• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk process

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Computer modelling of fire consequences on road critical infrastructure - tunnels

  • Pribyl, Pavel;Pribyl, Ondrej;Michek, Jan
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.363-377
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    • 2018
  • The proper functioning of critical points on transport infrastructure is decisive for the entire network. Tunnels and bridges certainly belong to the critical points of the surface transport network, both road and rail. Risk management should be a holistic and dynamic process throughout the entire life cycle. However, the level of risk is usually determined only during the design stage mainly due to the fact that it is a time-consuming and costly process. This paper presents a simplified quantitative risk analysis method that can be used any time during the decades of a tunnel's lifetime and can estimate the changing risks on a continuous basis and thus uncover hidden safety threats. The presented method is a decision support system for tunnel managers designed to preserve or even increase tunnel safety. The CAPITA method is a deterministic scenario-oriented risk analysis approach for assessment of mortality risks in road tunnels in case of the most dangerous situation - a fire. It is implemented through an advanced risk analysis CAPITA SW. Both, the method as well as the resulting software were developed by the authors' team. Unlike existing analyzes requiring specialized microsimulation tools for traffic flow, smoke propagation and evacuation modeling, the CAPITA contains comprehensive database with the results of thousands of simulations performed in advance for various combinations of variables. This approach significantly simplifies the overall complexity and thus enhances the usability of the resulting risk analysis. Additionally, it provides the decision makers with holistic view by providing not only on the expected risk but also on the risk's sensitivity to different variables. This allows the tunnel manager or another decision maker to estimate the primary change of risk whenever traffic conditions in the tunnel change and to see the dependencies to particular input variables.

Application of Risk-Based Inspection with Financial Risk for a Petrochemical Process (석유화학공정에서 재정적 위험도에 의한 위험기반검사의 적용)

  • Kim, Tae-Ok;Lee, Joong-Hee;Choi, Sung-Kyu;Lee, Hern-Chang;Jo, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2009
  • For the case of the facilities using utilities such as cooling water and steam, risk of the facilities is zero because the consequence of failure (COF) through equipment damage area is zero. Therefore, to improve the estimation method of the risk by COF through equipment damage area in the risk-based inspection (RBI), this study developed the procedures of RBI, in which the risk was estimated by COF through financial loss. And, the RBI program (KS-RBI Ver 3.1) was developed to establish inspection interval based on the risk of the facilities estimated by COF through equipment damage area and financial loss, simultaneously, and the developed RBI program was applied to a petrochemical process. As a result, risks of the facilities estimated by COF through financial loss were similar to risks by COF through the equipment damage area. But, for the case of the facilities using utilities or expensive facilities, the estimation method of the risk by COF through financial loss was more accurate than through equipment damage area.

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A Development of Risk Identification Checklist for Stakeholder in Urban regeneration-Projects (도시재생사업 참여주체별 위험인지 체크리스트 개발)

  • Park, Kyu-Young;Kim, Seon-Gyoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.487-490
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    • 2008
  • The mixed-use development project like urban regeneration project has been enforced with long period and participation of various stakeholders. For this character, lots of risk could be occurred during the process of project and the project's success or failure depends on the risk management. So the process of identifying and responding to risks in urban regeneration projects should be followed systemically The risk identification phase is the first step to identify risk factors and define risk's character. One of the risk identification methods, the checklist, is the most practical and well-known one. This study suggests the check list that devide risks classified by stakeholders through analyzing tasks of stakeholders and drawing risks. This kind of checklist which handles risk factors classified by stakeholders is an easy tool to identify risks and expected to be effective to find risks for various stakeholders and themselves in the urban regeneration projects.

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A Case Study of Risk Management factors in Web Design Project (웹 디자인 프로젝트에서 리스크 매니지먼트 요인에 대한 사례 연구)

  • 박은영
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2003
  • Risk Management is one of the most important factors in web design project management. The purpose of risk management is to identify reasons of risk to avoid risky situation and successfully achieve final goal of the project. This paper first describes concept of the web design project management and its processes. Secondly this study presents planning principles for systematic risk management process. Also it suggests a model of risk management. Finally this paper demonstrates utility of the risk management model through case studies based on the suggested risk management model.

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A study on Risk Assessment Procedure for the Structural changes of Navigable Airspaces (공역의 구조적 변경에 따른 위험평가 절차 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Kim, W.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2012
  • 'Navigable airspace' means an airspace at and above the minimum safe flight level, including airspace or flight procedures needed for safe takeoff and landing. Airspace may be established as needed and may be abolished, and in some cases may be limited to airspace management. These are absolutely based on risk assessment. Safety is the state in which the risk of harm to persons or of property damage is reduced to, and maintained at or below, an acceptable level through a continuing process of hazard identification and risk management. 'Risk' is the assessed potential for adverse consequences resulting from a hazard and 'Risk assessment' involves consideration of both the frequency and the severity of any adverse consequence. This paper proposed 'risk assessment procedure' for the structural changes of Navigable Airspaces through literature reviews relevant to manuals on airspace management and risk management.

