• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability prediction

검색결과 1,201건 처리시간 0.031초

마코프 체인과 고장데이터를 이용한 고장건수 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on The Prediction of Number of Failures using Markov Chain and Fault Data)

  • 이희태;김재철
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2008
  • It was accomplished that failure analysis not only failure numbers but also power system components every years. and these informations help power system operation considerably. power system equipment were occurred a break down by natural phenomenon and aging but it was not able to predict this failure number. But many papers and technical repots study for each equipment failure rate and reliability evaluation methods. so this paper show a failure number prediction whole power system component using Markov theory not each component failure probability. the result present a next month system failure number prediction.

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Evaluation of Characteristics and Useful Life of Rubber Spring for Railway Vehicle

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Park, Hyun-Sung;Park, Dong-Chul
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 2008
  • Rubber components are widely used in many application such as vibration isolators, damping, ride quality. Rubber spring is used in primary suspension system for railway vehicle. Characteristics and useful life prediction of rubber spring was very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability. Non-linear properties of rubber material which are described as strain energy function are important parameter to design and evaluate of rubber spring. These are determined by physical tests which are uniaxial tension, equi-biaxial tension and pure shear test. The computer simulation was executed to predict and evaluate the load capacity and stiffness for rubber spring. In order to investigate the useful life, the acceleration test were carried out. Acceleration test results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. By using the acceleration test, several useful life prediction for rubber spring were proposed.

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Remaining useful life prediction for PMSM under radial load using particle filter

  • Lee, Younghun;Kim, Inhwan;Choi, Sikgyoung;Oh, Jaewook;Kim, Namsu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.799-805
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    • 2022
  • Permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) are widely used in systems requiring high control precision, efficiency, and reliability. Predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) with health monitoring of PMSMs prevents catastrophic failure and ensures reliable operation of system. In this study, a model-based method for predicting the RUL of PMSMs using phase current and vibration signals is proposed. The proposed method includes feature selection and RUL prediction based on a particle filter with a degradation model. The Paris-Erdogan model describing micro fatigue crack propagation is used as the degradation model. An experimental set-up to conduct accelerated life test, capable of monitoring various signals was designed in this study. Phase current and vibration data obtained from an accelerated life test of the PMSMs were used to verify the proposed approach. Features extracted from the data were clustered based on monotonicity and correlation clustering, respectively. The results identify the effectiveness of using the current data in predicting the RUL of PMSMs.

Sherlock을 활용한 차세대 중형위성용 CCB 솔더 접합부의 기계적 신뢰성 평가 (Mechanical Reliability Evaluation on Solder Joint of CCB for Compact Advanced Satellite)

  • 전영현;김현수;임인옥;김영선;오현웅
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.498-507
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    • 2017
  • 최근 우주용 전장품에 다양한 실장형태의 고집적 소자가 적용됨에 따라, 기계적 환경에서의 고신뢰성 확보를 위해 인증모델 제작 전 잠재적 위험요소에 대한 조기진단으로 개발기간 및 비용 절감이 가능한 설계절차 구축이 요구된다. 고신뢰도 전장품 설계를 위해 기존에 적용되어온 Steinberg의 피로파괴이론은 최근 다양한 크기와 실장기법의 소자를 갖는 우주용 전장품에 적용하기에는 이론적 한계와 이들 각각에 대한 모델링 기법에 따라 상이한 결과가 도출되는 등의 한계가 존재한다. 이를 해결하기 위해 소자의 상세 유한요소모델을 구축할 시, 다수의 실장구조를 갖는 고집적화 기판을 모델링하기에는 많은 시간이 소요되는 단점이 존재한다. 본 논문에서는 고신뢰도 전장품 설계기법 구축을 위해 기존 사업에서 적용된 설계와 다른 접근방법의 일환으로 상용 신뢰성 수명예측 도구인 Sherlock을 이용하여 차세대중형위성용 탑재 전장품인 CCB(Camera Controller Box)에 대한 인증시험수준에서의 고장 메커니즘 별 신뢰성 평가를 수행하였다.

