• 제목/요약/키워드: regional model

검색결과 2,638건 처리시간 0.029초

다중회귀분석을 이용한 DEA-AR 모형 개발 및 국내 지방공사의 효율성 평가 (The Development of the DEA-AR Model using Multiple Regression Analysis and Efficiency Evaluation of Regional Corporation in Korea)

  • 심광식;김재윤
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2012
  • We design a DEA-AR model using multiple regression analysis with new methods which limit weights. When there are multiple input and single output variables, our model can be used, and the weights of input variables use the regression coefficient and coefficient of determination. To verify the effectiveness of the new model, we evaluate the efficiency of the Regional Corporations in Korea. Accordance with statistical analysis, it proved that there is no difference between the efficiency value of the DEA-AR using AHP and our DEA-AR model. Our model can be applied to a lot of research by substituting DEA-AR model relying on AHP in the future.

아산시 친환경 지역농업의 자원순환시스템 구축방향 (Establishments of the System of Regional Resource Circulation based on Environmental-Friendly Agriculture at Asan Area)

  • 윤종열;김호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2005
  • This study was focused on the system of regional resource circulation(RRC) of Asan-Si as a case region. So 301 farmers(members of producer organization) who are managing environmental-friendly agriculture (EFA) are surveyed. The RRC system is focused on establishing the system of regional complex farming connected with the seedling fanning and the livestock. The main results surveyed are as follows : First, total cultivated acreage is 574ha. Second, the total quantity of by-products of rices, beans, wheats is 983M/T. Third, the total quantity of nutrient requirement for seeding fanning is 85,335.6kg This research shows how to develop the RRC system for EFA. The development model and strategies are as follows : The first model for the system of regional resource circulation can be called the scenario of the best output for the system of environmentally friendly resource circulation. It is considered to estimate the appropriate number of heads of Korean cattle and hen which can be bred simultaneously. And the second model can be called the scenario of the regional allotment for the appropriate number of heads of those. It is considered to estimate the appropriate number of heads of those which can be alloted by the individual farm or area.

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Simulation of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Circulations with Regional Climate Model

  • Singh, G.P.;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • 한국제4기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국제4기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회
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    • pp.24-25
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    • 2004
  • It is well known that there is an inverse relationship between the strength of Indian summer monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) and extent of Eurasian snow cover/depth in the preceding season. Tibetan snow cover/depth also affects the Asian monsoon rainy season largely. The positive correlation between Tibetan sensible heat flux and southeast Asian rainfall suggest an inverse relationship between Tibetan snow cover and southeast Asian rainfall. Developments in Regional Climate Models suggest that the effect of Tibetan snow on the ISMR can be well studied by Limited Area Models (LAMs). LAMs are used for regional climate studies and operational weather forecast of several hours to 3 days in future. The Eta model developed by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) and Regional Climate Model (RegCM) have been used for weather prediction as well as for the study of present-day climate and variability over different parts of the world. Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) has been widely . used for various mesoscale studies. However, it has not been tested to study the characteristics of circulation features and associated rainfall over India so far. In the present study, Regional Climate Model (RegCM-3) has been integrated from 1 st April to 30th September for the years 1993-1996 and monthly mean monsoon circulation features and rainfall simulated by the model at 55km resolution have been studied for the Indian summer monsoon season. Characteristics of wind at 850hPa and 200hPa, temperature at 500hPa, surface pressure and rainfall simulated by the model have been examined for two convective schemes such as Kuo and Grell with Arakawa-Schubert as the closure scheme, Model simulated monsoon circulation features have been compared with those of NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed fields and the rainfall with those of India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational rainfall datasets, Comparisons of wind and temperature fields show that Grell scheme is closer to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, The influence of Tibetan snowdepth in spring season on the summer monsoon circulation features and subsequent rainfall over India have been examined. For such sensitivity experiment, NIMBUS-7 SMMR snowdepth data have been used as a boundary condition in the RegCM3, Model simulation indicates that ISMR is reduced by 30% when 10cm of snow has been introduced over Tibetan region in the month of previous April. The existence of Tibetan snow in RegCM3 also indicates weak lower level monsoon westerlies and upper level easterlies.