The Limitations of Risk-based Auditing using Fuzzy Methods

  • Mohammadi, Shaban
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.37-40
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - Investors, creditors, governments, and others make decisions using reasonable information provided by others. In many cases, the users of this information have goals and objectives conflicting with those of the information's producers, indicating the need for external auditors. Research design, data, and methodology - Competition in auditing has noticeably intensified globally, especially in developed countries. This means that auditors are striving to increase the efficiency of their methods. In recent years, risk-based auditing has become prominent among these efforts. In risk-assessment auditing, the auditor may directly affect the effectiveness and efficiency of the audit. Results - As a central framework, the risk assessment process improves audit quality and effectiveness such that the audit will lead to necessary changes. Previous studies have shown that risk assessment affects the nature, timing, and content of audit procedures. Conclusions - In the planning stage of an audit, audit risk assessment may identify any inappropriate or inefficient distribution of resources or determine whether the results of an audit will be ineffective or incorrect. Thus, assessing audit risk is a critical task.

The Effects of Sensation Seeking and Socialization on Risk Taking Behavior among Adolescent Girls and Boys (감각추구성향과 사회화 요인이 남녀 청소년의 위험행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh, Mi Kyung;Park, Seong Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this research was to examine the effects of sensation seeking and socialization on the risk taking behavior of adolescents. The subjects were 460 3rd year high school adolescents (272 boys and 188 girls) in Seoul, Korea. Data were collected through questionnaires, including the Arnett Inventory of Sensation Seeking (1994) a socialization scale (mother's parenting style, parent's open communication and relationship with friends), and a risk taking scale devised by the researcher. The results showed that both the degree of sensation seeking and the socialization process influenced risk taking behaviors in both males and females. The effect of sensation seeking on risk taking behavior was mediated by the degree of communication with fathers for male but not for female adolescents. For males, sensation seeking directly and indirectly influenced risk taking behaviors through closeness with risk taking friends. For females, sensation seeking did not directly influence risk taking behavior but had an indirect influence through closeness with risk taking friends. Implications were discussed in terms of sensation seeking and socialization.

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Research on Risk-Based Piping Inspection Guideline System in the Petrochemical Industry

  • Tien, Shiaw-Wen;Hwang, Wen-Tsung;Tsai, Chih-Hung
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.97-124
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this research is to create an expert risk-based piping system inspection model. The proposed system includes a risk-based piping inspection system and a piping inspection guideline system. The research procedure consists of three parts: the risk-based inspection model, the risk-based piping inspection model, and the piping inspection guideline system model. In this research procedure, a field plant visit is conducted to collect the related domestic information (Taiwan) and foreign standards and regulations for creating a strategic risk-based piping inspection and analysis system in accordance with the piping damage characteristics in the petrochemical industry. In accordance with various piping damage models and damage positions, petrochemical plants provide the optimal piping inspection planning tool for efficient piping risk prediction for enhancing plant operation safety.

INFLUENCE FACTOR-BASED RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY FOR CONSTRUCITON

  • Hyunsoo Kim;Hyunsoo Lee;Moonseo Park;Kwang-pyo Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1231-1236
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    • 2009
  • Many work-related risk factors can cause construction site hazards. Therefore, safety management begins with measuring the magnitude of risk involved in a project. This study proposes a methodology for risk assessment of major trades at a particular construction site. To assess risk, this methodology integrates hazard severity and frequency, and their magnitude is calculated based on actual work-site hazards. This methodology also considers the influence factors that affect the frequency of work-related hazards. To select the appropriate influence factors, a two step approach is deployed. First, the predominant factors are identified through a literature review. Second, a selective process filters out the influence factors that are difficult to analyze quantitatively, and these extracted factors are weighted using expert surveys. Finally, the factors are combined and a quantitative risk assessment methodology is proposed.

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Structuring Risk Factors of Industrial Incidents Using Natural Language Process (자연어 처리 기법을 활용한 산업재해 위험요인 구조화)

  • Kang, Sungsik;Chang, Seong Rok;Lee, Jongbin;Suh, Yongyoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2021
  • The narrative texts of industrial accident reports help to identify accident risk factors. They relate the accident triggers to the sequence of events and the outcomes of an accident. Particularly, a set of related keywords in the context of the narrative can represent how the accident proceeded. Previous studies on text analytics for structuring accident reports have been limited to extracting individual keywords without context. We proposed a context-based analysis using a Natural Language Processing (NLP) algorithm to remedy this shortcoming. This study aims to apply Word2Vec of the NLP algorithm to extract adjacent keywords, known as word embedding, conducted by the neural network algorithm based on supervised learning. During processing, Word2Vec is conducted by adjacent keywords in narrative texts as inputs to achieve its supervised learning; keyword weights emerge as the vectors representing the degree of neighboring among keywords. Similar keyword weights mean that the keywords are closely arranged within sentences in the narrative text. Consequently, a set of keywords that have similar weights presents similar accidents. We extracted ten accident processes containing related keywords and used them to understand the risk factors determining how an accident proceeds. This information helps identify how a checklist for an accident report should be structured.