• 제목/요약/키워드: risk efficient

검색결과 809건 처리시간 0.026초

브로일러계열화 생산조직에 관한 고찰 - 미국의 예를 중심으로 - (Integrated Broiler Production System - As a Means of Stabilizing Whole Industry with Particular Reference to U.S. Experience -)

  • 박영인
    • 한국가금학회지
    • /
    • 제6권2호
    • /
    • pp.91-102
    • /
    • 1979
  • The basic problem of the broiler industry is that of fluctuating prices, mainly thanks to unstable supply of and inelastic demand for products as usually indicated as a peculiarity of agricultural commodities. This particularly brings the producer to a great economic risk, because he has to sell products under the condition of pure competition, whereas others from whom he has to buy deal under the condition of oligopoly or even monopoly. Therefore, producers economic position is generally placed in the worst comparing others dealing with, which results in unbalanced economic status of elements involved in broiler operation and further obstruction of industry development as a whole. A certain type of business coordination to overcome such a problem should be measured in order to improve the efficiency of entire operation and thus assure the balanced industry development. The concept of the economic integration developed in modern business system had been adapted to U.S. poultry industry which became common later around the world as a means of stabilizing producers price and whole industry as well. There are two main typos of integration; horizontal and vertical The former refers to the general grouping of similar business units, eg. a hatchery tying with other hatchery, while the latter refers to the knitting together of two or more stages of economic activities, eg. tying together among units of hatching, fled milling, production, processing and marketing. By having the industry integrated, risk and uncertainty involved in various stages of operation could be diversified. The typo of integrating contract between producers and integrators include the share of profits, flat fee payment, feed conversion payment and salary basis. In the U.S., extensive changes in production, processing, and marketing during the last few decades have changed the thicken broiler industry from one of small, widely scattered farms to one that is largo, concentrated and efficient. More than 99 percent of all broilers produced are grown under contract and by integrated firms which vary in size of operation and complexity. About 84 percent of all production is concentrated in 10 States. Some of the other factors ;hat contributed to these choses arc costs, energy use, prices, processing, marketing and demand. No integrated broiler production system has yet been applied in Korea's poultry industry, thus all stages all broiler operation run independently seeking for its own profit. Consequently, producers price fluctuate very widely around the year even more than 50 percent in a few months. This also leads to disadvantages of material supplies, processors and distributors and enforce the industry unstable. The current economic environment in Korea seems that the time for broiler integration comes and as an ideal integrator, feed millers, food processors and producers group may be considered.

  • PDF

해외투자(海外投資)와 지속가능발전 원칙 - 적도원칙(赤道原則)(Equator Principles)을 중심으로 - (How to Reflect Sustainable Development in Overseas Investment including Equator Principles)

