• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk evaluation

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A Study on the Threshold of Avoidance Sector in the New Evaluation of Collision Risk

  • Jeong Tae-Gweon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.799-802
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    • 2004
  • Evaluation of the quantitative risk of collision plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed thoroughly how to determine the threshold of avoidance sector as described in the new evaluation of collision risk, and suggested the collision risk obtained by the alteration of course and/or speed in order to pass clear qf each danger zone as the threshold of avoidance sector.

An optimal classification method for risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels based on grey system theory

  • Zhou, Z.Q.;Li, S.C.;Li, L.P.;Shi, S.S.;Xu, Z.H.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.631-647
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    • 2015
  • Engineers may encounter unpredictable cavities, sinkholes and karst conduits while tunneling in karst area, and water inrush disaster frequently occurs and endanger the construction safety, resulting in huge casualties and economic loss. Therefore, an optimal classification method based on grey system theory (GST) is established and applied to accurately predict the occurrence probability of water inrush. Considering the weights of evaluation indices, an improved formula is applied to calculate the grey relational grade. Two evaluation indices systems are proposed for risk assessment of water inrush in design stage and construction stage, respectively, and the evaluation indices are quantitatively graded according to four risk grades. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of optimal classification method, comparisons of the evaluation results derived from the aforementioned method and attribute synthetic evaluation system are made. Furthermore, evaluation of engineering practice is carried through with the Xiakou Tunnel as a case study, and the evaluation result is generally in good agreement with the field-observed result. This risk assessment methodology provides a powerful tool with which engineers can systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.

Comparative Analysis of Risk Assessment Tools for Infectious Diseases (국외 감염병 위험도 평가체계의 비교분석)

  • Choi, Eunmi;Woo, Darae;Choe, YoungJune;Yeh, Jungyong;Park, Sangshin
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2022
  • Background: Emerging infectious diseases, such as Middle East respiratory syndrome or coronavirus disease 2019, pose a continuous threat to public health, making a risk assessment necessary for infectious disease control and prevention. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the risk assessment methods for infectious diseases used by major foreign countries and organizations. Methods: We conducted an investigation and comparative analysis of risk assessment and risk determination methods for infectious diseases. The risk assessment tools included the strategic toolkit for assessing risks, influenza risk assessment tool, pandemic severity assessment framework, and rapid risk assessment methodology. Results: The most frequently reported risk elements were disease severity, antiviral treatment, attack rate, population immunity, and basic productive ratio. The risk evaluation method was evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively by the stakeholders at each institution. Additionally, the final risk level was visualized in a matrix, framework, and x and y-axis. Conclusion: Considering the risk assessment tools, the risk element was classified based on the duplicate of each indicator, and risk evaluation and level of risk assessment were analyzed.

An Objective Method of Risk Evaluation based on RAM(Reliability, MTBF) and AHP Data Analysis for Warship (RAM(신뢰도, MTBF) 데이터와 AHP 분석을 통한 함정분야 위험평가 방안)

  • Ham, Young-Hoon;Beak, Yong-Kawn
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.714-721
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    • 2018
  • This study proposes a risk evaluation method based on RAM and AHP data in order to prevent subjectivity of risk assessment. The risk assessment consist of Risk Likelihood(RL) and Risk Consequence(RC) in five levels. However, risk analysis of warships is hard to make a judgment because of small quantity production(Ship), long building period, equipment changes, complexity, various kinds of equipments, etc. The proposed RAM data and AHP analysis method are used to quantify each level quantitatively. RAM(MTBF) date is used to classify the RL, and AHP analysis is used to classify the RC. These scientific and data-based method will increase objectivity as well as efficiency of risk evaluation.

Probabilistic Risk Evaluation Method for Human-induced Disaster by Risk Curve Analysis (확률.통계적 리스크분석을 활용한 인적재난 위험평가 기법 제안)

  • Park, So-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2009
  • Recently, damage scale of human-induced disaster is sharply increased but its occurrences and damages are so uncertain that it is hard to construct a resonable response & mitigation plan for infrastructures. Therefore, the needs for a advanced risk management technique based on a probabilistic and stochastic risk evaluation theory is increased. In this study, these evaluation methods were investigated and a advanced disaster risk evaluation method, which is based on the probabilistic or stochastic risk assessment theory and also is a quantitative evaluation technique, was suggested. With this method, the safety changes as the result of fire damage management for recent 40 years was analyzed. And the result was compared with that of Japan. Through the consilience of the traditional risk assessment method and this method, a stochastical estimation technique for the uncertainty of future disaster's damage could support a cost-effective information for a resonable decision making on disaster mitigation.

New Fashion Brand Evaluation Attributes related to Risk Perception and Information Search (신규 패션브랜드 평가속성에 대한 소비자 위험지각과 정보탐색에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Hanna;Rhee Eun-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.29 no.5 s.142
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    • pp.727-736
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the new fashion brand evaluation attributes influenced by risk perception and its relationship with information search. As for the method of the research, questionnaires were given to 311 consumers who just finished shopping at new fashion brand stores. The results of this study were as follows: 1) New fashion brand evaluation attributes consisted of five factors; product experience attributes, celebrity credence attributes, product search attributes, brand credence attributes, salesperson search attributes. 2) New fashion brand evaluation attributes were found to be significantly influenced by risk perception. 3) The amount of information seeking and the use of information sources were found to be significantly related to the new fashion brand evaluation attributes. 4) The variables influencing on the new fashion brand evaluation attributes were age and monthly clothing expenses.

A Modification of the Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk Using Sech Function

  • Jeong, Tae-Gwoen;Chao, Chen
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2007
  • Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced in earlier studies. And as a tool of the evaluation field of ship collision, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk and represented how to decide the safe range of own ship's action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as described in the new modification model, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

A Study on effective risk analysis and evaluation method of cloud computing system environment (클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템 환경의 효과적 위험분석평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Junglimg;Chang, Hangbae
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.10-25
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    • 2021
  • Although many studies have been conducted on risk analysis and evaluation in the on-premises environment in information security, studies on effective methodologies of risk analysis and evaluation for cloud computing systems are lacking. In 2015, the Cloud Computing Development Act was enacted, which served as an opportunity to promote the introduction of cloud computing. However, due to the increase in security incidents in the cloud computing system, activation is insufficient. In addition, the cloud computing system is not being actively introduced because of the difficulty in understanding the cloud computing system technology of the person in charge who intends to introduce the cloud computing system. In this regard, this study presented an effective risk analysis and evaluation method by examining the characteristics, concepts, and models of cloud computing systems and analyzing how these characteristics affect risk analysis and evaluation.

Development of Risk-Appearance Frequency Evaluation Model for Railway Level-Crossing Accidents (철도건널목 사고 위험도-발생빈도 평가모델 개발)

  • Kim, Min-Su;Wang, Jong-Bae;Park, Chan-Woo;Choi, Don-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.96-101
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a risk-appearance frequency evaluation model for railway level-crossing accidents is developed with the frequency estimation based on the accident history. It follows the worldwide common safety management approach and reflects the operation conditions and accident properties of the domestic railway system. The risk appearance frequency evaluation process contains a development of accident scenarios by defining the system configurations and functions, and a frequency estimation of hazardous events based on the accident history. The developed model is verified with the accident history during 5 years('03-'07) for 3 hazardous events: 'Being trapped in level crossing(Hl)', 'Crossing during warning signal(H2)' and 'Breaking through/detouring the barrier(H3)'. This risk appearance frequency evaluation model will be combined with a consequence evaluation model so as to offer full risk assessment for the railway accident. The accident risk assessment will contribute to improving the safety management of the railway system.