• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability prediction

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A Study on Reliability Design of Fracture Mechanics Method Using FEM (유한요소법을 이용한 파괴 역학적 방법의 신뢰성설계기술에 관한 연구)

  • Baik, Seung-Yeb;Lee, Bong-Gu
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.4398-4404
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    • 2015
  • Stainless steel sheets are widely used as the structural material for dynamic machine structures, These kinds structures used stainless steel sheets are commonly fabricated by using the gas welding, For fatigue design of gas welded joints such as various type joint. It is necessary to obtain design information on stress distribution at the weldment as well as fatigue strength of gas welded joints. Thus in this paper, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were obtained by fatigue tests. and, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were rearranged in the ${\Delta}{\sigma}-N_f$ relation with the hot spot stresses at the gas welded joints. Using these results, the accelerated life test(ALT) is conducted. From the experiment results, an life prediction model is derived and factors are estimated. So it is intended to obtain the useful information for the fatigue lifetime of welded joints and data analysis by statistic reliability method, to save time and cost, and to develop optimum accelerated life prediction plans.

A Study of improving reliability on prediction model by analyzing method Big data (빅데이터 분석방법을 이용한 예측모형의 신뢰도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Min-Gu;Kim, Sun-Bae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2013
  • Traditional method of establishing prediction model is usually using formal data stored in Data Base. However, nowadays advent of "smart" era brought by ground-breaking development of communication system makes informal data to dominate overall data, such 80% in total. Therefore, conventional method using formal data as establishing predicting model would be untrustworthy means in present. In other words, it is indispensible to make prediction model credible including informal data(SNS, image, video) and semi-formal data(log data). In this study, we increase credibility of predicting model adapting Bigdata method and comparing reliability of conventional measurement to real-data.

A Study on the Optimal Shape Prediction of $\mu$BGA Solder Joints ($\mu$BGA 솔더 접합부의 최적 형상 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 신영의;지시헌;후지모토고조;김종민
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, several methods to predict the solder joint shape are studied. Although there are various methods to predict the solder joint shape, such as truncated sphere method. force-balanced analytical solution, and energy-based methods like surface evolver developed by Ken Brakke, we calculate solder joint shape of $\mu$BGA by two solder joint shape prediction methods(truncated sphere method and surfaceevolver) and then compare results of each method. The results indicate that two methods can accurately predict the solder Joint shape in an accurate range. After that, we calculate reliability solder joint shape under thermal cycle test by FEA program ANSYS(version 5.62). As a result, it could be found that optimal solder joint shape calculated by solder joint prediction method has best reliability in thermal cycle test.

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Accelerated Life Prediction for STS301L Gas Welded Joint (I) - Fillet Type - (STS301L 가스용접 이음재의 가속수명예측 (I) - Fillet Type -)

  • Baek, Seung-Yeb
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2010
  • Stainless steel sheets are widely used as the structural material for railroad cars and commercial vehicles. Structures made of stainless steel sheets are commonly fabricated by gas welding, For the fatigue design of gas welded joints such as fillet joints, it is necessary to obtain design information of the stress distribution at the weldment as well as the fatigue strength of the gas-welded joints. Further, the influence of the geometrical parameters of gas-welded joints on stress distribution and fatigue strength must be evaluated. in this study, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were obtained by fatigue tests. and, the ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were rearranged on the basis of the ${\Delta}{\sigma}-N_f$ relation for the hot-spot stresses at the gas-welded joints. These results, were used for conducting an accelerated life test(ALT) From the experiment results, an acceleration model was derived and factors were estimated. The objective is to obtain the information required for the analysis of the fatigue lifetime of fillet welded joints and for data analysis by the statistic reliability method to save time and cost and to develop optimum accelerated life prediction plans.

A Study on the Reliability Management of Onboard Signaling Equipment for the Korean Tilting Train (한국형 틸팅열차 차상신호장치 신뢰성관리에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Duck-O;Baek, Jong-Hyun;Lee, Knag-Me;Kim, Yong-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.852-858
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    • 2009
  • This paper is a study on the reliability management of onboard signaling equipment for the Koran Tilting Train (TTX) to run the existing railway to express railway. For safe running of tilting train which operates at Automatic Train Protection (ATP) and Automatic Train Stop (ATS), a reliability management plan for TTX onboard is proposed for preventing train safety from driver oversight and malfunction by establishing braking curves based on movement authority and speed limit, according to preceding train location and rail conditions. Also, reliability of TTX onboard equipment on the basis of proposed plan was estimated, and actual case studies based on the international requirements IEC 62278 (EN 50126) were provided to verify its reliability.

