• Toxicological Research
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.39-44
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• 2014

Bisphenol A (BPA) is widely used in the production of polycarbonate plastics, epoxy resins, and food and beverage containers. In the present study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between urinary concentrations of BPA and waist circumference in Korean adults. A total of 1,030 Korean adults (mean age, $44.3{\pm}14.6$ years) were enrolled in the study on the integrated exposure to hazardous materials for safety control, conducted by the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety from 2010 to 2012. Abdominal obesity was defined as having a waist circumference of at least 90 cm and 85 cm for men and women, respectively. The participants were divided into 4 groups according to the urinary BPA concentration quartile. Waist circumference was significantly higher among subjects with a urinary BPA concentration in the highest quartile relative to those in the lowest quartile (p = 0.0071). Linear regression analysis revealed a significant positive association between urinary BPA concentrations and body mass index, body fat, after adjusting for potential confounders. Moreover, subjects with urinary BPA concentrations in the fourth quartile were more likely to be obese compared to those with urinary BPA concentrations in the first quartile (odds ratio, 1.938; 95% CI: 1.314~2.857; p for trend = 0.0106). These findings provide evidence for a positive association between urinary BPA concentration and waist circumference in Korean adults.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.95-108
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• 2005

본 연구는 결정적 경제성분석모형(Deterministic Economic Analysis : DEA)의 한계를 극복할 수 있는 확률적 위험도분석(Probabilistic Risk Analysis : PRA) 모형을 이용하여 ITS사업의 경제성평가모형을 개발하고 사례분석을 통해 모형의 적합성(Goodness-of-fit)과 유용성을 검증하는 것이다. 즉 ITS사업의 경제성에 영향을 미치는 위험변수를 확률밀도함수(PDF), 누적확률밀도함수(CDF)로 산출하고 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션기법(Monte-Carlo Simulation Approach : MCSA)을 통해 산출된 결과변수(사업비, 경제성지표)의 통계값에 대해 합리적인 의사결정 방법론을 정립하였다. 대규모 지방자치단체 ITS사업의 사례분석(대전광역시 첨단교통모델도시사업) 수행결과, 통합시스템의 사업비 총사업비는 PRA모형을 통해 산출된 확률분포 상에서 편의(Bias)된 백분율값으로 나타났으며, 사업비 총사업비의 변동계수가(각각 15, 4) 일반교통사업에 비해 낮아, ITS사업의 위험도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 PRA모형의 결과변수(B/C, NPA, IRP)가 변동가능한 사업환경 하에서 90%이상 모두 경제성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 총사업비 사업비의 우발성비용(목표관리값 85%기준)이 발생하는 것으로 나타나 경제성은 높으나 사업비 초과 위험도는 높은 사업으로 분류되었다. 또한 DEA모형의 경제성평가지표는 PRA모형의 확률분포 상에 단일 %값(B/C:27%값, NPV:27%값, IRR:33%값)으로 나타나며, 평균값 또는 중앙값과 비교할 때, 경제성이 과소추정(Underestimate)되는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 단위시스템의 우선순위결과정에서 모형에 따라 우선순위가 바꾸는 결과가 나타났다. 특히 대규모 ITS사업의 경제성평가 시 DEA모형이 편의된 하나의 사례만으로 경제성을 평가함으로써, 경제성을 과대 과소추정하거나 비합리적인 투자우선 순위를 도출하는 오류를 범할수 있는 것으로 나타났다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.47-54
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• 2017

Introduction of robustness index in the structure is done in three ways: deterministic robustness index, probabilistic robustness index, and risk-based robustness index. In past decades, there have been numerous researches to evaluate robustness index in both deterministic and probabilistic ways. In this research, by using a risk analysis, a risk-based robustness index has been defined for the structure. By creating scenarios in accordance with uncertainty parameters of critical and unexpected gas blast accident, a new method has been suggested for evaluating risk-based robustness index. Finally, a numerical example for the evaluation of risk-based robustness index of a four-storey reinforced concrete moment frame, designed and built based on Eurocode 8 code, has been presented with results showing a lower risk of robustness.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.74-91
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• 2023

