• 한국의류학회지
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.234-243
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• 1994

This research has studied situational effects on the perceived risk and store choice behavior. Data were obtained from 388 females with full-time jobs living in Pusan. The results analyzed by Spearman's rank correlation analysis, analysis of variance(ANOVA), 1-test and discriminant analysis. The results of this study were as follows; 1. There were significant differences in percieved risk according to the clothing purchasing situations. Performance risk was perceived high in gift-shopping situation and time-pressured situation, and financial risk was perceived high in self-shoving situation. 2. There were particularly significant differences in store attributes evaluation according to the clothing purchasing situations. In self-shopping situation, price, quality and reliability, store loyalty were evaluated as important store attributes. In gift-shopping situation, quality and reliability, product iuomation and in time-pressured situation, store loyalty and product information were evaluated as important store attributes. 3. Consumers preferred national brand franchise stores in self-shopping situation. They preferred department stores in gift-shopping situation and time-pressured situation. The types of selected store were mainly affetted by shopping convenience and location convenience.

• 한국유기농업학회지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.369-383
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• 2016

Crop yield insurance program in Korea has rapidly grown not only in quantity but in quality for 15 years since it was introduced in 2001. Despite growth of Crop insurance, performance evaluation for crop yield insurance has not fully been evaluated at the farm, consumer and national level. The purpose of this study is to conduct the performance evaluation for crop yield insurance through estimating the effects of farm revenue stabilization and social welfare increase with three popular insurance items: apple, pear and sweet persimmon. Based on the analysis of social welfare effect, cost-benefit analysis of operating crop yield insurance was conducted at the national level. We found that crop yield insurance stabilizes farm revenue based on the estimated four risk indicators: Coefficient of Variation, Value at Risk, Certainty Equivalence, and Risk Premium. The result of cost-benefit analysis shows that crop yield insurance increases social net benefit by 44.1 billion won for the three items. As a result, crop yield insurance program has contributed remarkably on social welfare as well as farm management and its role will be more important in the future.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.112-123
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• 2018

In this paper, we focused on the safety of workers in a remanufacturing process where a risk analysis is not carried out and suggested a criteria for evaluating injury risk. We analyzed a disassembly and a reassembly, which are important for the remanufacturing process. The disassembly includes the disassembly of product and the disassembly process of part and the reassembly includes only reassembly of part. First of all, we analyzed the remanufacturing process and a type of injury. Then, we reviewed the standards and determined the criteria for a severity and an occurrence. We set a bigger weight for the severity to allow the greater impact. And the injury risk score was defined as a sum of the weighted severity and the weighted occurrence. We conducted a qualitative analysis of the experience of field workers based on the criteria we set up. Questionnaires for the evaluation were formulated through interviews with experts.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.236-244
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• 1990

To improve the prognosis of mitral valve replacement surgery, analysis and evaluation of pre and intra operative risk factors will be very much valuable. Author studied 205 cases of mitral valve replacement from Feb 1982 to June 1989 for the risk factors of hospital death. 90 patients were male and 115 were female, and age was from 16 to 59 years, Mitral stenosis dominant lesions were 91 cases and regurgitation 114. Suspected risk factors were NYHA functional class, cardiothoracic ratio, implanted valve type and size, operation time, age and sex, thrombus in left atrium, atrial fibrillation, aortic cross clamping time, left ventricular end diastolic and systolic dimension, nephropathy, hepatopathy and respiratory insufficiency. Statistic analysis was performed by X2 test between survivors and death group. Statistical significances as pre and intraoperative risk factors of hospital death after mitral valve replacement were confirmed in those presence of AF on the EKG, NYHA functional class[>IV], cardiothoracic ratio[>70%], and implanted valve size[>33mm]

• 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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• 해양환경안전학회 1999년도 춘계학술발표회논문집
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• pp.43-51
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• 1999

The objective of this research is to ensure that the ports and waterways management system can establish and maintain a reasonable level of safety level during high density passenger operations. The research model was developed included computer based model that could be used that can be used to measure and monitor risk and evolved overtime. The research methodology provides model for assessing relative risk and evaluating risk reduction measures. The risk analysis based on expert judgement was refined overtime. They provide a basis for risk reduction and risk management policies and strategies. The evaluation and validation of risk model and development of data, methods, tools required to measure, monitor and evaluate ports and waterway risk was implemented.

