• 제목/요약/키워드: risk indicators

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Delphi/AHP를 활용한 다중이용업 신종업종의 화재위험평가지표 분석 (Analysis of Fire Risk Assessment Indicators of Publicly-Used Establishments using Delphi/AHP)

  • 김명철;김학중;박경환;윤해권;이승호
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2019
  • 국민권익위원회 2018년 7월 17일 보도 자료에 의하면 방탈출카페, 실내양궁장 등 신종업종이 다중이용업에서 제외되어 지정을 검토하고 화재예방 대책을 수립하도록 소방청에 권고하였다. 본 연구는 Delphi 기법으로 다중이용업 신종업종의 화재위험평가 측정영역 및 측정지표를 계층화하고 적합도(3.00 이상) 분석결과, 적합도 평균값이 4.25로서 적합성을 확보하였다. AHP 분석결과, 화재위험평가 측정영역의 일관성 비율은 4.0%로서 CR ≤ 0.1(10%) 보다 낮게 분석되었고 하위 측정지표의 일관성 비율도 0.1%~3.6%로서 모두 일관성이 있음을 확인하였다. 통합 측정지표의 중요도와 우선순위는 영업장 내부통로의 형태 및 출구의 피난능력(0.316), 점화원관리(0.141), 고유위험(0.106), 화재감지시스템의 적절성 및 적응성(0.097), 가연물관리(0.084), 피난안내 및 피난설비(0.075), 내화구조 및 마감재료(0.060), 구획 및 비상구(0.049), 연소확대위험(0.046), 소화설비의 적절성 및 적응성(0.026)의 순으로 도출 되었다. 본 연구는 향후, 화재위험평가지표 개발 연구의 중요한 자료로 널리 활용 될 것이다.

개인정보보호를 위한 리스크 모니터링: 경고맵 (Developing Warning Map for Risk Monitoring on Personal Information Security)

  • 이영재;신상철;민금영
    • 한국재난관리표준학회지
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 사회적 이슈로 등장하고, 빈번하게 대형 사고가 발생하는 개인정보 보안 사고에 대하여 사전에 탐지하여 예방할 수 있는 개인정보보호를 위한 리스크 모니터링 모델을 제시한다. 이를 위하여 개인정보 및 개인정보보호 업무를 정의하고, 개인정보 생명주기에 따른 리스크를 식별한다. 식별된 리스크는 전문가 설문을 통하여 우선관리대상 리스크를 선정하고, Fishbone Diagram을 활용하여 리스크 요인을 도출한다. 리스크 요인들은 지표로서 각 측정 단위와 임계치를 보유하며, 개인정보보호 업무와 리스크에 따라 지표의 값을 가지고 판단하는 경고맵을 개발한다.

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일부지역 저소득층 독거노인의 영양소 섭취, 영양위험도 및 생화학 지표에 관한 조사연구 (A Study on the Nutrient Intake, Health Risk Factors, Blood Health Status in Elderly Korean Women Living Alone)

  • 김화영;김명환;홍성길;황성주;박미현
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.216-223
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    • 2005
  • This purpose of this study was to investigate the nutrient intake, the health status as determined self-assessment checklist, biochemical indicators of elderly Korean women. We interviewed and 55 female subjects living alone in the Urban aged over 65 years. Information on their dietary intake was collected by 24-hour Recall method. Their health status was determined by a NSI checklist. Biochemical indicators were performed in whole blood and plasma of subjects. Except for protein, Fe, all of the elderly subjects belonged to over moderate nutritional risk. The average daily nutrient intake of the elderly was below the level of the recommended dietary allowances (RDA) for Koreans. A relationship between their health risk score and nutrient intake was observed negatively (not significantly). They had a risk of anemia as hemoglobin and hematocrit of subjects were under the normal value. Therefore, the reason that health risk score and health status badly was thought for lower nutrient intake.

