Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.12989/eas.2022.22.6.609

Empirical seismic fragility rapid prediction probability model of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges  

Li, Si-Qi (School of Civil Engineering, Heilongjiang University)
Chen, Yong-Sheng (Institute of Engineering Mechanics, China Earthquake Administration)
Liu, Hong-Bo (School of Civil Engineering, Heilongjiang University)
Du, Ke (School of Civil Engineering, Heilongjiang University)
Publication Information
Earthquakes and Structures / v.22, no.6, 2022 , pp. 609-623 More about this Journal
Abstract
To study the empirical seismic fragility of a reinforced concrete girder bridge, based on the theory of numerical analysis and probability modelling, a regression fragility method of a rapid fragility prediction model (Gaussian first-order regression probability model) considering empirical seismic damage is proposed. A total of 1,069 reinforced concrete girder bridges of 22 highways were used to verify the model, and the vulnerability function, plane, surface and curve model of reinforced concrete girder bridges (simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges) considering the number of samples in multiple intensity regions were established. The new empirical seismic damage probability matrix and curve models of observation frequency and damage exceeding probability are developed in multiple intensity regions. A comparative vulnerability analysis between simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges is provided. Depending on the theory of the regional mean seismic damage index matrix model, the empirical seismic damage prediction probability matrix is embedded in the multidimensional mean seismic damage index matrix model, and the regional rapid prediction matrix and curve of reinforced concrete girder bridges, simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges in multiple intensity regions based on mean seismic damage index parameters are developed. The established multidimensional group bridge vulnerability model can be used to quantify and predict the fragility of bridges in multiple intensity regions and the fragility assessment of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges in the future.
Keywords
comparison of fragility between simple supported girder bridge and continuous girder bridge; empirical regional rapid prediction fragility analysis; mean seismic damage index matrix; reinforced concrete group girder bridges; seismic intensity;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 9  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Banerjee, S. and Ganesh Prasad, G. (2013), "Seismic risk assessment of reinforced concrete bridges in flood-prone regions", Struct. Infrastruct. Eng. 9(9), 952-968. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2011.649292.   DOI
2 Xu, H. and Gardoni, P. (2016), "Probabilistic capacity and seismic demand models and fragility estimates for reinforced concrete buildings based on three-dimensional analyses", Eng. Struct., 112, 200-214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2016.01.005.   DOI
3 Zhong, J., Jeon, J.S., Yuan, W. and DesRoches, R. (2017), "Impact of spatial variability parameters on seismic fragilities of a cable-stayed bridge subjected to differential support motions", J. Bridge Eng., 22(6), 04017013. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)BE.1943-5592.0001046.   DOI
4 Masi, A., Lagomarsino, S., Dolce, M., Manfredi, V. and Ottonelli, D. (2021), "Towards the updated Italian seismic risk assessment: exposure and vulnerability modelling", B. Earthq. Eng., 19(8), 3253-3286. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01065-5.   DOI
5 GB/T 17742 (2008), The Chinese seismic intensity scale, China Earthquake Administration; Beijing, China.
6 Basoz, N.I., Kiremidjian, A.S., King, S.A. and Law, K.H. (1999), "Statistical analysis of bridge damage data from the 1994 Northridge CA, Earthquake", Earthq. Spectra, 15(1), 25-54. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.1586027.   DOI
7 Biasi, G., Mohammed, M.S. and Sanders, D.H. (2017), "Earthquake damage estimations: ShakeCast case study on Nevada bridges", Earthq. Spectra, 33(1), 45-62. https://doi.org/10.1193/121815EQS185M.   DOI
8 Ataei, N. and Padgett, J.E. (2013), "Probabilistic modeling of bridge deck unseating during hurricane Events", J. Bridge Eng., 18(4), 275-286. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)BE.1943-5592.0000371.   DOI
9 Guo, X., Badroddin, M. and Chen, Z. (2019), "Scour-dependent empirical fragility modelling of bridge structures under earthquakes", Adv. Struct. Eng., 22(6), 1384-1398. https://doi.org/10.1177/1369433218815433.   DOI
10 GB/T 24336 (2009), Classification of earthquake damage to lifeline engineering, General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection, and Quarantine of P.R.C.; China.
