• Title/Summary/Keyword: rapid prediction

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An Analysis on the Real-Time Performance of the IGS RTS and Ultra-Rapid Products (IGS RTS와 Ultra Rapid 실시간 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2015
  • For real-time precise positioning, IGS provides ephemeris predictions (IGS ultra-rapid, IGU) and real-time ephemeris estimates (real-time service, RTS). Due to the RTS data latency, which ranges from 5 s to 30 s, a short-term prediction process is necessary before applying the RTS corrections. In this paper, the real-time performance of the RTS correction and IGU prediction are compared. The RTS correction availability for the GPS satellites observed in Korea is computed as 99.3%. The RTS correction is applied to broadcast ephemeris to verify the accuracy of the RTS correction. The 3D orbit RMS error of the RTS correction is 0.043 m. Prediction of the RTS correction is modeled as a polynomial, and then the predicted value is compared with the IGU prediction value. The RTS orbit prediction accuracy is nearly equivalent to the IGU prediction, but RTS clock prediction performance is 0.13 m better than the IGU prediction.

Life Analysis and Reliability Prediction of Micro-Switches based on Life Prediction Method

  • Ji, Jung-Geon;Shin, Kun-Young;Lee, Duk-Gyu;Song, Moon-Shuk;Lee, Hi-Sung
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • Reliability means that a product maintains its initial quality and performance at a certain period of time (time, distance, cycle etc) under given condition without failure. The given conditions include both environmental condition and operating condition. Environmental condition means a common natural environment such as temperature, humidity, vibration, and working condition means an artificial environment such as voltage, current load, place for installment, and hours of use, which occurs during the life of the product. In the field of railway vehicles, it is mandatory to use a part with the proved reliability as the extension of the life of vehicle become highly necessary. But the reliable assessment method for the reliability of the part is insufficient. If the reliability of the railway vehicle parts could be assessed by using the field data, the reliability of the entire system could also be evaluated reliably. In this study, life span of micro-switch for master controller is analyzed and prediction is performed based on its field data given by an operator considering the special circumstances of railway vehicles such as the operation of a large number of trains on the same line.

A cavitation performance prediction method for pumps: Part2-sensitivity and accuracy

  • Long, Yun;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Jianping;Zhu, Rongsheng;Wang, Dezhong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.11
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    • pp.3612-3624
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    • 2021
  • At present, in the case of pump fast optimization, there is a problem of rapid, accurate and effective prediction of cavitation performance. In "A Cavitation Performance Prediction Method for Pumps PART1-Proposal and Feasibility" [1], a new cavitation performance prediction method is proposed, and the feasibility of this method is demonstrated in combination with experiments of a mixed flow pump. However, whether this method is applicable to vane pumps with different specific speeds and whether the prediction results of this method are accurate is still worthy of further study. Combined with the experimental results, the research evaluates the sensitivity and accuracy at different flow rates. For a certain operating condition, the method has better sensitivity to different flow rates. This is suitable for multi-parameter multi-objective optimization of pump impeller. For the test mixed flow pump, the method is more accurate when the area ratios are 13.718% and 13.826%. The cavitation vortex flow is obtained through high-speed camera, and the correlation between cavitation flow structure and cavitation performance is established to provide more scientific support for cavitation performance prediction. The method is not only suitable for cavitation performance prediction of the mixed flow pump, but also can be expanded to cavitation performance prediction of blade type hydraulic machinery, which will solve the problem of rapid prediction of hydraulic machinery cavitation performance.

Rapid Characterization and Prediction of Biomass Properties via Statistical Techniques

  • Cho, Hyun-Woo
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2012
  • The use of renewable energies has been required to diminish the dependency on fossil fuels. As one of clean energy sources biomass has been extensively studied because various biomass resources necessitated rapid characterization of their chemical and physical properties in an on-line or real-time basis. For such an analysis near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy has been successfully applied because of its non-invasive and informative characteristics. In this work, the applicability of nonlinear chemometric techniques based on biomass near infrared (NIR) data is evaluated for the rapid prediction of ash/char contents in different types of biomass. The prediction results of various prediction models and the effect of using preprocessing methods for NIR data are compared using six types of biomass NIR data. The results showed that nonlinear prediction models yielded better prediction performance than linear ones. It also turned out that by adopting the use of proper preprocessing methods the performance of prediction of biomass properties improved.

Empirical seismic fragility rapid prediction probability model of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.609-623
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    • 2022
  • To study the empirical seismic fragility of a reinforced concrete girder bridge, based on the theory of numerical analysis and probability modelling, a regression fragility method of a rapid fragility prediction model (Gaussian first-order regression probability model) considering empirical seismic damage is proposed. A total of 1,069 reinforced concrete girder bridges of 22 highways were used to verify the model, and the vulnerability function, plane, surface and curve model of reinforced concrete girder bridges (simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges) considering the number of samples in multiple intensity regions were established. The new empirical seismic damage probability matrix and curve models of observation frequency and damage exceeding probability are developed in multiple intensity regions. A comparative vulnerability analysis between simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges is provided. Depending on the theory of the regional mean seismic damage index matrix model, the empirical seismic damage prediction probability matrix is embedded in the multidimensional mean seismic damage index matrix model, and the regional rapid prediction matrix and curve of reinforced concrete girder bridges, simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges in multiple intensity regions based on mean seismic damage index parameters are developed. The established multidimensional group bridge vulnerability model can be used to quantify and predict the fragility of bridges in multiple intensity regions and the fragility assessment of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges in the future.

