• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제72권2호
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• pp.203-216
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• 2019

Reliability analysis of composite structures considering random variation of involved parameters is quite important as composite materials revealed large statistical variations in their mechanical properties. The reliability analysis of such structures by the first order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) based approach involves repetitive evaluations of performance function. The response surface method (RSM) based metamodeling technique has emerged as an effective solution to such problems. In the application of metamodeling for uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of composite structures; the finite element model is usually formulated by either classical laminate theory or first order shear deformation theory. But such theories show significant error in calculating the structural responses of composite structures. The present study attempted to apply the RSM based MCS for reliability analysis of composite shell structures where the surrogate model is constructed using higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) of composite structures considering the uncertainties in the material properties, load, ply thickness and radius of curvature of the shell structure. The sensitivity of responses of the shell is also obtained by RSM and finite element method based direct approach to elucidate the advantages of RSM for response sensitivity analysis. The reliability results obtained by the proposed RSM based MCS and FORM are compared with the accurate reliability analysis results obtained by the direct MCS by considering two numerical examples.

• 한국강구조학회 논문집
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.21-31
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• 2008

응답면기법(RSM, Response surface method)은 복잡한 구조물의 매우 작은 발생확률이나 신뢰성해 석에서 폭넓게 사용된다. MCS(Monte-Carlo Simulation)방법은 어떤 시스템의 평가에서도 사용될 수 있으나 해석시간이 파괴확률의 역수에 비례하게 되어 발생확률이 매우 희박한 시스템의 평가에 불리하다. 확률유한요소해석법은 이러한 MCS의 한계점을 해결해 줄 수 있는 대안이 될 수 있다. 그러나 이 방법은 평균과 표준편차 등이 모델링 (내부 프로그래밍)된 특별한 프로그램에서만 적용 가능하며 임의의 범용소프트웨어의 응답을 모델링하거나 임의의 프로그램의 특성을 이용할 수가 없다. RSM방법은 복잡한 구조시스템에서 응답에 대한 회귀모델을 구성하여 효율적인 해석단계를 통해 시간과 노력을 획기적으로 절감시킬 수 있다. 그러나 RSM의 정확도는 한계상태방정식의 선형성과 축점간의 거리에 영향을 받게 된다. 이런 단점을 해결하기 위해 한계상태방정식의 선형성과 무관하게 정확한 수렴해를 구하기 위한 개선된 적응적 응답면기법을 개발하고 선형과 2차형식의 응답면방정식에 대한 2가지 예를 들어 검증하였다. 검증결과 가장 효율적인 RSM기법을 결정하였다. 개발된 선형적응적가중응답 면기법 (linear adaptive weighted response surface method, LAW-RSM)은 비적응적이거나 비가중형식의 2차 RSM기법에 비해서 정해의 신뢰성지수에 가장 근접한 정확성과 수렴성을 나타낸다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제76권6호
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• pp.675-685
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• 2020

As the classical response surface method (RSM), the polynomial RSM is so easy-to-apply that it is widely used in reliability analysis. However, the trade-off of accuracy and efficiency is still a challenge and the "curse of dimension" usually confines RSM to low dimension systems. In this paper, based on the univariate decomposition, the polynomial RSM is executed in a new mode, called as DPRSM. The general form of DPRSM is given and its implementation is designed referring to the classical RSM firstly. Then, in order to balance the accuracy and efficiency of DPRSM, its adaptive order revision around the most probable point (MPP) is proposed by introducing the univariate polynomial order analysis, noted as RDPRSM, which can analyze the exact nonlinearity of the limit state surface in the region around MPP. For testing the proposed techniques, several numerical examples are studied in detail, and the results indicate that DPRSM with low order can obtain similar results to the classical RSM, DPRSM with high order can obtain more precision with a large efficiency loss; RDPRSM can perform a good balance between accuracy and efficiency and preserve the good robustness property meanwhile, especially for those problems with high nonlinearity and complex problems; the proposed methods can also give a good performance in the high-dimensional cases.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.22-27
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• 2013

The purpose of this paper is to perform the structural design of the small scale vertical-axis wind turbine (VAWT) blade using a response surface method(RSM). First, the four design factors that have a strong influence on the structural response of blade were selected. Analysis conditions were calculated by using the central composite design(CCD), which is a typical design of experiment for the response surface method(RSM). Also, the significance of the central composite design(CCD) was verified using analysis of variance(ANOVA). The finite element analysis was performed for the selected analytical conditions for the application of response surface method(RSM). Finally, a optimization problem was solved with a objective function of blade weight and a constraint of allowable stress to achieve a optimal structural design of blade.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.321-339
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• 2021