11 Hafiz, M.K. and Ahmad, S. (2022), "Seismic vulnerability of reinforced concrete bridges in Pakistan", J. Civil Eng. Manage., 28(2), 93-105. https://doi.org/10.3846/jcem.2022.15854.   DOI
12 Kibboua, A., Bechtoula, H., Mehani, Y. and Naili, M. (2014), "Vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete bridge structures in Algiers using scenario earthquakes", B. Earthq. Eng., 12(2), 807-827. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-013-9523-7.   DOI
13 Chieffo, N., Clementi, F., Formisano, A. and Lenci, S. (2019), "Comparative fragility methods for seismic assessment of masonry buildings located in Muccia (Italy)", J. Build. Eng., 25, 100813. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2019.100813.   DOI
14 Avsar, O., Yakut, A., Caner, A. (2011), "Analytical fragility curves for ordinary highway bridges in Turkey", Earthq. Spectra 27(4), 971-996. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.3651349.   DOI
15 Chen, F., Gu, X., Shan, D., Dong, J. and Li, Q. (2018), "Seismic fragility analysis of irregular continuous rigid frame girder bridge", Ocean Eng., 5(1), 1545741. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311916.2018.1545741.   DOI
16 Chen, L., Zhuang, W.L. and Zhao, H.Q. (2012), "Report on highways Damage in the Wenchuan Earthquake", China Communications Press, Beijing, China.
17 Lagomarsino, S., Cattari, S., Ottonelli, D. and Giovinazzi, S. (2019), "Earthquake damage assessment of masonry churches: proposal for rapid and detailed forms and derivation of empirical vulnerability curves", B. Earthq. Eng., 17(6), 3327-3364. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-018-00542-8.   DOI
18 Moschonas, I.F., Kappos, A.J., Panetsos, P., Papadopoulos, V., Makarios, T. and Thanopoulos, P. (2009), "Seismic fragility curves for greek bridges: methodology and case studies", B. Earthq. Eng., 7(2), 439-468. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-008-9077-2.   DOI
19 Navarrete, B.A.O., Guerrero, J.M.J., Juana, M. D. L. C. T., Soberon, G. and Diaz, M. J. (2016), "Influence of RC jacketing on the seismic vulnerability of RC bridges", Eng. Struct., 123, 236-246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2016.05.029.   DOI
20 Nielson, B.G. and DesRoches, R. (2007), "Analytical seismic fragility curves for typical bridges in the central and southeastern United States", Earthq. Spectra 23(3), 615-633. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.2756815.   DOI
21 Li, S.Q. and Chen, Y.S. (2020), "Analysis of the probability matrix model for the seismic damage vulnerability of empirical structures", Nat. Hazards, 104(1), 705-730. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04187-2.   DOI
22 Li, S.Q. and Liu, H.B. (2022a), "Statistical and vulnerability prediction model considering empirical seismic damage of masonry structure", Structures, 39, 147-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2022.03.024.   DOI
23 Omranian, E., Abdollahzadeh, G., Amiri, J.V. and Abdelnaby, A.E. (2022), "Multiple earthquake effects on vulnerability of horizontally curved RC bridges", J. Earthq. Eng., https://doi.org/10.1080/13632469.2022.2030432.   DOI
24 Wei, B., Hu, Z., Zuo, C., Wang, W. and Jiang, L. (2021), "Effects of horizontal ground motion incident angle on the seismic risk assessment of a high-speed railway continuous bridge", Archives of Civil and Mech. Eng., 21(1), 18. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43452-020-00169-0.   DOI
25 Schanack, F., Valdebenito, G. and Alvial, J. (2012), "Seismic damage to bridges during the 27 February 2010 magnitude 8.8 Chile earthquake", Earthq. Spectra, 28(1), 301-315. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.3672424.   DOI
26 Seo, J. and Linzell, D.G. (2012), "Horizontally curved steel bridge seismic vulnerability assessment", Eng. Struct., 34, 21-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2011.09.008.   DOI
27 Shao, Y., Wei, Y., Yang, T., Ni, M. and Zhong, J. (2021), "Empirical models of bridge seismic fragility surface considering the vertical effect of near-fault ground motions", Structures, 34, 2962-2973. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2021.09.021.   DOI
28 Mosoarca, M., Onescu, I., Onescu, E., Azap, B., Chieffo, N. and Szitar-Sirbu, M. (2019), "Seismic vulnerability assessment for the historical areas of the Timisoara city, Romania", Eng. Fail. Anal., 101, 86-112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engfailanal.2019.03.013.   DOI
29 Shekhar, S., Ghosh, J. and Ghosh, S. (2020), "Impact of design code evolution on failure mechanism and seismic fragility of highway bridge piers", J. Bridge Eng., 25(2), 04019140. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)BE.1943-5592.0001518.   DOI
30 Shekhar, S., Ghosh, J. and Ghosh, S. (2021), "Influence of bearing types and design code advances on seismic vulnerability of simply supported highway bridges", J. Earthq. Eng., https://doi.org/10.1080/13632469.2020.1852138.   DOI
31 Li, S.Q., Chen, Y.S., Liu, H.B., Du, K. and Chi, B. (2022d), "Assessment of seismic damage inspection and empirical vulnerability probability matrices for masonry structure", Earthq. Struct., 22(4), 387-399. https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2022.22.4.387.   DOI
