• Title/Summary/Keyword: return period

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Comparison between Intramedullary Nailing and Percutaneous K-Wire Fixation for Fractures in the Distal Third of the Metacarpal Bone

  • Moon, Sung Jun;Yang, Jae-Won;Roh, Si Young;Lee, Dong Chul;Kim, Jin Soo
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.768-772
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    • 2014
  • Background To compare clinical and radiographic outcomes between intramedullary nail fixation and percutaneous K-wire fixation for fractures in the distal third portion of the metacarpal bone. Methods A single-institutional retrospective review identified 41 consecutive cases of metacarpal fractures between September 2009 and August 2013. Each of the cases met the inclusion criteria for closed, extra-articular fractures of the distal third of the metacarpal bone. The patients were divided by the method of fixation (intramedullary nailing or K-wire). Outcomes were compared for mean and median total active motion of the digit, radiographic parameters, and period until return to work. Complications and symptoms were determined by a questionnaire. Results During the period under review, 41 patients met the inclusion criteria, and the fractures were managed with either intramedullary nailing (n=19) or percutaneous K-wire fixation (n=22). The mean and median total active range of motion and radiographic healing showed no statistically significant difference between the two groups. No union failures were observed in either group. The mean operation time was shorter by an average of 14 minutes for the percutaneous K-wire fixation group. However, the intramedullary nailing group returned to work earlier by an average of 2.3 weeks. Complications were reported only in the K-wire fixation group. Conclusions Intramedullary nailing fixation is advisable for fractures in the distal third of the metacarpal bone. It provides early recovery of the range of motion, an earlier return to work, and lower complication rates, despite potentially requiring a wire removal procedure at the patient's request.

PMP Estimation and Its Application for the Design Flood Determination in River Basin (하천유역의 설계 홍수량 결정을 위한 P.M.P.의 산정 및 적용)

  • 이순탁;박정규
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 1986
  • This study aims at the analysis and application of PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation)for the determination of design flood in the river basin planning and design of major hydraulic structures. PMP was estimated by hydro-meterological method statistical method and envelope curve method. PMF(Probable Maximum Flood)was then estimated from this PMP by synthetic unit hydrograph method and chow method. From the comparison of three methods for PMP estimation of magnitude of PMP in order of statistical, hydro-metrological, envelope curve method. Among PMP results estimated by each method it is believed that the hydro-meteorological method gave the best proper value in comparison with historical maximum rainfall because of this method reflected upon all meterological factor. From the comparison of PMP with probable rainfall and flood, it was shown that estimated value by statistical method and hydro-metrological method were nearly equivalent to the value of return period 100 years and its value of envelope curve method was equivalent to return period 200 to 500 year. It was found that PMF estimated from would be more safe for the design of major hydraulic structures in the consideration.

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Contrarian Strategy Based on Past Stock Return and Volatility (변동성을 이용한 반대투자전략에 대한 실증분석)

  • Park, Kyeong-In;Jee, Chang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2006
  • This paper studied the performance of momentum strategy and contrarian strategy based or past stock return ratio of Korean stock market. The comparative study shows that the volatility of stock markets that can be found the performance of momentum strategy is smaller than that of emerging stock market. Accordingly, This paper examines that the performances of momentum strategy and contrarian strategy are affected by the larger volatility in Korean stock market. Further analysis using the 6 years sub-portfolios reveals that the momentum strategy is significant only during 1980 to 1986 time period when it had the least market volatility. Additionally, we investigate whether firm-level volatility as well as market volatility influence on the performance of contrarian strategy, and figure out that the momentum strategy is significant for the portfolio composed of firms with smaller volatility for previous period, while not significant for the portfolio composed of firms with larger volatility.

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A Unification of the Probable Rainfall Intensity Formula at Seoul (서울지방의 통합형 확률강우강도식)

  • Lee, Won Hwan;Park, Sang Deog
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 1992
  • The probable rainfall depth is an important hydrologic design data in establishing the hydraulic engineering project at urban watershed. This study is to unificate the probable rainfall intensity formula at Seoul. The probable rainfall intensity formula at Seoul is basically formed by the types of Talbot, Sherman and Japanese. But these formulae may be unified to uniform type. The unified probable rainfall intensity formula is more applicable than that of the existing types at Seoul. Especially on the probable rainfall depth of total duration the application of unified formula general type is better than existing types. In this formula, values of n are decreasing with return period and increasing with rainfall duration, and values of coefficient, b, are decreasing with the increase of return period. The range of n varies from 0.55 to 0.60 for short duration, from 0.60 to 0.82 for long duration, and from 0.60 to 0.66 for total duration of probable rainfall depth.

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Evaluation of Stock Market about Marketability of Mobile Contents (모바일 콘텐츠의 시장성에 대한 증권시장 평가)

  • Wi, Han-Jong;Kim, Young-Ho;Kim, Dong-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.166-173
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzed the valuation of stock market for marketability of mobile contents. We investigated, during the period of 2002 to 2005, the anormal returns of each firms which announced the launching of new mobile contents. As a result, we found statistically significant average abnormal return(AAR) at launching day of new mobile contents. And the meaningful average cumulative abnormal returns(ACAR) are observed during event period. Which means that the launching announcement of new mobile contents leads to statistically significant positive abnormal returns at stock market. Therefore, we concluded that stock market react immediately to new mobile contents, and which valuate only specific value but also implied value of contents.

