• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk efficient

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Some Properties of Sequential Point Estimation of the Mean

  • Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.657-663
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    • 2005
  • Under the minimum risk point estimation formulation of Robbins(1959), we consider the sequential point estimation problem for normal population $N({\theta},\;{\theta})$ with unknown parameter ${\theta}$. In the case of completely unknown ${\theta}$, Stein's(1945) two-stage procedure is known to enjoy the consistency property, but it is not even first-order efficient. In the case when ${\theta}>{\theta}_L\;where\;{\theta}_L(>0)$ is known, the revised two-stage procedure is shown to enjoy all the usual second-order properties.

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Risk Based Decision Support for Final Closing Section of a Sea Dike

  • Jee, Sung Hyun;Kang, Seong Hae;Kim, Jeong Hwan;Seo, Jong Won
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2013
  • A sea dike construction has been increased in Korea because of the actively deployed reclamation project in basis of efficient application in land. The degree of completion in sea dike construction is affected by final closing construction, which has a lot of uncertainty that often results in higher accidents rate. Therefore, this research identified risk factors of final closing construction and classified them. This research examines the likelihood and its impact for each risk factor and calculates the risk degree as to the risk matrix. Based on this, the impact and the environmental conditions that affect to risk factors are investigated and further responsive methods are established for each risk factor. Ultimately, this research attempts to provide the risk retrenchment method for inspectors by proposing risk estimation model, responsive action list, and risk management process.

Assessment of Risk Management Practices of CM Enterprise: The Need for an Enterprise-level Risk Management Framework (CM기업 현장운영 리스크 관리 실태 분석을 통한 효율적 관리 방안 제시)

  • Park, Kyungmo;Lee, Hyun Woo;Kim, Changduk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2014
  • The Korean construction industry has been severely impacted by the 2008 global financial crisis, which resulted in a significant reduction in the overall contract amount. For survival, many construction management (CM) companies had to adapt a strategy of lowering bid prices to maintain their competitiveness. As a result of the strategy, companies faced a number of issues including their decreased capability in risk management. However, most risk management-related studies focused on construction risk management, yet these studies lacked consideration of enterprise-level risk management practices. To fill the gap, the objectives of the present study are (1) to investigate, the risk management practices of Korean CM companies, (2) to identify factors that determine efficient enterprise-level risk management practices, and (3) to propose a module for the development of enterprise-level risk management. Lastly, the efficiency of the proposed development module was validated by using a survey.

A Cost-Optimization Scheme Using Security Vulnerability Measurement for Efficient Security Enhancement

  • Park, Jun-Young;Huh, Eui-Nam
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.61-82
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    • 2020
  • The security risk management used by some service providers is not appropriate for effective security enhancement. The reason is that the security risk management methods did not take into account the opinions of security experts, types of service, and security vulnerability-based risk assessment. Moreover, the security risk assessment method, which has a great influence on the risk treatment method in an information security risk assessment model, should be security risk assessment for fine-grained risk assessment, considering security vulnerability rather than security threat. Therefore, we proposed an improved information security risk management model and methods that consider vulnerability-based risk assessment and mitigation to enhance security controls considering limited security budget. Moreover, we can evaluate the security cost allocation strategies based on security vulnerability measurement that consider the security weight.

A Credit Risk Evaluation Using Negative DEA (부(負) (Negative) DEA를 이용한 신용위험평가)

  • Lee, Yeong-Chan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.441-456
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to introduce the concept of negative DEA, which aims at identifying worst performers by placing them on the efficient frontier, This paper also proposes to use a layering technique instead of the traditional cut-off point approach, since this enables incorporation of risk attitudes and risk-based pricing. The results of the empirical application on credit risk evaluation validate the method which is proposed in this paper.

