed artificial seismic motion. Finally, an evaluation response spectrum for the seismic risk assessment analysis of low and intermediate level radioactive waste repositories was developed.