• 제목/요약/키워드: risk mapping

검색결과 165건 처리시간 0.028초

Estimation of natural radionuclide and exhalation rates of environmental radioactive pollutants from the soil of northern India

  • Devi, Vandana;Chauhan, Rishi Pal
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.1289-1296
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    • 2020
  • The estimation of radioactivity level is vital for population health risk assessment and geological point of view and can be evaluated as rate of exhalation and source concentration (226Ra, 232Th and 40K). The present study deals with the soil samples for investigation of radionuclides content and exhalation rates of radon -thoron gas from different sites in northern Haryana, India. Absorbed dose and associated index estimated in the present study are the measures of environmental radioactivity to inhalation dose. Effective doses received by different tissues and organs by considering different occupancy and conditions are also measured. Exhalation rates of radon and thoron are measured with active scintillation monitors based on alpha spectroscopy namely scintillation radon (SRM) and thoron (STM) monitors respectively. Sample height was optimized before measurement of thoron exhalation rate using STM. Average values of radon and thoron exhalation are found 16.6 ± 0.7 mBqkg-1h-1 and 132.1 ± 2.6 mBqm-2s-1 respectively. Also, a simple approach was also adopted, to evaluate the thoron exhalation which accomplished a lot of challenges, the results are compared with the data obtained experimentally. The study is useful in the nationwide mapping of radon and thoron exhalation rates for understanding the environmental radioactivity status.

MCDM 기법을 이용한 도심지 토사재해 예방을 위한 도시계획적 대책 위치 결정방법 제안 (Determining the Location of Urban Planning Measures for Preventing Debris-Flow Risks: Based on the MCDM Method)

  • 문용희;이상은;김소윤;김명수
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2017
  • The landslide disaster damage has been increased by mountain development, leading to construction of educational facilities, medical facilities, petty industrial facilities, and large housing complexes. Therefore, effective regulation is required as an effort in urban planning solutions. For suggesting specific mitigation strategies on urban landslide, this study aims to define evaluation criteria for urban planning management of debris-flow disaster. AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), one of the multiple criterion decision making methods, was utilized in this study. This study makes use of 16 sub-criteria under the framework of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, and well-planned expert survey measures their weights. The weights are also applied to evaluate each grid in urban space (min $10{\times}10m$) and classify it with red, orange, yellow, or green grade so that areas at higher risk are clearly identified. This study concludes that the suggested method is useful to support a strategies for urban planning management of debris-flow disaster, particularly in a GIS base.

실시간 홍수위험지도 제작을 위한 홍수위험지역 선정 (The Selection of Flood Risk Area for Real-Time Flood Risk Mapping)

  • 박준형;금호준;김범진;한건연
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.346-346
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    • 2015
  • 홍수로 인한 인명 및 재산의 피해는 자연재해 중 가장 많은 부분을 차지한다. 홍수의 심각성과 빈도가 증가함에 따라, 홍수 재해와 관련된 경제적 손실을 감소할 필요성에 대해 국제적인 우려가 늘어나고 있다. 홍수로 인해 야기되는 재해는 적절한 예방 대책을 통해 저감시킬 수 있는데 그 중 홍수위험지역을 예측하는 것은 홍수를 완화시킬 중요한 해결책이 될 수 있다. 따라서 미국과 유럽 등에서는 홍수위험지역을 예측하여 실시간으로 국민들에게 정보를 제공해주어 위험성을 미리 인식시키고 대비할 수 있도록 국가적인 지원을 하고 있다. 아직 국내에서는 홍수통제소 등의 국가기관에서 주요 국가하천에서의 홍수위만을 실시간으로 제공하고 있어 홍수위험지도의 제작 및 제공이 필요한 실정이다. 이러한 실시간 홍수위험지도를 제작하기 위한 연구는 지속되어 왔으나 범람구역의 설정 및 복잡한 수리해석 등의 어려움을 동반하여 적용을 위한 노력이 필요한 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 1차원 모형인 FLDWAV 모형을 이용하여 실시간 홍수위험지도 제작을 위한 기초 자료 제공으로 홍수위험지역을 선정해보았다. 국내 홍수예 경보시스템에서 사용하는 FLDWAV 모형을 이용하여 실시간으로 홍수위를 산정하여 홍수위험지역을 선정할 수 있었으며, 그 결과도 홍수흔적도와 상당히 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구를 통해 빠르고 정확한 홍수위험지역 선정이 가능할 것으로 판단되며, 정확한 수리계산이 필요한 지역이나 홍수보험의 가입이 필요한 지역의 선정 등에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Future flood frequency analysis from the heterogeneous impacts of Tropical Cyclone and non-Tropical Cyclone rainfalls in the Nam River Basin, South Korea

