• 제목/요약/키워드: rapid prediction

검색결과 552건 처리시간 0.015초

IGS RTS와 Ultra Rapid 실시간 성능 분석 (An Analysis on the Real-Time Performance of the IGS RTS and Ultra-Rapid Products)

  • 김민규;김정래
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2015
  • IGS에서는 실시간 정밀 측위에 사용할 수 있도록 궤도 예측값인 IGU (IGS Ultra-rapid)와 실시간 궤도 추정값인 RTS (real-time service) 보정정보를 제공한다. IGU는 데이터 지연시간이 없지만, RTS는 5~30 초의 지연시간을 갖기 때문에 실시간으로 사용하기 위해선 지연시간만큼 예측이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 실시간 사용 측면에서 RTS와 IGU의 성능 분석을 수행하였다. 한반도 내에서 RTS 제공 비율을 파악하기 위하여 한반도에서 관측되는 위성 대비 RTS 제공 비율을 계산하였으며 그 결과 99.3%로 나타났다. RTS의 정확도를 확인하기 위해 보정정보를 방송궤도력에 적용하여 오차를 분석하였으며 이 때 3D 궤도 RMS 오차는 0.043 m으로 나타났다. 실시간 사용 측면에서 RTS와 IGU를 비교하였는데, 실시간으로 가정하였기 때문에 IGU는 예측 정보만 이용하였고, RTS는 데이터 지연시간동안 다항식 모델로 예측을 수행하였다. RTS와 IGU를 1초 간격으로 각각 외삽, 보간을 수행하였고 그 결과 궤도 예측 성능은 비슷하였으며 시계 예측 성능은 RTS가 0.13 m 더 뛰어났다.

Life Analysis and Reliability Prediction of Micro-Switches based on Life Prediction Method

  • Ji, Jung-Geon;Shin, Kun-Young;Lee, Duk-Gyu;Song, Moon-Shuk;Lee, Hi-Sung
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • Reliability means that a product maintains its initial quality and performance at a certain period of time (time, distance, cycle etc) under given condition without failure. The given conditions include both environmental condition and operating condition. Environmental condition means a common natural environment such as temperature, humidity, vibration, and working condition means an artificial environment such as voltage, current load, place for installment, and hours of use, which occurs during the life of the product. In the field of railway vehicles, it is mandatory to use a part with the proved reliability as the extension of the life of vehicle become highly necessary. But the reliable assessment method for the reliability of the part is insufficient. If the reliability of the railway vehicle parts could be assessed by using the field data, the reliability of the entire system could also be evaluated reliably. In this study, life span of micro-switch for master controller is analyzed and prediction is performed based on its field data given by an operator considering the special circumstances of railway vehicles such as the operation of a large number of trains on the same line.

A cavitation performance prediction method for pumps: Part2-sensitivity and accuracy

  • Long, Yun;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Jianping;Zhu, Rongsheng;Wang, Dezhong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권11호
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    • pp.3612-3624
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    • 2021
  • At present, in the case of pump fast optimization, there is a problem of rapid, accurate and effective prediction of cavitation performance. In "A Cavitation Performance Prediction Method for Pumps PART1-Proposal and Feasibility" [1], a new cavitation performance prediction method is proposed, and the feasibility of this method is demonstrated in combination with experiments of a mixed flow pump. However, whether this method is applicable to vane pumps with different specific speeds and whether the prediction results of this method are accurate is still worthy of further study. Combined with the experimental results, the research evaluates the sensitivity and accuracy at different flow rates. For a certain operating condition, the method has better sensitivity to different flow rates. This is suitable for multi-parameter multi-objective optimization of pump impeller. For the test mixed flow pump, the method is more accurate when the area ratios are 13.718% and 13.826%. The cavitation vortex flow is obtained through high-speed camera, and the correlation between cavitation flow structure and cavitation performance is established to provide more scientific support for cavitation performance prediction. The method is not only suitable for cavitation performance prediction of the mixed flow pump, but also can be expanded to cavitation performance prediction of blade type hydraulic machinery, which will solve the problem of rapid prediction of hydraulic machinery cavitation performance.