This study provides an in-depth comparison and analysis of various risk assessment models widely used in modern industries, and proposes the most suitable model for risk assessment of offshore wind power in Korea. The assessment models were selected by considering various factors such as the purpose of risk assessment, stakeholder requirements, and characteristics of offshore wind power. We also emphasized the importance of using different risk assessment models in combination in situations of high uncertainty. To systematize the combination of risk assessment models, we used systems engineering which is effective to develop a new system. Systems engineering was used to define the complete, traceable functions from site requirements, and model-based systems engineering was used to manage the design information from requirements to detailed functions in a single model. The developed risk assessment module provide automatic conversion between risk assessment models to enable risk assessment suitable for offshore wind power. The functionality and usability of the offshore wind risk assessment module were verified by the evaluation of three wind power experts.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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• pp.210-210
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• 2022

This study evaluates Japan's Official Development Assistance (ODA) projects in Thailand from 2011 to 2013 by deploying the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation Development (OECD) evaluation criteria. Special attention is placed on disaster-related development assistance activities of Japan through reviewing long-term impacts of the projects. The Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) has played a crucial role in transferring Japan's experiences on disaster risk management to developing countries, including Thailand. The study highlights two flood risk management projects in Thailand with the support of JICA after the 2011 floods, namely the Project for the Comprehensive Flood Management Plan for the Chao Phraya River Basin and the Project for Flood Countermeasures for Thailand Agriculture Sector. The case studies demonstrate that the projects were efficiently and effectively conducted for meeting Thailand's needs and requirements. JICA provided multi-hazards risk analysis through scientific data as well as local knowledge. However, achievements of the project did not last for long because of a lack of Thai stakeholders' commitment and JICA's post-project management. It is concluded that a development agency should consider impacts and sustainability of flood risk management projects more carefully from the stage of planning, and the practical application of the knowledge, and technologies should also be monitored progressively after the completion of the project.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.378-384
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• 2009

카드뮴에 대한 다양한 인체안전기준이 알려지고 있고, 각 국가마다 신장기능이상을 나타내는 뇨 중 카드뮴 농도에 차이를 나타내고 있어 국내의 역학자료를 고려한 카드뮴 인체안전기준을 검토 제안하므로 위해관리의 효율을 향상시키고자 본 연구를 수행하였다. WHO, USEPA, ATSDR에서 식이섭취량과 뇨 중 카드뮴 농도와의 상관관계를 PBPK 모델로 정립 제안한 방법 등이 검토되었으며, 최종적으로 WHO의 1일 인체섭취량 산출 모델에 따라 계산하였다. 국내 역학자료(병산리 폐광지역 인체역학조사)에 의하면 뇨 중 카드뮴 최고농도인 11.63 ug/g creatinine 수준에서도 단백뇨 등의 신장기능이상이 확인되지 않아, WHO 등 국외 역학자료를 검토하여 신장이상을 나타내기 시작하는 뇨 중 카드뮴 농도를 2.5 ug/g creatinine으로 결정하였다. 카드뮴 오염원 노출과 무관할 것으로 예측되는 우리나라 성인의 뇨 중 카드뮴 수준 0.38 ug/g creatinine과 최근에 평가된 식품섭취를 통한 카드뮴 섭취량(8.3~10.4 ug/day)의 비율이 21.8~27.3 수준에 해당됨을 확인하여 이를 WHO에서 제안된 모델에 적용하였다. 식이섭취량과 신장 이상과의 상관관계 중 카드뮴 생체이용률 10%, 흡수된 카드뮴의 배출량을 50%로 가정한 결과를 국내 인체안전기준 설정에 적용한 결과(이 가정에서 사용된 식이섭취량에 대한 뇨 중 카드뮴 농도의 비율은 24), 신장이상이 발생되기 시작하는 뇨 중 카드뮴 농도인 2.5 ug/g creatinine에 대해 예측된 카드뮴 1일 섭취량은 1 ug/kg bw/day여서, 이를 근거로 국내 카드뮴 PTWI를 7 ug/kg bw/week로 제안하였다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.573-584
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• 2022

