• 제목/요약/키워드: risk factor analysis

검색결과 2,344건 처리시간 0.031초

Using Bayesian network and Intuitionistic fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process to assess the risk of water inrush from fault in subsea tunnel

  • Song, Qian;Xue, Yiguo;Li, Guangkun;Su, Maoxin;Qiu, Daohong;Kong, Fanmeng;Zhou, Binghua
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.605-614
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    • 2021
  • Water inrush from fault is one of the most severe hazards during tunnel excavation. However, the traditional evaluation methods are deficient in both quantitative evaluation and uncertainty handling. In this paper, a comprehensive methodology method combined intuitionistic fuzzy AHP with a Bayesian network for the risk assessment of water inrush from fault in the subsea tunnel was proposed. Through the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to replace the traditional expert scoring method to determine the prior probability of the node in the Bayesian network. After the field data is normalized, it is classified according to the data range. Then, using obtained results into the Bayesian network, conduct a risk assessment with field data which have processed of water inrush disaster on the tunnel. Simultaneously, a sensitivity analysis technique was utilized to investigate each factor's contribution rate to determine the most critical factor affecting tunnel water inrush risk. Taking Qingdao Kiaochow Bay Tunnel as an example, by predictive analysis of fifteen fault zones, thirteen of them are consistent with the actual situation which shows that the IFAHP-Bayesian Network method is feasible and applicable. Through sensitivity analysis, it is shown that the Fissure development and Apparent resistivity are more critical comparing than other factor especially the Permeability coefficient and Fault dip. The method can provide planners and engineers with adequate decision-making support, which is vital to prevent and control tunnel water inrush.

패키지형 수소충전소의 고장형태별 영향 분석 (A Study on the Hazard Factor of Packaged Hydrogen Station by Failure Mode & Effects Analysis)

  • 서두현;이광원;김태훈
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the purpose is to identify the risks of the facilities of packaged hydrogen stations. As a risk identification method, failure mode & effect analysis (FMEA), a qualitative risk assessment, was used to analyze failure mode and effects of component of each facility. The analysis criteria were used to derive the risk priority number (RPN) using the 5-point method according to severity, incidence, and detectability. The study analyzed a total of 141 components of 23 types that can be identified on the design of the packaged hydrogen filling station. As a result, 683 types of failures and their causes and effects were identified. and the RPN was number of a total of 1,485. Of these, 10 failure types with a RPN value of 40 or more were deemed necessary. In addition, a list of failure types with a severity score of 5 was identified and analyzed.

패션 인터넷 쇼핑몰에서의 위험지각과 정보원 활용이 충동구매행동에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Perceived Risks and Information Sources on Impulse Buying Behavior on Fashion Internet Shopping Malls)

  • 하종경
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.1035-1046
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the impulse buying behavior of men and women in their twenties, who have experiences of purchasing on internet shopping malls, when they buy fashion products. The data in this study was statistically analyzed using factor analysis, reliability coefficient, and multiple regression analysis using SPSS 14.0. The findings are as follows. First, factor analysis revealed five factors of impulse buying behavior during the purchase of fashion products on internet shopping malls: affective impulse buying, provocative impulse buying, situational impulse buying, reminder impulse buying, and pure impulse buying. Second, factors of perceived risk when purchasing fashion products on internet shopping malls included product quality, payment, service, and economy. Third, sources of information included personal sources of media for fashion professionals, commercials and sponsorship, and promotion. Fourth, the effect of the perceived risk on impulse buying behavior was investigated and the result showed that the perceived risk had a statistically significant influence on impulse buying behavior. Finally, the effect of the information source on impulse buying behavior was investigated and the results showed that the use of information sources had a statistically significant influence on impulse buying behavior.

뇌동정맥기형의 혈관조영 검사상 출혈위험 인자 (Angiographic Hemorrhagic Risk Factors of Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformations)

  • 권오기;한대희;정영섭;오창완;한문희
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제29권8호
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    • pp.995-1000
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    • 2000
  • Objective : The authors reviewed 280 cases with intracranial arteriovenous malformations(AVMs) to identify risk factors of hemorrhage. Patients and Methods : From 1983 to 1997, a total 280 patients with AVMs were treated. Among them, 64% had a history of hemorrhage. Angiograms were retrospectively analyzed with particular attention to the size of the AVM, venous drainage, the location of the AVM and presence of associated aneurysm or varix. These characteristics were statistically analysed in relation to occurrence of hemorrhage. Results : A single variate analysis demonstrated that small size(p=0.0003), deep venous drainage(p=0.025) and periventricular location(p<0.0001) had a strong positive correlation. Associated aneurysms and varices were not found as hemorrhagic risk factors. A multivariate analysis revealed that the size of the AVM was most significant hemorrhagic factor(p=0.0003) followed by deep venous drainage(p=0.025). AVMs with small size and deep venous drainage bled more frequently regardless of their locations. Conclusion : These data would be useful in identifying patients at higher risk for developing hemorrhage of intracranial AVMs.

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한국 노인의 낙상위험평가 설문항목의 유효성 검토 (Examination of useful items for the assessment of fall risk in the Korean community-dwelling elderly)

  • 신소희
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.271-277
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    • 2018
  • 이 연구의 목적은 우리나라 지역거주 노인의 낙상 리스크를 평가하는 문항을 선정하고 유효성을 검토하는데 있다. 낙상위험 평가는 선행연구를 참고로 '낙상잠재성', '신체기능', '질병과 신체증상', '환경', '행동과 성격'의 5가지 요인으로 구분하였으며 내용타당성 검증, 교차분석 및 요인분석 결과에 따라 총 44개 문항으로 구성하였다. 한국형 낙상위험 평가척도는 심각한 사회문제로 인식되고 있는 노인의 낙상문제를 개선하고 개인의 낙상예방에 중요한 정보를 제공하는데 유용한 도구로 사용될 수 있을 것이다.