Evaluation of Spatio-temporal Fusion Models of Multi-sensor High-resolution Satellite Images for Crop Monitoring: An Experiment on the Fusion of Sentinel-2 and RapidEye Images (작물 모니터링을 위한 다중 센서 고해상도 위성영상의 시공간 융합 모델의 평가: Sentinel-2 및 RapidEye 영상 융합 실험)

  • Park, Soyeon;Kim, Yeseul;Na, Sang-Il;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_1
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    • pp.807-821
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of representative spatio-temporal fusion models developed for the fusion of mid- and low-resolution satellite images in order to construct a set of time-series high-resolution images for crop monitoring. Particularly, the effects of the characteristics of input image pairs on the prediction performance are investigated by considering the principle of spatio-temporal fusion. An experiment on the fusion of multi-temporal Sentinel-2 and RapidEye images in agricultural fields was conducted to evaluate the prediction performance. Three representative fusion models, including Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model (STARFM), SParse-representation-based SpatioTemporal reflectance Fusion Model (SPSTFM), and Flexible Spatiotemporal DAta Fusion (FSDAF), were applied to this comparative experiment. The three spatio-temporal fusion models exhibited different prediction performance in terms of prediction errors and spatial similarity. However, regardless of the model types, the correlation between coarse resolution images acquired on the pair dates and the prediction date was more significant than the difference between the pair dates and the prediction date to improve the prediction performance. In addition, using vegetation index as input for spatio-temporal fusion showed better prediction performance by alleviating error propagation problems, compared with using fused reflectance values in the calculation of vegetation index. These experimental results can be used as basic information for both the selection of optimal image pairs and input types, and the development of an advanced model in spatio-temporal fusion for crop monitoring.

Rapid prediction of inelastic bending moments in RC beams considering cracking

  • Patel, K.A.;Chaudhary, Sandeep;Nagpal, A.K.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1113-1134
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    • 2016
  • A methodology using neural networks has been proposed for rapid prediction of inelastic bending moments in reinforced concrete continuous beams subjected to service load. The closed form expressions obtained from the trained neural networks take into account cracking in concrete at in-span and at near the internal supports and tension stiffening effect. The expressions predict the inelastic moments (considering the concrete cracking) from the elastic moments (neglecting the concrete cracking) at supports. Three separate neural networks are trained since these have been postulated to represent all the beams having any number of spans. The training, validating, and testing data sets for the neural networks are generated using an analytical-numerical procedure of analysis. The proposed expressions are verified for example beams of different number of spans and cross-section properties and the errors are found to be small. The proposed expressions, at minimal input data and computation effort, yield results that are close to FEM results. The expressions can be used in preliminary every day design as they enable a rapid prediction of inelastic moments and require a computational effort that is a fraction of that required for the available methods in literature.

Rapid prediction of long-term deflections in composite frames

  • Pendharkar, Umesh;Patel, K.A.;Chaudhary, Sandeep;Nagpal, A.K.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.547-563
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    • 2015
  • Deflection in a beam of a composite frame is a serviceability design criterion. This paper presents a methodology for rapid prediction of long-term mid-span deflections of beams in composite frames subjected to service load. Neural networks have been developed to predict the inelastic mid-span deflections in beams of frames (typically for 20 years, considering cracking, and time effects, i.e., creep and shrinkage in concrete) from the elastic moments and elastic mid-span deflections (neglecting cracking, and time effects). These models can be used for frames with any number of bays and stories. The training, validating, and testing data sets for the neural networks are generated using a hybrid analytical-numerical procedure of analysis. Multilayered feed-forward networks have been developed using sigmoid function as an activation function and the back propagation-learning algorithm for training. The proposed neural networks are validated for an example frame of different number of spans and stories and the errors are shown to be small. Sensitivity studies are carried out using the developed neural networks. These studies show the influence of variations of input parameters on the output parameter. The neural networks can be used in every day design as they enable rapid prediction of inelastic mid-span deflections with reasonable accuracy for practical purposes and require computational effort which is a fraction of that required for the available methods.

Analytical Rapid Prediction of Tsunami Run-up Heights: Application to 2010 Chilean Tsunami

  • Choi, Byung Ho;Kim, Kyeong Ok;Yuk, Jin-Hee;Kaistrenko, Victor;Pelinovsky, Efim
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • An approach based on the combined use of a 2D shallow water model and analytical 1D long wave run-up theory is proposed which facilitates the forecasting of tsunami run-up heights in a more rapid way, compared with the statistical or empirical run-up ratio method or resorting to complicated coastal inundation models. Its application is advantageous for long-term tsunami predictions based on the modeling of many prognostic tsunami scenarios. The modeling of the Chilean tsunami on February 27, 2010 has been performed, and the estimations of run-up heights are found to be in good agreement with available observations.

A study on development of the system for prediction of bead geometry using Rapid Prototyping (RP를 이용한 용접비드 형상예측 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • ;;Prasad K.D.V. Yarlagadda
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.04a
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    • pp.637-642
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    • 2002
  • Generally, the use of robots in manufacturing industry has been increased during the past decade. GMA(Gas Metal Are) welding is an actively growing area and many new procedures have been developed for use with high strength alloys. One of the basic requirement for welding applications is to study relationships between process parameters and bead geometry. The objective of this paper is to develop a new approach involving the use of neural network and multiple regression methods in the prediction of bead geometry for GMA welding process and to develop an intelligent system that enables the prediction of bead geometry using Rapid Prototyping(RP) in order to employ the robotic GMA welding processes. This system developed using MATLAB/SIMULINK, could be effectively implemented not only for estimating bead geometry, but also employed to monitor and control the bead geometry in real time.

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