  • 박훤일
    • 한국무역상무학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국무역상무학회 2006년도 제35회 하계 정기세미나
    • /
    • pp.45-72
    • /
    • 2006
  • The Equator Principles are a set of voluntary environmental and social guidelines for ethical project finance. These principles commit banks and other signatories to not finance projects that fail to meet these guidelines. The principles were conceived in 2002 on an initiative of the International Finance Corporation and launched in 2003. Since then, dozens of major banks have adopted the Principles, and with these banks among them accounting for more than three quarters of all project loan market volume the Principles have become the de facto standard for all banks and investors on how to deal with potential social and environmental effects of projects to be financed. While regarding the Principles an important initiative, NGOs have criticised the Principles for not producing real changes in financing activities and for allowing projects to go through that should have been screened out by the Principles, such as the Sakhalin-II oil and gas project in Russia. In early 2006, a process of revision of the principles was begun. The Equator Principles state that endorsing banks will only provide loans directly to projects under the following circumstances: - The risk of the project is categorized in accordance with internal guidelines based upon the environmental and social screening criteria of the International Finance Corporation (IFC). - For all medium or high risk projects (Category A and B projects), sponsors complete an Environmental Assessment, the preparation of which must meet certain requirements and satisfactorily address key environmental and social issues. - The Environmental Assessment report addresses baseline environmental and social conditions, requirements under host country laws and regulations, applicable international treaties and agreements, sustainable development and use of renewable natural resources, protection of human health, cultural properties, and biodiversity, including endangered species and sensitive ecosystems, use of dangerous substances, major hazards, occupational health and safety, fire prevention and life safety, socio-economic impacts, land acquisition and land use, involuntary resettlement, impacts on indigenous peoples and communities, cumulative impacts of existing projects, the proposed project, and anticipated future projects, participation of affected parties in the design, review and implementation of the project, consideration of feasible environmentally and socially preferable alternatives, efficient production, delivery and use of energy, pollution prevention and waste minimization, pollution controls (liquid effluents and air emissions) and solid and chemical waste management. - Based on the Environmental Assessment, Equator banks then make agreements with their clients on how they mitigate, monitor and manage those risks through an 'Environmental Management Plan'. Compliance with the plan is required in the covenant. If the borrower doesn't comply with the agreed terms, the bank will take corrective action, which if unsuccessful, could ultimately result in the bank canceling the loan and demanding immediate repayment. - For risky projects, the borrower consults with stakeholders (NGO's and project affected groups) and provides them with information on the risks of the project. - If necessary, an expert is consulted. The Principles only apply to projects over 50 million US dollars, which, according to the Equator Principles website, represent 97% of the total market. In early 2006, the financial institutions behind the Principles launched stakeholder consultations and negotiations aimed at revising the principles. The draft revised principles were met with criticism from NGO stakeholders, who in a joint position paper argued that the draft fails by ignoring the most serious critiques of the principles: a lack of consistent and rigorous implementation.

  • PDF

Development of comprehensive earthquake loss scenarios for a Greek and a Turkish city: seismic hazard, geotechnical and lifeline aspects

  • Pitilakis, Kyriazis D.;Anastasiadis, Anastasios I.;Kakderi, Kalliopi G.;Manakou, Maria V.;Manou, Dimitra K.;Alexoudi, Maria N.;Fotopoulou, Stavroula D.;Argyroudis, Sotiris A.;Senetakis, Kostas G.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • 제2권3호
    • /
    • pp.207-232
    • /
    • 2011
  • The development of reliable earthquake mitigation plans and seismic risk management procedures can only be based on the establishment of comprehensive earthquake hazard and loss scenarios. Two cities, Grevena (Greece) and D$\ddot{u}$zce (Turkey), were used as case studies in order to apply a comprehensive methodology for the vulnerability and loss assessment of lifelines. The methodology has the following distinctive phases: detailed inventory, identification of the typology of each component and system, evaluation of the probabilistic seismic hazard, geotechnical zonation, ground response analysis and estimation of the spatial distribution of seismic motion for different seismic scenarios, vulnerability analysis of the exposed elements at risk. Estimating adequate earthquake scenarios for different mean return periods, and selecting appropriate vulnerability functions, expected damages of the water and waste water systems in D$\ddot{u}$zce and of the roadway network and waste water system of Grevena are estimated and discussed; comparisons with observed earthquake damages are also made in the case of D$\ddot{u}$zce, proving the reliability and the efficiency of the proposed methodology. The results of the present study constitute a sound basis for the development of efficient loss scenarios for lifelines and infrastructure facilities in seismic prone areas. The first part of this paper, concerning the estimation of the seismic ground motions, has been utilized in the companion paper by Kappos et al. (2010) in the same journal.

