• 제목/요약/키워드: remaining useful life

검색결과 94건 처리시간 0.025초

리튬배터리의 잔여 유효 수명 추정을 위한 배터리 모듈용 AC 임피던스 스펙트럼 측정장치 (An AC Impedance Spectrum Measurement Device for the Battery Module to Predict the Remaining Useful Life of the Lithium-Ion Batteries)

  • 이승준;파르한 파루크;칸 아사드;최우진
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2020
  • A growing interest has emerged in recycling used automobile batteries into energy storage systems (ESSs) to prevent their harmful effects to the environment from improper disposal and to recycle such resources. To transform used batteries into ESSs, composing battery modules with similar performance by grading them is crucial. Imbalance among battery modules degrades the performance of an entire system. Thus, the selection of modules with similar performance and remaining life is the first prerequisite in the reuse of used batteries. In this study, we develop an instrument to measure the impedance spectrum of a battery module to predict the useful remaining life of the used battery. The developed hardware and software are used to apply the AC perturbation to the used battery module and measure its impedance spectrum. The developed instrument can measure the impedance spectrum of the battery module from 0.1 Hz to 1 kHz and calculate the equivalent circuit parameters through curve fitting. The performance of the developed instrument is verified by comparing the measured impedance spectra with those obtained by a commercial equipment.

철근부식에 의한 육지 콘크리트의 수명예측 (Predicting on Service Life of Concrete by Steel Corrosion)

  • 정우용;손영무;윤영수;이진용
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2000년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.682-687
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    • 2000
  • In this research the remaining service life of the concrete due to the steel corrosion was predicted by three cases; causing carbonation, using sea sand, using deicing salts. In case of deterioration by carbonation, effective carbonation depth, effective coverage depth and relative humidity are considered for predicting method. In case of using sea sand, predicting method is made of rust growth equation from polarization resistance method. In case of using deicing salts, predicting method is made of transformation of Fick's law. Three methods are very useful in predicting service life of concrete.

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열화되는 성능 파라메터를 가지는 시스템의 신뢰성 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Reliability Prediction of System with Degrading Performance Parameter)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2015
  • Due to advancements in technology and manufacturing capability, it is not uncommon that life tests yield no or few failures at low stress levels. In these situations it is difficult to analyse lifetime data and make meaningful inferences about product or system reliability. For some products or systems whose performance characteristics degrade over time, a failure is said to have occurred when a performance characteristic crosses a critical threshold. The measurements of the degradation characteristic contain much useful and credible information about product or system reliability. Degradation measurements of the performance characteristics of an unfailed unit at different times can directly relate reliability measures to physical characteristics. Reliability prediction based on physical performance measures can be an efficient and alternative method to estimate for some highly reliable parts or systems. If the degradation process and the distance between the last measurement and a specified threshold can be established, the remaining useful life is predicted in advance. In turn, this prediction leads to just in time maintenance decision to protect systems. In this paper, we describe techniques for mapping product or system which has degrading performance parameter to the associated classical reliability measures in the performance domain. This paper described a general modeling and analysis procedure for reliability prediction based on one dominant degradation performance characteristic considering pseudo degradation performance life trend model. This pseudo degradation trend model is based on probability modeling of a failure mechanism degradation trend and comparison of a projected distribution to pre-defined critical soft failure point in time or cycle.

Prediction of Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-ion Battery based on Multi-kernel Support Vector Machine with Particle Swarm Optimization

  • Gao, Dong;Huang, Miaohua
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.1288-1297
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    • 2017
  • The estimation of the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries is important for intelligent battery management system (BMS). Data mining technology is becoming increasingly mature, and the RUL estimation of Li-ion batteries based on data-driven prognostics is more accurate with the arrival of the era of big data. However, the support vector machine (SVM), which is applied to predict the RUL of Li-ion batteries, uses the traditional single-radial basis kernel function. This type of classifier has weak generalization ability, and it easily shows the problem of data migration, which results in inaccurate prediction of the RUL of Li-ion batteries. In this study, a novel multi-kernel SVM (MSVM) based on polynomial kernel and radial basis kernel function is proposed. Moreover, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to search the kernel parameters, penalty factor, and weight coefficient of the MSVM model. Finally, this paper utilizes the NASA battery dataset to form the observed data sequence for regression prediction. Results show that the improved algorithm not only has better prediction accuracy and stronger generalization ability but also decreases training time and computational complexity.

