• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.561-568
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• 2015

이 연구에서는 공간회귀모형 중 공간시차모형과 공간오차모형을 이용하여 대구 경북 지역 단위면적당 아파트 매매가격을 예측하였다. k-최근접이웃 (k-nearest neighbours)을 이용하여 공간가중행렬을 구축하였으며, 이를 이용해 2012년 3월의 단위면적당 아파트 매매가격에 대한 모형을 적합시켰다. 적합시킨 공간시차모형, 공간오차모형을 이용하여 2013년 3월의 단위면적당 아파트 매매가격을 예측하였으며 RMSE (root mean squared error), RRMSE (root relative mean squared error), MAE (mean absolute error)를 통해 두 모형의 성능을 비교하였다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제31권1B호
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• pp.21-27
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• 2011

유출예측량을 모의할 때 과거와 현재의 수문자료를 이용한다는 측면에서 미래 예측결과의 불확실성을 완전히 제거할 수는 없겠지만, 다양한 기법별 분석에 의하여 불확실성을 감소시킬 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 유출예측의 정확성 향상을 위해 다양한 유출예측 기법을 적용 및 평가하였으며 확률론적 예측을 가능하게 하는 예측기법인 ESP와 관측 시계열 자료를 이용한 통계기법으로 공주지점의 유출예측을 수행하였다. 각 기법에 따른 유출예측 결과의 신뢰성 평가는 MAE(Mean Absolute Error), RMSE(Root Mean Squared Error), RRMSE(Relative Root Mean Squared Error), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), TIC(Theil Inequality Coefficient)를 이용하였다. ESP 확률을 이용하여 예측한 유출결과와 통계적 시계열 분석에 의해 예측된 유출결과를 MAE, RMSE, RRMSE, MAPE, TIC를 이용하여 비교 분석하였으며 유출예측의 개선효과를 확인해본 결과, ESP 확률을 이용한 예측이 MAE(10.6), RMSE(15.14), RRMSE(0.244), MAPE(22.74%), TIC(0.13)으로 평가되었으며 MAE(23.2), RMSE(37.13), RRMSE(0.596), MAPE(26.69%), TIC(0.30)으로 평가된 ARMA와 MAE(26.4), RMSE(34.44), RRMSE(0.563), MAPE(47.38%), TIC(0.25)으로 평가된 Winters 에 비해 신뢰성이 높게 나타났다.

• Advances in Computational Design
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.253-279
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• 2022

This study investigated and predicted the Marshall stability of glass-fiber asphalt mix, carbon-fiber asphalt mix and glass-carbon-fiber asphalt (hybrid) mix by using machine learning techniques such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest(RF), The data was obtained from the experiments and the research articles. Assessment of results indicated that performance of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based model outperformed applied models in training and testing datasets with values of indices as; coefficient of correlation (CC) 0.8492 and 0.8234, mean absolute error (MAE) 2.0999 and 2.5408, root mean squared error (RMSE) 2.8541 and 3.3165, relative absolute error (RAE) 48.16% and 54.05%, relative squared error (RRSE) 53.14% and 57.39%, Willmott's index (WI) 0.7490 and 0.7011, Scattering index (SI) 0.4134 and 0.3702 and BIAS 0.3020 and 0.4300 for both training and testing stages respectively. The Taylor diagram also confirms that the ANN-based model outperforms the other models. Results of sensitivity analysis show that Carbon fiber has a major influence in predicting the Marshall stability. However, the carbon fiber (CF) followed by glass-carbon fiber (50GF:50CF) and the optimal combination CF + (50GF:50CF) are found to be most sensitive in predicting the Marshall stability of fibrous asphalt concrete.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제21권spc호
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• pp.51-60
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 이용하여 지점빈도해석(At-site Frequency Analysis, AFA)과 지역빈도해석(Regional Frequency Analysis, RFA) 등을 수행하였고, Monte Carlo simulation을 통한 RRMSE(relative root mean squared error) 값을 비교·분석함으로써 각 빈도해석 방법에 따른 성능을 평가하고자 하였다. 확률강우량 산정을 위하여 기상청에서 국가표준시나리오로 제공하는 RCM(Regional Climate Model) 자료 중 하나인 HadGEM3-RA(12.5km) 기후모델 자료로부터 우리나라 615개 지점에 대한 일 강우 자료를 추출하였고, 자료의 편의보정(bias correction)과 공간상세화(spatial disaggregation)를 위하여 분위사상법(quantile mapping)과 역거리제곱법(inverse distance squared method)을 적용하였다. 분석 결과 지역빈도해석 방법이 지점빈도해석보다 정확하게 확률강우량을 산정하는 것으로 나타났으며, 이는 기후변화 시나리오 기반의 확률강우량 산정시 지역빈도해석의 결과가 보다 합리적인 전망 결과를 도출할 것으로 판단된다.