공급사슬 관점에서 기업 위험의 계량적 추정 (Quantitative Estimation of Firm's Risk from Supply Chain Perspective)

  • 박근영;한현수
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.201-217
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we report computational testing result to examine the validity of firm's bankruptcy risk estimation through quantification of supply chain risk. Supply chain risk in this study refers to upstream supply risk and downstream demand risk, To assess the firm's risk affected by supply chain risk, we adopt unit of analysis as industry level. since supply and demand relationships of the firm could be generalized by the industry input-output table and the availability of various valid economic indicators which are chronologically calculated. The research model to estimate firm's risk level is the linear regression model to assess the industry bankruptcy risk estimation of the focal firm's industry with the independent variables which could quantitatively reflect demand and supply risk of the industry. The publicly announced macro economic indicators are selected as the candidate independent variables and validated through empirical testing. To validate our approach, in this paper, we confined our research scope to steel industry sector and its related industry sectors, and implemented the research model. The empirical testing results provide useful insights to further refine the research model as the valid forecasting mechanism to capture firm's future risk estimation more accurately by adopting supply chain industry risk aspect, in conjunction with firm's financial and other managerial factors.

The relationship between skeletal muscle mass and the KOSHA cardiovascular risk in obese male workers

  • Hyo Won Chong;JunSeok Son;Changho Chae;Changho Jae
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • 제35권
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    • pp.40.1-40.10
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    • 2023
  • Background: Efforts for the prevention and management of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in workers have been actively pursued. Obesity is one of the important risk factors related to CVDs. Obesity has various metabolic characteristics, and some individuals can be metabolically healthy. Body composition including skeletal muscle mass is known to have protective effect in obesity. The study aims to investigate the association between skeletal muscle mass and Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency (KOSHA) CVD risk among obese male manufacturing workers in Korea and to identify appropriate indicators of skeletal muscle mass for predicting risk of CVDs. Methods: The study was conducted on 2,007 obese male workers at a manufacturing industry aged more than 19 years. Skeletal muscle mass, skeletal muscle index (SMI), skeletal muscle mass percent (SMM%) and skeletal muscle to body fat ratio (MFR) were used to evaluate body composition and these indicators were divided into quartiles. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the KOSHA CVD risk groups according to quartiles of skeletal muscle mass indicators were estimated using ordinal logistic regression analysis. Results: The OR for the KOSHA CVD risk groups in the highest quartile of SMI was 1.67 (95% CI: 1.42-1.92), while the ORs for the KOSHA CVD risk groups in the highest quartiles of SMM%, SMM/body mass index (BMI), and MFR were 0.47 (95% CI: 0.22-0.72), 0.51 (95% CI: 0.05-0.76), and 0.48 (95% CI: 0.23-0.74), respectively. Conclusions: We found that high SMI increase the likelihood of high risk of CVDs, while high SMM%, SMM/BMI, and MFR lower the likelihood of high risk of CVDs. Accurate evaluation of skeletal muscle mass can help assess the cardiovascular risk in obese male workers.

Periodontal health status, oral microbiome, white-spot lesions and oral health related to quality of life-clear aligners versus fixed appliances: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression

  • Ana Sandra Llera-Romero;Milagros Adobes-Martin;Jose Enrique Iranzo-Cortes;Jose Maria Montiel-Company;Daniele Garcovich
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.374-392
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    • 2023
  • Objective: Assess and evaluate the different indicators of oral health-related quality of life (OHRQoL) among patients treated with clear aligners (CAs) versus those treated with conventional fixed orthodontics (FAs). Methods: An electronic search was performed on the database is Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase databases. Randomized and non-randomized control trials, cross-sectional, prospective cohort and retrospective trials were included. Quality was assessed with risk of bias tool and risk of bias in non-randomised studies. Meta-analyses were performed with random effects models, estimating the standardized and non-standardized mean differences, odds ratio and risk ratio as the measure of effect. The effect on time was determined using a meta-regression model. Results: Thirty one articles were included in the qualitative synthesis and 17 in the meta-analysis. CAs had a significantly lower negative impact on QoL, with an "important" effect size, while the influence of time was not significant. Periodontal indicators plaque index (PI), gingival index (GI), probing depth (PD), and bleeding on probing show significantly better values in patients treated with CAs, with moderate to large effect sizes. PI and GI have a significant tendency to improve over time. In microbiological indicators, CAs present a lower biofilm mass without differences in the percentage of patients with high counts of Streptococcus mutans and Lactobacilli bacteria. The risk of white spot lesion onset is ten times lower in carriers of CAs. Conclusions: Patients wearing CAs show better periodontal indicators, less risk of white spot development, less biofilm mass and a better QoL than patients with FAs.

