• 상하수도학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.41-49
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• 2016

In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution and Gumbel distribution models with rainfall data collected in major cities of Korea to reevaluate the return period of sewer flooding in those cities. As a result, the probable rainfall for GEV and Gumbel distribution in non-stationary state both increased with time(t), compared to the stationary probable rainfall. Considering the reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the increase of storm events due to climate change, the reliability of the rainfall duration for Seoul, Daegu, and Gwangju in the GEV distribution was over 90%, indicating that the probability of rainfall increase was high. As for the Gumbel distribution, Wonju, Daegu, and Gwangju showed the higher reliability while Daejeon showed the lower reliability than the other cities. In addition, application of the maximum annual rainfall change rate (${\xi}_1{\cdot}t$) to the location parameter made possible the prediction of return period by time, therefore leading to the evaluation of design recurrence interval.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.127-138
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• 2011

장시간 저장 후 짧은 시간 동안 운용되는 특성을 갖는 보증 유도탄은 지속적인 신뢰도 저하를 개선하기 위해 주기적인 검사정책을 사용한다. 본 연구에서는 유도탄의 저장 신뢰도 유지를 위해 주기적 검사 개념을 기초로 검사장비의 불완전성에 따라 유도탄 구성품을 정비계단에 맞추어 분류하고, 검사 시 발생하는 손상확률과 정비과정의 불완전성에 의해 손상되는 확률을 고려하여 최적의 검사주기 산출과정을 제시한 기존 연구를 검토한다. 또한 검토된 기존 연구를 바탕으로 주기검사 과정에서 유도탄이 손상되는 확률과 유도탄의 운용 형태 및 정비 형태를 고려한 제약사항을 포함하는 시뮬레이션 모델을 설정하고, 시뮬레이션 전용 패키지를 활용하여 분석함으로써 실제 운용 환경에서 최적의 보증유도탄 검사주기, 주기검사소, 정비창을 설정함으로써 유사 유도탄체계에서 활용이 가능한 시뮬레이션모델을 제안한다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제71권6호
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• pp.739-749
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• 2019

This article deals with the application of reliability analysis for determining the safety of simply supported beam under the uniformly distributed load. The uncertainties of the existing methods were taken into account and hence reliability analysis has been adopted. To accomplish this aim, Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) models are developed. Reliability analysis is the probabilistic style to determine the possibility of failure free operation of a structure. The application of probabilistic mathematics into the quantitative aspects of a structure and improve the qualitative aspects of a structure. In order to construct the GRNN, ELM and GPR models, the dataset contains Modulus of Elasticity (E), Load intensity (w) and performance function (${\delta}$) in which E and w are inputs and ${\delta}$ is the output. The achievement of the developed models was weighed by various statistical parameters; one among the most primitive parameter is Coefficient of Determination ($R^2$) which has 0.998 for training and 0.989 for testing. The GRNN outperforms the other ELM and GPR models. Other different statistical computations have been carried out, which speaks out the errors and prediction performance in order to justify the capability of the developed models.

• 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 유체기계공업학회 2003년도 유체기계 연구개발 발표회 논문집
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• pp.457-463
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• 2003

A general program of meanline design and/or performance prediction for centrifugal/mixed-flow compressors is successfully commercialized using various empirical loss models. 4 types of diffusers, 3 types of exit elements, shrouded/unshrouded impellers and real gas option are included in the program capabilities. Total 16 cases of benchmark test results proved its reliability to be effectively utilized in the development processes.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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• pp.1749-1753
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• 2007

The reliability, that is Long-Term Quality, require an approaching different from Short-Term Quality which is used before. As the electronic components are able to be easily normalized on the reliability testing, various testing standards are used. In this study, we proposed two reliability simulator that is PoF(Physics of Failure)-based and failure rate models-based. PoF-based simulator is introduced based on CalceEP program that is created by University of Maryland. This simulator can be modified by user interface of properties and PoF models and operated on stand alone system. Failure rate models-based simulator introduced according to analyzing reliability prediction documents. Also, unified database including failure data models is built from existing MIL-HDBK-217F N2, PRISM, and Bellcore, and web-based simulator is developed. The developed reliability simulator will service of the PoF model, properties, failure rate model accumulated and its data by web and internet.

• 항공우주기술
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.44-53
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• 2003

신뢰성 예측의 목적은 시스템의 임무를 달성하기까지 기대되는 신뢰성을 평가하여 시스템의 설계가 할당된 요구조건을 만족하도록 이루어졌는지를 확인하는 것이다. 또한 FMECA를 통하여는 설계상의 잠재적인 위험요소를 식별하여 설계의 개선 및 공정의 개선을 도모 할 수 있다. 본 기술 논문은 아리랑 위성 2호기에 대해서 수행된 신뢰성 및 FMECA 결과를 요약하고 있다.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제29권A호
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• pp.37-46
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• 2009

As the level of technology and the standard of living improve, product reliability plays an increasingly significant role. This study has been performed to build a reliability model of electronic ballasts for the low wattage fluorescent lamp. Telcordia SR-332, one of the most widely used reliability specifications, was selected for the model development. We briefly reviewed the basic concepts of the electronic ballast. We then developed a reliability model for the ballast using SR-332 concepts and the reliability has been examined. We further discussed the significance of the first-year failure effect on the mean life.

• 산업공학
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 1999

This paper presents a method for reliability analysis of the air-conditioner with service data. We explain how to acquire and analyze the service data and some problems in data analysis. We propose two procedures to analyze reliability of air-conditioner using operating time concept and predict the operating times by temperature and failure frequency. Finally, the prediction method for future service is studied by numerical example.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.51-56
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• 1975

A computer program for computing complex system reliability is described. The program is composed of three phases : Phase I program reduces all series, parallel and series-parallel components and subsequently obtains an irreducible non-series-parallel system. Phase II program enumerates all the possible paths from the source to the sink of the graph. Phase III program then computes system reliability based on the information obtained by the Phase II program. The program is based on a modified version of the algorithm published in [6]. An example of the use of the computer program is given.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.67-73
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• 2014

We consider the mean value function for NHPP software reliability model and time series regression model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from two data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from two data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual two data sets using the mean value function and regression curve.