• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability prediction

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A Study on The Prediction of Number of Failures using Markov Chain and Fault Data (마코프 체인과 고장데이터를 이용한 고장건수 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2008
  • It was accomplished that failure analysis not only failure numbers but also power system components every years. and these informations help power system operation considerably. power system equipment were occurred a break down by natural phenomenon and aging but it was not able to predict this failure number. But many papers and technical repots study for each equipment failure rate and reliability evaluation methods. so this paper show a failure number prediction whole power system component using Markov theory not each component failure probability. the result present a next month system failure number prediction.

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Evaluation of Characteristics and Useful Life of Rubber Spring for Railway Vehicle

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Park, Hyun-Sung;Park, Dong-Chul
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 2008
  • Rubber components are widely used in many application such as vibration isolators, damping, ride quality. Rubber spring is used in primary suspension system for railway vehicle. Characteristics and useful life prediction of rubber spring was very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability. Non-linear properties of rubber material which are described as strain energy function are important parameter to design and evaluate of rubber spring. These are determined by physical tests which are uniaxial tension, equi-biaxial tension and pure shear test. The computer simulation was executed to predict and evaluate the load capacity and stiffness for rubber spring. In order to investigate the useful life, the acceleration test were carried out. Acceleration test results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. By using the acceleration test, several useful life prediction for rubber spring were proposed.

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Remaining useful life prediction for PMSM under radial load using particle filter

  • Lee, Younghun;Kim, Inhwan;Choi, Sikgyoung;Oh, Jaewook;Kim, Namsu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.799-805
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    • 2022
  • Permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) are widely used in systems requiring high control precision, efficiency, and reliability. Predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) with health monitoring of PMSMs prevents catastrophic failure and ensures reliable operation of system. In this study, a model-based method for predicting the RUL of PMSMs using phase current and vibration signals is proposed. The proposed method includes feature selection and RUL prediction based on a particle filter with a degradation model. The Paris-Erdogan model describing micro fatigue crack propagation is used as the degradation model. An experimental set-up to conduct accelerated life test, capable of monitoring various signals was designed in this study. Phase current and vibration data obtained from an accelerated life test of the PMSMs were used to verify the proposed approach. Features extracted from the data were clustered based on monotonicity and correlation clustering, respectively. The results identify the effectiveness of using the current data in predicting the RUL of PMSMs.

Mechanical Reliability Evaluation on Solder Joint of CCB for Compact Advanced Satellite (Sherlock을 활용한 차세대 중형위성용 CCB 솔더 접합부의 기계적 신뢰성 평가)

  • Jeon, Young-Hyeon;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Lim, In-Ok;Kim, Youngsun;Oh, Hyun-Ung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.498-507
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    • 2017
  • Electronic equipments comprised of high density components with various packaging types have been recently applied to a satellite. Therefore, to guarantee high reliability of electrical equipment, a design approach, which can reduce the development period and cost through an early diagnosis in potential risks of failure, should be established. In the previous research, the reliability assesment of the electronic equipments have based on Steinberg's fatigue failure theory. However, this theory was not enough for further investigation of life prediction and reliability of the electronic equipments comprised of various sizes and packaging types due to its theoretical limitations and analysis results sensitivity with regard to different modeling technic. In that case, if detailed finite element model is established, aforementioned problems can be readily solved. However, this approach might arise disadvantage of spending much time. In this paper, to establish strategy for high reliability design of electronic equipment, we performed mechanical reliability evaluation of CCB (Camera Controller Box) at qualification level based on the approach using Sherlock unlike design techniques applied to existing business.

Optimal maintenance scheduling of pumps in thermal power stations through reliability analysis based on few data

  • Nakamura, Masatoshi;Kumarawadu, Priyantha;Yoshida, Akinori;Hatazaki, Hironori
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.271-274
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we made a reliability analysis of power system pumps by using the dimensional reduction method which over comes the problem due to unavailability of enpugh data in the actual systems under many different operational environments. Hence a resonable method was proposed to determine the optimum maintenance interval of given pump in thermal power stations. This analysis was based on an actual data set of pumps for over ten years in thermal power stations belonged to Kyushu Electric Power Company, Japan.

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전자부품 품질 및 신뢰성

  • 김태원;박창준
    • The Magazine of the IEIE
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 1991
  • 현대에 개발되는 시스팀은 고성능, 다기능이 요구되며 그 요구가 사용자 관점에서 볼 때 고신뢰성이 한층 요구 되어지고 있다. 연구 개발 단계의 초기 단계에서 설정된 품질 목표치, 즉 신뢰도(reliability), 가용도(availability), 정비도(mailtailability)를 기준으로 연구 개발 단계별로 품질 및 신뢰성 활동들이 구체화 된다. 특정 시스팀이 하나의 building block의 개념으로 구체화 되고 시스팀의 계층 구조를 물리적 구조로 분류되는 시스팀 설계 단계에서 시스팀 블록 단위의 신뢰도 배분(reliability allocation)이 이루어진다. 시스팀의 설계가 완료된 상태에서 상세 설계되어 제품이 실현되며, 시제품에 대한 신뢰도 예측(reliability prediction)업무가 착수된다. 시스팀의 품질목표치를 겨냥한 실질적인 품질 및 신뢰성 활동들이 신뢰도 배분치 및 시스팀 신뢰도 목표치로 bottom-up 방식으로 접근하게 됨에 따라, 본고에서는 시스팀의 품질 목표치를 달성하기 위해 가장 원천적으로 기본이 될 수 있는 전자부품의 품질 수준을 분석하고, 신뢰성 관련 제반 시험 기술을 분석 기술하고자 한다.

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A Comparative Study of Microstructure and Fracture Behavior in Reaction-Bonded Alumina (반응결합한 알루미나의 미구조와 파괴거동에 대한 비교 연구)

  • 이종호;장복기
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 1992
  • For the present study two alumina bodies were prepared. The sinter-aid alumina body(SAA) was made by conventional sinter-process using sintering additives of TiO2 & MgO/CaO and the reaction-bonded alumina (RBA) made from Al-Al2O3 mixed powder. A comparison was made between those two bodies and this investigation seeks to evaluate their microstructure, physical properties and material's reliability as well as their fracture behaviour. In spite of its considerable microstructural densification accompanied by sintering shrinkage, SAA is largely inferior to RBA in fracture strength. However, SAA shows a somewhat higher m-value than RBA in respect to the material's reliability, the Weibull modulus(m). RBA, which has high fracture strength, shows much longer lifetime under static loading than SAA. Though, as with m of fracture strength, the reliability(mt) of lifetime prediction in RBA is less high than of SAA.

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Reliability Design Technology of Rubber Materials for Electronic Components (전자부품 고무소재 신뢰성 설계기술)

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Park, Hyun-Sung;Choi, Seong-Shin
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1734-1739
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    • 2007
  • The materials characteristics and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of rubber components. This paper discusses the failure mechanism and material test were carried out to predict the useful life of NBR and EPDM rubber mount for compression motor which is used in refrigerator. In order to investigate the heat-aging effects on the materials properties, stress-strain curve were obtained from the results of material tests. Compression set results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of useful life and the time were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot.

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