• Advances in materials Research
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.63-86
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• 2024

Asphalt concrete (AC), is a mixture of bitumen and aggregates, which is very sensitive in the design of flexible pavement. In this study, the Marshall stability of the glass and carbon fiber bituminous concrete was predicted by using Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and M5P Tree machine learning algorithms. To predict the Marshall stability, nine inputs parameters i.e., Bitumen, Glass and Carbon fibers mixed in 100:0, 75:25, 50:50, 25:75, 0:100 percentage (designated as 100GF:0CF, 75GF:25CF, 50GF:50 CF, 25GF:75CF, 0GF:100CF), Bitumen grade (VG), Fiber length (FL), and Fiber diameter (FD) were utilized from the experimental and literary data. Seven statistical indices i.e., coefficient of correlation (CC), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), Scattering index (SI), and BIAS were applied to assess the effectiveness of the developed models. According to the performance evaluation results, Artificial neural network (ANN) was outperforming among other models with CC values as 0.9147 and 0.8648, MAE values as 1.3757 and 1.978, RMSE values as 1.843 and 2.6951, RAE values as 39.88 and 49.31, RRSE values as 40.62 and 50.50, SI values as 0.1379 and 0.2027 and BIAS value as -0.1 290 and -0.2357 in training and testing stage respectively. The Taylor diagram (testing stage) also confirmed that the ANN-based model outperforms the other models. Results of sensitivity analysis showed that the fiber length is the most influential in all nine input parameters whereas the fiber combination of 25GF:75CF was the most effective among all the fiber mixes in Marshall stability.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.779-789
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• 1999

To support daily ground-level $O_3$ forecasting in Seoul, a transfer function model(TFM) has been developed by using surface meteorological data and pollutant data(previous-day [$O_3$] and [$NO_2$]) from 1 May to 31 August in 1997. The forecast performance of the TFM was evaluated by statistical comparison with $O_3$ concentration observed during September it is shown that correlation coefficient(R), root mean squared error(RMSE), normalized mean squared error(NMSE) and mean relative error(MRE) were 0.73, 15.64, 0.006 and 0.101, respectively. The TFM appeared to have some difficulty forecasting very high $O_3$ concentrations. To compare with this model, multiple regression model(MRM) was developed for the same period. According to statistical comparison between the TFM and MRM. two models had similar predictive capability but TFM based on $O_3$ concentration higher than 60 ppb provided more accurate forecast than MRM. It was concluded that statistical model based on TFM can be useful for improving the accuracy of local $O_3$ forecast.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제37권5_1호
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• pp.1043-1059
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• 2021

식량자원의 확보와 환경생태계에 매우 중요한 요소인 산림과 농경지는 정기적인 모니터링이 요구된다. 농림 위성 영상 자료는 우리나라의 기존 산림 및 농경지 모니터링 방법의 보완재로 효과적으로 활용될 것으로 예상되고 있다. 농림위성의 발사 이전에 사전연구로써 목표 수직기하정확도 산정을 위해 수치표고모델 분석을 수행하였다. 특히 농림위성의 주요 관심 지역인 우리나라 산악지역과 농경지의 특성을 고려하여, 경사도와 식생에 따른 분석을 수행하였다. 공주, 제주 그리고 삼척 지역에 대하여 Shuttle radar topography mission digital elevation model과 Copernicus digital elevation model를 가을과 겨울에 촬영한 드론 LiDAR 수치표면모델 그리고 국토지리정보원 5 m 수치지형모델을 기준으로 평균 상대오차를 비교했다. 그 결과 Shuttle radar topography mission digital elevation model은 8.35, 8.19, 그리고 7.49 m의 상대오차를 나타냈으며, Copernicus digital elevation model는 각각 5.65, 6.73, 그리고 7.39 m의 상대 고도 오차를 나타냈다. 남한 전체에 대하여 Shuttle radar topography mission digital elevation model과 Copernicus digital elevation model를 국토지리정보원 5 m 수치지형모델을 기준으로 지형 경사에 따른 상대 고도 오차를 나타냈다. 그 결과 경사도 0°~5° 사이에서 Shuttle radar topography mission digital elevation model과 Copernicus digital elevation model의 상대 고도 오차는 각각 약 3.62와 2.52 m로 Shuttle radar topography mission digital elevation model의 오차가 더 큰 것으로 산출되었다. 하지만 경사도가 증가함에 따라 이러한 양상은 반전되어 경사도 35° 이상에서는 각각 10.16, 그리고 11.62 m 로 Copernicus digital elevation model의 상대오차가 더 크게 나타났다.