Analysis of the Likelihood of Successful Defibrillation as a Change of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Transition using Support Vector Machine (서포트 벡터 머신을 이용한 심폐소생술 변이의 변화에 따른 제세동 성공률 분석)

  • Jang, Seung-Jin;Hwang, Sung-Oh;Lee, Hyun-Sook;Yoon, Young-Ro
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.556-568
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    • 2007
  • Unsatisfied results of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) estimates were caused by the fact that the predictability of the predictors was insufficient. This unmet estimate of the predictors may be affected by transitional events due to behaviors which occur during cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). We thus hypothesized that the discrepancy of ROSC estimates found in statistical characteristics due to transitional CPR events, may affect the performance of the predictors, and that the performance of the classifier dichotomizing between ROSC and No-ROSC might be different during CPR. In a canine model (n=18) of prolonged ventricular fibrillation (VF), standard CPR was provided with administration of two doses of epinephrine 0 min or 3 min later of the onset of CPR. For the analysis of the likelihood of a successful defibrillation during CPR, Support Vector Classification was adopted to evaluate statistical peculiarity combining time and frequency based predictors: median frequency, frequency band-limited power spectrum, mean segment amplitude, and zero crossing rates. The worst predictable period showed below about 1 min after the onset of CPR, and the best predictable period could be observed from about 1.5 min later of the administering epinephrine through 2.0-2.2 min. As hypothesized, the discrepancy of statistical characteristics of the predictors was reflected in the differences of the classification performance during CPR. These results represent a major improvement in defibrillation prediction can be achieved by a specific timing of the analysis, as a change in CPR transition.

Estimation of Basic Wind Speeds Reflecting Recent Wind Speed Data (최신 풍속자료를 반영한 기본풍속 산정)

  • Choi, Sang-Hyun;Seo, Kyung-Seok;Sung, Ik-Hyun;Lee, Su-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2010
  • Recent increase in the strength and frequency of typoons due to climate change claims reconsideration of the design wind load in existing design codes for civil engineering structures in which the basic wind speed is estimated based on meteorological data by mid 1990s. In this paper, based on wind speed data at 76 observatories in Korea from 1961 through 2008, the basic wind speeds which can be utilized in designing civil engineering structures including buildings and bridges are estimated using the statistical process. The return period of the wind speed for each location is determined using the Gumbel distribution. The results for considered locations are compared to the existing design codes. Also, for design applications, the wind speed map, which classifies the country into four basic wind speed zones, is proposed using the resulting basic wind speeds.

Experimental and numerical investigations on seismic performance of a super tall steel tower

  • He, Minjuan;Li, Zheng;Ma, Renle;Liang, Feng
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.571-586
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents experimental and numerical study on seismic performance of a super tall steel tower structure. The steel tower, with a height of 388 meters, employs a steel space truss with spiral steel columns to serve as its main lateral load resisting system. Moreover, this space truss was surrounded by the spiral steel columns to form a steel mega system in order to support a 12-story platform building which is located from the height of 230 meters to 263 meters. A 1/40 scaled model for this tower structure was made and tested on shake table under a series of one- and two-dimensional earthquake excitations with gradually increasing acceleration amplitudes. The test model performed elastically up to the seismic excitations representing the earthquakes with a return period of 475 years, and the test model also survived with limited damages under the seismic excitations representing the earthquakes with a return period 2475 years. A finite element model for the prototype structure was further developed and verified. It was noted that the model predictions on dynamic properties and displacement responses agreed reasonably well with test results. The maximum inter-story drift of the tower structure was obtained, and the stress in the steel members was investigated. Results indicated that larger displacement responses were observed for the section from the height of 50 meters to 100 meters in the tower structure. For structural design, applicable measures should be adopted to increase the stiffness and ductility for this section in order to avoid excessive deformations, and to improve the serviceability of the prototype structure.

Earthquake Simulation Tests on a 1:5 Scale 10-Story R.C. Residential Building Model (1:5 축소 10층 내력벽식 R.C. 공동주택의 지진모의실험)

  • Lee, Han-Seon;Hwang, Seong-Jun;Lee, Kyung-Bo;Kang, Chang-Bum;Lee, Sang-Ho;Oh, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the results of shaking table tests on a 1:5 scale 10-story R.C. wall-type residential building model. The following conclusions are drawn based on the test results. (1) The model responded linear elastically under the excitations simulating an earthquake with a return period of 50 years, and showed a nonlinear response under the excitations simulating the design earthquake of Korea. (2) The model showed a significant strength drop under the maximum considered earthquake, with a return period of 2400 years. (3) The major portion of the resistance to lateral inertia forces came from the walls used for the elevator and stair case. (4) Finally, the damage and failure modes appear to be due to the flexural behavior of walls and slabs. A significant deterioration of stiffness and an elongation of the fundamental periods were observed under increased earthquake excitations.

Hydrologic Scenarios for Sustained Drought in Han River (한강수계 장기 가뭄 수문시나리오 개발)

  • Lee, Gwang-Man;Cha, Hyung-Sun;Lee, Seung-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.629-641
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    • 2008
  • Many studies on sustained droughts have often been limited to the analysis of historic flow series. A major disadvantage in this approach can be described as the lack of long historic flow records needed to obtain a significant number of drought events for the analysis. To overcome this difficulty, one of the present study idea is to use synthetically generated hydrologic series. A methodology is presented to develop flow series based on the probabilistic analysis of the stochastic properties of the observed flows. The method can be utilized to generate a flow series of desired length so as to include many multiyear drought events within the process. In this paper, a concept of creating multiyear drought scenarios is introduced, and its development procedure is illustrated by a case study of the water supply system in Han River Basin. Also, it was found that the generated flow series can be reliably used to predict the long drought duration and sustained drought hydrologic scenarios within a given return period.