• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk measurement

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A Development of Risk Performance Index for Mega-project Performance Measurement in view of the integrated Cost/Schedule/Risk (비용/공정/위험 통합 관점에서 메가 프로젝트 성과측정을 위한 위험성과지수 개발)

  • Kim, Seon-Gyoo;Park, Kyoo-Young;Yu, Young-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2009
  • Recently, a research of the urban regeneration has been performed very actively. This is one of the efforts to resolve various social and economic problems coming from the existing deteriorated building and facilities by new urban development or redevelopment. However, an urban regeneration has a characteristic to be unable to ensure the project performance due to the exposed numerous risks coming from the various and complex stake-holders, and its mega sizes. This paper proposes the method of risk performance index in order to improve an efficiency of performance measurement expanding to the risk view point from the existing integrated cost/schedule performance measurement. A risk performance index is compatible with the existing EVMS, and can make the performance measurement in 3 dimensions of the integrated cost/schedule/risk with 18 sub-indexes and variables.

Measurement and Analysis of Risk Voltages in a Grounding System (접지계에서 위험전압의 측정과 분석)

  • Jin, Chang-Hwan;Park, Dae-Won;Seo, Jae-Seok;Kil, Gyung-Suk;Gil, Hyeong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.3099-3103
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    • 2011
  • In measurement of risk voltages; the step and touch voltage, the distance between the current electrode and the ground electrode recedes up to several hundred meters as the scale of grounding system increases. This paper dealt with the measurement method of risk voltage in a restricted space. The risk voltage was analyzed depending on the distance and the direction of the current electrode from the ground electrode in a $10[m]{\times}10[m]$ mesh grounding system. The average value of risk voltages measured at a point 20 [m] away from the current electrode was deviated below 5 [%] from that measured at 100 [m] point. Consequently, the evaluation of risk voltage of a large-scale grounding system buried in a spatially restricted place is available if the current electrode is installed in symmetry to the ground electrode.

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A Study on the Risk Assessment Method of Indoor-Impulsive Noise (실내 충격소음 위험 평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Sung Hak;Song, Ki Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.90-97
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the operator's safety for the risk assessment method of impulsive noise division. Literature reviews on the basis of the impulsive noise study, the measuring methods and procedures, based on the results of the analysis process presents a risk assessment methods. In this study, analysis of the MIL-STD-1474D, B-duration graph for the peak noise level to cross the line from the measurement results is limited by the risk retracted. It is possible to determine whether there is quick can be determined whether the risk. Measurement positions measured by the microphone is installed on the risk of applying results are so located within the tolerance impulsive noise in the measurement position can interpret subjective safety is ensured. In addition, Proportional Dose technology was the proposed by the Patterson with the risk assessment method was applied to the indoor-impulsive noise. As results of this study, results for the same value of applying the technique of Proportional Dose technology results calculated by MIL-STD-1474D methods allows 1 count once increased in comparison to the result obtained.

A Multi-Group Analysis of Risk Management Practices of Public and Private Commercial Banks

  • REHMAN, Khurram;KHAN, Hadi Hassan;SARWAR, Bilal;MUHAMMAD, Noor;AHMED, Wahab;REHMAN, Zia Ur
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.893-904
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    • 2020
  • The study examines the relationship between credit risk and operational risk (understanding of risk management, risk identification, risk assessment and control, and risk monitoring) on risk management practices followed by private and public sector commercial banks. The cross-sectional data method was used to check the impact of risk management practices. Data was collected from the bank employees and a total of 284 respondents were finally selected for further analysis. Measurement Invariance of Composite Models analysis is used to test the quality of the measurement model for sub-samples, and multi-group analysis is used for path analysis in sub-sample through PLS-SEM. The findings of the study as the total sample show that both types of banks are managing adequate and significant risk management practices. On the other hand, sub-groups' results show private sector banks are more momentous than public sector banks. Risk identification is significantly different at the sub-group level, which shows public sector banks are more concentrating on this type of risk. Understanding of risk management has no significant effect on both types of banks and risk assessment & control for public sector banks, and there is a difference in the risk management practices among private and public sector commercial banks.

Design and Application of a Ground Risk Voltage Measurement System (대지 위험전압 측정기의 설계 및 적용)

  • Jang, Un-Yong;Cha, Hyeon-Kyu;Cha, Sang-Wook;Park, Dae-Won;Kil, Gyung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.250-255
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    • 2011
  • This paper dealt with the design, fabrication and application of a risk voltage measurement system (RVMS) which analyzes the step and touch voltages in electrical grounding systems. The RVMS supply 300 V and 1.4 A in ranges from 40 Hz to 1 kHz as the test power source. A DAQ module having resolution of 400 kS/s and 16 bit is equipped with 7 inputs for measuring voltage and current. Also, a noise elimination algorithm of digital filter was applied to reduce the measurement error caused by external noises as a commercial frequency current. The performance of the RVMS was evaluated by measurement of the step and touch voltage according to the IEEE standard 80 and 81 in a grounding system with a 10 m counterpoise. The result showed that the RVMS analyzes the risk voltage with the error below 5%.