R&D 프로젝트 관리 프로세스 개선 및 운영을 위한 평가지표 개발 연구 (A Study on the Development of Evaluation Index for the Improvement and Operation of R&D Project Management Process)

  • 이설빈
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
    • /
    • 제18권9호
    • /
    • pp.308-319
    • /
    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 R&D 프로젝트 관리 프로세스 개선 및 운영을 위한 평가지표 개발을 위해 연구개발 프로젝트를 수행 하는 국내 중소기업체를 대상으로 실증조사 하였으며, 그 결과를 보면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 12개 평가 지표에 있어 최고 점수인 통합 관리의 60.77점에서부터 최저 점수인 30점대까지 무려 2배 이상의 편차를 보여 R&D 프로젝트 관리 프로세스 및 개선 운영을 위해 선별적 사용이 요구된다. 둘째, 업종별 차이 검정 결과 바이오산업이 가장 높게 나타났으며 화학과 전기전자산업이 가장 낮게 나타났다. 셋째, 종업원 규모별 차이 검정 결과 50~100인 미만이 중소기업에서 상대적으로 높게 나타나고 100인 이상 규모에서는 다소 낮은 차이를 보였다. 넷째, 경력별 차이 검정 결과 5~7년이 상대적으로 높게 나타났으며 7-10년이 다소 높게 나타났다. 전체적으로 R&D 프로젝트 프로세스 개선 운영을 위한 평가 지표 검정 결과 통합관리, 의사소통관리, 리스크관리, 시간관리의 4가지 요인의 순으로 중요도를 나타냈으며, 이는 효율적인 통합관리의 중요성과 각 개별 참여 주체간의 빠른 의사결정과 위험관리에 중심을 두고 집중관리가 요구됨을 시사해주었다.

재난관리조직의 실태분석과 발전방안 (A Study on Practical Analyzing and Improving Disaster Management Organization of Korean Government)

  • 권오한;남상화;이춘하
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.127-138
    • /
    • 2001
  • 재난관리업무 자체가 매우 복잡하고 각 부처간에 서로 연계되는 분야가 많아 여러 가지 어려움이 많지만 행정조직상으로 볼 때 재난관리업무가 분산되어 있으면서도 총괄 조정하는 기능이 미흡하고, 재난관리 담당인력이 부족할 뿐만 아니라 전문성도 결여되어 있고, 대개는 이들 부서들이 업무가 과중하여 기피하는 부서 정도로 인식되고 있는 실정이다. 특히 우리나라의 경우 재난을 크게 양분화하여 인위재난 및 자연재해를 분리하여 그 소관부서 및 법체계를 달리하고 있어 비효율적 재난관리체제를 취하고 있어 현재 미국에서의 재난이론의 개념 즉 "재난은 그 유형에 관계없이 계획, 수습 및 복구의 양태는 동일하다"는 원칙에 반하는 것이다. 그것은 지방자치제가 시행되면서 아직은 중앙과 지방의 역할이 불분명하거나 분명하더라도 서로 그 역할을 해 내기를 바라는 점은 철저한 계획수립과 점검으로 해결해 나가야 할 사항이다.

  • PDF

ST 분절 급상승 심근경색 환자들의 단기 재발 사망 예측 (Short-term Mortality Prediction of Recurrence Patients with ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction)

  • 임광현;류광선;박수호;손호선;류근호
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제17권10호
    • /
    • pp.145-154
    • /
    • 2012
  • 현대 사회는 서구화된 식생활 패턴과 흡연, 비만 등의 원인으로 인해 심혈관계 질환들이 급증하고 있다. 특히, 급성심근경색은 심혈관계 질환으로 인한 사망의 대부분을 차지하고 있다. 이러한 추세에 따라 해외 선진국에서는 임상생리학적 오류를 줄이기 위해서 자국민의 데이터를 기반으로 급성심근경색의 발병 및 질병에 영향을 미치는 위험인자를 찾는 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 하지만 한국인에 적합한 급성심근경색 예후 진단 예측 시스템이 미비한 실정이다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 KAMIR(Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry) 데이터베이스에서 제공 받은 급성심근경색 환자의 예후 데이터를 기반으로 ST분절 급상승 심근경색 재발 환자들의 단기 사망률 예측모델을 찾고자 한다. 실험을 통해 로지스틱 회귀 분석에 의해 추출된 속성 집합을 적용하였을 때 기존의 원시 데이터 보다 높은 정확도를 얻을 수 있었으며, 인공신경망의 경우 다른 분류기법들보다 높은 성능을 보였다. 이를 통해 ST 분절 급상승 심근경색 재발 환자들의 단기 사망률을 예측함으로써 향후 고위험군 환자들의 관리에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