Rapid Characterization and Prediction of Biomass Properties via Statistical Techniques

  • Cho, Hyun-Woo
    • 청정기술
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2012
  • 화석연료에 대한 의존성을 줄이기 위한 대안으로서 재생에너지 사용이 요구되고 있다. 청정에너지원의 하나인 바이오매스는 그 물성치의 실시간 파악이 중요하기 때문에 다양한 종류의 바이오매스에 대해 널리 연구되어 왔으며, 방법론적인 측면에서는 비침투성이며 많은 정보를 가진 특징으로 인하여 근적외선 분광법이 성공적으로 적용되었다. 본 논문에서는 여러 바이오매스 종류에 대한 물성치의 빠른 예측을 위해 근적외선 데이터에 기반한 비선형 방법론의 적용성을 평가하였다. 다양한 방법론에 기반한 예측 모델들을 근적외선 데이터의 전처리방법과 조합하여 예측 성능을 평가하였다. 바이오매스 물성 예측 모델의 성능에서는 선형 모델보다는 비선형 모델에서 예측오차가 최소화되었으며 전처리 방법과 결합되었을 때 최적의 예측결과를 얻을 수 있었다.

Empirical seismic fragility rapid prediction probability model of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.609-623
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    • 2022
  • To study the empirical seismic fragility of a reinforced concrete girder bridge, based on the theory of numerical analysis and probability modelling, a regression fragility method of a rapid fragility prediction model (Gaussian first-order regression probability model) considering empirical seismic damage is proposed. A total of 1,069 reinforced concrete girder bridges of 22 highways were used to verify the model, and the vulnerability function, plane, surface and curve model of reinforced concrete girder bridges (simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges) considering the number of samples in multiple intensity regions were established. The new empirical seismic damage probability matrix and curve models of observation frequency and damage exceeding probability are developed in multiple intensity regions. A comparative vulnerability analysis between simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges is provided. Depending on the theory of the regional mean seismic damage index matrix model, the empirical seismic damage prediction probability matrix is embedded in the multidimensional mean seismic damage index matrix model, and the regional rapid prediction matrix and curve of reinforced concrete girder bridges, simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges in multiple intensity regions based on mean seismic damage index parameters are developed. The established multidimensional group bridge vulnerability model can be used to quantify and predict the fragility of bridges in multiple intensity regions and the fragility assessment of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges in the future.

작물 모니터링을 위한 다중 센서 고해상도 위성영상의 시공간 융합 모델의 평가: Sentinel-2 및 RapidEye 영상 융합 실험 (Evaluation of Spatio-temporal Fusion Models of Multi-sensor High-resolution Satellite Images for Crop Monitoring: An Experiment on the Fusion of Sentinel-2 and RapidEye Images)

  • 박소연;김예슬;나상일;박노욱
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권5_1호
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    • pp.807-821
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    • 2020
  • 이 연구에서는 작물 모니터링을 위한 시계열 고해상도 영상 구축을 위해 기존 중저해상도 위성영상의 융합을 위해 개발된 대표적인 시공간 융합 모델의 적용성을 평가하였다. 특히 시공간 융합 모델의 원리를 고려하여 입력 영상 pair의 특성 차이에 따른 모델의 예측 성능을 비교하였다. 농경지에서 획득된 시계열 Sentinel-2 영상과 RapidEye 영상의 시공간 융합 실험을 통해 시공간 융합 모델의 예측 성능을 평가하였다. 시공간 융합 모델로는 Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model(STARFM), SParse-representation-based SpatioTemporal reflectance Fusion Model(SPSTFM)과 Flexible Spatiotemporal DAta Fusion(FSDAF) 모델을 적용하였다. 실험 결과, 세 시공간 융합 모델은 예측 오차와 공간 유사도 측면에서 서로 다른 예측 결과를 생성하였다. 그러나 모델 종류와 관계없이, 예측 시기와 영상 pair가 획득된 시기 사이의 시간 차이보다는 예측 시기의 저해상도 영상과 영상 pair의 상관성이 예측 능력 향상에 더 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 작물 모니터링을 위해서는 오차 전파 문제를 완화할 수 있는 식생지수를 시공간 융합의 입력 자료로 사용해야 함을 확인하였다. 이러한 실험 결과는 작물 모니터링을 위한 시공간 융합에서 최적의 영상 pair 및 입력 자료 유형의 선택과 개선된 모델 개발의 기초정보로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Rapid prediction of inelastic bending moments in RC beams considering cracking

