• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk ranking

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Analysis of the Schedule Risk using PROMETHEE in Building Construction Management (건설관리에서의 PROMETHEE기반 공정 리스크 분석)

  • Lee, Jang-Young;Yoon, You-Sang;Jang, Myung-Houn;Suh, Sang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2010
  • The building construction projects include a variety of risk factors due to uncertainties. To succeed in the projects, it is important how risks are managed. Risk management is composed of identification, analysis and response. Especially, the risk analysis is important to objectively calculate significance of risk factors. This paper evaluates a method to find priorities of risks using the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). The method has some defects; (1) the consistency becomes weak as the number of pair-wise compared risks is large, and (2) the input and output procedures are complex when risks are added to or removed from a risk database. Thus the paper adopts the PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod Enrichment Evaluations) analysis process which is able to overcome the limitation of the AHP restricted to 9 risk factors. The PROMETHEE makes the procedure of risk analysis simple, when the risk factors pull out and put in the risk database. The purpose of this study is to provide process of risk analysis to use the PROMETHEE.

Effect Model Simulator에 의한 Rapid Risk Ranking Index 개발

  • 김형석;김윤화;김인원;고재욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.121-124
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    • 1998
  • 화학공업은 고도의 기술집약적 장치산업이며 가연성 및 반응성이 높은 물질을 고온, 고압하에서 사용ㆍ저장하고 있기 때문에 화재 및 폭발사고의 가능성이 항상 잠재하고 있다. 특히, 화학공장에서 사용하는 대부분의 물질이 BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Expansion)와 VCE(Vapor Cloud Explosion)를 유발할 수 있는 가연성 물질이므로 사회적 문제를 야기할 수 있는 중대재해가 발생할 수 있다. (중략)

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Improvement of Urban Inundation Risk Evaluation (도심지 침수위험도 평가기법의 개선)

  • Song, yang-ho;Ryu, seung-hyun;Lee, jung-ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.103-104
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 도시 소유역간 상대적 침수위험도 산정을 위하여 엔트로피(Entropy) 기법 및 다기준의사결정 방법의 하나인 프로메티(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations, PROMETHEE)를 적용하였다. 이에 따라 도시유역 침수위험도 산정과 관련된 항목 6개를 선정하여 평가기준으로 적용하였으며, 실제 도시유역에 적용 및 해당 유역의 과거 집중호우에 따른 침수이력과 비교하였다.

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Association of Mutual Fund Risk Measures and Return Parameters: A Juxtapose of Ranking for Performance in Pakistan

  • KHURRAM, Muhammad Usman;HAMID, Kashif;JAVEED, Sohail Ahmad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2021
  • This purpose of this study is to investigate the association among mutual funds (MFs) risk measures and return parameters, evaluate mutual fund performance and also explore the best appropriate mutual fund performance measure for investment in Pakistan. Therefore, thirty-five mutual funds have been selected for the period 2007-2015. The Sharpe, Treynor, Jensen Alpha, Information ratio and Fama's Net Selectivity measures has been used to analyze MF performance. Our study findings show significant positive relation exist between Sharpe and Jenson alpha & information ratio (IR); Treynor ratio is negatively correlated to Jenson alpha and Jenson alpha is positively allied with IR. Moreover, association among performance measures, Fama's net selectivity is a major driver in leading to other measures but Sharpe and IR lead to Treynor ratio as well. Furthermore, performance measures are ranked in accordance standard deviation with the arrangement of Fama's net selectivity at top, Jenson Alpha at second, Sharpe ratio at third, IR at fourth and Treynor ratio at fifth position according to risk parameters in Pakistan. Overall, Jensen Alpha measure appears to be the best suitable mutual fund performance measure in Pakistan due to its practical nature. Finally, the Pakistani stock market index KSE100 (as benchmark) performs better than MF industry of Pakistan.

Occupational Health Policies on Risk Assessment in Japan

  • Horie, Seichi
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2010
  • Industrial Safety and Health Law (ISH Law) of Japan requires abnormalities identified in evaluations of worker health and working environments are reported to occupational physicians, and employers are advised of measures to ensure appropriate accommodations in working environments and work procedures. Since the 1980s, notions of a risk assessment and occupational safety and health management system were expected to further prevent industrial accidents. In 2005, ISH Law stipulated workplace risk assessment using the wording "employers shall endeavor." Following the amendment, multiple documents and guidelines for risk assessment for different work procedures were developed. They require ISH Laws to be implemented fully and workplaces to plan and execute measures to reduce risks, ranking them from those addressing potential hazards to those requiring workers to wear protective articles. A governmental survey in 2005 found the performance of risk assessment was 20.4% and common reasons for not implementing risk assessments were lack of adequate personnel or knowledge. ISH Law specifies criminal penalties for both individuals and organizations. Moreover, under the Labor Contract Law promulgated in 2007, employers are obliged to make reasonable efforts to ensure employee health for foreseeable and avoidable risks. Therefore, enterprises neglecting even the non-binding provisions of guidelines are likely to suffer significant business impact if judged to be responsible for industrial accidents or occupational disease. To promote risk assessment, we must strengthen technical, financial, and physical support from public-service organizations, encourage the dissemination of good practices to reduce risks, and consider additional employer incentives, including relaxed mandatory regulations.