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WEB-BASED GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR CUT-SLOPE COLLAPSE RISK MANAGEMENT

  • HoYun Kang;InJoon Kang;Won-Suk Jang;YongGu Jang;GiBong Han
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1260-1265
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    • 2009
  • Topographical features in South Korea is characterized that 70% of territory is composed of the mountains that can experience intense rainfall during storms in the summer and autumn. Efficient planning and management of landscape becomes utmost important since the cutting slopes in the mountain areas have been increased due to the limited construction areas for the roadway and residential development. This paper proposed an efficient way of slope management for the landslide risk by developing Web-GIS landslide risk management system. By deploying the Logistic Regression Analysis, the system could increase the prediction accuracy that the landslide disaster might be occurred. High resolution survey technology using GPS and Total-Station could extract the exact position and visual shape of the slopes that accurately describe the slope information. Through the proposed system, the prediction of damage areas from the landslide could also make it easy to efficiently identify the level of landslide risks via web-based user interface. It is expected that the proposed landslide risk management system can support the decision making framework during the identification, prediction, and management of the landslide risks.

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Research on Risk-Based Piping Inspection Guideline System in the Petrochemical Industry

  • Tien, Shiaw-Wen;Hwang, Wen-Tsung;Tsai, Chih-Hung
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.97-124
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this research is to create an expert risk-based piping system inspection model. The proposed system includes a risk-based piping inspection system and a piping inspection guideline system. The research procedure consists of three parts: the risk-based inspection model, the risk-based piping inspection model, and the piping inspection guideline system model. In this research procedure, a field plant visit is conducted to collect the related domestic information (Taiwan) and foreign standards and regulations for creating a strategic risk-based piping inspection and analysis system in accordance with the piping damage characteristics in the petrochemical industry. In accordance with various piping damage models and damage positions, petrochemical plants provide the optimal piping inspection planning tool for efficient piping risk prediction for enhancing plant operation safety.

Efficient Supplier Selection with Uncertainty Using Monte Carlo DEA (몬테카를로 DEA를 이용한 불확실성을 고려한 효율적 공급자 선정)

  • Ha, Chunghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2015
  • Selection of efficient supplier is a very important process as risk or uncertainty of a supply chain and its environment are increasing. Previous deterministic DEA and probabilistic DEAs are very limited to handle various types of risk and uncertainty. In this paper, I propose an improved probabilistic DEA which consists of two steps; Monte Carlo simulation and statistical decision making. The simulation results show that the proposed method is proper to distinguish supplier's performance and provide statistical decision background.

Development of the Competency Model for Prevention of Adolescent Risk Behavior (청소년의 위험행동 예방을 위한 역량모델 개발)

  • Park, Hyun-Sook;Jung, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.204-213
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: This study was done to identify fundamental data on competency reinforcement programs to prevent adolescent risk behavior by developing and examining a competency model. Methods: In this study, competences on prevention of adolescent risk behavior were identified through competency modeling, and a competency model was developed and tested for validity. Results: Competences for prevention of adolescent risk behavior defined by the competency model included the following: self-control, positive mutual understanding between parents and adolescents, and positive connectedness with peer group. Validation of the competency model showed the model to be appropriate. Conclusion: The competency model for prevention of adolescent risk behavior through competency modeling is expected to be the foundation of an integral approach to enhance competency in adolescents and prevent adolescent risk behavior. This kind of approach can be a school-centered, cost-efficient strategy, which not only reduces adolescent risk behavior but also improves quality of adolescent resources.

A study on the Impact of Project Logistics Riskon Overseas Plant Business Performance (프로젝트 물류 리스크가 해외 플랜트 사업성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Eun-Jin Park;Jin-Ho Oh;Keun-Sik Park
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2020
  • Project logistics is becoming increasingly important in overseas plant projects. Efficient logistics risk management is needed to reduce construction period and reduce costs. However, Korean construction firms bid unconditionally without sufficient experience and analysis on overseas plants contract, companies are gradually losing profitability on projects due to not considering profitability. Despite the significant effects on the profitability of Korean construction companies, and although these companies still continue to bid on overseas plant projects, policies to manage project logistics risks for safe transport and compliance with the contracted building schedule in the long term is still lacking. Hence, this study investigates the risk factors related to project logistics and to analyze the effect of project logistics risk on overseas plant business performance. We conducted a survey of project-related workers. The results of the analysis are as follows: First, among the logistics risk factors, overseas platform business people recognize operational risk and financial risk factors, which have a positive effect directly on overseas plant performance. Second, the ability to manage project logistics risks can have a significant impact on the success or failure of overseas plants. Finally, if logistics risk factors are managed on the basis of the research results confirmed through empirical analysis, it is possible to carry out more efficient and effective management of the project, which implies that this will have a positive effect on overseas plant business performance.