• Title/Summary/Keyword: regional analysis

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CAUTION OF REGIONAL FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS BASED ON WEIBULL MODEL

  • Heo, Jun-Haeng;Lee, Dong-Jin;Kim, Kyung-Duk
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2000
  • Regional flood frequency analysis has been developed by employing the nearby site's information to improve a precision in estimating flood quantiles at the site of interest. In this paper, single site and regional flood frequency analyses were compared based of the 2-parameter Weibull model. For regional analysis, two approaches were employed. The First one is to use the asymptotic variances of the quantile estimators derived based of the assumption that all sites including the site of interest are independent each other. This approach may give the maximum regional gain due to the spatial independence assumption among sites. The second one in Hosking's regional L-moment algorithm. These methods were applied to annual flood data. As the results, both methods generally showed the regional gain at the site of interest depending on grouping the sites as homogeneous. And asymptotic formula generally shows smaller variance than those from Hosking's algorithm. If the shape parameter of the site of interest from single site analysis is quite different from that from regional analysis then Hosking's results might be better than the asymptotic ones because the formula was derived based on the assumption that all sites have the same regional shape parameter. Furthermore, in such a case, regional analysis might be worse than single site analysis in the sense of precision of flood quantile estimation. Even though the selected sites may satisfy Hosking's criteria, regional analysis may not give a regional gain for specific and nonexceedance probabilities.

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Comparative Analysis of Regional and At-site Analysis for the Design Rainfall by Gamma and Non-Gamma Family (Ⅱ) (Gamma 및 비Gamma군 분포모형에 의한 강우의 지점 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (Ⅱ))

  • Lee , Soon-Hyuk;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The optimal regionalization of the precipitation data were classified by the above mentioned regionalization for all over the regions except Jeju and Ulleung islands in Korea. Design rainfalls following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root mean square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared between the regional and at-site frequency analysis. It has shown that the regional frequency analysis procedure can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than those of at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the classified regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis using Generalized extreme value distribution which was identified to be more optimal one than the other applied distributions. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques (III) - On the Method of LH-moments and GIS Techniques - (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (III) - LH-모멘트법과 GIS 기법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;신용희
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. According to the regions and consecutive durations, optimal design rainfalls were derived by the regional frequency analysis for L-moment in the second report of this project. Using the LH-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the optimal regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution among applied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the GEV distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the higher probability weighted moments, LH-moment. Design rainfall using LH-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional and at-site analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared in the regional and at-site frequency analysis. Consequently, it was shown that the regional analysis can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Relative efficiency (RE) for an optimal order of L-moments was also computed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution. It was found that the method of L-moments is more effective than the others for getting optimal design rainfall according to the regions and consecutive durations in the regional frequency analysis. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

Bivariate regional frequency analysis of extreme rainfalls in Korea (이변량 지역빈도해석을 이용한 우리나라 극한 강우 분석)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Jeong, Changsam;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.747-759
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    • 2018
  • Multivariate regional frequency analysis has advantages of regional and multivariate framework as adopting a large number of regional dataset and modeling phenomena that cannot be considered in the univariate frequency analysis. To the best of our knowledge, the multivariate regional frequency analysis has not been employed for hydrological variables in South Korea. Applicability of the multivariate regional frequency analysis should be investigated for the hydrological variable in South Korea in order to improve our capacity to model the hydrological variables. The current study focused on estimating parameters of regional copula and regional marginal models, selecting the most appropriate distribution models, and estimating regional multivariate growth curve in the multivariate regional frequency analysis. Annual maximum rainfall and duration data observed at 71 stations were used for the analysis. The results of the current study indicate that Frank and Gumbel copula models were selected as the most appropriate regional copula models for the employed regions. Several distributions, e.g. Gumbel and log-normal, were the representative regional marginal models. Based on relative root mean square error of the quantile growth curves, the multivariate regional frequency analysis provided more stable and accurate quantiles than the multivariate at-site frequency analysis, especially for long return periods. Application of regional frequency analysis in bivariate rainfall-duration analysis can provide more stable quantile estimation for hydraulic infrastructure design criteria and accurate modelling of rainfall-duration relationship.

Comparative Analysis of regional and at-site frequency for the design rainfall by Log-Pearson Type III Distribution (Log-Pearson Type III 분포형에 의한 강우의 점빈도 및 지역빈도 비교분석)

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Song, Ki-Hurn;Kim, Gi-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.475-478
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to compare the design rainfall derived by the at-site and regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The regional and at-site design rainfalls were calculated by Log-Pearson type III distribution using Indirect Methods of Moments(WRC). The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), Relative bias(RBIAS) and Relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared between design rainfalls resulted from observed and simulated data using the regional and at-site analysis. It was shown that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS in comparison with those of at-site analysis. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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Development of Regional Balanced Index for Administrative Districts and Dongs in Seoul using Factor Analysis (요인분석을 활용한 서울시 자치구/행정동의 지역균형지수 개발)