An early warning and decision support system to reduce weather and climate risks in agricultural production

  • Nakagawa, Hiroshi;Ohno, Hiroyuki;Yoshida, Hiroe;Fushimi, Erina;Sasaki, Kaori;Maruyama, Atsushi;Nakano, Satoshi
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
    • /
    • pp.303-303
    • /
    • 2017
  • Japanese agriculture has faced to several threats: aging and decrease of farmer population, global competition, and the risk of climate change as well as harsh and variable weather. On the other hands, the number of large scale farms is increasing, because farm lands have been being aggregated to fewer numbers of farms. Cost cutting, development of efficient ways to manage complicatedly scattered farm lands, maintaining yield and quality under variable weather conditions, are required to adapt to changing environments. Information and communications technology (ICT) would contribute to solve such problems and to create innovative technologies. Thus we have been developing an early warning and decision support system to reduce weather and climate risks for rice, wheat and soybean production in Japan. The concept and prototype of the system will be shown. The system consists of a weather data system (Agro-Meteorological Grid Square Data System, AMGSDS), decision support contents where information is automatically created by crop models and delivers information to users via internet. AMGSDS combines JMA's Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMeDAS) data, numerical weather forecast data and normal values, for all of Japan with about 1km Grid Square throughout years. Our climate-smart system provides information on the prediction of crop phenology, created with weather forecast data and crop phenology models, as an important function. The system also makes recommendations for crop management, such as nitrogen-topdressing, suitable harvest time, water control, pesticide spray. We are also developing methods to perform risk analysis on weather-related damage to crop production. For example, we have developed an algorism to determine the best transplanting date in rice under a given environment, using the results of multi-year simulation, in order to answer the question "when is the best transplanting date to minimize yield loss, to avoid low temperature damage and to avoid high temperature damage?".

  • PDF

패널교통사고자료 기반 기대교통사고건수 추정기법 평가 (Assessing Estimation Methods of the Expected Crashes using Panel Traffic Crash Data)

  • 신강원
    • 대한교통학회지
    • /
    • 제29권1호
    • /
    • pp.103-111
    • /
    • 2011
  • 유사한 특성을 갖는 지점 (또는 구간)들에서 연속되고 동일한 시간 간격 동안 관측된 패널 (panel) 교통사고 자료를 시간의 흐름에 따라 비교분석하여 분석지점의 기대교통사고건수를 추정하는 과정은 교통안전 개선사업의 효과 평가와 교통안전 개선사업 수행의 우선순위 결정과 같은 교통안전연구의 핵심이다. 패널 교통사고 자료를 이용한 기대교통사고건수 추정기법은 관측교통사고건수 기반 기법과 경험적 베이지안 기법으로 대별할 수 있으며, 본 연구에서는 시간의 흐름에 따른 기대교통사고건수의 변화 여부와 다양한 패널 교통사고 자료 구조에 따라 전술한 두 가지 기법의 추정오차를 모의실험을 통해 비교 분석하였다. 분석결과 시간의 흐름에 따른 기대교통사고건수의 변화 여부와 패널교통사고자료 구조의 특성과 관계없이 관측교통사고건수 기반 추정치인 평균 관측교통사고건수와 평행비교 추정치의 추정오차는 경험적 베이즈 추정치의 추정오차보다 항상 크게 나타나 향후 패널교통 사고자료를 이용한 교통안전 연구 수행 시 경험적 베이지안 추정기법의 적용이 필요하다고 판단된다. 한편 시간의 흐름에 따라 기대교통 사고건수가 변화하지 않을 경우 분석기간이 늘어날수록 두 가지 기법의 추정오차는 모두 현저하게 감소하는 것으로 분석되어, 현재 국내의 교통사고 잦은 곳 선정 연구에서 기준치로 사용되고 있는 분석기간인 "1년"을 연장하여 보다 효율적으로 시간 불변 기대교통사고건수를 추정할 필요가 있다고 판단된다.