  • Alcantara, Angelika;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.139-139
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    • 2021
  • Flooding events often result from extreme precipitations driven by various climate mechanisms, which are often disregarded in flood risk assessments. To bridge this gap, we propose a climate-mechanism-based flood frequency analysis that accommodates the direct linkage between the dominant climate processes and risk management decisions. Several statistical methods have been utilized in this approach including the Markov Chain analysis, K-nearest neighbor (KNN) resampling approach, and Z-score-based jittering method. After that, the impacts of climate change are associated with the modification of the transition matrix (TM) and the application of the quantile mapping approach. For this study, we have selected the Nam River Basin, South Korea, to consider the heterogeneous impacts of the two climate mechanisms, including the Tropical Cyclone (TC) and non-TCs. Based on our results, while both climate mechanisms have significant impacts on future flood extremes, TCs have been observed to bring more significant and immediate impacts on the flood extremes. The results in this study have proven that the proposed approach can lead to a new insights into future flooding management.

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겨울기온 상승에 따른 복숭아 나무 '장호원황도' 품종의 결과지에 대한 동상해위험 공간분석: III. 고해상도 기후시나리오에 근거한 동해위험의 미래분포 (Geospatial Assessment of Frost and Freeze Risk in 'Changhowon Hwangdo' Peach (Prunus persica) Trees as Affected by the Projected Winter Warming in South Korea: III. Identifying Freeze Risk Zones in the Future Using High-Definition Climate Scenarios)

  • 정유란;김진희;김수옥;서희철;윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 겨울철 휴면심도와 동해유발온도를 기반으로 작성된 복숭아 나무 '장호원황도' 품종의 휴면지에 대한 동해위험지수 계산식을 고해상도 전자기후도와 결합하여 현재평년(1971-2000년)의 기후조건에서 동해위험의 지역적 분포를 파악하였다. 이를 기준으로 두고 기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 미래 3개 평년(2011-2040년, 2041-2070년, 2071-2100년)의 기온자료에 동일한 방법을 적용하여 얻은 동해위험지수와 비교함으로써 기후변화에 따른 이들 위험지역의 이동을 경관규모에서 추적하였다. 현재평년(1971-2000년) 기후조건에서는 전 국토의 4%가 안전지대, 88%가 동해 위험 경계지대, 8%가 위험지대로 탐색되었다. 시나리오 기후조건에서는 가까운 미래(2011-2040년)와 먼 미래(2041-2100년)에 모두 경계지대가 줄어드는 반면 안전지대와 위험지대가 다같이 증가하였다. 이 방법은 경기도 이천, 경북 청도 등 복숭아 주산지 내의 위험지대를 경관규모에서 탐색하는 데도 이용될 수 있음이 확인되었으므로 앞으로 농업분야 기후변화 영향평가 및 취약성 분석에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

라돈 우선관리 대상 지역 선정에 적합한 공간분석모형의 선정 및 활용에 관한 연구 (Study on the Selection and Application of a Spatial Analysis Model Appropriate for Selecting the Radon Priority Management Target Area)

  • 남궁선주;최길용;홍형진;윤단기;김윤신;박시현;김윤관;이철민
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.82-96
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The aims of this study were to provide the basic data for establishing a precautionary management policy and to develop a methodology for selecting a radon management priority target area suitable for the Korean domestic environment. Methods: A suitable mapping method for the domestic environment was derived by conducting a quantitative comparison of predicted values and measured values that were calculated through implementation of two models such as IDW and RBF methods. And a qualitative comparison including the clarity of information transmission of the written radon map was carried out. Results: The predicted and measured values were obtained through the implementation of the spatial analysis models. The IDW method showed the lowest in the calculated mean square error and had a higher correlation coefficient than the other methods. As results of comparing the uncertainty using the jackknife concept and the concept of error distance for comparison of the differences according to the model interpolation method, the sum of the error distances showed a modest increase compared with the RBF method. As a result of qualitatively comparing the information transfer clarity between the radon maps prepared with the predicted values through the model implementation, it was found that the maps plotted using the predicted values by the implementation of the IDW method had greater clarity in terms of highness and lowness of radon concentration per area compared with the maps plotted by other methods. Conclusions: The radon management priority area suggests selecting a metropolitan city including an area with a high radon concentration.