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Inter-regional Employment Equilibrium and Dynamics

  • Park, Heon-Soo
    • 지역연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.143-161
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    • 1998
  • This paper applies dynamic versions of shift share models to a simple regional employment model. It tests for the existence of a long run interregional employment equilibrium and then estimates the impulse response functions for each employment series to determine which shocks are temporary and which are permanent.

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Economic Impacts of Transportation Investment on Regional Growth: Evidence from a Computable General Equilibrium Model on Japan's Cross-Prefectural-Border Region

  • Thi Thu Trang, HA;Hiroyuki, SHIBUSAWA
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes and examines the economic impact of infrastructure improvement on the San-En-Nanshin region in the Chubu area of Japan. We develop a single transportation computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for each subregion within the San-En-Nanshin region. The explicit modeling of the transportation infrastructure is defined based on interregional commuting flows and business trips, considering the spatial structure of the San-En-Nanshin economy. A CGE model is integrated with an interregional transportation network model to enhance the framework's potential for understanding the infrastructure's role in regional development. To evaluate the economic impact of transportation improvement, we analyze the interrelationship between travel time savings and regional output and income. The economic impact analysis under the CGE framework reveals how transportation facilities and systems affect firm and household behavior and therefore induce changes in the production and consumption of commodities and transportation services. The proposed theoretical model was tested by using data from the 2005 IO tables of each subregion and the 2006 transport flow dataset issued by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism in Japan. As a result, the paper confirms the positive effect of transportation investment on the total output and income of the studied region. Specifically, we found that while economic benefits typically appear in urban areas, rural areas can still potentially benefit from transportation improvement projects.

Empirical seismic fragility rapid prediction probability model of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.609-623
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    • 2022
  • To study the empirical seismic fragility of a reinforced concrete girder bridge, based on the theory of numerical analysis and probability modelling, a regression fragility method of a rapid fragility prediction model (Gaussian first-order regression probability model) considering empirical seismic damage is proposed. A total of 1,069 reinforced concrete girder bridges of 22 highways were used to verify the model, and the vulnerability function, plane, surface and curve model of reinforced concrete girder bridges (simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges) considering the number of samples in multiple intensity regions were established. The new empirical seismic damage probability matrix and curve models of observation frequency and damage exceeding probability are developed in multiple intensity regions. A comparative vulnerability analysis between simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges is provided. Depending on the theory of the regional mean seismic damage index matrix model, the empirical seismic damage prediction probability matrix is embedded in the multidimensional mean seismic damage index matrix model, and the regional rapid prediction matrix and curve of reinforced concrete girder bridges, simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges in multiple intensity regions based on mean seismic damage index parameters are developed. The established multidimensional group bridge vulnerability model can be used to quantify and predict the fragility of bridges in multiple intensity regions and the fragility assessment of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges in the future.

어메니티 지향적 지방행정을 위한 정책평가모델의 개발 (Development of an Annual Expenditure Assessment Model for Amenity-oriented Policy-making in Rural Areas)

  • 정남수;이지민;이정재
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2004
  • According to the growing concerns of the public with efficiency and effects of regional policies, their assessment works have become an important issue. Up to now, several studies have been carried out on economic effects of policies using conventional cost/benefit analysis, while there have been few studies on assessment of amenity oriented policies. From the above consideration, this study tried to develop An Annual Expenditure Assessment Model (AEAM) for amenity-oriented policy-making in rural area. As a pre-work for model development, the hierarchical indices system for rural development and the classification system of expenditure were designed. Being based on high significant relationship between rural amenities and local government expenditure, a linear optimization model for maximization of regional amenity was constructed. Through a case study of Sunchang-gun, Chonbuk-province, the model applicability was ascertained.

지역고유의 자원 활용에 기반한 21세기 선도형 농촌마을 개발 모델 - 강원도 원주시 수련동마을 계획을 중심으로- (A New Planning Model of Rural Villages for 21th Century Guidance - Style based on Regional Indigenous Resources - In the Case of the Villages Revitalization Projects of Suryon-dong in Wonju -)

  • 송병화;이관규
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the model of rural villages for 21th century guidance-style based on regional Indigenous resources. As a development model on premise environmental sustainability, economic sustainability, social-cultural sustainability, this paper aims to established that accommodate actively change element of village environment that stabilizes local environment and ecosystem on the basis of development model's principle and contents and information area. Through this model development, To makes the national setting an example village and plans the 21th century guidance style farm village continuously is big that study does.

Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량 가뭄 지역빈도해석 모형 개발 (A development of bivariate regional drought frequency analysis model using copula function)

  • 김진국;김진영;반우식;권현한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제52권12호
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    • pp.985-999
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    • 2019
  • 전 세계적으로 극심한 가뭄현상이 반복적으로 발생하고 있으며, 이러한 가뭄을 분석하기 위한 연구가 다수 진행되고 있다. 최근 코플라 함수를 활용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석에 대한 연구가 다수 진행된 바 있으나, 대부분 지점빈도해석에 국한되어 진행되었으며, 통계적으로 부족한 자료의 기간을 보완하기 위한 대안으로 지역빈도해석 개념을 도입한 연구는 미진한 실정이다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 기존의 베이지안 기법과 코플라 함수를 연계한 이변량 지역빈도해석 모형을 개발하였다. 최종적으로 이변량 코플라 가뭄 지역빈도해석 모형을 한강유역에 적용하여 2013-2015년에 발생한 가뭄 사상을 평가하였으며, 기존에 개발된 이변량 지점빈도해석 결과와 비교를 통해 모형의 해석결과에 대한 신뢰성을 확보하였다. 결과적으로 이변량 지점빈도해석에 비해 가뭄사상에 대한 결합재현기간의 불확실성 구간이 약 3배 가까이 감소하였으며, DIC 통계량 산정결과 약 15 이상 개선된 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구를 통해 제안된 베이지안 코플라 기반 이변량 가뭄 지역빈도해석 모형은 가뭄자료의 분포특성 및 자료간의 상관성을 효과적으로 재현하는데 유리할 뿐만 아니라, 지역적인 가뭄특성을 효과적으로 평가할 수 있는 장점을 확인할 수 있었다.

수도권과 지방권 수요예측모형을 통한 전국 도시가스수요전망의 예측력 향상 (Improving Forecast Accuracy of City Gas Demand in Korea by Aggregating the Forecasts from the Demand Models of Seoul Metropolitan and the Other Local Areas)

  • 이성로
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.519-547
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 지역 단위 도시가스 수요예측모형을 이용하여 전국 도시가스수요예측의 정확도를 향상할 수 있는지 여부를 살펴봤다. 지역별 수요예측모형을 구축하게 된 배경은 용도별 도시가스 수요의 행태가 분화되는 상황에서 자료의 제한으로 용도별 수요예측모형을 구축하기 어렵다는 것에 있다. 지역별 수요예측모형은 전국수요를 수도권과 지방으로 구분하여 별도의 예측모형을 구성하는 것으로, 시간변동계수를 갖는 공적분모형을 이용하였다. 지역모형에서 전국 도시가스수요예측은 지역별 수요전망치를 합산하여 산출하였다. 2013~2016년의 4년간 예측력 평가결과, 지역별 모형을 통한 전국 도시가스수요 예측이 전국단위 예측모형에 비하여 예측력이 전반적으로 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 지역모형에서는 수도권과 지방권 모형을 별도로 구축함으로써 해당 지역 수요의 특성을 반영한 예측모형이 가능했다. 수도권수요는 가정용수요 비중이 높아 기온에 보다 민감하게 반응하고, 전력수요와 경쟁관계가 있다. 이에 반해 지방권은 산업용수요 비중이 높아 전반적인 경기상황에 따른 수요변동이 크고, 수도권과 달리 벙커씨유와 LPG와 같은 산업용 연료와 대체관계를 보였다. 상기 결과는 성숙기에 접어든 도시가스산업에서 지역별 수요에 대한 세부적인 분석을 통해 전국 단위 수요예측의 정확도를 향상시킬 수 있다는 것을 보여주고, 이와 더불어 용도별 도시가수요 분석에도 유용한 정보를 제공할 것으로 기대한다.