제초제저항성 들잔디(Zoysia japonica Steud.) 이벤트 Jeju Green21의 환경위해성평가 (Environmental risk assessment of genetically modified Herbicide-Tolerant zoysiagrass (Event: Jeju Green21))

  • 배태웅;강홍규;송인자;선현진;고석민;송필순;이효연
    • Journal of Plant Biotechnology
    • /
    • 제38권2호
    • /
    • pp.105-116
    • /
    • 2011
  • Transgenic zoysiagrass (Zoysia japonica Steud.) expressing the bar gene inserted in the plant genome has been generated previously through Agrobacterium tumefaciens-mediated transformation. The GM zoysiagrass (event: JG21) permits efficient management of weed control of widely cultivated zoysiagrass fields, reducing the frequency and cost of using various herbicides for weed control. Now we have carried out the environmental risk assessment of JG21 prior to applying to the governmental regulatory agency for the commercial release of the GM turf grass outside of test plots. The morphological phenotypes, molecular analysis, weediness and gene flow from each test plot of JG21 and wild-type zoysiagrasses have been evaluated by selectively analyzing environmental effects. There were no marked differences in morphological phenotypes between JG21 and wild-type grasses. The JG21 retained its stable integration in the host plant in T1 generation, exhibiting a 3:1 segregation ratio according to the Mendelian genetics. We confirmed the copy number (1) of JG21 by using Southern blot analysis, as the transgenic plants were tolerant to ammonium glufosinate throughout the culture period. From cross-fertilization and gene flow studies, we found a 9% cross-pollination rate at the center of JG21 field and 0% at distances over 3 m from the field. The JG21 and wild-type zoysiagrass plants are not considered "weed" because zoysiagrasses generally are not dominant and do not spread into weedy areas easily. We assessed the horizontal gene transfer (HGT) of the transgene DNA to soil microorganisms from JG21 and wild-type plants. The bar gene was not detected from the total genomic DNA extracted from each rhizosphere soil of GM and non-GM Zoysia grass fields. Through the monitoring of JG21 transgene's unintentional release into the environment, we found no evidence for either pollen mediated gene flow of zoysiagrass or seed dispersal from the test field within a 3 km radius of the natural habitat.

선박평형수 관리를 위한 통합정보시스템 구축 (Establishment of Integrated Information System for Ballast Water Management)

  • 김은찬;오정환;이승국
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.189-197
    • /
    • 2014
  • IMO 선박평형수 관리 국제협약의 원활한 이행을 위해서는, 선박평형수와 관련된 다양한 정보의 수집과 관리가 필요하다. 선박평형수 위해도평가 및 국외의 선박평형수 정보시스템을 바탕으로 국내 선박평형수 관리 통합정보시스템을 구축하였다. 본 정보시스템은 선박평형수 관리에 필요한 다양한 정보들을 구분하여 4개의 데이터베이스(DB)로 선박운항 DB, 선박평형수 DB, 항만별 환경 DB 및 생물 DB로 구성하였다. 선박운항 DB는 항만운영정보시스템(Port-MIS) 자료를 통해 구축하고 있으며, 선박평형수 DB는 협약이 발효되기 전이기 때문에 Port-MIS 자료로 부터 화물물동량을 통한 추정식에 의해 구축하고 있다. 항만별 환경 DB 및 생물 DB는 참고문헌, 기존 모니터링 자료 및 실측 모니터링 자료들을 통해 구축해 가고 있다. 이러한 자료들을 바탕으로, 본 정보시스템은 각종 선박평형수 관련 정보의 검색, 통계자료분석 및 위해도평가까지 수행할 수 있으며, 협약 발효시 국내 선박평형수 배출 및 항만 관리에 활용될 수 있는 관리 통합정보시스템의 역할을 충분히 수행할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.