FLUMEN 모형을 적용한 홍수위험지도의 작성 (Flood Risk Mapping with FLUMEN model Application)

  • 조완희;한건연;안기홍
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권2B호
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 이상기후 및 기후변화에 따른 태풍, 집중호우 등으로 발생할 수 있는 피해들을 대비하고 상황에 맞는 대응을 위한 홍수위험지도의 작성을 위하여, 낙동강의 지류인 금호강 유역에 위치하는 대구광역시 서구 지역에 대하여 국 내외 홍수위험지도 작성에 널리 이용되고 있는 FLUMEN 모형을 적용한 하도 및 제내지의 2차원 침수해석을 실시하여 대상유역에 대한 시간별 침수심과 유속을 계산하고, USBR의 Downstream Hazard Classification Guidelines에 제시된 홍수위험 분류기준에 의거하여 홍수위험지도를 작성하는 연구를 수행하였다. FLUMEN 모형을 적용한 하도 및 제내지의 2차원 침수해석은 100년 빈도 강우에 대하여 제방의 붕괴가 발생하지 않고, 월류를 통한 제내지로의 유입만 발생한다는 가정 하에 모의을 실시하였고, 대상유역에서는 100년 빈도 강우에 대하여 금호강유역에 위치한 비산동 지역의 제방에서 월류를 통한 홍수가 발생하는 것으로 확인되었으며, 하도 및 제내지에서의 2차원 침수해석 결과로 얻어진 각 Node에 대한 매시간별 수심과 유속에 관한 정보를 이용하여 홍수위험정도를 분류하였다. 본 연구방법을 통한 지역별 침수심도 및 홍수위험지도가 구축된다면 홍수로 인한 제방붕괴 또는 월류 시 지역 주민들의 비상대처 행동양식을 시스템화 할 수 있을 것이며, 고위험지역의 인명을 우선적으로 대피시키고, 차량 및 도로를 통제하는 등의 세분화된 비상대처계획을 수립하는데 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Ultrafine Particle의 독성, 측정방법 및 관리 (Ultrafine Particle Toxicities, Current Measurement Techniques and Controls)

  • 이수길;김성수
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 2010
  • This study is an overview of toxicities and measurement techniques of ultrafine particles (UFPs), and their exposure controls. UFPs are ubiquitous in many working situations. Exposure to UFPs is possibly causing adverse health symptoms including cardio-respiratory disease to humans. In order to measure exposure levels of airborne UFPs, there are current available measurement guidelines, instruments and other techniques (i.e. contour mapping, control banding). However, these risk assessment techniques including measurement techniques, controls and guidelines are dependent on background levels, metrics (e.g. size, mass, number, surface area, composition), environmental conditions and controls. There are no standardized measurement methods available and no generic and specific occupational exposure standards for UFPs. It is thought that there needs to be more effort to develop Regulations and Exposure Standards for generic UFPs should be based on more exposure data, health surveys, toxicological data and epidemiological data. A carefully considered hierarchy of controls can also reduce the maximum amount of airborne UFPs being emitted from diverse sources in industries.

Expected shortfall estimation using kernel machines

  • Shim, Jooyong;Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.625-636
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    • 2013
  • In this paper we study four kernel machines for estimating expected shortfall, which are constructed through combinations of support vector quantile regression (SVQR), restricted SVQR (RSVQR), least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) and support vector expectile regression (SVER). These kernel machines have obvious advantages such that they achieve nonlinear model but they do not require the explicit form of nonlinear mapping function. Moreover they need no assumption about the underlying probability distribution of errors. Through numerical studies on two artificial an two real data sets we show their effectiveness on the estimation performance at various confidence levels.

PREDICTION MODELS FOR SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS: Application to landslide hazard mapping and mineral exploration

  • Chung, Chang-Jo
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2000년도 춘계 학술대회 논문집 통권 3호 Proceedings of the 2000 KSRS Spring Meeting
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    • pp.9-9
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    • 2000
  • For the planning of future land use for economic activities, an essential component is the identification of the vulnerable areas for natural hazard and environmental impacts from the activities. Also, exploration for mineral and energy resources is carried out by a step by step approach. At each step, a selection of the target area for the next exploration strategy is made based on all the data harnessed from the previous steps. The uncertainty of the selected target area containing undiscovered resources is a critical factor for estimating the exploration risk. We have developed not only spatial prediction models based on adapted artificial intelligence techniques to predict target and vulnerable areas but also validation techniques to estimate the uncertainties associated with the predictions. The prediction models will assist the scientists and decision-makers to make two critical decisions: (i) of the selections of the target or vulnerable areas, and (ii) of estimating the risks associated with the selections.

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