• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk assessment model

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The Impact of Neighborhood Settings on Peer Risks among Delinquent Adolescents

  • Lim, Ji-Young
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2010
  • The main purpose of this study was to identify the impact of neighborhood settings on peer risks experienced by delinquent adolescents. A convenience sample of 1,086 youth who came to the attention of four county juvenile courts was used for the present study. The peer risk levels were measured through use of version 1.0 of the Global Risk Assessment Device (GRAD); in addition, neighborhood information obtained from the National Census was utilized. The results of the HLM demonstrated that there were significant between-neighborhood variations in peer risks and the neighborhood economic disadvantage variable was associated with peer risks after controlling for the variables of individual characteristics. The findings of this study add to the literature on juvenile delinquency by providing empirical support for the proposed model that illustrates the significant relationship between a neighborhood setting indicator and peer risks experienced by delinquent adolescents when practicing treatment or intervention programs with delinquent adolescents.

An Application Study of Accident Analysis Method Based on Epidemiological Model to Improve Occupational Safety and Health Management System (사업장 안전보건관리체계 향상을 위한 역학모형 기반의 사고분석기법 활용 방안 연구)

  • Kyunghwan Kim;Kihyo Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2023
  • The Severe Disaster Punishment Act had recently been established in order to promote safety and health (OSH) management system for severe accident prevention. OSH management system is primarily designed based on risk assessments; however, companies in industries have been experiencing difficulties in hazard identification and selecting proper measures for risk assessments and accident prevention. This study intended to introduce an accident analysis method based on epidemiological model in finding hazard and preventive measures. The accident analysis method employed in this study was proposed by the U.S. Department of Energy. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the accident analysis method, this study applied it to two accident cases occurred in construction and manufacturing industries. The application process and results of this study can be utilized in improving OSH management system and preventing severe accidents.

기술개발 투자안의 최적 포트폴리오 구성에 관한 연구

  • 이현정;이정동;김태유
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.259-277
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we suggest theoretical grounds on the problem of R&D portfolio with different option premiums utilizing the Real Options Model, which has received intensified attention as the method of assessment of R&D project with high risk. Even though there have been many studies focused on the evaluation of option value of single project from technology valuation's perspective. there are few study on the portfolio of multiple technology investment by option value using. This paper bears practical importance by showing simple examples with the option value of investment alternatives and the valuation of related risk, the construction of optimum portfolio in technology investment alternatives.

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Development of Discharge Model and Preventive Diagnosis Program for Discharge Risk Assessment of Charged Human Body (대전인체의 방전위험성 평가를 위한 모델 및 예방진단 프로그램 개발)

  • 김두현;김상철;고은영
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a study on the development of discharge model and computer program for assessing the risk of electrostatic discharge(ESD) of charged human body This ESD event is modelled as a two-body problem using spherical conductors, simulating the approach of a charged conductor (human body) to a second conductor (electronic equipment). The charge/discharge process for the model is formulated as a matrix of equations by Maxwell's method. Body potentials, energies and the charge transfer during a discharge are calculated. The developed program, based on the suggested scheme in this paper, is applied to a sample system. The results provide a better understanding of ESD event and demonstrate the usefulness of two-body model in practical applications.

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Development of A New Methodology for Evaluating Nuclear Safety Culture (원자력 안전문화의 정량화 방법론 개발)

  • Jae, Moosung;Han, Kiyoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.174-180
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    • 2015
  • This study developed a Safety Culture Impact Assessment Model (SCIAM) which consists of a safety culture assessment methodology and a safety culture impact quantification methodology. The SCIAM uses safety culture impact index (SCII) to monitor the status of safety culture of the NPPs periodically and it uses relative core damage frequency (RCDF) to present the impact of safety culture on the safety of the NPPs. As a result of applying SCIAM to the reference plant (Kori 3), the standard for the healthy safety culture of the reference plant is suggested. SCIAM might contribute to improve the safety of the NPPs (Nuclear Power Plants) by monitoring the status of safety culture periodically and presenting the standard of healthy safety culture.

Economic Feasibility Analysis of Developing Marine Environmental Risk Assessment and Management Technology (해양환경 위해성 평가 및 관리 기술개발사업의 경제성 분석)

  • Park, Sun-Young;Nam, Jung-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.20-40
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    • 2013
  • A project of developing marine environmental risk assesment and management technology was proposed to improve the level of marine environmental management research. This paper attempts to measure the non-market benefits of the project. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method is used. In particular, recently proposed one and one-half bounded model is applied. The model can reduce the potential for response bias comparing to the double bounded model while maintaining much of its efficiency. Moreover, in order to deal with zero WTP observations, a spike model is adjusted for our data. A survey of randomly selected 600 households was implemented and the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about how they would be willing to pay for implementing the project. Respondents overall accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount (2,663 won), on average, per household per year. The aggregate value of the project in the nation amounts to approximately 46.3 billion won per year. The figure 2.16 of cost-benefit ratio shows that economic validity of this technical development.