Optimal maintenance scheduling of pumps in thermal power stations through reliability analysis based on few data

  • Nakamura, Masatoshi;Kumarawadu, Priyantha;Yoshida, Akinori;Hatazaki, Hironori
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automatic Control Conference, 11th (KACC); Pohang, Korea; 24-26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.271-274
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we made a reliability analysis of power system pumps by using the dimensional reduction method which over comes the problem due to unavailability of enpugh data in the actual systems under many different operational environments. Hence a resonable method was proposed to determine the optimum maintenance interval of given pump in thermal power stations. This analysis was based on an actual data set of pumps for over ten years in thermal power stations belonged to Kyushu Electric Power Company, Japan.

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전자부품 품질 및 신뢰성

  • 김태원;박창준
    • 전자공학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 1991
  • 현대에 개발되는 시스팀은 고성능, 다기능이 요구되며 그 요구가 사용자 관점에서 볼 때 고신뢰성이 한층 요구 되어지고 있다. 연구 개발 단계의 초기 단계에서 설정된 품질 목표치, 즉 신뢰도(reliability), 가용도(availability), 정비도(mailtailability)를 기준으로 연구 개발 단계별로 품질 및 신뢰성 활동들이 구체화 된다. 특정 시스팀이 하나의 building block의 개념으로 구체화 되고 시스팀의 계층 구조를 물리적 구조로 분류되는 시스팀 설계 단계에서 시스팀 블록 단위의 신뢰도 배분(reliability allocation)이 이루어진다. 시스팀의 설계가 완료된 상태에서 상세 설계되어 제품이 실현되며, 시제품에 대한 신뢰도 예측(reliability prediction)업무가 착수된다. 시스팀의 품질목표치를 겨냥한 실질적인 품질 및 신뢰성 활동들이 신뢰도 배분치 및 시스팀 신뢰도 목표치로 bottom-up 방식으로 접근하게 됨에 따라, 본고에서는 시스팀의 품질 목표치를 달성하기 위해 가장 원천적으로 기본이 될 수 있는 전자부품의 품질 수준을 분석하고, 신뢰성 관련 제반 시험 기술을 분석 기술하고자 한다.

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반응결합한 알루미나의 미구조와 파괴거동에 대한 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study of Microstructure and Fracture Behavior in Reaction-Bonded Alumina)

  • 이종호;장복기
    • 한국세라믹학회지
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    • 제29권7호
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 1992
  • For the present study two alumina bodies were prepared. The sinter-aid alumina body(SAA) was made by conventional sinter-process using sintering additives of TiO2 & MgO/CaO and the reaction-bonded alumina (RBA) made from Al-Al2O3 mixed powder. A comparison was made between those two bodies and this investigation seeks to evaluate their microstructure, physical properties and material's reliability as well as their fracture behaviour. In spite of its considerable microstructural densification accompanied by sintering shrinkage, SAA is largely inferior to RBA in fracture strength. However, SAA shows a somewhat higher m-value than RBA in respect to the material's reliability, the Weibull modulus(m). RBA, which has high fracture strength, shows much longer lifetime under static loading than SAA. Though, as with m of fracture strength, the reliability(mt) of lifetime prediction in RBA is less high than of SAA.

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전자부품 고무소재 신뢰성 설계기술 (Reliability Design Technology of Rubber Materials for Electronic Components)

  • 우창수;박현성;최성신
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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    • pp.1734-1739
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    • 2007
  • The materials characteristics and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of rubber components. This paper discusses the failure mechanism and material test were carried out to predict the useful life of NBR and EPDM rubber mount for compression motor which is used in refrigerator. In order to investigate the heat-aging effects on the materials properties, stress-strain curve were obtained from the results of material tests. Compression set results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of useful life and the time were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot.

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