• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.115-134
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• 2006

This paper deals with OO aircraft mission reliability prediction. To demonstrate user-required mission reliability, it is calculated with use general formulae which are used in reliability engineering. The mission reliability of OO aircraft is calculated in considering conversion factor (CF) on the each subsystems' MTBF. The prediction results are explained only the state at present time. Because these data are not real data in operational environments. Therefore, in the case of OO aircraft, it has to be needed collecting the real and renewal data which are operational and empirical. After that, continuing the data upgrading, it is easily closed to the more exact reliability value.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.49-54
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• 2005

Recently, the reliability are applied for many industrial products, and many products are required to guarantee in quality and in performance. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability prediction methodologies using failure rate database for machinery parts that are applicable to machine tools. VDI Turret, which is core component of the NC Lathe, was chosen as the target of the reliability prediction. The results of reliability prediction has shown the failure rate, MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure), and reliability of the VDI Turret. It is expected that proposed methodologies will be applicable to prediction of reliability for other components of machine tools.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.609-618
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• 2024

System reliability prediction in the development stage is increasingly crucial to reliability growth management to satisfy its target reliability, since modern system usually takes a form of complex composition and various complicated functions. In most cases of development stage, however, the information available for system reliability prediction is very limited, making it difficult to predict system reliability more precisely as in the production and operating stages. In this study, a system reliability prediction process is considered when the reliability-related information such as SIL (Safety Integrity Level) and MTTFd (Mean Time to Dangerous Failure) is available in the development stage. It is suggested that when the SIL or MTTFd of a system component is known and the field operational data of similar system is given, the reliability prediction could be performed using the scaling factor for the SIL or MTTFd value of the component based on the similar system's field operational data analysis. Predicting a system reliability is then adjusted with the conversion factor reflecting the temperature condition of the environment in which the system actually operates. Finally, the case of applying the proposed system reliability prediction process to a high performance mooring platform is dealt with.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.124-131
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• 2012

This paper presents a spreadsheet-based reliability prediction simulation framework for the conceptual product design stage to acquire system reliability information in timely manner. During early stage, reliability performance deals with both known and unknown failure rates and component-level and subsystem-level failure estimate to predict system reliability. A technique for performing life testing simulation using Excel spreadsheet has been developed under the such circumstances. This paper also discuss the results obtainable from this method such as reliability estimate, mean and variance of failures and confidence intervals. The resultant of this reliability prediction system is mainly benefitting small and medium-sized enterprise's field engineers.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.171-179
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• 2016

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide a comparison of reliability prediction models between MIL-HDBK-217F and Telcordia SR-332 and to analyze the reliability prediction results. Methods: The reliability of industrial tablet PC was predicted using MIL-HDBK-217F and Telcordia SR-332. To analyze the results, sensitivity analysis was conducted. Results: The reliability of MIL-HDBK-217F was predicted lower than the one of Telcordia SR-332. Considering the factors such as temperature, quality and environment, those provided reliability change of a particular part which highly contribute to the system failure. Conclusion: It is necessary to design the industrial tablet PC that consists of integrated circuits such as microprocessor and memory considering the operating temperature and quality factors.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.305-318
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• 2011

In the statement of logistics reliability prediction methodology, all components should be managed as the analysis objectives. However, in some reliability prediction of weapon systems, fastening parts, e.g., screws, bolts and nuts, have been frequently ignored because some organizations related to weapon systems have emphasized that those parts are not significant in their failures rate and functions. In this paper, failure rates, modes, and distributions were presented to prove that fastening parts should be included in reliability prediction objectives. Also, failure rate prediction methods of fastening parts are presented and compared.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.9-17
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• 2020

Currently, Storage Reliability is analyzed when predicting the reliability of guided missile. However, Mission Reliability and Logistics Reliability should be analyzed according to the definition of reliability in MIL-STD-785B. Therefore, it is necessary to accurately predict the reliability of guided missile based on the definition of reliability. In this paper, we proposed improved the reliability procedure and model for guided missile based on which the definition of reliability considering the mission profile. The proposed model can calculate the final failure rate by applying the ratio of the dormant and storage according to the mission profile. The proposed model has been confirmed to be more accurate than the existing model compared to the actual failure rate value. The results of this study can be useful for applying the reliability prediction to any guided missile.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.732-738
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• 2006

This research provides a scheme for Highly Accelerated Stress Test that is necessary to demonstrate reliability prediction of Korean Rapid Transit Railway Train Control System sub-equipment, which is calculated by a relevant standard for failure rate prediction of electronic products. Although determining failure information generated in the process of trial running by statistic analysis is widely accepted as a measure of confirmation for reliability prediction, this research suggests the modeling for System Life Test determined by accelerating stress factors as a measure of confirmation for reliability prediction of sub-equipment unit that is generated ahead of a trial running in System Life Cycle. Consequently, the research demonstrates sub-equipment unit reliability test, which is based on the model derived from Accelerated Stress Test, according to accuracy level and the number of samples, and conducts an official experiment by making out a reliability test procedure sheet based on test time as well.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.92-102
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• 2017

Purpose: Reliability prediction standards consider environmental conditions, such as temperature, humidity and vibration in order to predict the reliability of the electronics components. There are many types of standards, and each standard has a different failure rate prediction model, and requires different environmental conditions. The purpose of this study is to make a sensitivity analysis by changing the temperature which is one of the environmental conditions. By observing the relation between the temperature and the failure rate, we perform the sensitivity analysis for standards including MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus and FIDES. Methods: we establish environmental conditions in accordance with maneuver weapon systems's OMS/MP and mission scenarios then predict the reliability using MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus and FIDES through the case of DC-DC Converter. Conclusion: Reliability prediction standards show different sensitivities of their failure rates with respect to the changing temperatures.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2005

The prediction for tool life is one of the most important factors for increasing reliability, stability, and productivity of manufacturing system. This paper deals with a tool life prediction method in view of reliability assessment for cutting tools. In this study, flank wear was focused among multi-factors deciding the tool wear state. First, tool life was predicted by correlation between flank wear and cutting time, based on the extended Taylor tool life equation of turning, including parameters of cutting speed, feed rate, and cutting depth. Second, each of cutting conditions of end-milling was equivalently converted to apply ball end-mill data to the extended Taylor equation. The web-based prediction program for tool life was developed as one of reliability assessment programs for machine tools.