• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability prediction

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A Reliability Analysis on the Fatigue Life Prediction in Carbon/Epoxy Composite Material (Carbon/Epoxy 복합재료의 피로수명예측에 관한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Jang, Seong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2007
  • In recents years, the statistical properties has become an important quantity for reliability based design of a component. The effects of the materials and test conditions for parameter estimation in residual strength degradation model are studied in carbon/epoxy laminate. It is shown that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical prediction on the fatigue life distribution using the life distribution convergence method is very reasonable.

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Failure Prediction Reliability Model based on the Condition-based Maintenance (CBM기반의 고장 예측 신뢰성 모델)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.52
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 1999
  • Industrial equipment reliability improvement and maintenance is gaining attention as the next great opportunity for manufacturing productivity improvement. Reactive maintenance is expensive because of extensive unplanned downtime and damage to machinery. To avoid such an unplanned machine downtime, it is needed to use proactive maintenance approach by either using historical maintenance data or by sensing machine conditions. This paper discusses failure diagonosis and prediction based on the condition-based maintenance and reliability technique. Thus, by enabling such a framework, it can bring us more efficient planning and execution of maintenance to reduce costs and/or increase profits.

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Software Reliability Prediction On Piecewise Weibull Failure Rate Model(PWFRM) and S-shaped Reliability Growth Model(SRGM) (다구간 와이불 고장율 모형과 S자 신뢰도 성장모형에 대한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 예측)

  • Jong-Man Park;Soo-Il Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.33
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    • pp.119-122
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    • 1995
  • Application of the PWFRM and SRGM for software reliability Prediction offers not only the judging base of model but also themselves with good applicabilty as easy-to-use tool.

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Reliability Prediction of Touch-Machine Control Panel Using MIL-HDBK-217F and Telcordia SR-332 : Case Study (MIL-HDBK-217F와 Telcordia SR-332를 이용한 Touch-Machine Control Panel의 신뢰도 예측 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Guk Jin;Kim, Sang Boo;Park, Woo Jae;Oh, Keuk Ki;Park, Jin Whan;Lee, Dong Geon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2016
  • Machine switch type control panel is widely used for machine tools in Korea. They, however, have some difficulties in identifying the current operating status of machine tools especially when exposed to cutting oil. And also they have quality problems of operating failures. A new capacitor touch type machine control panel is developed and its reliability is predicted. MIL-HDBK-217F and Teclordia SR-332 are used for its reliability prediction and the prediction results are compared.

A Study on Reliability Prediction Comparison of Aero Space Electronic Equipments (항공기 전자장비의 신뢰성 예측 비교 연구)

  • Jo, In-Tak;Lee, Sang-Cheon;Kim, Yun-Hee
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.472-479
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    • 2012
  • Before an aircraft is delivered to customers, manufacturers have to verify required reliability for the aircraft. In usual, reliability of electronic equipments in military aircraft are predicted based on MIL-HDBK-217. But the specification has not been revised since 1995. Some alternatives including SR-332 and 217PLUS are suggested in this study. The processes and methods specified in MIL-HDBK-217 are compared with those of SR-332. Additionally, the predicted reliability of aircraft electronic equipment between usage data and field data are investigated using MIL-HDBK-217. The results show that predicted reliability of MIL-HDBK-217 is more conservative (underestimated) than that of usage data and field data.

스테인레스강 저주기 피로 수명 분포의 추계적 모델링

  • 이봉훈;이순복
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2000
  • In present study, a stochastic model is developed for the low cycle fatigue life prediction and reliability assessment of 316L stainless steel under variable multiaxial loading. In the proposed model, fatigue phenomenon is considered as a Markov process, and damage vector and reliability are defined on every plane. Any low cycle fatigue damage evaluating method can be included in the proposed model. The model enables calculation of statistical reliability and crack initiation direction under variable multiaxial loading, which are generally not available. In present study, a critical plane method proposed by Kandil et al., maximum tensile strain range, and von Mises equivalent strain range are used to calculate fatigue damage. When the critical plane method is chosen, the effect of multiple critical planes is also included in the proposed model. Maximum tensile strain and von Mises strain methods are used for the demonstration of the generality of the proposed model. The material properties and the stochastic model parameters are obtained from uniaxial tests only. The stochastic model made of the parameters obtained from the uniaxial tests is applied to the life prediction and reliability assessment of 316L stainless steel under variable multiaxial loading. The predicted results show good accordance with experimental results.