A Study on the Reliability Improvement of Guided Missile (유도탄의 신뢰성 향상 방안 고찰)

  • Kim, Bohyeon;Hwang, Kyeonghwan;Hur, Jangwook
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.208-215
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: ASRP for the domestic development guided missiles requires not only for the reliability evaluation of the products in storage but also for the life cycle management of the products including development prototypes and initial production items. Methods: For this purpose, it should be performed to build a performance database before and after the accelerated aging test with shelf life items including development prototypes and initial production items, based on which the lifetime prediction should also be carried out. In addition, HILS must be applied for the acceptance test with the initial and follow-up production items, and also for ASRP for the long-term storage products in order to secure systematic quality assurance. Results: The results for the life cycle reliability Improving of domestic development of guided missiles are DB building of prescription Item performance, active application of HILS, Management associated with guided missiles life cycle and to Secure technology data about the introduction of foreign guided missiles. Conclusion: Furthermore, it is demanded that DTaQ, the managing agency of ASRP, actively take part in the process to maintain reliability engagement consistency over the life cycle of guided missiles.

Understanding the Degradative Effects of Different Climatological Conditions on Architectural Coatings: Progress Report on Korea Institute of Construction Materials Site Comparison Study of Seosan (Korea) Outdoor Exposure Testing Facility

  • Choi, Yoon;Pyo, Soonjin;Seo, Junsik;Yang, Inmo;Kim, Seungjin;Kim, Sangmyoung
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.116-118
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    • 2009
  • Korea Institute of Construction Materials founded Seosan Outdoor Exposure Test Site 2005 at Korea, which is a part of Worldwide Exposure Network (WEN). To evaluate the test site along with other exposure test sites, three different types of paints have been under real time weathering conditions at three major weathering test facilities around the world. Using these test specimens several spectroscopic experiments along with physical tests have been performed. Also acceleration tests have been performed using the same paints. The correlation of weathered paints among three different test facilities and accelerated test results has been compared. From the results the reliability of Seosan Weathering Test Facility and reasonable life time prediction tests are discussed.

Various Techniques for Improving of the Reliability of the Wireless Network Design/Optimization Simulation Tool (무선망 설계/최적화 시뮬레이션 툴 의 다양한 신뢰도 향상 기법)

  • Jeon Hyun-Cheol;Ryu Jae-Hyun;Park Sang-Jin;Park Joo-Yeoul;Kim Jung-Chul
    • 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.08a
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 2006
  • There are various analysis functions(including prediction of path loss, analyzing of capacity and coverage, etc.) of simulation tool to design and optimize the mobile communication network. Its reliability absolutely effects the performance of mobile communication network. Especially as the wireless network highly advancing focused on data service, it more needs to research and develop on the standard establishment of reliability of the simulation tool. Also it is important the systematic research how to improve the reliability of simulation tool. In this paper, to give the concrete process and skill about how to improve reliability, we define the kinds of reliability at first. And then we explain the comparison results between real field measurement data and theoretic simulation data.

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A Fuzzy Inference based Reliability Method for Underground Gas Pipelines in the Presence of Corrosion Defects

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Choe, Byung Hak;Kim, Woosik;Ki, Ikjoong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2016
  • Remaining lifetime prediction of the underground gas pipeline plays a key role in maintenance planning and public safety. One of main causes in the pipeline failure is metal corrosion. This paper deals with estimating the pipeline reliability in the presence of corrosion defects. Because a pipeline has uncertainty and variability in its operation, probabilistic approximation approaches such as first order second moment (FOSM), first order reliability method (FORM), second order reliability method (SORM), and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) are widely employed for pipeline reliability predictions. This paper presents a fuzzy inference based reliability method (FIRM). Compared with existing methods, a distinction of our method is to incorporate a fuzzy inference into quantifying degrees of variability in corrosion defects. As metal corrosion depends on the service environment, this feature makes it easier to obtain practical predictions. Numerical experiments are conducted by using a field dataset. The result indicates that the proposed method works well and, in particular, it provides more advisory estimations of the remaining lifetime of the gas pipeline.

Reliability Computation of Neuro-Fuzzy Model Based Short Term Electrical Load Forecasting (뉴로-퍼지 모델 기반 단기 전력 수요 예측시스템의 신뢰도 계산)

  • Shim, Hyun-Jeong;Wang, Bo-Hyeun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a systematic method to compute a reliability measure for a short term electrical load forecasting system using neuro-fuzzy models. It has been realized that the reliability computation is essential for a load forecasting system to be applied practically. The proposed method employs a local reliability measure in order to exploit the local representation characteristic of the neuro-fuzzy models. It, hence, estimates the reliability of each fuzzy rule learned. The design procedure of the proposed short term load forecasting system is as follows: (1) construct initial structures of neuro-fuzzy models, (2) store them in the initial structure bank, (3) train the neuro-fuzzy model using an appropriate initial structure, and (4) compute load prediction and its reliability. In order to demonstrate the viability of the proposed method, we develop an one hour ahead load forecasting system by using the real load data collected during 1996 and 1997 at KEPCO. Simulation results suggest that the proposed scheme extends the applicability of the load forecasting system with the reliably computed reliability measure.