Water inrush may occur during seaside urban tunnel excavation. Various factors affect the water inrush, and the water inrush mechanism is complex. In this study, nine evaluation indices having potential effects on water inrush were analysed. Specifically, the geographic and geomorphic conditions, unfavourable geology, distance from the tunnel to sea, strength of the surrounding rock, groundwater level, tidal action, cyclical footage, grouting pressure, and grouting reinforced region were analysed. Furthermore, a two-step interval risk assessment method for water inrush management during seaside urban tunnel excavation was developed by a multi-index system and interval risk assessment comprised of an interval analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and relative superiority analysis. The novel assessment method was applied to the Haicang Tunnel successfully. A preliminary interval risk assessment method for water inrush was performed based on engineering geological conditions. As a result, the risk level fell into a risk level IV, which represents a section with high risk. Subsequently, a secondary interval risk assessment method was performed based on engineering geological conditions and construction conditions. The risk level of water inrush is reduced to a risk level II. The results agreed with the current tunnel situation, which verified the reliability of this approach.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.364-374
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• 2024

Today, risks created by uncertainty must be managed for successful project execution. From this perspective, applying a risk management process is very important for successful defense systems test works. This paper describes 'the implentation of risk management process for test work' carried out by DTERI's process improvement activities. In this study, the concept of risk management process, and details of the risk management process are examined through PMBOK and ISO/IEC/IEEE 15288, CMMI. After that, we defined 'Standard Process for Risk Management' of defence systems test works. And, we describe 'Risk Management Function' of DTERI's Project Management System(PMS) and the risk management process of DTERI. Finally, the effectiveness of the risk management standard process is verified through quantitative analysis.

• 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.155-170
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• 2020

본 논문의 목적은 NATM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리 시스템을 구축하는 것이다. 이를 위해 먼저 NATM 터널 현장의 붕괴 사례를 조사하고, 이를 바탕으로 NATM 터널시공 중 발생 가능한 리스크 사건과 그 발생원인인 리스크 요인을 분석하였다. 리스크 요인은 지질, 설계, 시공 리스크 요인의 세 가지 카테고리로 구분하여 분석하였고, 리스크 사건은 과대변형, 과대변형 및 지표침하, 터널내부 붕락, 붕락 및 지표침하/함몰의 네 가지 유형으로 분석하였다. 또한, 리스크 요인으로부터 리스크 사건이 발생하는 일련의 리스크 시나리오를 리스크 요인별로 식별하였으며, 해당 NATM 터널 리스크 시나리오에 대한 리스크 분석 및 평가 방안을 제시하였다. 평가결과에 따라 리스크 대응이 필요한 시나리오에 대해 최적의 리스크 저감 대책공법을 선정하는 방안을 제시하였고, 일련의 NATM 터널 리스크 관리 프로세스를 효과적으로 수행할 수 있도록 NATM 터널 리스크 등록부 및 대책공법 관리대장을 개발하였다. 또한, 구축한 리스크 관리 시스템을 실제 도로터널 프로젝트에 적용하여 리스크 식별, 분석 및 평가, 대응 과정을 수행함으로써 그 타당성을 검증하였다.

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.185-189
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• 2012

Objective: The aim of this paper is to introduces Hyundai Heavy Industry's ergonomic risk assessment tool, H-OWAS, which is considering work load and frequency compared to the OWAS. Background: As prevalence of work-related musculoskeletal disorders(WMSDs) in ship building industries has been much higher than that in other industries, most of the large scaled corporations have implemented their own prevention program since legislation on the prevention of WMSDs had introduced in 2003. Method: This paper introduces WMSDs prevention program, HEMP(HHI Ergonomics Management Program) which consists of risk assessment, improvement efforts of working environments, medical treatment and training/evaluation and describes how to operate the program. We also describe application of OWAS method considering work load and frequency for risk factor analysis(H-OWAS) and shows methodology for assessing the ergonomic risk factor. And comparison of the assessment results between OWAS and H-OWAS is carried out by statistical analysis. Result: There was statistically significant difference in the assessment results between OWAS and H-OWAS, and regression shows H-OWAS explains the borg's scale of perceived exertion more clearly than OWAS. Conclusion: H-OWAS has been proved more effective tool than OWAS to evaluate ergonomic risk factor under real working condition. Application: H-OWAS can be widely applied to the many other companies when implementing the ergonomics risk assessment.