• 지질공학
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.163-176
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• 2007

사면붕괴는 사면에서 풍화물질, 암석, 토석류 등이 중력 방향으로 이동하는 일련의 거동으로 정의되며 여러 요인의 복합적인 작용으로 발생한다. 사면붕괴는 주요한 자연 재해 중의 하나로 매년 직접, 혹은 간접적으로 사회적 경제적으로 많은 인명, 재산 피해를 유발시킨다. 따라서 이러한 사면재해의 위험을 효과적으로 감소시키기 위해서는 사면의 상태를 평가할 수 있는 적절한 평가 기준이 필요하며, 이를 기반으로 피해 사례를 통한 피해 금액 산출과 투자 우선순위를 결정하여 종합적인 사면에 대한 평가법과 관리체계 개발이 절실히 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 사면 안정성 평가를 위하여 적절한 기준을 제시하고자 위험도 분석 방법을 개발하여 새로운 사면 안정성 평가 기법을 제안하고자 한다. 본 연구에서 시행된 위험도 분석에는 비교적 안전한 사면 10개, 위험한 사면 10개, 붕괴된 사면 10개 등 총 30개의 국도변 도로 절취사면조사 자료가 사용되었다. 위험도 분석은 사면파괴위험성 분석과 피해도 분석으로 이루어져 있으며 위험도 분석결과 위험도 점수는 안정한 사면, 위험한 사면, 붕괴사면 순으로 점수가 높았으며, 각 그룹별로 서로 점수 분포가 구별되었다. 이러한 결과를 통해 볼 때 본 연구에서 제안된 위험도 분석기법은 기존의 분석기법에 비해 사면의 상태와 안정성을 종합적으로 평가할 수 있고 사면의 위험도를 보다 정확하게 파악할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2006년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
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• pp.473-480
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• 2006

Liquefaction of soil foundation is one of the major seismic damage types of infrastructures. In this paper, deterministic and probabilistic approaches for the evaluation of liquefaction potential are briefly summarized and the risk assessment method is newly proposed using seismic fragility and seismic hazard curves. Currently the deterministic approach is widely used to evaluate the liquefaction potential in Korea. However, the there are a certain degree of uncertainties in the soil properties such as elastic modulus and resistant capacity, therefore the probabilistic approach is more promising. Two types of probabilistic approach are introduced including (1) failure probability for a given design earthquake and (2) the seismic risk of liquefaction of soil for a given service life. The results from different methods show a similar trend, and the liquefaction potential can be more quantitatively evaluated using risk analysis method.

• Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.21-34
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• 2013

Various risk factors affect construction projects. Due to the uncertainties created by risk factors, actual activity durations frequently deviate from the estimated durations in either favorable or adverse direction. For this reason, evaluation of schedule uncertainty is required to make decisions accurately when managing construction projects. In this regard, this paper presents a new computer simulation model - the Repetitive Schedule Risk Analysis Model (RSRAM) - to evaluate unit-based repetitive building project schedules under uncertainty when activity durations and risk factors are correlated. The proposed model utilizes Monte Carlo Simulation and a Critical Path Method based repetitive scheduling procedure. This new procedure concurrently provides the utilization of resources without interruption and the maintenance of network logic through successive units. Furthermore, it enables assigning variable production rates to the activities from one unit to another and any kind of relationship type with or without lag time. Details of the model are described and an example application is presented. The findings show that the model produces realistic results regarding the extent of uncertainty inherent in the schedule.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.421-427
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• 2017

Seismic safety evaluation of weir structure is significant considering the catastrophic economical consequence of operational disruption. In recent years, the seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) has been issued as a key area of research for the hydraulic system to mitigate and manage the risk. The aim of this paper is to assess the seismic probabilistic risk of weir structures employing the seismic hazard and the structural fragility in Korea. At the first stage, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) approach is performed to extract the hazard curve at the weir site using the seismic and geological data. Thereafter, the seismic fragility that defines the probability of structural collapse is evaluated by using the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method in accordance with the four different design limit states as failure identification criteria. Consequently, by combining the seismic hazard and fragility results, the seismic risk curves are developed that contain helpful information for risk management of hydraulic structures. The tensile stress of the mass concrete is found to be more vulnerable than other design criteria. The hazard deaggregation illustrates that moderate size and far source earthquakes are the most likely scenario for the site. In addition, the annual loss curves for two different hazard source models corresponding to design limit states are extracted.

• 건축역사연구
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.37-52
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• 2012

This research has set up the fire fighting general index for Fire fighting of Crowded Wooden Building Cultural Asset which is composed of traditional wooden building instinct or complex. The results of this study are as follows. First, Fire fighting general index for crowded wooden building cultural asset, it is necessary to set fire fighting priority by considering fire risk and cultural asset characteristic and establish the system to cope with fire disaster in the most effective way by arranging facilities with restricted resource. Second, Fire risk is the index to draw fire and spread risk of cultural asset by applying index calculation processes such as fire load, burning velocity and ignition material spread characteristic to various aspects such as individual building and complex and combining their results. Cultural asset importance index consists of individual building evaluation, publicity security degree, area importance evaluation and historical landscape degree evaluation. Third, for each index combination process, weight of each index is drawn on the basis of AHP analysis result that is performed to the specialists of related fields. The formula to apply and combine it is prepared to apply the model to include meaning of each index and comparative importance degree.