충전 전압 특성을 이용한 리튬 이온 배터리의 잔존 수명 예측 (Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Li-Ion Battery Based on Charge Voltage Characteristics)

  • 심성흠;강진혁;안다운;김선일;김진영;최주호
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.313-322
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    • 2013
  • 배터리는 최근 여러 분야에서 중요한 에너지원 역할을 하고 있는데, 사용 중 충방전을 거듭하면 용량이 점차 저하되며 초기 대비 80% 이하로 떨어지면 고장으로 간주되므로, 이를 예측하기 위한 수명 예측 기법이 활발히 개발되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 사용중인 배터리에 대해 충전곡선 기울기를 이용하여 배터리의 용량을 평가하고 이를 바탕으로 잔존수명을 예측하는 새로운 방법을 제안하였다. 이 과정에서 발생하는 여러 불확실성을 고려하기 위해 베이지안 접근법에 기반한 파티클 필터 방법을 활용하였고 그 결과 잔존수명을 확률분포로 구하였다. 개발된 방법을 미국 NASA Ames 연구소와 본 연구실에서 직접 수행한 배터리 충방전 시험 데이터에 대해 각각 적용한 결과 충전곡선 기울기가 용량 열화를 잘 나타내며 파티클 필터로 예측된 잔존수명 신뢰구간은 실제 수명을 잘 포함함을 확인할 수 있었다.

발전설비확장계획에서 다중대안 리트로핏 모형화 방안 및 사례연구 (Multi-alternative Retrofit Modelling and its Application to Korean Generation Capacity Expansion Planning)

  • 정용주
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Retrofit, defined to be addition of new technologies or features to the old system to increase efficiency or to abate GHG emissions, is considered as an important alternative for the old coal-fired power plant. The purpose of this study is to propose mathematical method to model multiple alternative retrofit in Generation Capacity Expansion Planning(GCEP) problem, and to get insight to the retrofit patterns from realistic case studies. Design/methodology/approach This study made a multi-alternative retrofit GECP model by adopting some new variables and equations to the existing GECP model. Added variables and equations are to ensure the retrofit feature that the life time of retrofitted plant is the remaining life time of the old power plant. We formulated such that multiple retrofit alternatives are simultaneously compared and the best retrofit alternative can be selected. And we found that old approach to model retrofit has a problem that old plant with long remaining life time is retrofitted earlier than the one with short remaining life time, fixed the problem by some constraints with some binary variables. Therefore, the proposed model is formulated into a mixed binary programming problem, and coded and run using the GAMS/cplex. Findings According to the empirical analysis result, we found that approach to model the multiple alternative retrofit proposed in this study is comparing simultaneously multiple retrofit alternatives and select the best retrofit satisfying the retrofit features related to the life time. And we found that retrofit order problem is cleared. In addition, the model is expected to be very useful in evaluating and developing the national policies concerning coal-fired power plant retrofit.

표면복제기법을 이용한 고온 설비의 수명평가 현황과 적용사례 (State of the Art in Life Assessment for High Temperature Components Using Replication Method)

  • 김덕희;최현선
    • 비파괴검사학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.489-496
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    • 2010
  • 발전 및 화학플랜트의 많은 고온 설비는 장시간 운전으로 인해 재질열화 현상이 필연적으로 발생된다. 이러한 고온설비의 건전성 확보와 신뢰성 있는 수명평가를 위해서는 비파괴평가기법인 표면복제시험을 통한 미세조직분석 평가법이 현재까지 유용한 것으로 인식되어왔다. 이러한 표변복제기법은 기존의 평가법과 함께 탄화물평가를 통한 재질열화도 평가 등 새로운 정량적 접근법이 필요하며 다양하게 시도되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 표면복제기법과 관련한 기술개발 현황과 현장 적용사례들을 소개하고, 합리적인 평가결과 여부에 대해 기술하였으며, 현장설비에 대해 표면복제시험 후 미세조직을 분석한 결과 탄화물 평가방법이 정량적으로 유용함을 입증하였다.

