• Title/Summary/Keyword: response probability

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Estimation Using Response Probability Under Callbacks

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.213-230
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    • 2007
  • Although the response model has been frequently applied to nonresponse weighting adjustment or imputation, the estimation under callbacks has been relatively underdeveloped in the response model. The estimation method using the response probability is developed under callbacks. A replication method for the estimation of the variance of the proposed estimation is also developed. Since the true response probability is usually unknown, we study the estimation of the response probability. Finally, we propose an estimator under callbacks using the ratio imputation as well as the response probability. The simulation study illustrates our techniques.

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A response probability estimation for non-ignorable non-response

  • Chung, Hee Young;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.263-275
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    • 2022
  • Use of appropriate technique for non-response occurring in sample survey improves the accuracy of the estimation. Many studies have been conducted for handling non-ignorable non-response and commonly the response probability is estimated using the propensity score method. Recently, post-stratification method to obtain the response probability proposed by Chung and Shin (2017) reduces the effect of bias and gives a good performance in terms of the MSE. In this study, we propose a new response probability estimation method by combining the propensity score adjustment method using the logistic regression model with post-stratification method used in Chung and Shin (2017). The superiority of the proposed method is confirmed through simulation.

A response surface method based on sub-region of interest for structural reliability analysis

  • Zhao, Weitao;Shi, Xueyan;Tang, Kai
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.587-602
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    • 2016
  • In structural reliability analysis, the response surface method is widely adopted because of its numerical efficiency. It should be understood that the response function must approximate the actual limit state function accurately in the main region influencing failure probability where it is evaluated. However, the size of main region influencing failure probability was not defined clearly in current response surface methods. In this study, the concept of sub-region of interest is constructed, and an improved response surface method is proposed based on the sub-region of interest. The sub-region of interest can clearly define the size of main region influencing failure probability, so that the accuracy of the evaluation of failure probability is increased. Some examples are introduced to demonstrate the efficiency and the accuracy of the proposed method for both numerical and implicit limit state functions.

A Marginal Probability Model for Repeated Polytomous Response Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a marginal probability model for analyzing repeated polytomous response data when some factors are nested in others in treatment structures on a larger experimental unit. As a repeated measures factor, time is considered on a smaller experimental unit. So, two different experiment sizes are considered. Each size of experimental unit has its own design structure and treatment structure, and the marginal probability model can be constructed from the structures for each size of experimental unit. Weighted least squares(WLS) methods are used for estimating fixed effects in the suggested model.

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Imputation using response probabilities

  • Kim, Jae-Kwang;Park, Hyeon-Ah;Jeon, Jong-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose a class of imputed estimators using response probability. The proposed estimator can be justified under the response probability model and thus is robust against the failure of the assumed imputation model. We also propose a variance estimator that is justified under the response probability model.

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Capabilities of stochastic response surface method and response surface method in reliability analysis

  • Jiang, Shui-Hua;Li, Dian-Qing;Zhou, Chuang-Bing;Zhang, Li-Min
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.111-128
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    • 2014
  • The stochastic response surface method (SRSM) and the response surface method (RSM) are often used for structural reliability analysis, especially for reliability problems with implicit performance functions. This paper aims to compare these two methods in terms of fitting the performance function, accuracy and efficiency in estimating probability of failure as well as statistical moments of system output response. The computational procedures of two response surface methods are briefly introduced first. Then their capabilities are demonstrated and compared in detail through two examples. The results indicate that the probability of failure mainly reflects the accuracy of the response surface function (RSF) fitting the performance function in the vicinity of the design point, while the statistical moments of system output response reflect the accuracy of the RSF fitting the performance function in the entire space. In addition, the performance function can be well fitted by the SRSM with an optimal order polynomial chaos expansion both in the entire physical and in the independent standard normal spaces. However, it can be only well fitted by the RSM in the vicinity of the design point. For reliability problems involving random variables with approximate normal distributions, such as normal, lognormal, and Gumbel Max distributions, both the probability of failure and statistical moments of system output response can be accurately estimated by the SRSM, whereas the RSM can only produce the probability of failure with a reasonable accuracy.