제조업 남자 근로자의 심혈관질환 위험요인에 대한 모형 구축 (A Structural Model Development on the Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors among Male Manufacturing Workers)

  • 최은숙
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.153-165
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop and test a structural model on cardiovascular disease risk factors among male manufacturing workers. Methods: Data were collected through questionnaires and health exams from 201 workers in a local electronic company during September 2004. Data analysis was done with SAS 9.1 for descriptive statistics and PC-LISREL 8.54 for covariance structural analysis Results: The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was moderate, it was modified by deleting five paths. The modified model had a better fit to the data($x^2=504.23$(p<001, df: 180), $x^2/df=2.80$, GFI=.95, RMR=.07, NFI=.90, PGFI=.64). Health behaviors and psychosocial distress were found to have significant direct effects on the cardiovascular disease risk factors. Self-concept had direct effect on psychosocial distress or health behaviors. Self-concept, work environment, and work condition had direct effect on social support. Work environment had indirect effect on psychosocial distress. Social support had indirect effect on health behaviors. But work environment and work condition were found to have little direct effect on health behaviors, psychosocial distress or cardiovascular disease risk factors. Conclusion: A cardiovascular health promotion program should therefore include psycho-social factors as well as health behavioral determinants in worksites.

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Psychological Impact of Health Risk Appraisal of Korean Women at Different Levels of Breast Cancer Risk: Neglected Aspect of the Web-based Cancer Risk Assessment Tool

  • Kye, Su-Yeon;Park, Kee-Ho;Park, Hyeong-Geun;Kim, Myung-Hyun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.437-441
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    • 2012
  • Objective: Health risk appraisal is often utilized to modify individual's health behavior, especially concerning disease prevention, and web-based health risk appraisal services are being provided to the general public in Korea. However, little is known about the psychological effect of the health risk appraisal even though poorly communicated information by the web-based service may result in unintended adverse health outcomes. This study was conducted to explore the psychological effect of health risk appraisal using epidemiological risk factor profile. Methods: We conducted a randomized trial comparing risk factor list type health risk appraisal and risk score type health risk appraisal. We studied 60 women aged 30 years and older who had no cancer. Anxiety level was assessed using the Spielberger State-Trait Anxiety Inventory YZ. Results: The results of multivariate analysis showed that risk status was the independent predictors of increase of state anxiety after health risk appraisal intervention when age, education, health risk appraisal type, numeracy, state anxiety, trait anxiety, and health risk appraisal type by risk status interaction was adjusted. Women who had higher risk status had an odd of having increased anxiety that was about 5 times greater than women who had lower risk status. Conclusions: Our findings indicate that communicating the risk status by individual health risk appraisal service can induce psychological sequelae, especially in women having higher risk status. Hospitals, institutes, or medical schools that are operating or planning to operate the online health risk appraisal service should take side effects such as psychological sequelae into consideration.

ASYMPTOTIC ANALYSIS FOR PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION PROBLEM UNDER TWO-FACTOR HESTON'S STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODEL

  • Kim, Jai Heui;Veng, Sotheara
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2018
  • We study an optimization problem for hyperbolic absolute risk aversion (HARA) utility function under two-factor Heston's stochastic volatility model. It is not possible to obtain an explicit solution because our financial market model is complicated. However, by using asymptotic analysis technique, we find the explicit forms of the approximations of the optimal value function and the optimal strategy for HARA utility function.

A STUDY ON RISK WEIGHT USING FUZZY IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS

  • Sung Cho;Kyung-ha Lee ;Yong Cho ;Joon-Hong Paek
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1176-1182
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    • 2009
  • Due to recession in real estate market, interest of risk analysis is increasing. Feasibility study in the first stage takes a great role in a project. There are not objectified tools which are able to cope with uncertainty of project, and feasibility study based on selected method of determinism does not include liquidity of weight risk. Also, shortage of consideration for subjective and atypical external factors causes inappropriate results. Therefore, this study proposes feasibility study model focused on risk factor influences in construction cost and sales cost. Considering effective level of cost based on objective risk factors and probable weight of risk by this model, real workers are able to bring correct and scientific decisions better than former method based on selective analysis of real estate development.

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유방암의 위험요인 (Risk Factors of Breast Cancer)

  • 정복례;변혜선;김경덕;김경혜
    • 종양간호연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was secondary analysis to explore about risk factors with breast cancer on a basis of primary literature. Methods: This study was searched articles by using CINAHL, MEDLINE, Riss4u, Internet website regarding breast cancer. This study searched for the journal published in Korea and foreign countries from 2000 to 2008, about risk factors of breast cancer. This study was reviewed 42 articles (5 experimental study, 35 survey, 1 qualitative study, 1 report) suitable for the research objectives. Results: Magnitude of risk breast cancer (++) was age, geographic region, family history, mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2 genes and in other penetrance genes, radiation, history of benign breast disease, late age of menopause, early age of menarch, nulliparity and older age at first birth, high mammographic breast density, high insulin-like growth factor 1 level. Magnitude of risk factor (+) was hormone replacement therapy, oral contraceptives use, obesity, tall stature, alcohol consumption, high prolactin level, high saturated fat and well-done meat intake, polymorphisms in low penetrance gene, high socioeconomic status. Conclusion: A breast cancer screening protocol according to magnitude of risk factors is needed for disease prevention. The nurses need to educate and counsel women with risk factors of breast cancer.

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