딥러닝 기반의 기계 잔존 수명 예측 시스템 (Deep Learning based Machine Remaining Useful Life Prediction System)

  • 이세훈;김한솔;정찬영;이태형;김지태;송경환;손정모
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회 2020년도 제62차 하계학술대회논문집 28권2호
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    • pp.15-16
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문에서는 산업 현장에서 사용되는 기계들의 건전성을 유지하고 예측하는 시스템을 개선할 수 있는 연구 결과를 비교하고 설명한다. 이번 연구에서는 딥러닝 기술을 이용함으로서 특정장치에 종속되지 않고 범용적으로 수집된 소음데이터를 사용하여 현장 적용의 유연성을 높이고, 딥러닝 모델 중 GRU를 이용하여 기존 연구 결과와 비교 실험을 하여 더 우수한 결과를 얻었다.

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C-MAPSS 데이터를 이용한 항공기 엔진의 신경 회로망 기반 건전성관리 (Neural Network based Aircraft Engine Health Management using C-MAPSS Data)

  • 윤유리;김석구;조성희;최주호
    • 항공우주시스템공학회지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2019
  • 항공기 엔진의 고장예지 및 건전성 관리(PHM)는 고장 또는 수명한계 도달 전에 잔존 유효 수명을 예측하는 것이다. PHM 기술 중 예측모델을 확립하는 방법은 물리 기반과 데이터 기반 방법이 있다. 물리기반 방법은 적은 데이터로 정확한 예측이 가능하지만 확립된 손상 물리 모델이 적어서 적용에 한계가 있다. 본 연구는 따라서 데이터 기반 방법을 적용하였으며, 수명 예측을 위해서 신경회로망 알고리즘 중 Multi-layer Perceptron을 이용하였다. 이를 위해 미국 항공우주국(NASA)에서 개발한 C-MAPSS 코드로 생성된 가상 데이터 세트를 이용하여 신경회로망을 학습하였다. 학습된 신경회로망 모델은 테스트 세트에 적용한 후 잔존 유효 수명의 신뢰구간을 예측하고 실제 값을 통해 정확도를 검증하였다. 또한 본 연구에서 제시된 방법을 기존 문헌의 것과도 비교하였고 그 결과 비교적 양호한 정확도를 확인할 수 있었다.

Load bearing capacity reduction of concrete structures due to reinforcement corrosion

  • Chen, Hua-Peng;Nepal, Jaya
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제75권4호
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    • pp.455-464
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    • 2020
  • Reinforcement corrosion is one of the major problems in the durability of reinforced concrete structures exposed to aggressive environments. Deterioration caused by reinforcement corrosion reduces the durability and the safety margin of concrete structures, causing excessive costs in managing these structures safely. This paper aims to investigate the effects of reinforcement corrosion on the load bearing capacity deterioration of the corroded reinforced concrete structures. A new analytical method is proposed to predict the crack growth of cover concrete and evaluate the residual strength of concrete structures with corroded reinforcement failing in bond. The structural performance indicators, such as concrete crack growth and flexural strength deterioration rate, are assumed to be a stochastic process for lifetime distribution modelling of structural performance deterioration over time during the life cycle. The Weibull life evolution model is employed for analysing lifetime reliability and estimating remaining useful life of the corroded concrete structures. The results for the worked example show that the proposed approach can provide a reliable method for lifetime performance assessment of the corroded reinforced concrete structures.