• Title/Summary/Keyword: relative error

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An Error Assessment of the Kriging Based Approximation Model Using a Mean Square Error (평균제곱오차를 이용한 크리깅 근사모델의 오차 평가)

  • Ju Byeong-Hyeon;Cho Tae-Min;Jung Do-Hyun;Lee Byung-Chai
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.30 no.8 s.251
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    • pp.923-930
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    • 2006
  • A Kriging model is a sort of approximation model and used as a deterministic model of a computationally expensive analysis or simulation. Although it has various advantages, it is difficult to assess the accuracy of the approximated model. It is generally known that a mean square error (MSE) obtained from the kriging model can't calculate statistically exact error bounds contrary to a response surface method, and a cross validation is mainly used. But the cross validation also has many uncertainties. Moreover, the cross validation can't be used when a maximum error is required in the given region. For solving this problem, we first proposed a modified mean square error which can consider relative errors. Using the modified mean square error, we developed the strategy of adding a new sample to the place that the MSE has the maximum when the MSE is used for the assessment of the kriging model. Finally, we offer guidelines for the use of the MSE which is obtained from the kriging model. Four test problems show that the proposed strategy is a proper method which can assess the accuracy of the kriging model. Based on the results of four test problems, a convergence coefficient of 0.01 is recommended for an exact function approximation.

Error Analysis of Trilateration Network by Confidence Ellipse (신뢰타원에 의한 삼변망의 오차해석)

  • 백은기;구재동
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 1995
  • Error analysis is important in horizontal positioning. In case of error analysis, standard error ellipse is generally used to establish the precision regions, but it will be replaced by 95% confidence ellipse. It is more effective than standard error ellipse in resection for measured procedures and establishment for criterias of relative error. Therefore, In this paper deals with analysis of application to 95% confidence ellipse in horizontal positioning. This study deals with error analysis of plane trilateration network which are various types of control point. also, this paper have studied for theory of error analysis in order to using least square adjustment. Thus, This paper's conclusion are as follows; 95% confidence ellipse could be used to establish of specification in korea, also, it is possible for us to predesign for optimum surveying network by 95% confidence ellipse.

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Macro-model for Estimation of Maximum Power Dissipation of CMOS Digital Gates (CMOS 디지털 게이트의 최대소모전력 예측 매크로 모델)

  • Kim, Dong-Wook
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1317-1326
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    • 1999
  • As the integration ratio and operation speed increase, it has become an important problem to estimate the dissipated power during the design procedure as a method to reduce the TTM(time to market). This paper proposed a prediction model to estimate the maximum dissipated power of a CMOS logic gate. This model uses a calculational method. It was formed by including the characteristics of MOSFETs of which a CMOS gate consists, the operational characteristics of the gate, and the characteristics of the input signals. As the modeling process, a maximum power estimation model for CMOS inverter was formed first, and then a conversion model to convert a multiple input CMOS gate into a corresponding CMOS inverter was proposed. Finally, the power model for inverter was applied to the converted result so that the model could be applied to a general CMOS gate. For experiment, several CMOS gates were designed in layout level by $0.6{\mu}m$ layout design rule. The result by comparing the calculated results with those from HSPICE simulations for the gates showed that the gate conversion model has within 5% of the relative error rate to the SPICE and the maximum power estimation model has within 10% of the relative error rate. Thus, the proposed models have sufficient accuracies. Also in calculation time, the proposed models was more than 30 times faster than SPICE simulation. Consequently, it can be said that the proposed model could be used efficiently to estimate the maximum dissipated power of a CMOS logic gate during the design procedure.

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Accuracy Improvement in Demand Forecast of District Heating by Accounting for Heat Sales Information (열판매 정보를 고려한 지역난방 수요 예측의 정확도 향상)

  • Shin, Yong-Gyun;Yoo, Hoseon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2019
  • In this study, to improve the accuracy of forecast of heat demand in the district heating system, this study applied heat demand performance among the main factors of district heating demand forecast in Pankyo area as the heat sales information of the user facility instead of existing heat source facility heat supply information, and compared the existing method with the accuracy based on the actual value. As a result of comparing the difference of the forecasts values of the existing and changed methods based on the performance values over the one week (2018.01.08 ~ 01.14) during the hot water peak, the relative error decreased from 7% to 3% The relative error between the existing and revised forecasts was 9% and 4%, respectively, for the five-month cumulative heat demand from February to February 2018, Also, in case of the weekend where the demand of heat is differentiated, the relative error of the forecasts value is consistently reduced from 10% to 5%.

Hybrid navigation parameter estimation from aerial image sequence (항공영상을 이용한 하이브리드 영상 항법 변수 추출)

  • 심동규;정상용;이도형;박래홍;김린철;이상욱
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.35S no.2
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    • pp.146-156
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    • 1998
  • Thispapr proposes hybrid navigation parameter estimation using sequential aerial images. The proposed navigation parameter estimation system is composed of two parts: relative position estimation and absolute position estimation. the relative position estimation recursively computes the current velocity and absolute position estimation. The relative position estimation recursively computes the current velocity and position of an aircraft by accumulating navigation parameters extracted from two succesive aerial images. Simple accumulation of parameter values decreases reliability of the extracted parameters as an aircraft goes on navigating. therefore absolute position estimation is required to compensate for position error generated in the relative position step. The absolute position estimation algorithm combining image matching and digital elevation model(DEM) matching is presented. Computer simulation with real aerial image sequences shows the efficiency of the proposed hybrial algorithm.