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A study on the Reliability System Software based on NHPP(Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process (비-동질 안정 프로세스 기반 임베디드 시스템 소프트웨어의 신뢰성 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 한상섭;백영구;이근석;전현덕;류호중;이기서
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.347-358
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we apply NHPP model example to s/w process in order to get to know s/w reliability. The test is constructed by a test zig of commercial product loaded real embedded system s/w. It is established to s/w reliability prediction and estimation of real-time embedded system s/w. It is computed the prediction value of cumulative failures, the failure intensity, the reliability and the estimation value of MTTF, Failure Rate. To the more realization of high reliability in the real-time embedded system s/w, if the embedded system s/w is ensured to the test coverage and constructed to stable s/w process & operating system, we can improve the performance and the reliability characteristic of the real-time embedded system s/w.

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A Reliability Growth Prediction for a One-Shot System Using AMSAA Model (AMSAA 모델을 이용한 일회성 체계의 신뢰도성장 예측)

  • Kim, Myung Soo;Chung, Jae Woo;Lee, Jong Sin
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.225-229
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    • 2014
  • A one-shot device is defined as a product, system, weapon, or equipment that can be used only once. After use, the device is destroyed or must undergo extensive rebuild. Determining the reliability of a one-shot device poses a unique challenge to the manufacturers and users due to the destructive nature and costs of the testing. This paper presents a reliability growth prediction for a one-shot system. It is assumed that 1) test duration is discrete(i.e. trials or rounds); 2) trials are statistically independent; 3) the number of failures for a given system configuration is distributed according to a binomial distribution; and 4) the cumulative expected number of failures through any sequence of configurations is given by AMSAA model. When the system development is represented by three configurations and the number of trials and failures during configurations are given, the AMSAA model parameters and reliability at configuration 3 are estimated by using a reliability growth analysis software. Further, if the reliability growth predictions do not meet the target reliability, the sample size of an additional test is determined for achieving the target reliability.

교환기의 신뢰도에 관한 소고

  • Choe, Tae-Gu;Lee, Dae-Gi
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.30-34
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    • 1983
  • This paper presents some considerations of reliability for switching system, i. e. reliability measures, reliability model and prediction, and reliability improvement. Those are described comprehensively than technologies aspects. Recent trends for switching system reliability are also described so as to aid people interested in this field.

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Vehicle-bridge coupling vibration analysis based fatigue reliability prediction of prestressed concrete highway bridges

  • Zhu, Jinsong;Chen, Cheng;Han, Qinghua
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2014
  • The extensive use of prestressed reinforced concrete (PSC) highway bridges in marine environment drastically increases the sensitivity to both fatigue-and corrosion-induced damage of their critical structural components during their service lives. Within this scenario, an integrated method that is capable of evaluating the fatigue reliability, identifying a condition-based maintenance, and predicting the remaining service life of its critical components is therefore needed. To accomplish this goal, a procedure for fatigue reliability prediction of PSC highway bridges is proposed in the present study. Vehicle-bridge coupling vibration analysis is performed for obtaining the equivalent moment ranges of critical section of bridges under typical fatigue truck models. Three-dimensional nonlinear mathematical models of fatigue trucks are simplified as an eleven-degree-of-freedom system. Road surface roughness is simulated as zero-mean stationary Gaussian random processes using the trigonometric series method. The time-dependent stress-concentration factors of reinforcing bars and prestressing tendons are accounted for more accurate stress ranges determination. The limit state functions are constructed according to the Miner's linear damage rule, the time-dependent S-N curves of prestressing tendons and the site-specific stress cycle prediction. The effectiveness of the methodology framework is demonstrated to a T-type simple supported multi-girder bridge for fatigue reliability evaluation.