• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2012

A Failure data from operating condition includes various failures. Reliability evaluation by operating condition is more correct than test condition. Additional, the evaluation result by operating condition is widely used for quality assurance, forecasting amount of manufacturing at EOL. To discover valuable things from the failure data, arrangement of the failure data and information technique to handle data is needed among many failure data. This paper introduces a reliability prediction program to solve this problem based on the failure. And new technologies for parameters estimation with method of Graphic-Wizard-Parameters-Estimation and Genetic Algorithm are introduced.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2006년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.158-164
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• 2006

The creep behavior of newly developed composite geogrids which consists of PET yarns sheathed in PP were evaluated using SIM. For the SIM procedure, three test parameters, the applied loads, temperature steps and number of ribs were investigated, The study confirmed that temperature steps of 10 and 14$^{\circ}C$ up to 80$^{\circ}C$ are applicable for composite geogrids due to the different transition temperatures between two materials. At applied loads of 40 and 50%, only primary creep state was measured, while secondary creep state appeared at the applied loads of 60%, The lifetimes of composite geogrids were estimated at each of loading level using statistical reliability analysis technique. The results show that the lifetimes longer than 100 years can be predicted within 16 hours. Therefore, SIM is very effective and economical accelerated creep test methods, especially for lifetime prediction. This gives guidelines for users to select the appropriate factor of safety against creep considering the field condition within shorter test times.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.201-209
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• 2013

A new dynamic reliability analysis of structure under repeated random loads is proposed in this paper. The proposed method is developed based on the idea that the probability density of several times random loads can be derived from the probability density of single-time random load. The reliability prediction models of structure based on time responses under several times random loads with and without strength degradation are obtained by using the stress-strength interference theory and probability density evolution method. The resulting differential equations in the prediction models can be solved by using the forward finite difference method. Then, the probability density functions of strength redundancy of the structures can be obtained. Finally, the structural dynamic reliability can be calculated using integral method. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through a speed reducer. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonably accurate prediction.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.14-21
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• 2011

Reliability means that a product maintains its initial quality and performance at certain period of time(time, distance, cycle etc) under given condition without failure. Given conditions include both environmental condition and operating condition. Environmental condition means common natural environment such as temperature, humidity, vibration, and working condition means artificial environment such as voltage, current load, install place, hours of use, which occurs during using the product. In the field of railway vehicles, although components of railway vehicles with reliability are the trend of mandatory as persisting period of railway vehicles is extended, using components of railway vehicles is insufficient for the practical reliability assessment. but the meaning of the first railway operating agnecy to acquire the parts in the field, the data suggest the reliability of products if you can and can show the reliability of modular units and modular units can provide the reliability of if you can present reliability of the entire system is thought to be here. In this study, lifespan of micro-switch for master controller is analyzed and prediction is performed based on its field data considering the special circumstances of railway vehicles operating agency, such as a large number of trains operates on the same line.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.57-69
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• 2011

Reliability means that a product maintains its initial quality and performance at certain period of time(time, distance, cycle etc) under given condition without failure. Given conditions include both environmental condition and operating condition. Environmental condition means common natural environment such as temperature, humidity, vibration, and working condition means artificial environment such as voltage, current load, install place, hours of use, which occurs during using the product. In the field of railway vehicles, although components of railway vehicles with reliability are the trend of mandatory as persisting period of railway vehicles is extended, using components of railway vehicles is insufficient for the practical reliability assessment. but the meaning of the first railway operating agency to acquire the parts in the field, the data suggest the reliability of products if you can and can show the reliability of modular units and modular units can provide the reliability of if you can present reliability of the entire system is thought to be here In this study, lifespan of micro-switch for master controller is analyzed and prediction is performed based on its field data considering the special circumstances of railway vehicles operating agency, such as a large number of trains operates on the same line.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.43-48
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• 2001

In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep strength and creep for nickel-based superalloy Udimet 720 (high-temperature and high-pressure gas turbine engine materials) was performed on round-bar type specimens under pure load at the temperatures of 538, 649 and 704$^{\circ}C$. The predictive equation of ISM creep has better reliability than that of LMP and LMP-ISM, and its reliability is getting better for long time creep prediction ($10^3~10^5$h).

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제55권3호
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• pp.525-534
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• 2015

A new structural dynamic fuzzy reliability analysis under stochastic loads which are applied several times is proposed in this paper. The fuzzy reliability prediction models based on time responses with and without strength degeneration are established using the stress-strength interference theory. The random loads are applied several times and fuzzy structural strength is analyzed. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through an example. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives a reasonably accurate prediction. The analysis shows that the probabilistic reliability is a special case of fuzzy reliability and fuzzy reliability of structural strength without degeneration is also a special case of fuzzy reliability with structural strength degeneration.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제45권12호
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• pp.1048-1058
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• 2017

우주용 전장품의 주요 고장 메커니즘 중 하나는 발사진동에 의한 기판의 반복적인 굽힘에 의한 솔더 접합부 피로파괴이며, 상기의 잠재적 위험요소에 대해 피로수명 평가를 통한 조기진단의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 종래 연구에서 제안된 솔더부 수명예측 기법은 실장기법이 달라지면 예측결과의 정확성을 장담할 수 없으며, 다수의 실장기법이 적용된 고집적 기판의 유한요소모델 구축에 많은 시간과 노력이 수반되는 단점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 기존 연구의 한계점 극복을 위해 우주용 전장품 구조 신뢰성 평가의 새로운 접근법으로 상용 신뢰성 수명예측 도구인 Sherlock을 이용한 기판의 수명예측을 실시하고 발사진동 수명시험을 통해 분석결과의 타당성을 검증하였다. 또한 전자소자 및 솔더 높이에 따른 피로수명 영향성 분석을 통해 Sherlock이 우주용 전장품의 구조 신뢰성 평가에 있어서 유용한 도구임을 입증하였다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.2242-2248
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• 2010

Wide range of methodology of reliability prediction for system exists. For railway field, MIL-HDBK-217F, which has not been revised since early in 1990, is used for reliability prediction if historical data is not available. Since this standard has been published, quality and performance of electronic products have been improved rapidly and various kinds of items have been released, however new versions of items could not be released because the prediction standard could not follow up the speed of the production. Thus, this thesis introduces Telcordia SR-332 Issue 2 and would like to compare and analyze the result from MIL-HDBK-217F together with some cases we performed.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.103-111
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• 2017

Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.