32 Li, S.Q., Liu, H.B. and Chen, Y.S. (2021b), "Vulnerability models of brick and wood structures considering empirical seismic damage observations", Structures, 34, 2544-2565. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2021.09.023.   DOI
33 Choi, E., DesRoches, R. and Nielson, B. (2004), "Seismic fragility of typical bridges in moderate seismic zones", Eng. Struct., 26(2), 187-199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2003.09.006.   DOI
34 Eleftheriadou, A.K. and Karabinis, A.I. (2013), "Evaluation of damage probability matrices from observational seismic damage data", Earthq. Struct., 4(3), 299-324. https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2013.4.3.299.   DOI
35 Li, S.Q. and Liu, H.B. (2022b), "Vulnerability prediction model of typical structures considering empirical seismic damage observation data", B. Earthq. Eng., https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01395-y.   DOI
36 Li, S.Q. and Liu, H.B. (2022c), "Analysis of probability matrix model for seismic damage vulnerability of highway bridges", Geom., Nat. Hazards and Risk, 13(1), https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2022.2077146.   DOI
37 Tsonos, A.G. (2014), "An innovative solution for strengthening of old R/C structures and for improving the FRP strengthening method", Struct. Monitoring and Maint., 1(3), 323-338. https://doi.org/10.2495/MC090261.   DOI
38 Su J., Li, Z.X., Dhakal, R.P., Li, C. and Wang, F. (2021), "Comparative study on seismic vulnerability of RC bridge piers reinforced with normal and high-strength steel bars", Structures, 29, 1562-1581. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2020.12.048.   DOI
39 Tavares, D.H., Padgett, J.E. and Paultre, P. (2012), "Fragility curves of typical as-built highway bridges in eastern Canada", Eng. Struct., 40, 107-118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2012.02.019.   DOI
40 Tavares, D.H., Suescun, J.R., Paultre, P. and Padgett, J.E. (2013), "Seismic fragility of a highway bridge in Quebec", J. Bridge Eng., 18(11), 1131-1139. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)BE.1943-5592.0000471.   DOI
41 Wald, D.J., Quitoriano, V., Worden, C.B., Hopper, M., and Dewey, J.W. (2011), USGS "Did You Feel It?" Internet-based Macroseismic Intensity Maps, Ann. Geophys., 54 (6), 688-709. https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-5354.   DOI
42 Lee, S.M., Kim, T.J. and Kang, S.L. (2007), "Development of Fragility Curves for Bridges in Korea", KSCE J. Civil Eng., 11(3), 165-174. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02823897.   DOI
43 Gautam, D. and Rupakhety, R. (2021), "Empirical seismic vulnerability analysis of infrastructure systems in Nepal", B. Earthq. Eng., 19(14), 6113-6127. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01219-5.   DOI
44 GB/T 17742 (2020), The Chinese seismic intensity scale, State Administration for Market Regulation; Beijing, China.
45 Kakaletsis, D.J. and Karayannis, C.G. (2009), "Experimental investigation of infilled reinforced concrete frames with openings", ACI Struct. J., 106(2), 132-141.
46 Sun, B., Spencer, B.F., Yan, P., Chen, X. and Zhang, G. (2022), "Analysis of the seismic vulnerability of buildings in the Lushan Ms7.0 earthquake in the Sichuan province of China", J. Earthq. Eng., https://doi.org/10.1080/13632469.2019.1692742.   DOI
47 Li, S.Q. and Liu, H.B. (2022e), "Comparison of vulnerabilities in typical bridges using macroseismic intensity scales", Case Studies in Constr. Mater., 16, e01094. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cscm.2022.e01094.   DOI
48 Mackie, B.K. and Stojadinovic, B. (2001), "Probabilistic seismic demand model for California highway bridge", J. Bridge Eng., 6, 468-481. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-012-9362-y.   DOI
49 Martinez, A., Hube, M.A. and Rollins, K.M. (2017), "Analytical fragility curves for non-skewed highway bridges in Chile", Eng. Struct.,, 141, 530-542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2017.03.041.   DOI
50 Tsonos, A.G. (2007), "Effectiveness of CFRP-jackets in post-earthquake and pre-earthquake retrofitting of beam-column subassemblages", Struct. Eng. Mech., 27(4), 393-408. https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2007.27.4.393.   DOI
51 Wang, Z., Duenas-Osorio, L. and Padgett, J.E. (2014), "Influence of scour effects on the seismic response of reinforced concrete bridges", Eng. Struct., 76, 202-214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2014.06.026.   DOI
52 Zhang, Y. and Dias-da-Costa, D. (2017), "Seismic vulnerability of multi-span continuous girder bridges with steel fibre reinforced concrete columns", Eng. Struct., 150, 451-464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2017.07.053.   DOI
53 Li, S.Q., Chen, Y. and Yu, T. (2021a), "Comparison of macroseismic intensity scales by considering empirical observations of structural seismic damage", Earthq. Spectra, 37(1), 449-485. https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020944174.   DOI