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Ultrawideband coupled relative positioning algorithm applicable to flight controller for multidrone collaboration

  • Jeonggi Yang;Soojeon Lee
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.758-767
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we introduce a loosely coupled relative position estimation method that utilizes a decentralized ultrawideband (UWB), Global Navigation Support System and inertial navigation system for flight controllers (FCs). Key obstacles to multidrone collaboration include relative position errors and the absence of communication devices. To address this, we provide an extended Kalman filter-based algorithm and module that correct distance errors by fusing UWB data acquired through random communications. Via simulations, we confirm the feasibility of the algorithm and verify its distance error correction performance according to the amount of communications. Real-world tests confirm the algorithm's effectiveness on FCs and the potential for multidrone collaboration in real environments. This method can be used to correct relative multidrone positions during collaborative transportation and simultaneous localization and mapping applications.

A study on the estimation of relative shift from aerial image sequences (연속항공영상에서의 상대적 편이 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Y.S.;Lee, K.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1991.07a
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    • pp.825-828
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    • 1991
  • This paper addresses estimation of the relative shift vector from aerial image sequences. We perform similarity function tests and decide the most appropriate similarity function for the visual navigation system using aerial images. Finally, we propose the maximum variance reference line selection method for reducing the estimation error of the shift vector.

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An on-line measurement of robot tracking error via an optical PSD sensor (PSD센서를 사용한 로보트 추적 오차의 실시간 측정에 관한 연구)

  • 김완수;박용길;조형석;곽윤근
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1988.10a
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    • pp.433-437
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    • 1988
  • Direct measurement of the relative position between the end effector of robot and moving objects reduces difficulties caused by the joint encoder reading and transformation. For those purpose, the on-line sensing method using PSD sensor was developed in this paper. The sensor was calibrated on the precision table. Then, the relative position of a moving objects on the conveyor was measured while the robot was tracking the one.

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A Study on the Efficiency of a Two Stage Shrinkage Testimator for the Mean of an Exponential Distribution

  • Myung-Sang Moon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 1998
  • A two stage shrinkage testimator for the mean of an exponential distribution is considered with the assumption that an initial estimate of the mean is available. Mean squared error(MSE) of testimator and its relative efficiency (to usual single sample mean) are briefly reviewed. It is shown that relative efficiency depends only on the ratio of true mean value and its initial estimate.

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Estimation of Drought Rainfall by Regional Frequency Analysis Using L and LH-Moments (II) - On the method of LH-moments - (L 및 LH-모멘트법과 지역빈도분석에 의한 가뭄우량의 추정 (II)- LH-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Yoon , Seong-Soo;Maeng , Sung-Jin;Ryoo , Kyong-Sik;Joo , Ho-Kil;Park , Jin-Seon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2004
  • In the first part of this study, five homogeneous regions in view of topographical and geographically homogeneous aspects except Jeju and Ulreung islands in Korea were accomplished by K-means clustering method. A total of 57 rain gauges were used for the regional frequency analysis with minimum rainfall series for the consecutive durations. Generalized Extreme Value distribution was confirmed as an optimal one among applied distributions. Drought rainfalls following the return periods were estimated by at-site and regional frequency analysis using L-moments method. It was confirmed that the design drought rainfalls estimated by the regional frequency analysis were shown to be more appropriate than those by the at-site frequency analysis. In the second part of this study, LH-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test on the Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) distributions were accomplished to get optimal probability distribution. Design drought rainfalls were estimated by both at-site and regional frequency analysis using LH-moments and GEV distribution, which was confirmed as an optimal one among applied distributions. Design rainfalls were estimated by at-site and regional frequency analysis using LH-moments, the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlotechniques. Design drought rainfalls derived by regional frequency analysis using L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments (LH-moments) method have shown higher reliability than those of at-site frequency analysis in view of RRMSE (Relative Root-Mean-Square Error), RBIAS (Relative Bias) and RR (Relative Reduction) for the estimated design drought rainfalls. Relative efficiency were calculated for the judgment of relative merits and demerits for the design drought rainfalls derived by regional frequency analysis using L-moments and L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments applied in the first report and second report of this study, respectively. Consequently, design drought rainfalls derived by regional frequency analysis using L-moments were shown as more reliable than those using LH-moments. Finally, design drought rainfalls for the classified five homogeneous regions following the various consecutive durations were derived by regional frequency analysis using L-moments, which was confirmed as a more reliable method through this study. Maps for the design drought rainfalls for the classified five homogeneous regions following the various consecutive durations were accomplished by the method of inverse distance weight and Arc-View, which is one of GIS techniques.