Probability-based structural response of steel beams and frames with uncertain semi-rigid connections

  • Domenico, Dario De;Falsone, Giovanni;Laudani, Rossella
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.67 no.5
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    • pp.439-455
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    • 2018
  • Within a probabilistic framework, this paper addresses the determination of the static structural response of beams and frames with partially restrained (semi-rigid) connections. The flexibility of the nodal connections is incorporated via an idealized linear-elastic behavior of the beam constraints through the use of rotational springs, which are here considered uncertain for taking into account the largely scattered results observed in experimental findings. The analysis is conducted via the Probabilistic Transformation Method, by modelling the spring stiffness terms (or equivalently, the fixity factors of the beam) as uniformly distributed random variables. The limit values of the Eurocode 3 fixity factors for steel semi-rigid connections are assumed. The exact probability density function of a few indicators of the structural response is derived and discussed in order to identify to what extent the uncertainty of the beam constraints affects the resulting beam response. Some design considerations arise which point out the paramount importance of probability-based approaches whenever a comprehensive experimental background regarding the stiffness of the beam connection is lacking, for example in steel frames with semi-rigid connections or in precast reinforced concrete framed structures. Indeed, it is demonstrated that resorting to deterministic approaches may lead to misleading (and in some cases non-conservative) outcomes from a design viewpoint.

Probability density evolution analysis on dynamic response and reliability estimation of wind-excited transmission towers

  • Zhang, Lin-Lin;Li, Jie
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 2007
  • Transmission tower is a vital component in electrical system. In order to accurately compute the dynamic response and reliability of transmission tower under the excitation of wind loading, a new method termed as probability density evolution method (PDEM) is introduced in the paper. The PDEM had been proved to be of high accuracy and efficiency in most kinds of stochastic structural analysis. Consequently, it is very hopeful for the above needs to apply the PDEM in dynamic response of wind-excited transmission towers. Meanwhile, this paper explores the wind stochastic field from stochastic Fourier spectrum. Based on this new viewpoint, the basic random parameters of the wind stochastic field, the roughness length $z_0$ and the mean wind velocity at 10 m heigh $U_{10}$, as well as their probability density functions, are investigated. A latticed steel transmission tower subject to wind loading is studied in detail. It is shown that not only the statistic quantities of the dynamic response, but also the instantaneous PDF of the response and the time varying reliability can be worked out by the proposed method. The results demonstrate that the PDEM is feasible and efficient in the dynamic response and reliability analysis of wind-excited transmission towers.

Application of Probability Density Function in SFEM and Corresponding Limit Value (추계론적 유한요소해석에서의 확률밀도함수 사용과 수렴치)

  • Noh Hyuk-Chun
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.857-864
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    • 2006
  • Due to the difficulties in numerical generation of random fields that satisfy not only the probabilistic distribution but the spectral characteristics as well. it is relatively hard to find an exact response variability of a structural response with a specific random field which has its features in the spatial and spectral domains. In this study. focusing on the fact that the random field assumes a constant over the domain under consideration when the correlation distance tends to infinity, a semi-theoretical solution of response variability is proposed for in-plane and plate bending structures. In this procedure, the probability density function is used directly resulting in a semi-exact solution for the random field in the state of random variable. It is particularly noteworthy that the proposed methodology provides response variability for virtually any type of probability density functions.

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Application of frequency domain analysis for generation of seismic floor response spectra

  • Ghosh, A.K.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a case study with a multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) system where the Floor Response Spectra (FRS) have been derived from a large ensemble of ground motion accelerograms. The FRS are evaluated by the frequency response function which is calculated numerically. The advantage of this scheme over a repetitive time-history analysis of the entire structure for each accelerogram of the set has been highlighted. The present procedure permits generation of FRS with a specified probability of exceedence.