  • Patel, K.A.;Chaudhary, Sandeep;Nagpal, A.K.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.1113-1134
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    • 2016
  • A methodology using neural networks has been proposed for rapid prediction of inelastic bending moments in reinforced concrete continuous beams subjected to service load. The closed form expressions obtained from the trained neural networks take into account cracking in concrete at in-span and at near the internal supports and tension stiffening effect. The expressions predict the inelastic moments (considering the concrete cracking) from the elastic moments (neglecting the concrete cracking) at supports. Three separate neural networks are trained since these have been postulated to represent all the beams having any number of spans. The training, validating, and testing data sets for the neural networks are generated using an analytical-numerical procedure of analysis. The proposed expressions are verified for example beams of different number of spans and cross-section properties and the errors are found to be small. The proposed expressions, at minimal input data and computation effort, yield results that are close to FEM results. The expressions can be used in preliminary every day design as they enable a rapid prediction of inelastic moments and require a computational effort that is a fraction of that required for the available methods in literature.

Rapid prediction of long-term deflections in composite frames

  • Pendharkar, Umesh;Patel, K.A.;Chaudhary, Sandeep;Nagpal, A.K.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.547-563
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    • 2015
  • Deflection in a beam of a composite frame is a serviceability design criterion. This paper presents a methodology for rapid prediction of long-term mid-span deflections of beams in composite frames subjected to service load. Neural networks have been developed to predict the inelastic mid-span deflections in beams of frames (typically for 20 years, considering cracking, and time effects, i.e., creep and shrinkage in concrete) from the elastic moments and elastic mid-span deflections (neglecting cracking, and time effects). These models can be used for frames with any number of bays and stories. The training, validating, and testing data sets for the neural networks are generated using a hybrid analytical-numerical procedure of analysis. Multilayered feed-forward networks have been developed using sigmoid function as an activation function and the back propagation-learning algorithm for training. The proposed neural networks are validated for an example frame of different number of spans and stories and the errors are shown to be small. Sensitivity studies are carried out using the developed neural networks. These studies show the influence of variations of input parameters on the output parameter. The neural networks can be used in every day design as they enable rapid prediction of inelastic mid-span deflections with reasonable accuracy for practical purposes and require computational effort which is a fraction of that required for the available methods.

Analytical Rapid Prediction of Tsunami Run-up Heights: Application to 2010 Chilean Tsunami

  • Choi, Byung Ho;Kim, Kyeong Ok;Yuk, Jin-Hee;Kaistrenko, Victor;Pelinovsky, Efim
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • An approach based on the combined use of a 2D shallow water model and analytical 1D long wave run-up theory is proposed which facilitates the forecasting of tsunami run-up heights in a more rapid way, compared with the statistical or empirical run-up ratio method or resorting to complicated coastal inundation models. Its application is advantageous for long-term tsunami predictions based on the modeling of many prognostic tsunami scenarios. The modeling of the Chilean tsunami on February 27, 2010 has been performed, and the estimations of run-up heights are found to be in good agreement with available observations.

RP를 이용한 용접비드 형상예측 시스템 개발에 관한 연구 (A study on development of the system for prediction of bead geometry using Rapid Prototyping)

  • 손준식;김일수;;박창언;성백섭;이진구;정호성
    • 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국공작기계학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.637-642
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    • 2002
  • Generally, the use of robots in manufacturing industry has been increased during the past decade. GMA(Gas Metal Are) welding is an actively growing area and many new procedures have been developed for use with high strength alloys. One of the basic requirement for welding applications is to study relationships between process parameters and bead geometry. The objective of this paper is to develop a new approach involving the use of neural network and multiple regression methods in the prediction of bead geometry for GMA welding process and to develop an intelligent system that enables the prediction of bead geometry using Rapid Prototyping(RP) in order to employ the robotic GMA welding processes. This system developed using MATLAB/SIMULINK, could be effectively implemented not only for estimating bead geometry, but also employed to monitor and control the bead geometry in real time.

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