• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability prediction

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건설 공사장 간이 소음 예측 프로그램 개발 (Development of Noise Prediction Program in Construction Sites)

  • 김하근;주시웅
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.1157-1161
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    • 2007
  • A construction noise is the main reason for people's petition among the pollution. The purpose of this study is to develop the noise prediction program to see the level of the noise on the construction site more accurately. For this purpose, the database of the power level on the various equipments was made. The noise reduction by distance and the noise reduction by diffraction of barrier were mainly considered and calculated. The simple noise prediction program will provide the information about proper height and length of the potable barrier which satisfies noise criteria of the construction sites from a construction planning stage. To investigate the reliability of this program, the predicted data was compared with the measured data. An average of difference between measured data and predicted data is 1.3 dB(A) and a coefficient of correlation is about 0.95.

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Genetic-fuzzy approach to model concrete shrinkage

  • da Silva, Wilson Ricardo Leal;Stemberk, Petr
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.109-129
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    • 2013
  • This work presents an approach to model concrete shrinkage. The goal is to permit the concrete industry's experts to develop independent prediction models based on a reduced number of experimental data. The proposed approach combines fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm to optimize the fuzzy decision-making, thereby reducing data collection time. Such an approach was implemented for an experimental data set related to self-compacting concrete. The obtained prediction model was compared against published experimental data (not used in model development) and well-known shrinkage prediction models. The predicted results were verified by statistical analysis, which confirmed the reliability of the developed model. Although the range of application of the developed model is limited, the genetic-fuzzy approach introduced in this work proved suitable for adjusting the prediction model once additional training data are provided. This can be highly inviting for the concrete industry's experts, since they would be able to fine-tune their models depending on the boundary conditions of their production processes.

전동차용 방진고무스프링 특성 및 사용수명 예측 (Characteristics and Useful Life Prediction of Rubber Spring for Railway Vehicle)

  • 우창수;박현성;박동철
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2007
  • Rubber components are widely used in many application such as vibration isolators, damping, ride quality. Rubber spring is used in primary suspension system for railway vehicle. Characteristics and useful life prediction of rubber spring was very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability. Non-linear properties of rubber material which are described as strain energy function are important parameter to design and evaluate of rubber spring. These are determined by physical tests which are uniaxial tension, equi-biaxial tension and pure shear test. The computer simulation was executed to predict and evaluate the load capacity and stiffness for rubber spring. In order to investigate the useful life, the acceleration test were carried out. Acceleration test results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. By using the acceleration test, several useful life prediction for rubber spring were proposed.

특별고압 수전설비 관리에 데이터 마이닝 기법을 적용한 파급고장 발생가능고객 예측시스템 구현 연구 (A Study on Constructing the Prediction System Using Data Mining Techniques to Find Medium-Voltage Customers Causing Distribution Line Faults)

  • 배성환;김자희;임한승
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권12호
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    • pp.2453-2461
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    • 2009
  • Faults caused by medium-voltage customers have been increased and enlarged their portion in total distribution faults even though we have done many efforts. In the previous paper, we suggested the fault prediction model and fault prevention method for these distribution line faults. However we can't directly apply this prediction model in the field. Because we don't have an useful program to predict those customers causing distribution line faults. This paper presents the construction method of data warehouse in ERP system and the program to find customers who cause distribution line faults in medium-voltage customer's electric facility management applying data mining techniques. We expect that this data warehouse and prediction program can effectively reduce faults resulted from medium-voltage customer facility.

Development of a Weather Prediction Device Using Transformer Models and IoT Techniques

  • Iyapo Kamoru Olarewaju;Kyung Ki Kim
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.164-168
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    • 2023
  • Accurate and reliable weather forecasts for temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation using advanced transformer models and IoT are essential in various fields related to global climate change. We propose a novel weather prediction device that integrates state-of-the-art transformer models and IoT techniques to improve prediction accuracy and real-time processing. The proposed system demonstrated high reliability and performance, offering valuable insights for industries and sectors that rely on accurate weather information, including agriculture, transportation, and emergency response planning. The integration of transformer models with the IoT signifies a substantial advancement in weather and climate modeling.