Cyber risk measurement via loss distribution approach and GARCH model

  • Sanghee Kim;Seongjoo Song
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.75-94
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    • 2023
  • The growing trend of cyber risk has put forward the importance of cyber risk management. Cyber risk is defined as an accidental or intentional risk related to information and technology assets. Although cyber risk is a subset of operational risk, it is reported to be handled differently from operational risk due to its different features of the loss distribution. In this study, we aim to detect the characteristics of cyber loss and find a suitable model by measuring value at risk (VaR). We use the loss distribution approach (LDA) and the time series model to describe cyber losses of financial and non-financial business sectors, provided in SAS® OpRisk Global Data. Peaks over threshold (POT) method is also incorporated to improve the risk measurement. For the financial sector, the LDA and GARCH model with POT perform better than those without POT, respectively. The same result is obtained for the non-financial sector, although the differences are not significant. We also build a two-dimensional model reflecting the dependence structure between financial and non-financial sectors through a bivariate copula and check the model adequacy through VaR.

A Study on VaR Stability for Operational Risk Management (운영리스크 VaR 추정값의 안정성검증 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Kim, Woo-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Cheol;Im, Jong-Ho;Cho, Sang-Hee;Kim, Ah-Hyoun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.697-708
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    • 2008
  • Operational risk is defined as the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or external events. The advanced measurement approach proposed by Basel committee uses loss distribution approach(LDA) which quantifies operational loss based on bank's own historical data and measurement system. LDA involves two distribution fittings(frequency and severity) and then generates aggregate loss distribution by employing mathematical convolution. An objective validation for the operational risk measurement is essential because the operational risk measurement allows flexibility and subjective judgement to calculate regulatory capital. However, the methodology to verify the soundness of the operational risk measurement was not fully developed because the internal operational loss data had been extremely sparse and the modeling of extreme tail was very difficult. In this paper, we propose a methodology for the validation of operational risk measurement based on bootstrap confidence intervals of operational VaR(value at risk). We derived two methods to generate confidence intervals of operational VaR.

A Measuring Model of Risk Impact on The App Development Project in The Social App Manufacturing Environment (Social App Manufacturing 환경의 앱 개발 프로젝트에서 위험영향도 측정 모델)

  • Baek, Jung Hee;Lim, Young Hwan
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.3 no.9
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    • pp.335-340
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    • 2014
  • Crowd Sourcing-based Social App Manufacturing environment, a small app development project by a team of anonymous virtual performed without the constraints of time and space, and manage it for the app development process need to be automated method. Virtual teams with anonymity is a feature of the Social App Manufacturing, is an important factor that increases the uncertainty of whether the completion of the project or reduction in visibility of the progress of the project. In this study, as one of how to manage the project of Social App Manufacturing environment, the impact of risk that can be used to quantitatively measure the impact of the risk of delay in development has on the project also proposes a measurement model. Effects of risk and type of the impact of risks associated with delays in the work schedule also define the characteristic function, measurement model that has been proposed, suggest the degree of influence measurement equation of risk of the project in accordance with the progressive. The advantage of this model, the project manager is able to ensure the visibility of the progress of the project. In addition, identify the project risk of work delays, and to take precautions.

Determination Conversion Weight of Convertible Bonds Using Mean/Value-at-Risk Optimization Models (평균/VaR 최적화 모형에 의한 전환사채 주식전환 비중 결정)

  • Park, Koohyun
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2013
  • In this study we suggested two optimization models to determine conversion weight of convertible bonds. The problem of this study is same as that of Park and Shim [1]. But this study used Value-at-Risk (VaR) for risk measurement instead of CVaR, Conditional-Value-at-Risk. In comparison with conventional Markowitz portfolio models, which use the variance of return, our models used VaR. In 1996, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision recommended VaR for portfolio risk measurement. But there are difficulties in solving optimization models including VaR. Benati and Rizzi [5] proved NP-hardness of general portfolio optimization problems including VaR. We adopted their approach. But we developed efficient algorithms with time complexity O(nlogn) or less for our models. We applied examples of our models to the convertible bond issued by a semiconductor company Hynix.

Study On the Design of Risk Management Web-Monitoring System using AANN (AANN을 이용한 웹-모니터링 시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 김동회;이영삼;김성호
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2004
  • Recent natural disasters like flooding and slope collapse have shown the need for natural risk management system, as they endanger directly public health and cause severe damages on the national economy. In order to improve the efficiency of risk management systems, this management system based on AANN(Auto-Associative Neural Network)is proposed in this paper. AANN can be effectively used for identification of abnormal data and data compression. The proposed AANN-based risk management system collects and stores measurement data from sensors and transmits them to remote server for web-monitoring. Generally, it is desirable to transmit the compressed data instead of raw data in normal state. However, if dangerous situation happens, rapid tramission of measurement data should be required. These requirements are easily satisfied by using AANN. In order to verify the feasibilities of the proposed system, The AANN-based risk management system is applied to slope collapse monitoring system.