Response Surface Method (RSM) has been widely used for flammable cloud size prediction as it can reduce computational intensity for further Explosion Risk Analysis (ERA) especially during the early design phase of offshore platforms. However, RSM encounters the overfitting problem under very limited simulations. In order to overcome the disadvantage of RSM, Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural (BRANN)-based model has been recently developed and its robustness and efficiency have been widely verified. However, for ERA during the early design phase, there seems to be room to further reduce the computational intensity while ensuring the model's acceptable accuracy. This study aims to develop an integrated method, namely the combination of Center Composite Design (CCD) method with Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural Network (BRANN), for flammable cloud size prediction. A case study with constant and transient leakages is conducted to illustrate the feasibility and advantage of this hybrid method. Additionally, the performance of CCD-BRANN is compared with that of RSM. It is concluded that the newly developed hybrid method is more robust and computational efficient for ERAs during early design phase.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.507-518
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• 2005

In the shear-lag analysis of structures deterministic procedure is insufficient to provide complete information. Probabilistic analysis is a holistic approach for analyzing shear-lag effects considering uncertainties in structural parameters. This paper proposes an efficient and accurate algorithm to analyze shear-lag effects of structures with parameter uncertainties. The proposed algorithm integrated the advantages of the response surface method (RSM), finite element method (FEM) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Uncertainties in the structural parameters can be taken into account in this algorithm. The algorithm is verified using independently generated finite element data. The proposed algorithm is then used to analyze the shear-lag effects of a simply supported beam with parameter uncertainties. The results show that the proposed algorithm based on the central composite design is the most promising one in view of its accuracy and efficiency. Finally, a parametric study was conducted to investigate the effect of each of the random variables on the statistical moment of structural stress response.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.116-129
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• 2001

Traditional occupant analysis has been performed with a pre-determined crash puse which is produced from a test and the involved components are designed based on the analysis resuls. The method has limitations in that the design does not have much freedom. Howrver, if a good crash pulse is proposed, the body structure can be modified to generate the crash pulse. Therefore, it is assumed that the crash pulse can be changed to imptove the occupant crash performance. A preferable crash pulse is determined to minimize the occupant injuty. A constraint is established to keep the phenomena of physics valid. The response surface method(RSM) is adopted for the optimization process. An RSM in a commercial code is utilzed by interfacing with an in-house occupant analysis program called SAFE(Safety Analysis For occupant crash Enviroment). Design of involved components called is carried out through optimization with the RSM. The advantages of the RSM are investigated as opposed to other methods, and the tesults are compared. Also, the design under the new crach pulse is compared with that trom the pre-detetmined pulse.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제49권1호
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• pp.111-128
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• 2014

The stochastic response surface method (SRSM) and the response surface method (RSM) are often used for structural reliability analysis, especially for reliability problems with implicit performance functions. This paper aims to compare these two methods in terms of fitting the performance function, accuracy and efficiency in estimating probability of failure as well as statistical moments of system output response. The computational procedures of two response surface methods are briefly introduced first. Then their capabilities are demonstrated and compared in detail through two examples. The results indicate that the probability of failure mainly reflects the accuracy of the response surface function (RSF) fitting the performance function in the vicinity of the design point, while the statistical moments of system output response reflect the accuracy of the RSF fitting the performance function in the entire space. In addition, the performance function can be well fitted by the SRSM with an optimal order polynomial chaos expansion both in the entire physical and in the independent standard normal spaces. However, it can be only well fitted by the RSM in the vicinity of the design point. For reliability problems involving random variables with approximate normal distributions, such as normal, lognormal, and Gumbel Max distributions, both the probability of failure and statistical moments of system output response can be accurately estimated by the SRSM, whereas the RSM can only produce the probability of failure with a reasonable accuracy.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.813-817
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• 2002

This paper presents the reliability analysis technique on the dynamic characteristics of the torsion beam consisting the suspension system of passenger car. We utilize response surface method (RSM) and Monte Carlo simulation to obtain the response surface model that describes the limit state function for the natural frequencies of the torsion beam. Using the response surface model and the design optimization technique, we have obtained the optimized section considering the reliability of the torsion beam structure.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전기기기및에너지변환시스템부문B
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• 제55권2호
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• pp.69-75
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• 2006

This paper deals with the optimum design solution on reduction of torque ripple for a Synchronous Reluctance Motor with concentrated winding using response surface methodology. The coupled Finite Elements Analysis (FEA) & Preisach model have been used to evaluate the nonlinear solution. Comparisons are given with characteristics of a SynRM according to the stator winding, slot number, open width of slot, slot depth, teeth width variation in concentrated winding SynRM, respectively. This paper presents an optimization procedure using Response Surface Methodology (RSM) to determine design parameters for reducing torque ripple. RSM has been achieved to use the experimental design method in combination with finite Element Method (FEM) and well adapted to make analytical model for a complex problem considering a lot of interaction of design variables. Moreover, Sequential Quadratic Problem (SQP) method is used to solve the resulting of constrained nonlinear optimization problem.