  • Kim, Dong-geun;Park, Kwiwon;Ha, Somi;Kim, Dohyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.375-392
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Regional gaps and conflicts between regions due to Korea's economic development and industrialization have become important issues, and the issue of balanced regional development at regional level has been discussed as the size of the region has increased recently. Although evaluation of regional balance was attempted through various regional balanced development indexes, it is inappropriate as a standard for determining regional balance in Seoul. Therefore, this study aims to develop objective evaluation methodologies and evaluation indicators for balanced development of administrative districts in Seoul, not existing city and national units. Methods: We looked at existing regional balanced development indexes, and suggested a new regional balanced index reflecting regional development, backwardness, and spatial characteristics in Seoul using factor analysis. Results: As a result of factor analysis, the regional balanced development index for administrative districts and administrative dongs consists of two factors (regional revitalization, financial power) and three factors (commercial density, social security demand, regional retardness), respectively. Then the regional balanced development index scores for 116 administrative districts and 423 administrative dongs are calculated by multiplying each factor by a weight obtained through experts' survey. Conclusion: The proposed regional balanced development index can be used as an objective and quantitative basis for regional balanced development within a city. Further research may include continuously adding new indicators that reflect the direction and scale of development.

Development of Dissolution Test Method for Buflomedil Hydrochloride Tablets and Ticlopidine Hydrochloride Tablets (염산부플로메딜 정과 염산티클로피딘 정의 용출시험법 개발)

  • Lee, Ryun-Kyung;Jeong, Gyeong-Rok;Oh, Hyun-Sook;Shim, Jee-Youn;Suh, Sang-Chul;Lee, Hyo-Jung;Kim, Min-A;Park, Seong-Min;Lee, Kyu-Ha;Sohn, Kyung-Hee;Kim, In-Kyu;Sah, Hong-Kee;Choi, Hoo-Kyun;Cho, Tae-Yong;Hong, Choong-Man
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2012
  • Drug dissolution test has been used for the purpose of both quality control of solid oral dosage forms and predicting in vivo drug release profiles. In this study, the dissolution profiles of buflomedil hydrochloride tablets and ticlopidine hydrochloride tablets were investigated according to the "Guidelines on Specifications of Dissolution tests for Oral dosage forms" of Korean Pharmacopoeia (KP). The analytical method using HPLC was validated. The validation was performed in terms of specificity, linearity, accuracy, precision and limit of quantitation.

Establishment and application of a qualitative real-time polymerase chain reaction method for detecting genetically modified papaya line 55-1 in papaya products (RT-PCR을 이용한 유전자변형파파야(55-1)검사법 확립 및 파파야가공식품의 적용 연구)

  • Kwon, Yu Jihn;Chung, So Young;Cho, Kyung Chul;Park, ji Eun;Koo, Eun Joo;Seo, Dong Hyuk;Kim, Eugene;Whang, Jehyun;Park, Seong Soo;Choi, Sun Ok;Lim, Chul Joo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2015
  • Genetically modified (GM) papaya line 55-1, which is resistant to PRSV infection, has been marketed globally. Prompt and sensitive protocols for specific detections are essential for the traceability of this line. Here, an event- and construct-specific real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) method was established to detect 55-1. Qualitative detection was possible for fresh papaya fruit up to dilutions of 0.005% and 0.01% for the homozygous SunUp and heterozygous Rainbow cultivars, respectively, in non-GM papaya. The method was applied in the qualitative detection of 55-1 in eight types of commercially processed papaya products. Additionally, papaya products were monitored to distinguish GM papaya using the P35S and T-nos RT-PCR detection methods. As expected, detection capacity was improved via modified sample preparation and the established RT-PCR detection method. Taking these results together, it can be suggested that a suitable method for the extraction and purification of DNA from processed papaya products was established for the detection of GM papaya.

Monitoring of Pesticide Residues in Special Products (지역특산품 중 잔류농약 실태조사)

  • Kim, Mi-Ra;Na, Mi-Ae;Jung, Woo-Young;Kim, Chang-Soo;Sun, Nam-Kyu;Seo, Eun-Chae;Lee, Eun-Mi;Park, You-Gyoung;Byun, Jung-Ah;Eom, Joon-Ho;Jung, Rae-Seok;Lee, Jin-Ha
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.323-334
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    • 2008
  • This experiment was carried out to analyze for pesticide residues in 17 different types of the special of geographical indication. We purchased 3 cereal grains, nuts and seeds, 3 fruits, 8 vegetables, mushrooms and other plants (Korean medicines) mainly at the agricultural cooperative's joints markets. Total 209 pesticides including multi-analysed pesticides (204) and single-analysed pesticides (5 ; acephate, methamidophos, monocrotophos, omethoate, vamidothion) were analysed with a GC/MS/MS, an HPLC/UVD (PDA) and a GC/FPD. No. 83 method and single-analysed method (Screening of multi-pesticide residue in the special products of geographical indication) of Korea Food Code was selected for validation in recovery and interferences of matrice. The results were as follows: among the selected 17 the special products, the residual pesticides were detected in 8 types of the special products (40 in 302 samples, detection ratio; 13.2%). All of the samples were not detected over MRLs, but tebuconazole, procymidone and isoprothioran were detected with considerable high frequency. These results could be used as KFDA official methods for the analysis of pesticide residues in foods and reference data will be provided to the related institutions.

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis - On the method of L-moments - (지역화빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량 추정 - L-모맨트법을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Park, Jong-Hwa;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Jee, Ho-Keun;Jeon, Taek-Ki;Shin, Yong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.319-323
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among apt]lied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the Generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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