The Effects of Credit Risk on the Profitability of Commercial Banks in Afghanistan

  • RASA, Rahmanullah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권7호
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    • pp.477-489
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of credit risk on commercial banks' profitability in Afghanistan. Due to the availability of limited data, this study applies the Fixed Effects estimator on balance panel data of six domestic private commercial banks over the period 2014-2018. The study uses LLRTL, TLTA, and TLTD as credit risk indictors, size as bank-specific determinant, ROAA, ROAE, and NIM as profitability indicators. The study finds a robust negative and significant effect of LLRTL on ROAA, and ROAE, but positive and insignificant on NIM. The results also reveal significant positive effect of TLTA on NIM, however insignificant negative on ROAA while insignificant positive on ROAE. The study finds negative effect of TLTD on ROAA, ROAE, and NIM, but only significant on NIM. Further, this study reveals a robust negative and significant effect of size on all profitability indicators. The mean comparison of profitability demonstrates that NIM is in a better situation than others profitability indicators, which is a good sign for the Afghan banking sector. The findings of this study suggest that improving credit management, increasing efficiency of asset management or effectiveness of business model can increase commercial banks' profitability in Afghanistan.

기후변화 리스크의 지역 불평등 모니터링 : 폭염을 중심으로 (Monitoring regional inequalities in climate change risk - A Focus on Heatwave -)

  • 김근한
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2021
  • Abnormal climate caused by climate change causes enormous social and economic damage. And such damage and its impact may vary depending on the location and regional characteristics of the region and the social and economic conditions of local residents. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously monitor whether there are indicators that are weaker than other regions among the detailed indicators that constitute the risk, exposure and vulnerability of climate change risk. In this study, the concept of climate change risk was used for heatwave to determine regional inequality of climate change risk. In other words, it was judged that inequality in climate change risk occurred in regions with high risk but high exposure and low vulnerability compared to other regions. As a result of the analysis, it was found that 13 local governments in Korea experienced regional inequality in climate change risk. In order to resolve regional inequality in climate change risks, the current status of regional inequality in climate change should be checked based on the analysis proposed in this study, there is a need for an evaluation and monitoring system that can provide appropriate feedback on areas where inequality has occurred. This continuous evaluation and monitoring-based feedback system is expected to be of great help in resolving regional inequality in climate change risks.

하이브리드 모형을 이용한 고위험 임부 간호의 개념 분석 (A concept analysis of high-risk pregnant nursing: Using hybrid model)

  • 채미영;김현진
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제19권9호
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    • pp.423-433
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구의 목적은 고위험 임부 간호의 개념 정의 및 분석을 하기 위함이다. 이 연구는 Schwartz - Barcott & Hesook Suzie Kim의 하이브리드 모형을 사용하여 분석하였다. 하이브리드 모델을 사용하여 주요 속성과 지표를 식별하고, 현장 실사 고위험 임부 병실에서 고위험 임부를 직접 간호를 수행한 5년 이상 수행한 간호사 10을 면담하여 자료를 수집하였다. 그 결과 3가지 차원, 5가지 속성, 37개의 지표로 도출되었다. 본 연구로 고위험 임부 간호의 개념 분석은 고위험 임부 간호에 대한 지침을 제공할 수 있으며 이론적 초석을 마련할 수 있다.

A TBM tunnel collapse risk prediction model based on AHP and normal cloud model

  • Wang, Peng;Xue, Yiguo;Su, Maoxin;Qiu, Daohong;Li, Guangkun
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.413-422
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    • 2022
  • TBM is widely used in the construction of various underground projects in the current world, and has the unique advantages that cannot be compared with traditional excavation methods. However, due to the high cost of TBM, the damage is even greater when geological disasters such as collapse occur during excavation. At present, there is still a shortage of research on various types of risk prediction of TBM tunnel, and accurate and reliable risk prediction model is an important theoretical basis for timely risk avoidance during construction. In this paper, a prediction model is proposed to evaluate the risk level of tunnel collapse by establishing a reasonable risk index system, using analytic hierarchy process to determine the index weight, and using the normal cloud model theory. At the same time, the traditional analytic hierarchy process is improved and optimized to ensure the objectivity of the weight values of the indicators in the prediction process, and the qualitative indicators are quantified so that they can directly participate in the process of risk prediction calculation. Through the practical engineering application, the feasibility and accuracy of the method are verified, and further optimization can be analyzed and discussed.