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Ecological Risk Assessment of Chemicals Migrated from a Recycled Plastic Product

  • Roh, Ji-Yeon;Kim, Min-Hyuck;Kim, Woo Il;Kang, Young-Yeul;Shin, Sun Kyoung;Kim, Jong-Guk;Kwon, Jung-Hwan
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.28
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    • pp.13.1-13.5
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Potential environmental risks caused by chemicals that could be released from a recycled plastic product were assessed using a screening risk assessment procedure for chemicals in recycled products. Methods: Plastic slope protection blocks manufactured from recycled plastics were chosen as model recycled products. Ecological risks caused by four model chemicals - di-(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP), diisononyl phthalate (DINP), cadmium (Cd), and lead (Pb)-were assessed. Two exposure models were built for soil below the block and a hypothetic stream receiving runoff water. Based on the predicted no-effect concentrations for the selected chemicals and exposure scenarios, the allowable leaching rates from and the allowable contents in the recycled plastic blocks were also derived. Results: Environmental risks posed by slope protection blocks were much higher in the soil compartment than in the hypothetic stream. The allowable concentrations in leachate were $1.0{\times}10^{-4}$, $1.2{\times}10^{-5}$, $9.5{\times}10^{-3}$, and $5.3{\times}10^{-3}mg/L$ for DEHP, DINP, Cd, and Pb, respectively. The allowable contents in the recycled products were $5.2{\times}10^{-3}$, $6.0{\times}10^{-4}$, $5.0{\times}10^{-1}$, and $2.7{\times}10^{-1}mg/kg$ for DEHP, DINP, Cd, and Pb, respectively. Conclusions: A systematic ecological risk assessment approach for slope protection blocks would be useful for regulatory decisions for setting the allowable emission rates of chemical contaminants, although the method needs refinement.

FuzzyES for Environmental Risk Assessment of Ship Navigation (항행 선박 주변 환경의 위험도 평가를 위한 퍼지 전문가 시스템)

  • Kim, Do-Yeon;Yi, Mi-Ra;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2010
  • Marine accidents do not correspond with another accidents because of a serious loss of lives and property. The many marine accidents can be attributed to human error like as carelessness and decision faults, and hence there is a strong need for decision-support tools for marine navigation. Much of researchers have introduced the techniques about the tools, but they hardly consider environmental factors (water depth, the width of waterway, a fishing ground, a current, the number of surrounding marine accidents, marine obstacles, etc), which are very important to the decision making of officers. In a previous research, we proposed the conceptual model of environmental risk assessment of ship navigation using fuzzy. This paper describes the detailed design of the environmental factors based on the opinion of navigation experts, and shows the validity of the conceptual model through a prototype system.

A Basic Study for Quantification Model Development of Human Accidents on Construction Site in South Korea (한국 건설현장의 인명사고 리스크 정량화 모델 개발기초 연구)

  • Oh, June-Seok;Lee, Joo-Hyeong;Kim, Tae-Hee;Son, Ki-Young;Son, Seung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.45-46
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    • 2019
  • Accident rate in domestic construction industry has been increased rapidly in every year. In particular, the rate of death has been shown very high compared with other industries. It means that safety activities performed by government is not effective in reducing the rate of accident. To solve these problems, the risk factors should be predicted in advance, controlled, monitored and managed from start of project to end of project. However, most studies have been conducted by using frequency of occurrence of accident and only listed the importance of risk. Therefore, the objective of this study is to provide basic material to develop risk quantifying model for human accidents on construction site in South Korea. In the future, it is expected to be used as a reference of study on developing safety mangement checklist in construction industry and model for forecasting accident.

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Risk Factors of Unplanned Readmission to Intensive Care Unit (중환자실 환자의 비계획적 재입실 위험 요인)

  • Kim, Yu Jeong;Kim, Keum Soon
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to determine the risk factors contributed to unplanned readmission to intensive care unit (ICU) and to investigate the prediction model of unplanned readmission. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the electronic medical records which included the data of 3,903 patients who had discharged from ICUs in a university hospital in Seoul from January 2011 to April 2012. Results: The unplanned readmission rate was 4.8% (n=186). The nine variables were significantly different between the unplanned readmission and no readmission groups: age, clinical department, length of stay at 1st ICU, operation, use of ventilator during 24 hours a day, APACHE II score at ICU admission and discharge, direct nursing care hours and Glasgow coma scale total score at 1st ICU discharge. The clinical department, length of stay at 1st ICU, operation and APACHE II score at ICU admission were the significant predictors of unplanned ICU readmission. The predictive model's area under the curve was .802 (p<.001). Conclusion: We identified the risk factors and the prediction model associated with unplanned ICU readmission. Better patient assessment tools and knowledge about risk factors could contribute to reduce unplanned ICU readmission rate and mortality.