• Advances in Energy Research
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.91-101
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• 2019

This paper proposes an efficient data-driven approach to build models for predicting energy consumption in buildings. Data used in this research is collected by installing humidity and temperature sensors at different locations in a building. In addition to this, weather data from nearby weather station is also included in the dataset to study the impact of weather conditions on energy consumption. One of the main emphasize of this research is to make feature selection independent of domain knowledge. Therefore, to extract useful features from data, two different approaches are tested: one is feature selection through principal component analysis and second is relative importance-based feature selection in original domain. The regression model used in this research is gradient boosting regression and its optimal parameters are chosen through a two staged coarse-fine search approach. In order to evaluate the performance of model, different performance evaluation metrics like r2-score and root mean squared error are used. Results have shown that best performance is achieved, when relative importance-based feature selection is used with gradient boosting regressor. Results of proposed technique has also outperformed the results of support vector machines and neural network-based approaches tested on the same dataset.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.82-89
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• 2012

Purpose: The simulation model of a pneumatic conveying drying (PCD) for sawdust was developed and verified with the experiments. Method: The thermal behavior and mass transfer of a PCD were modeled and investigated by comparing the experimental results given by a reference (Kamei et al. 1952) to validate the model. Momentum, energy and mass balance, one dimensional first order ordinary differential equations, were coded and solved into Matlab V. 7.1.0 (2009). Results: The simulation results showed that the moisture content reduced from 194% to 40% (dry basis), air temperature decreased from $512^{\circ}C$ to $128^{\circ}C$ with the particle residence time of 0.7 seconds. The statistical indicators, root mean square error and R-squared, were calculated to be 0.079, and 0.998, respectively, between the measured and predicted values of moisture content. The relative error between the measured and predicted values of the final pressured drop, air temperature, and air velocity were only 8.96%, 0.39% and 1.05% respectively. Conclusions: The predicted moisture content, final temperature, and pressure drop values were in good agreement with the experimental results. The developed model can be used for design and estimation of PCD system for drying of wood dust particles.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.121-133
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• 2023

The demand for cement and limestone crushed materials has increased many folds due to the tremendous increase in construction activities in Pakistan during the past few decades. The number of cement production industries has increased correspondingly, and so the rock-blasting operations at the limestone quarry sites. However, the safety procedures warranted at these sites for the blast-induced ground vibrations (BIGV) have not been adequately developed and/or implemented. Proper prediction and monitoring of BIGV are necessary to ensure the safety of structures in the vicinity of these quarry sites. In this paper, an attempt has been made to predict BIGV using artificial neural network (ANN) at three selected limestone quarries of Pakistan. The ANN has been developed in Python using Keras with sequential model and dense layers. The hyper parameters and neurons in each of the activation layers has been optimized using randomized and grid search method. The input parameters for the model include distance, a maximum charge per delay (MCPD), depth of hole, burden, spacing, and number of blast holes, whereas, peak particle velocity (PPV) is taken as the only output parameter. A total of 110 blast vibrations datasets were recorded from three different limestone quarries. The dataset has been divided into 85% for neural network training, and 15% for testing of the network. A five-layer ANN is trained with Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) activation function, Adam optimization algorithm with a learning rate of 0.001, and batch size of 32 with the topology of 6-32-32-256-1. The blast datasets were utilized to compare the performance of ANN, multivariate regression analysis (MVRA), and empirical predictors. The performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R²), mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean squared error (RMSE)for predicted and measured PPV. To determine the relative influence of each parameter on the PPV, sensitivity analyses were performed for all input parameters. The analyses reveal that ANN performs superior than MVRA and other empirical predictors, andthat83% PPV is affected by distance and MCPD while hole depth, number of blast holes, burden and spacing contribute for the remaining 17%. This research provides valuable insights into improving safety measures and ensuring the structural integrity of buildings near limestone quarry sites.