Roll 수명예측모델에 의한 열연작업롤 진단 (Work Roll Diagnosis by Roll Life Prediction Model in Hot Rolling Process)

  • 배용환;장삼규;이석희
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 1993
  • It is important to prevent roll failure in hot rolling process for reducing maintenance coat and production loss. Roll material and rolling conditions such as the roll force and torque have been intensively investigated to overcome the roll failures. In this study, a computer roll life prediction system under working condition is developed and evaluated on IBM-PC level. The system is composed and fatigue estimation models which are stress analysis, crack propagation, wear and fatigue estimation. Roll damage can be predicted by calculating the stress anplification, crack depth propagation and fatigue level in the roll using this computer model. The developed system is applied to a work roll in actual hot rolling process for reliability evaluation. Roll failures can be diagnosed and the propriety of current working condition can be determined through roll life prediction simulation.

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파일럿형 공기압 방향제어 밸브의 누설 고장판정 기법에 관한 연구 (Leakage Failure Determination Method of Pilot Pneumatic Directional Control Valve)

  • 강보식;김경수;장무성
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.230-235
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    • 2014
  • The failure modes of pneumatic directional control valves include leakage, wear of the spool seal, and sticking of the spool. Among them, the main failure mode of the valve is leakage. The leakage is caused by the wear of the spool seal. However, due to the characteristics of the seal material, the leakage rate is fluctuated a lot rather than constantly increased over time. If life analysis is performed using the first time data of leakage failure, predicted life cycles can be different from the real life cycles. This paper predicts life cycles of the pilot pneumatic directional control valve based on the three point moving average which considers the average of the fluctuating leakage rate.

박막 광학 필터 디바이스의 패키징시 솔더 조인트의 피로 신뢰성 해석 (Thermal Fatigue Reliability of Solder Joints in a Thin Film Optical Filter Device)

  • 이성철;현충민;이형만;김명진;김회경;김기태
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.677-684
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    • 2004
  • Plastic and creep deformations of solder joints during thermal cycling are the main factors of misalignments and power losses in optical telecommunication components. Furthermore, the increased mismatch between solder Joint-bonded areas may cause severe failure in the components. Darveaux's creep model was implemented into a finite element program (ABAQUS) to simulate creep response of solder. Based on the finite element results, thermal fatigue reliability was predicted by using various fatigue life prediction models. Also, the effects of ramp conditions, dwelling time, and solder joint-embedding materials on the reliability were investigated under the thermal cycling conditions of the Telcordia schedule (-40∼75$^{\circ}C$).

종속고장을 고려한 전력시스템의 신뢰도 평가 (Reliability Analysis of Power System with Dependent Failure)

  • 손현일;권기량;김진오
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제25권9호
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    • pp.62-68
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    • 2011
  • Power system needs to sustain high reliability due to its complexity and security. The reliability prediction method is usually based on independent failure. However, in practice, the Common Cause Failures(CCF) and Cascading failure occur to the facilities in power system as well as independent failures in many cases. The CCF and Cascading failure turn out the system collapse seriously in a wide range. Therefore to improve the reliability of the power system practically, it is required that the analysis is conducted by using the CCF and Cascading failure. This paper describes the CCF and Cascading failure modeling combined with independent failure. The incorporated model of independent failure, CCF and cascading failure is proposed and analyzed, and it is applied to the distribution power system in order to examine this method.

정밀공작기계용 오일쿨러의 신뢰성 개선 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Improvement of oil cooler for precision Machine Tools)

  • 이승우;이화기
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2007
  • 신뢰성이란 단기간에 측정되는 성능과는 다른 지표로서 흔히 장기간에 걸쳐 평가되는 품질의 척도이다. Oil Cooler는 공작기계(machine tools)의 주축 및 구동부 등에서 발생하는 열 변형을 제어하는 장치로서 공작기계의 신뢰성 향상을 위해서는 oil cooler의 신뢰성 개선이 이루어져야 한다. 본 연구에서는 oil cooler의 신뢰성 개선을 위해 고장률 데이터베이스를 이용한 신뢰성 예측과 이를 통한 취약부품 분석을 실시하고 신뢰성 시험기를 통한 oil cooler의 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 이를 통해 oil cooler의 정량적 신뢰도를 계산하였으며 신뢰성호 향상을 위한 공정기법을 개발하여 적용하였다. Oil cooler의 신뢰성 개선을 통해 공작기계 및 반도체 제조 장비 등과 같은 제조 시스템의 신뢰성 향상을 기대할 수 있으며, 제안된 기법을 이용하여 다른 기계류 부품의 신뢰성 평가 및 개선에 적용할 수 있다.