Importance Analysis of In-Service Testing Components for Ulchin Unit 3 Using Risk-Informed In-Service Testing Approach

  • Kang, Dae-il;Kim, Kil-yoo;Ha, Jae-joo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.331-343
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    • 2002
  • We performed an importance analysis of In-Service Testing (157) components for Ulchin Unit 3 using the integrated evaluation method for categorizing component safety significance developed in this study. The developed method is basically aimed at having a PSA expert perform an importance analysis using PSA and its related information. The importance analysis using the developed method is initiated by ranking the component importance using quantitative PSA information. The importance analysis of the IST components not modeled in the PSA is performed through the engineering judgment, based on the expertise of PSA, and the quantitative and qualitative information for the 157 components. The PSA scope for importance analysis includes not only Level 1 and 2 internal PSA but also Level 1 external and shutdown/low power operation PSA. The importance analysis results of valves show that 167 (26.55%) of the 629 IST valves are HSSCs and 462 (73.45%) are LSSCs. Those of pumps also show that 28 (70%)of the 40157 pumps are HSSCs and 12 (30%) are LSSCs.

Derivation of uncertainty importance measure and its application

  • Park, Chang-K.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1990.04a
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    • pp.272-288
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    • 1990
  • The uncertainty quantification process in probabilistic Risk Assessment usually involves a specification of the uncertainty in the input data and the propagation of this uncertainty to the final risk results. The distributional sensitivity analysis is to study the impact of the various assumptions made during the quantification of input parameter uncertainties on the final output uncertainty. The uncertainty importance of input parameters, in this case, should reflect the degree of changes in the whole output distribution and not just in a point estimate value. A measure of the uncertainty importance is proposed in the present paper. The measure is called the distributional sensitivity measure(DSM) and explicitly derived from the definition of the Kullback's discrimination information. The DSM is applied to three typical discrimination information. The DSM is applied to three typical cases of input distributional changes: 1) Uncertainty is completely eliminated, 2) Uncertainty range is increased by a factor of 10, and 3) Type of distribution is changed. For all three cases of application, the DSM-based importance ranking agrees very well with the observed changes of output distribution while other statistical parameters are shown to be insensitive.

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A study on the establishment of the criteria for selection of Hazardous substances requiring management in Occupational Safety and Health Act (산업안전보건법상 관리대상 유해물질 선정기준 마련에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Eun Woo;Park, Jun Ho;Lee, Kwon Seob;Hong, Mun Ki;Ahn, Byung Jun;Lee, Eun Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.425-435
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study was performed in order to establish reliable and relative selection criteria for hazardous substances requiring management(HSRM) in the Occupational Safety and Health Act in Korea. Methods: To determine the relative criteria and weight of evidence for HSRM, we analyzed the difference between the selection method of priority substances in studies by KOSHA(Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency) and the European Union Risk Ranking Method(EURAM). In addition, 597 hazardous substances with exposure limit valueswereanalyzed and the posted health hazards classification by MOEL(Ministry of Employee and Labor), MOE(Ministry of Environment), and EU CLP(Classification, Labelling and Packaging regulation) were compared based on GHS(Globally Harmonized System of classification and labelling of chemicals) criteria. The existing HSRM(167 substances) were evaluated for suitability by the proposed criteria in this study. Results: As a result of this study, the criteria and procedures for selecting HSRM in the Occupational Safety and Health Act were arranged utilizing GHS health hazard classification results, occupational disease cases and domestic use situations. Conclusions: The applicability of the proposed criteria was proved via the evaluation of existing HSRM(167 substances). Most HSRM (161 substances) were found to correspond to a significant health effect or substantial health effect. The question of whether to include the six substances that have been found to have general health effects as HSRM would be require further research.

Pancreatic Cancer Incidence and Mortality Patterns in China, 2009

  • Chen, Wan-Qing;Liang, Di;Zhang, Si-Wei;Zheng, Rou-Shou;He, Yu-Tong
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.7321-7324
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    • 2013
  • Objective: To estimate the incidence and mortality rates for pancreatic cancer in China. Methods: After checking and reviewing the cancer registry data in 2009 from 72 cancer registry centers, we divided cancer registry areas into urban and rural areas. Incidence/mortality rates, age-specific incidence/mortality rates, age-standardized incidence/mortality rates, proportions, and cumulative incidence/mortality rates for pancreatic cancer were calculated. Results: The total number of newly diagnosed pancreatic cancer cases and deaths in 2009 were 6,220 and 5,650, respectively. The crude incidence rate in all cancer registry areas was 7.28/100,000 (males 8.24, females 6.29). The age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population (ASR) was 3.35/100,000, with ranking at 7th among all cancers. Pancreatic cancer incidence rate was 8.19/100,000 in urban areas whereas it was 5.41/100 000 in rural areas. Cancer mortality rate in all cancer registry areas was 6.61/100,000 (males 7.45; females 5.75), with ranking at 6th among all cancers, and 7.42/100 000 in urban but 4.94/100000 in rural areas. Conclusions: Pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates have shown a gradual increase in China. Owing to the difficulty of early diagnosis, identification of high-risk population and modification of risk factors are important to reduce the burden of pancreatic cancer.